krla

I wonder if the current epidemic will have an effect on Bros. I imagine a lot of right-wing sources will be wringing their hands over the film. Maybe the outrage will drive more people to see it, lol. Though maybe left-wing types don't want to watch a film with some gay stereotypes in the current environment.

If you classify 657 theaters as 'wide', then MBFGW's 12th wide weekend still beats TGM. That would be MBFGW's 27th week in release, overall.

Theater counts from The Numbers; Movie Distributor Theaters Previous Theaters Change Bullet Train Sony Pictures 4,357 4,357 DC League of Super Pets Warner Bros. 3,803 4,332 -529 Top Gun: Maverick Paramount Pictures 3,181 2,760 +421 Easter Sunday Universal Pictures 3,176 3,175 +1 Thor: Love and Thunder Walt Disney 3,175 3,400 -225 Minions: The Rise of Gru Universal Pictures 3,058 3,188 -130 Where the Crawdads Sing Sony Pictures 2,916 3,164 -248 Nope Universal Pictures 2,758 3,016 -258 Elvis Warner Bros. 2,211 2,411 -200 Mack & Rita Gravitas Ventures 1,900 New Bodies Bodies Bodies A24 1,800 6 +1,774 Fall Lionsgate 1,548 New The Black Phone Universal Pictures 920 1,197 -277 Jurassic World: Dominion Universal Pictures 874 1,232 -358 Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris Focus Features 569 669 -100 Laal Singh Chaddha Paramount Pictures 516 New Emily the Criminal Roadside Attractions 473 New Vengeance Focus Features 426 1,003 -557 E.T. the Extra-Terrestrial Universal Pictures 389 Summering Bleecker Street 260 New Paws of Fury: The Legend of Hank Paramount Pictures 226 497 -271 Lightyear Walt Disney 110 280 -170 Veneciafrenia Sony Pictures 10 New BOP has Pets making $8.3 and TGM at $6.8. That'd give them roughly the same PTA (with Pets a bit higher). Last weekend Pets and TGM had roughly the same PTA (again, with Pets slightly higher). Just quickly looking through some re-expansions and this would be the only one I've seen where a movie dropped in gross from the prior week. Even Morbius saw its take increase, though it's PTA dropped just under 20%. That would be roughly the same PTA drop that BOP is estimating for TGM. Though a 421 theater expansion is pretty small for TGM, it's also getting some PLFs (probably what the majority of those 421 new theaters will be), bonus content, and a poster. I can't imagine that it sells less tickets than last weekend. And the tickets it does sell are going to be more expensive. If we take last weekend's PTA, assume that the existing theaters will be able to meet that based on the bonus content and posters alone, and that the 421 are all PLFs that will sell the same number of tickets, but at roughly 20% more, then we're looking at an increase of $1.25m over last week, or $8.25m. And if a single existing theater throws it on a PLF screen, then it's going to go higher. Maybe I'm way off base, but I think the floor on this weekend is around $8.4m. BOP also has Pets with a tiny drop of 25%. I just can't see that happening? I think TGM will easily be #2 this weekend. And if the stars align, maybe it can give Bullet Train a challenge. I could be very wrong. Does anybody have good comparables for a ~15% 're-expansion'? (btw, even with TGM's 'big' drop today, it still beat Pets' PTA by 10%.) Just some math pulled out of my ass, I don't think it would be surprising to see ticket sales increase by 20% this weekend, and that the average ticket price is going to be roughly 20% higher. Which would put TGM at $10m. Even selling the same amount of tickets as last weekend, just with the average ticket 20% higher, we see $8.4m. For TGM to come in at $6.8m, it would basically require that either it sells roughly the same amount of tickets last week, and nobody sees it in PLF, or that it sells the same amount of tickets as if there was no re-expansion, no bonus content, no poster, but the higher PLF price is what boosts the take.

Tell us the tale grandpa B.

- (7) Where the Crawdads Sing Sony Pictures $785,000 -54% -35% 3,164 $248 $65,433,484 25 - (9) Elvis Warner Bros. $555,000 -55% -38% 2,411 $230 $137,012,329 46

Came out publicly. If they came out as gay, would we say their prior films were made by straight people? Is the song Rocket Man by a gay singer, bisexual, or a straight one? CAP MODERATION ETA: Good points. Correct points. No one responded back. Please move on.

We live in a patriarchal society which has molded us to value things produced by men. Men and women have different preferences at the group level. As this forum is presumably more testosterone packed, I'd imagine the films that appeal to the group would be the product of other men. Also, since most films are directed by men, and older films even moreso, it means that there will be an inevitable skew towards male directors. Anyways, I had a couple films directed by women on my list, so I'm Doing My Part. (though I did put a 2022 film on my list, so maybe it went straight into the trash, lol)

The Matrix was just on there.

If Dustin Hoffman can score a 100m grosser this decade, he'll have it from the 60s.

With a re-release on IMAX, TGM could be #2 next weekend. EC said last week on Twitter that it will include bonus scenes "and more". I wonder what the 'and more' is? Hell.. with TGM at around $7m this weekend and having miniscule drops as it is, IMAX will provide a nice boost, bonus content will provide a nice boost... it's possible that it could be #1 again. TGM could/should hit $700m before Labor Day.

First one was based on a historic event, second was a completely original film, third was a sequel. In 12 years, what will be the fourth? Prequel? Spin-off? Remake? Maybe we can predict what it will be, lol. Cameron had the idea for Avatar around the time he was doing Titanic, and he planned to film it right after. Top Gun: Maverick was set in motion around 2010. So the next big one could be stretching its legs right now.

Gotta give a shoutout to Baumer's Impossible (but very lucrative) movie trivia contest which is open now! ALL questions are posted. Deadline is September 1st!

Was the entire thing shot in IMAX? I think the lowest you'll spend for just a few weeks is a couple million. Shooting an entire movie in IMAX will typically run into the tens of millions. Depends a lot on how much film is used and developed, too. If Stanley Kubrick were alive to film in IMAX, he'd probably burn through $200 million, lol.. I could see Avatar being very hit or miss. 3D doesn't have the premium prices of 2009. There's not going to be the limit on 3D screens that keeps its legs long, and thus the continued press about it. It'll be much, much more frontloaded than the first, which means theaters will drop it when pta drops. In '09, they were recouping the investment in 3d, so had a reason to keep Avatar around. The higher ticket price boosted pta. Now Avatar will be competing for premium screens like everyone else. It's competing on a relatively level playing field compared to the first. So when pta declines, it loses theaters, screens, and showings. Also won't have USD$50+ ticket prices in China. So while it may make more in China, due to more theaters being able to show it, and thus more tickets sold, the increase may not be what some are expecting. Hopefully the debate about the cultural impact of Avatar will be settled, though. The obvious reason being that Wonka is expected to make more than Nope? Or that Nope was filmed in a couple months, while Wonka was filmed over half a year?

It's relevant when people use a movie with a healthy China gross to make a movie w/o China look even worse by comparison.

It should hit $650m around August 1st. If it averages around $1m a day in August, it'll be at $680 going into Labor Day weekend. Following the same holds as the past 7 days, it hits $650m on August 1st, $660m on August 7, $670m on August 15th, $680 on August 26th, $685m September 1st. Week before labor day it could do $5.4m. Labor Day week is usually, at minimum, 2x the prior week. So that'd be $11m, bringing it up to $696m on September 8th. FFH did +170% on LD week, which would give TGM a potential $14.58m, bringing it to ~$699.58m on September 8th. Of course something like Bullet Train could take Tom out at the ankles.

Just wanted to let everyone know that my donkey, my lover, & I made $30k this weekend

I imagine that's great for TGM, too. Should have some flat weeks coming up in August? And then up for LD weekend. If Bullet Train doesn't eat too much into TGM audience, could be possible TGM stays above $1m daily throughout August? Or at least averages $1m+ daily. I think around August 1st it'll hit $650m. So it could be over $680m going into labour day. Probably far too optimistic. Marvel is also banking on other revenues, like toys and other merch. They'd probably still be rolling in the dough if they handed out tickets for free. With Elvis, they'll probably sell a ton of DVDs/Blu-Rays, since older folks still use those often. And it sounds like there is a ton of extra footage, so it's possible they pump out special editions, director's cuts, maybe even chop it into a miniseries or something. Lots of revenue potential there.

I imagine this budget is inflated due to covid and vfx. Worst case is he gets a smaller budget in the future. Hard to say how that ends up; some directors just fail hard when they have to do a lean shoot, and some directors strive, If he can still succeed on a leaner budget, that will greatly enhance his value. He's also getting to the point where actors will seek out the opportunity to work with him. This can bring down budgets as you can use profit sharing. Then the studios are more likely to gamble on your projects, since one of the more expensive components (cast) are taking on risk as well.

Imagine if that Luke fella had grown up in a jungle. I'd bet pennies from heaven that that there Star Wars film would have blown off a lot of wigs with that premise. Can't wait for The Rock's next flop, Dune Cruise.

5 theaters. It's probably down many more screens and showings than that. It'll make roughly over $5,000 per theater this weekend. If you're running a theater, the only movie that will earn more is Nope. Most theaters have multiple screens, no reason to not show both.

It was still a large bump for a Tuesday. Last I checked, audiences seemed pleased with the movie. With decent WOM, it could hold well this weekend. I imagine, regardless of how well Super Pets does, that it will obliterate Paws. But I get the feeling Super Pets will also come in below expectations. And is California gonna be masking up again? That could keep families away from theaters. Compare it to last Tuesday, it had the smallest week to week drop of -19%.

Paws of Fury had a really nice bump (57%). I wonder if it'll be able to hold well this weekend?

I'd imagine the contract would have a tentative date, but with windows based on performance. Otherwise they would have announced the Apple TV date prior to (or upon) release. If Sony didn't negotiate it that way, and just gave a firm theatrical window (like 45 days), then Apple may see this as a way to renegotiate and get a box office cut for extending the window. The contract is probably something like this; xx-day theatrical window; if the film exceeds $xx gross, then Sony can exercise an option to extend the window xx days. If it grosses $xx after that, Sony can further extend the window, but Apple starts getting some of the box office. Could also have a provision where Apple can extend the theatrical window (if they think Sony is doing the math and thinks it isn't worth extending the window and splitting with Apple, whereas Apple might want the film to have a bit more prestige from its box office run), and a provision where they can shorten it (if the movie absolutely bombs, then Apple could trigger this provision and toss it on Apple TV in 2 weeks, for instance). I can't imagine Apple and Sony having some simple contract with a short, firm theatrical window, unless Apple were paying a premium.

Labor Day, New Years Eve, Avatar, Labor Day, Golden Globes, Obama is 2nd weekend wide.

House of Dragon looks pretty, but I don't know if I can invest myself in that franchise again. Plus, I don't trust American shows not to insert crappy American politics into everything.