[Weekdays (03-05 Jan, 2023) Thread. | Talk about the New York Giants in here!]

26 minutes ago, XXR the Conqueror said:

Now that we’re a bit further into the evening I can say that just based on the numbers right now, there is a small chance that….

 

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…today is flat or slightly increases from Wednesday 😮

 

I would still bet on a decrease if I had to make a prediction but maybe only 3-5%? 
 

It’s fairly impressive.

 

Oh okay so this weekend is about to go hard between A2 and M3gan

[The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)]

4 minutes ago, Ronin46 said:

Box Office Report

 

Rank	Film (Distributor)	Weekend Gross	Total Gross	% Change	Week #
1	Avatar: The Way of Water (Disney / 20th Century)	$41.5 M	$513.5 M	-38%	4
2	M3GAN (Universal)	$26.0 M	$26.0 M	NEW	1
3	Puss in Boots: The Last Wish (Universal / DreamWorks Animation)	$11.7 M	$86.4 M	-30%	3
4	Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (Disney)	$3.4 M	$445.4 M	-34%	9
5	Whitney Houston: I Wanna Dance with Somebody (Sony / TriStar)	$2.3 M	$19.6 M	-41%	3
6	A Man Called Otto (Sony / Columbia)	$1.8 M	$1.9 M	+3,100%	2
7	Babylon (Paramount)	$1.2 M	$13.2 M	-54%	3
8	The Whale (A24)	$1.1 M	$8.1 M	-20%	5
9	Violent Night (Universal)	$1.0 M	$49.7 M	-53%	6

$26m would be excellent for M3gan. Really healthy weekend if it pans out for A2 and her.

[Weekdays (03-05 Jan, 2023) Thread. | Talk about the New York Giants in here!]

54 minutes ago, XXR the Conqueror said:

Might get one more  

In Saturday we trust 🙏

[Weekdays (03-05 Jan, 2023) Thread. | Talk about the New York Giants in here!]

55 minutes ago, XXR the Conqueror said:

Huh 🤔 

 

Let’s see how it goes (and this isn’t an invitation for you to be cringe about early numbers!) but if things remain as they are, I wouldn’t be shocked at $7M today. 

 

I'm taking full credit if this pans out!

 

2 hours ago, Dragoncaine said:

Imagine a $7m Thursday with this projected multiplier 😲

 

[Weekdays (03-05 Jan, 2023) Thread. | Talk about the New York Giants in here!]

26 minutes ago, XXR the Conqueror said:

4th WE = 6-7x Thursday 

Imagine a $7m Thursday with this projected multiplier 😲

[The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)]

3 minutes ago, 3RIC said:

Quorum Updates

Women Talking T-2: 13.04% Awareness, 4.52 Interest

Alice Darling T-16: 16.74%, 4.95

Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania T-44: 35.4%, 5.68

John Wick: Chapter 4 T-79: 55.65%, 6.6

The Flash T-162: 36.23%, 5.81

 

M3GAN T-2: 49.13% Awareness, 6.06 Interest

Final Awareness: 90% chance of 10M, 60% chance of 20M, 40% chance of 30M, 25% chance of 40M

Final Interest: 100% chance of 10M, 94% chance of 20M and 30M, 82% chance of 40M

Horror Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 60% chance of 30M, 40% chance of 40M

Horror Interest: 100% chance of 40M

 

House Party T-9: 33.55% Awareness, 5.81 Interest

Final Awareness: 42% chance of 10M

Final Interest: 74% chance of 10M

Known IP Awareness: 0% chance of 10M

Known IP Interest: 100% chance of 10M

 

Magic Mike's Last Dance T-37: 30.86% Awareness, 5.03 Interest

T-30 Awareness: 93% chance of 10M, 57% chance of 20M, 43% chance of 30M

T-30 Interest: 62% chance of 10M, 35% chance of 20M, 19% chance of 30M

The Flash over Quantumania this early is really interesting.

[Weekdays (03-05 Jan, 2023) Thread. | Talk about the New York Giants in here!]

2 minutes ago, M37 said:

Friday will not, but the increase from Thursday will be pretty small, and have the effect of reducing (muting) the overall jump for that day 

 

Say Thursday makes $6M, and it’s a $4.5/$1.5 split. Then even if the US portion doubles, you get 9 + 1.5 = 10.5, which is a muted +75%

Thanks! Is there an upcoming holiday this Friday in Canada that I'm unaware of, or is it just because kids are still off from school this week, and therefore each weekday is more inflated than usual, resulting in a lower Friday jump?

[Weekdays (03-05 Jan, 2023) Thread. | Talk about the New York Giants in here!]

Wait, so why will Friday be muted in Canada compared to other weekdays?

[Weekdays (03-05 Jan, 2023) Thread. | Talk about the New York Giants in here!]

Let's hope estimates/actuals later in the night get it to $7m for Wednesday at least, but still not a rough number, just disappointing after an inflated Tuesday. Anything better than $35m this weekend is a win in my book.

[Weekdays (03-05 Jan, 2023) Thread. | Talk about the New York Giants in here!]

2 minutes ago, interiorgatordecorator said:

 

yeah seen it once

will see it once more on friday (in hfr)

 

Dont really know how to rate it, I was a bit bored during the first half of the movie and its only after the tracker scene that it really clicked for me, after which I was 1000% on board with everything it did; if you tried to force an objective score out of me I might spit out a 7 or an 8 at most, but looking back, I was so fond of movie and its characters that I appreciate even the boring parts and would have been fine with it going on for another hour or two, its closer a 9 in my heart; despite its many flaws, I find it to be a sweet movie, and that goes a long way

I felt the same way after my first screening at around an 8, but now I'm an 8.5-9. The characters are so, so charming and the emotions are so high on a second viewing. Really looking forward to seeing what you think upon rewatch!

[Weekdays (03-05 Jan, 2023) Thread. | Talk about the New York Giants in here!]

1 hour ago, efialtes76 said:

Avatar-$10,544,729.

A terrific number got even better, you love to see it. Bring on $7.25m+ today.

[The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)]

 

Bro a 73 on MC?!?! I can't wait

[Weekdays (03-05 Jan, 2023) Thread. | Talk about the New York Giants in here!]

$10.4m is a pretty amazing Tuesday number. Today's number will arguably be even more telling, but I'm more optimistic about A2's run than ever. 

[Weekdays (03-05 Jan, 2023) Thread. | Talk about the New York Giants in here!]

ERC is saying $10m, but iirc they tend to round up or down instead of giving the precise estimate. Let's wait for Luis/BOP.

[Weekdays (03-05 Jan, 2023) Thread. | Talk about the New York Giants in here!]

$10-10.25m would still be so good, but I got used to thinking this would beat I2's record lol. Still, even if it doesn't, to even come close to the record on a non-holiday Tuesday is pretty great 

[Weekdays (03-05 Jan, 2023) Thread. | Talk about the New York Giants in here!]

19 minutes ago, XXR the Conqueror said:

10.5 

7.3

6.6

11.7

20

12.9

 

44.6 4th WE

 

 

34% drop in its fourth, non-holiday weekend would go so hard. Hope you're right!

[Weekdays (03-05 Jan, 2023) Thread. | Talk about the New York Giants in here!]

12 minutes ago, Dale Cooper said:

I think we should not get too carried away with this number. It's obviously good, but I still see a weekend of around ~$39m. Maybe it can do bigger, bit maybe it will come back down after a great run the last 8 days.

I agree with your overall sentiment, but a $39m weekend off of an inflated holiday 3-day of $67.4 would be -42%. Really, really good hold for a 4th non-holiday weekend. Anything sub-45% is quite strong to me. 

[New Years Weekend Thread || Dec. 30-Jan. 1 || ATWOW $67.4M 3rd WE - $88.8M 4-Day WE — Orange Panther $22.6M 4-Day!]

Funny that an underperformance or a notable margin of error would look like ~$9m now, which would still be very good. Bring on $10m+!

[New Years Weekend Thread || Dec. 30-Jan. 1 || ATWOW $67.4M 3rd WE - $88.8M 4-Day WE — Orange Panther $22.6M 4-Day!]

1 minute ago, Menor Reborn said:

Looks like 10-11, though with this being the first normal Tuesday of the run, the margin of error will be higher today.

Wow, the margin of error really made you lowball! $13m Tuesday actuals confirmed 

[New Years Weekend Thread || Dec. 30-Jan. 1 || ATWOW $67.4M 3rd WE - $88.8M 4-Day WE — Orange Panther $22.6M 4-Day!]

If XXR's range proves accurate, we're looking at somewhere between a 48-57% Mon-Tues drop. A very-solid-to-fantastic hold coming off an inflated holiday weekday, and two back-to-back holiday weekends.

[New Years Weekend Thread || Dec. 30-Jan. 1 || ATWOW $67.4M 3rd WE - $88.8M 4-Day WE — Orange Panther $22.6M 4-Day!]

12 minutes ago, XXR the Conqueror said:

 

 

 

 

Lol ok yea that was just me being a bit of a stinker. Taking a real look at the numbers it seems like total sales for the comp will be about 41-43% of yesterday, but you have to keep in mind that there's a slight expectation of over-indexing in Canada. The only problem is we don't know how much. So with all of that in mind, let's go with a low end of $9.3M and a high end of maybe $11.2M? 

Oh, you!!

 

That would be a great range to fall in. Thanks again for the early numbers, this has been the most entertaining run to track since TGM, and before then, since AEG.

[New Years Weekend Thread || Dec. 30-Jan. 1 || ATWOW $67.4M 3rd WE - $88.8M 4-Day WE — Orange Panther $22.6M 4-Day!]

Okay but joking aside, $7m would be pretty brutal. I think we could've all seen a low end of $8m coming but 

[New Years Weekend Thread || Dec. 30-Jan. 1 || ATWOW $67.4M 3rd WE - $88.8M 4-Day WE — Orange Panther $22.6M 4-Day!]

4 minutes ago, XXR the Conqueror said:

7

Not that number

[New Years Weekend Thread || Dec. 30-Jan. 1 || ATWOW $67.4M 3rd WE - $88.8M 4-Day WE — Orange Panther $22.6M 4-Day!]

Hungry for some evening numbers 👀

[New Years Weekend Thread || Dec. 30-Jan. 1 || ATWOW $67.4M 3rd WE - $88.8M 4-Day WE — Orange Panther $22.6M 4-Day!]

4 minutes ago, CaptNathanBrittles said:

 

It would break THE INCREDIBLES 2's record for Best 3rd Tuesday ($10.2m).

That would be awesome, but it feels like a long shot today after two back-to-back holiday weekends. Do you know what the 2nd best third Tuesday is? Are these metrics easily searchable on BOP or BOM or somewhere?