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46 minutes ago, Xavier said:

How can it be miscalculated if the son of the real person she is playing is behind the camera?

I thought it was miscalculated as to its impact on the viewer. I'm sure Michelle Williams, one of our best living actresses, did an accurate impression of Spielberg's mother. I just found the performance overly theatrical at nearly every turn - which works wonderfully in retrospect based on what we now know about her character in the film's first half, but once the cards are laid out on the table in the second half, so to speak, the theatricality of her performance failed to register with me emotionally. Hence, miscalculated. She's going to get an Oscar nom so obviously I'm in the minority here, but I'm also not the first person to say this.

7 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

It was forgotten by the masses as soon as it came out lol. You can say you enjoy the movie, but you can’t say it wasn’t collectively forgotten about in the zeitgeist pretty instantly. 

Spotlight made almost $100m worldwide. Weird movie to single out for this imo

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FYI, I would like EEAAO or The Banshees of Inisherin to win Best Picture. The Fabelmans was a 7/10 for me and I thought Michelle Williams gave a completely miscalculated performance. Babylon is mid. TGM is great. So is A2. Tar is very accomplished, I just didn't emotionally respond to it, but Blanchett should win. Still need to catch Women Talking and Elvis.

[M3GAN W33K3ND THR3AD | ACTUALS - DADDY CAM3RON'S MAGNUM OPUS 45.8M | DOCUM3NTARY ABOUT KILL3R DOLL 30.4M | ORANG3 PANTH3R 13.5M]

9 minutes ago, Ronin46 said:

 

I would put Sicario, Whiplash and Ex Machina over Spotlight. but it was not a bad BP winner. But Fury Road is an all time great film and should have won.

Whiplash is 2014 in the U.S. and for Oscar consideration (and would have been my pick for that year), but nice picks!

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9 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

 

Thats very fair, Mad Max - despite its 6 (i think?) wins - should have won Best picture. If i remember right, Spotlight won for 2015 and come on, who actually saw or remembers Spotlight?

I love Spotlight (though I agree Fury Road should have won). Those were my top two films of 2015!

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59 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I am feeling good about A2 today > A2 last saturday. That is not an outrageous performance considering last saturday was down day. Question is how much higher can it go? We will only know tonight. 

Yeah, to get past $18m to match or improve on last Saturday would require about +58% from Fri. Achievable, and already a good number, but let's see if we can push to maybe even $19-20m.

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4 minutes ago, stephanos13 said:

Can we see Avatar have it's final $20M+ day at the box office for this movie's run?

Would require a HUGE Saturday bump, well above already-optimistic predictions. I seriously doubt it.

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15 minutes ago, ando said:

Praying for a $19M Saturday, please.

 

(Though I'll be content with $18M)

Needs a +58% bump for $18m SAT. Definitely possible, but not going to be that easy for the reasons @M37 alluded to earlier on the page. $19m would be awesome but with the big playoff games, I'm erring on high-17s, low 18s.

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I'm so happy about this weekend. What a great start for eclectic movies in 2023!

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3 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

 

 

 

That's a lowball. We were expecting a muted jump for A2 and it managed a healthy +68% from Thurs if estimates hold (let alone improve). Today should be a fun one.

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$11.25m would be a strong number. Anything over $11m makes $40-42m a very distinct possibility. Good hold, and a very good Fri number for M3gan.

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12 minutes ago, ThomasNicole said:

Idk, ~11M for A2 seems pretty much what everyone was hoping for it, even a bit better tbh since we known FRI bump could be muted 

Something something don't count your chickens, but yeah if $11m or better sticks, that's a nice Friday number. I'm still sticking with $41-42m this weekend, so hopefully the estimates later tonight (prob within an hour or two?) support my prediction.

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6 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

@Dragoncaine Doing friday to friday comps, A2 is looking at 11.25m by my estimate. Its looking higher thu/fri but that will be skewed due to Canada if I am not wrong. i prefer friday to friday comps here. Let us wait for @charlie Jatinder to provide estimates. Definitely 10m would be a huge surprise at this point. 

Sounds like the Thurs-Fri bump is looking promising in your tracked region, but yeah, Canada could throw a wrench in estimates. Fri-Fri seems like the smart move. Appreciate the projection! Here's to $11m+ hopefully 🤞

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3 minutes ago, Legion in Boots said:

That said 11 seems unbelievable, guessing more like 9.8-10.6

This is in reference to M3gan's TF, right? That would still be very strong but more in line with what I was expecting

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14 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Interesting. I am not seeing it that high with low average ticket price. I could see  close to 12m with previews for sure. 

Are you seeing $10-11m for A2?

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17 minutes ago, XXR the Conqueror said:

M3GAN might beat A2 today (true Friday). Looks to doing $11M or so 

$11m excluding previews would be super impressive. Let's hope there's room for both movies to do well!

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M3gan is not a great movie, but it's a solid, fun time with some really great comedic moments. Not even remotely scary and all the better for it. Smarter than I was expecting, too. Allison Williams seems to work best for me in horror, and there are a couple fantastic needledrops in here. 7/10. Glad it's aiming for $25m or better. Hope A2 can stick to $11m+

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3 minutes ago, hw64 said:

https://deadline.com/2023/01/box-office-m3gan-avatar-the-way-of-water-1235212918/

 

Deadline's Friday/weekend estimates:

M3GAN: $11.4m Friday (with previews), $26.7m weekend

Avatar: $10m Friday, $37m weekend

Puss: $2.5m Friday, $10m weekend

Otto: $1.2m Friday, $3.4m weekend

Yeahhhhhh, let's pump those numbers up.

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My vibe check conjured an $11.7m Friday for A2 today. Let's roll the dice! 

[Weekdays (03-05 Jan, 2023) Thread. | Talk about the New York Giants in here!]

2 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:

 

Pretty grateful that my local theater is one of the 317. Gonna try to catch it Sunday at a matinee as long as I'm not too hungover from Saturday lol

[Weekdays (03-05 Jan, 2023) Thread. | Talk about the New York Giants in here!]

Just now, baumer said:

I'm thinking the minimum it jumps on Friday is 100%...Saturday will be a 50% bump.  It's dropping sub 30% this weekend.  

That is BOLD. I'm thinking $41-42m which would already be great.

[Weekdays (03-05 Jan, 2023) Thread. | Talk about the New York Giants in here!]

If estimates hold or improve, that's a 9% drop from Wednesday at worst. Not bad at all. If @XXR the Conqueror's 6-6.5x multiplier prediction from Thursday's DOM gross still holds water, then $40m should be very, very likely this weekend. $44-45m if it holds great over the weekend, $47.5m best case scenario.

[Weekdays (03-05 Jan, 2023) Thread. | Talk about the New York Giants in here!]

Solid Thursday previews for M3gan, though once again a bit under estimates. Curious to see where actuals for both land.

 

If M3gan hits high 20s and A2 hits $40m, this is a very good start to the year.

[Avatar :The Way of the Water OS thread]

46 minutes ago, Andreas said:

So $22M OS on THU, somewhat lower than expected I think?

Germany has passed SK on its way to $100M+.

France has finally reached the $100M.

Jeez, Thursday is looking kinda disappointing all around for A2. But still, solid weekday numbers.

[Weekdays (03-05 Jan, 2023) Thread. | Talk about the New York Giants in here!]

That's a fairly disappointing Thursday number for A2 if it holds. I'm going with a $40-41m weekend which would be very good at this point

[Weekdays (03-05 Jan, 2023) Thread. | Talk about the New York Giants in here!]

This weekend is about to be a hell of a time, both box-office wise and personally. Catching M3gan tomorrow night, Puss in Boots on Saturday, possibly Corsage on Sunday, and finishing up the 2nd half of RRR tomorrow before M3gan.