Jump to content

danhtruong5

Free Account+
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    519

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Posts posted by danhtruong5

    JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

    in International Box Office

    Posted

    From Corpse:

    It slowed down a bit, but nothing drastic. Sat-to-Sat is looking to be down just over 30%, which is good because Sun-to-Sun will likely be noticeably better (thinking 20% or so). So far, I don't see anything changing its expected 25-30% second weekend drop (it'll probably be closer to 25%).

    I'll explain demographics and dayparts for the market later today. They're quite extreme in Japan. I've gone over them a bit in the past, but not in-depth. And aince we have a major film in release, it'll be a good time to do so.
    • Like 1

    JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

    in International Box Office

    Posted

    18 minutes ago, RJ 95 said:

    It's always like that same with every weekdays and last weekend too. That's why I'm cautious about prediction from 2pm, because it can fluctuate in a big range. Also probably in Japan they like to watch animated movies in earlier time. I mean it kinda make sense with target demographic. No need to overreact. 

     

    Still only dropping 33% from last weekend, with tomorrow it will increase at least 50% on  today admission but with lower avg Tix.

    So the gross in total of Sunday can increase from Sat or not? 

    South Korea Box Office

    in International Box Office

    Posted

    Just now, Arendelle Legion said:

    😎 (though 210 final CGV)

    1 Frozen 2

    Frozen 2

    U.S. 

    		Nov 21, 2019 $3,120,083
    ($45,052,083)     		429,569
    (6,427,738)     		1,980 70.77%
    2 Bring Me Home

    Bring Me Home

    South Korea 

    		Nov 27, 2019 $479,870
    ($1,444,745)     		66,448
    (236,982)     		828 10.88%
    3 BLACK MONEY

    BLACK MONEY

    South Korea 

    		Nov 13, 2019 $347,773
    ($14,885,147)     		48,722
    (2,082,953)     		727 7.88%
    4 CRAWL

    CRAWL

    U.S. 

    		Nov 27, 2019 $121,350
    ($370,383)     		16,690
    (58,515)     		601 2.75%
    5 Love at Second Sight

    Love at Second Sight

    Belgium,France 

    		Nov 27, 2019 $56,935
    ($175,335)     		7,924
    (27,859)     		144 1.29%


    (Took KOBIS numbers for F2, should be more accurate already. Rest are KOBIZ, will rise more)   
     

    PSm rose just 8% from last weekend, so adjusting my PSm growth expectations to 10% Sat and 12% Sun for now.   
     

    Sat CGV PS coming in above my rough estimate with a crazy 289k, down just 34% from last Sat and up 12% from Endgame’s 2nd Sat. Times 1.9 gives 545k final CGV, about 1.18M admits. Not sure if any 2nd weekend has seen 1M admit day before, but it’s very safe here as even the maximally pessimistic PSm gives 500k CGV. 
     

    KOBIS currently is 816k, so estimating 190k for Sun forward. Same point in time last week was 480k, so now 40% as much. I will hold forecasted Sun CGV PS to 245k and forecasted Sun to 1M.

    Is this a good sign for it? Better drop in 2nd weekend comparing to other big movies???

    South Korea Box Office

    in International Box Office

    Posted

    Just now, Arendelle Legion said:

    Nope, will go a bit over 600k. I underestimated how presale heavy culture day would be, but still a spectacular schoolday for it.    
     

    CGV PS for Thursday is 50k again, should get the 8-day cume  just U/O 6M.   
     

    Also KOBIS PS are already at 450k, so about 350k of that should be banked up for FSS. @pepsa when you said we should try to bank up 600 before the weekend did you mean before Fri or before Sat?

     

    And we hope that this will double in the final for the total of 12M ad

    Frozen II 971m OS 1.44B WW

    in International Box Office

    Posted

    Just now, RJ 95 said:

    Yup, i actually want to post this in Japan OS thread but afraid that i'm wrong or think like i'm pessimistic of its Japan's run. Before 2pm local time its actually only 45% of its Monday and currently around 55% of its Monday.Then with how much it increase each 20 minutes, I predict it will get into 60-65% of Monday. Certainly lower than i predict yesterday. For some example Joker usually do around 75-80% of its Monday, Mal2 also same percentage and i just looked TS4 also made 73% of its Monday. Your assumption probably accurate though because Frozen 1 usually increase bigger than normally on Wednesday.

    Wasn't it bacause holiday support??

    JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

    in International Box Office

    Posted

    Just now, RJ 95 said:

    It needs 12.1x to reach $180m because Japan only count 2 day weekend. 

    Its too early to tell how much it will make, today possibly it will get 105-110k. Then tomorrow we can compare it daily with TS4 because first Monday is holiday for TS4. TS4 also had summer school holiday to boost its number while Frozen 2 had to wait December to get that. Frozen should have massive Wednesday admission though.

    My early prediction $130-150m

     

    Hope it will do better than that. Otherwise the $1 billion OS can not happen :(

    TAQUILLA | Spain Boxoffice

    in International Box Office

    Posted

    1 hour ago, peludo said:

    €5.2m: provisional OW for Frozen 2.

     

    €1.7m for "Si yo fuera rico". Amazing hold (-19%) after the €2.1m OW. Another local hit. We will see where it can finish.

     

    €0.5m for Joker, which should outgross Endgame by next Sunday.

    $5.8M OW...... can leg to $30M finish???

×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use and Guidelines. Feel free to read our Privacy Policy as well.

  I accept