Dragoncaine
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Posts posted by Dragoncaine
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I walked out of Missing 30 minutes in - nothing to do with the quality of the film, but because everyone has seemingly lost their ability to be a respectful audience member.
In a small auditorium in my local theater, multiple crying babies (why do people still bring their infants into loud intense movies), 3 different big groups walked into the theater 20 minutes late, acting like they had no idea where they're supposed to sit in a theater with assigned seating, people directly next to me on their phones taking snaps with audio on AND that iPhone flash for every single notification they got, a huge group of teens walked in literally screaming to scare the audience 30 mins in, so I just left. Ridiculous.
At least the Eagles are putting on a clinic right now. Maybe I'll catch a matinee tomorrow morning.
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19-21.5 remains the range for me.
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8 minutes ago, Firepower said:
Ugly ugly drop.
I really hope you're just referring to Monday.
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31 minutes ago, M37 said:
I’m going to work up a more formal projection tomorrow, but looking at the last couple of years that does seem to be the case (though I’m not sure why?), and that ~$21M number is probably too low, more like $24M as starting point
A 26% week-to-week drop as your starting point would add another terrific weekend to this movie's run, though of course we do have the historical trend of this weekend holding even better than last holiday weekend over the past few years iirc. Pretty cool, hope it pans out!
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12m is fantastic, even if it doesn't quite hold, that's a really nice weekend for A2.
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27 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:
A2 13.75
M 7.3O 4.9
P 3.8
I really like three of these numbers. Saw Plane today and, while pretty generic, it was surprisingly enjoyable and competently made. Butler was quite good and the first act is great. Third act is a lot of fun. Wish it was doing better.
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9 minutes ago, stuart360 said:
Still Friday was weakish last weekend compared to Saturday, and you would think Sunday should hold better than last weekend due to the holiday Monday.
40mil 4 day is very much in play imo.
We can't underestimate the impact of the playoffs this weekend imo
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2 minutes ago, DaFlexi said:
You guys need to understand that people still want to see this movie. They just do it on the weekends because it's a 5+hour commitment of a day. If the 3day truly is below 30mil then it'll probably land below 700, but if it's 35mil+ then 700-750mil seems a lot more likely. This weekend is key. I'm personally thinking a 40mil weekend isn't too far out of reach.
$40m just seems extremely optimistic with this likely thurs-sun IM.
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5 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:
2.95m
This was a harsh week. How high do you reckon Friday can climb with this lower-than-hoped-for Thursday est.?
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1 hour ago, Ronin46 said:
https://deadline.com/2023/01/box-office-mlk-gerard-butler-plane-m3gan-house-party-1235218675/
AV2 35
M3GAN 17-20
Otto 8
Plane 7-10
House Party mid single digits
all for the 4day
Feels low for the first four movies, but we'll see.
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31 minutes ago, Jiffy said:
Picture nom should still be safe in theory due to the field being so empty. If it misses PGA tomorrow though that would definitely be cause for concern on that front, though.
Yeah, I'd be shocked if it missed PGA. If it misses PGA, DGA, and the BAFTA longlist, I'm almost willing to discount it in Picture.
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I thought China already crossed $200m??
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2 hours ago, Alex SciChannel said:
Where Puss in Boots TLW did not win Best animated feature even though it should've 😠. Dont get me wrong, GT Pinnochio was good, great even. But I think PiB was marginally better.
Loved PiB but it didn't have me an emotional mess afterward like Marcel and GDT's Pinocchio. All three are in my top 10 of the year. What a great year for animation and horror.
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20 minutes ago, todos said:
4th Tuesdays:
TGM - 5.9
incredibles 2 - 5.3
BP - 5.1
Avatar - 5
Avatar 2 - 5???
Great company to be in, if $5m sticks!
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And the ride continues
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This show is so dry so far jfc
Mostly solid winners, though I would've liked Kerry Condon
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I'll watch the Oscars, SAG, etc., but I'm not gonna give the Globes my time. I'll catch up on twitter updates.
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7 minutes ago, efialtes76 said:
Avatar-$3,478,414.
Funny the difference that $200k can make lol
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49 minutes ago, Alex SciChannel said:
Idk about Oscar's. GT Pinnochio may beat it there regrettably since that's more Oscar baity despite PiB being marginally better imo.
It's locked for a nomination, at least.
I'd go GDT's Pinocchio > Marcel the Shell > Puss in Boots, but I loved all three and they might all finish in my top 10 of 2022.
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43 minutes ago, Verrows said:
That's a pretty strong M3GAN number too. Horror movies tend to drop especially big on Monday so I had it dropping around 77% for $1.6M or so.
That runtime for A2 is starting to rear its head on Mon/Wed/Thurs
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58 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:
Tuesday and weekend should be fine but yeesh
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4 hours ago, Bruce said:
Great Guys
China got extention
That's amazing! Do we have a source?
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18 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:
3.4m
Wow, that's definitely harsher than the 65-70% drop that was hoped for. Not entirely unexpected, though.
Weekend Thread | Estimates: Avatar 19.7, Puss 11.5, M3GAN 9.8, Missing 9.3, Otto 9
in Numbers and Data
Posted · Edited by Dragoncaine
I don't live in the safest area, and you never really know how people are going to react to any of this nowadays, so since I have Unlimited I just figured I'd cut my losses and watch the big game instead lol
Yeah, I would've definitely asked for a refund if I didn't have Regal Unlimited. By the time I got out of there, all I had wasted was 30 minutes of my time, so can't complain too much. Now if my matinee is similarly rowdy tomorrow I'll be put off for good lol