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MG10

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Posts posted by MG10

  1. 8 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

    They were coming from thin air.

     

    Without added factor of XMAS, no market is really close to EG. On top of that EG actually had holiday advantage in Japan, so 70% of EG will be fair enough.

     

    Yeah I don't remember if it was here or on reddit but there was someone proposing 100/150M in Japan, 

    I swear it made me laugh more than all the comedies released in 2021 😂

    • Haha 2
  2. 9 hours ago, Product Driven Legion said:

    Yeah, they are really. Like worst results vs FFH of any territory except SK, right? Expectations didn’t come from thin air.

     

    Don't forget however that Japan is one of the countries where FFH had its best result (same for South Korea), 

    it doesn't happen very often that a superhero movie grosses more in Japan than in France and Brazil

     

    And even more surprisingly, Japan is also one of the few markets where Far From Home has grossed more than Civil War and Iron Man 3

  3. 23 minutes ago, IndustriousAngel said:

    Germany's Top14 last weekend:

     

     

     

     

     

    title

     

     

    admissions

     

     

    th.

     

     

    PTA

     

     

    total adm.

     

     

    total €

     

     

    drop

     

     

    week

     

     

    1

     

     

    Spider-Man 3

     

     

    373.990

     

     

    635

     

     

    589

     

     

    3.213.272

     

     

    32.521.827

     

     

    -4

     

     

    4

     

     

    2

     

     

    The King's Man

     

     

    118.595

     

     

    502

     

     

    236

     

     

    139.386

     

     

    1.335.988

     

     

    -

     

     

    1

     

     

    3

     

     

    House of Gucci

     

     

    73.242

     

     

    568

     

     

    129

     

     

    828.921

     

     

    8.261.911

     

     

    +8

     

     

    6

     

     

    4

     

     

    Matrix Resurrections

     

     

    67.522

     

     

    633

     

     

    107

     

     

    455.052

     

     

    4.568.583

     

     

    -17

     

     

    3

     

     

    5

     

     

    Clifford The Big Red Dog

     

     

    65.448

     

     

    572

     

     

    114

     

     

    385.167

     

     

    2.707.539

     

     

    +39

     

     

    6

     

     

    6

     

     

    Encanto

     

     

    45.780

     

     

    488

     

     

    94

     

     

    531.538

     

     

    3.979.873

     

     

    +6

     

     

    7

     

     

    7

     

     

    Die Schule der magischen Tiere

     

     

    28.375

     

     

    390

     

     

    73

     

     

    1.533.325

     

     

    10.603.776

     

     

    +48

     

     

    13

     

     

    8

     

     

    The 355

     

     

    24.261

     

     

    372

     

     

    65

     

     

    24.269

     

     

    228.411

     

     

    -

     

     

    1

     

     

    9

     

     

    Kesisme: Iyi Ki Varsin Eren

     

     

    24.115

     

     

    67

     

     

    360

     

     

    35.098

     

     

    311.989

     

     

    +307

     

     

    2

     

     

    10

     

     

    Lauras Stern

     

     

    14.522

     

     

    537

     

     

    27

     

     

    136.105

     

     

    940.854

     

     

    -5

     

     

    5

     

     

    11

     

     

    Contra

     

     

    12.424

     

     

    256

     

     

    49

     

     

    682.526

     

     

    6.023.781

     

     

    -5

     

     

    11

     

     

    12

     

     

    No Time To Die

     

     

    12.381

     

     

    256

     

     

    48

     

     

    6.009.159

     

     

    65.162.389

     

     

    -26

     

     

    15

     

     

    13

     

     

    Wanda, mein Wunder

     

     

    10.022

     

     

    130

     

     

    77

     

     

    11.105

     

     

    93.256

     

     

    -

     

     

    1

     

     

    14

     

     

    West Side Story

     

     

    9.037

     

     

    238

     

     

    38

     

     

    112.286

     

     

    1.061.961

     

     

    -23

     

     

    5

     

     

    Ok weekend with good increases for family stuff (and the Turkish release) and decent drops; the openers however were underwhelming. No Time To Die has finally crossed 6mil total, and Spidey took the 3mil hurdle with good speed and might really leg it to 4mil! Also good result for domestic children's book adaption Die Schule der magischen Tiere which crossed 1,5mil (which seemed impossible after the November Covid situation but here we are back in business!)

    Next weekend: No big releases but Spencer might bring back some long-absent customers, and Scream should  profit from the absence of any competition in the horror segment, maybe enough for #3.

     

    Damn No Time to Die has incredible numbers, for comparison how many tickets have Spectre and Skyfall sold? 

  4. This week there are several interesting releases although nothing big, and they could finally make some changes to the top 10. Here the main ones: Scream 5 (here Sandra Bullock is very appreciated so we'll see), King Richard (documentary about the dad of the Williams sisters), the interesting Italian thriller "America Latina" and the documentary on the famous swimmer Federica Pellegrini (out only for 3 days)

     

    Next week on the other hand there are only the documentary about Celine Dion and the Demon Slayer film for 3 days, but it has been available on Amazon Prime for more than 6 months so I don't know how much it will do. Since they moved Morbius to April maybe I'll go to see it  🤷‍♂️

    • Thanks 1
  5. 13 hours ago, LPLC said:

    Likely worse, TFA's run in France was so insane. With 10,5M admissions, it remains one of the most viewed film in France for 10 years ahead of TLK (10,027M admits)

     

    Those two films had really insane numbers in Europe, in comparison Infinity War and No Way Home are little children and only Endgame is a decent comparison (but still loses)

  6. 2 hours ago, Issac Newton said:

    NWH exceeded ¥1.7B in 4-days. Overall, exceeding first 10-days collection of FFH. It's 4-days OW has exceeded the cumulative box office collection of each - every Disney /Marvel Works releasing in past two years (2020-2021). 

     

    On the other hand, JJK Movie 0 has exceed ¥7.7B, ranking 79th on all-time highest grossing film in Japan

     

    What are the predictions for Jujutsu Kaisen? Can it exceed $100 million (about ¥11.5B)?

  7. It may seem strange to say but the incredible success of No Way Home almost makes the success of Infinity War less incredible (which as I would like to remember grossed $2.05 billion, and it did it in April and May)

     

    Retrospectively there are some markets where it could have done even more, such as the US (twenty million more to be at least on par with Black Panther), and maybe also a few million more in the UK (where it ended quite close to the total of The Beauty and the Beast), Mexico (where strangely it has grossed less than in Brazil), Japan, Australia, Italy and perhaps also in China, since a total of 370 million after a first weekend of 190 million isn't even a x2 multiplier

  8. No Way Home won its 4th weekend in a row, better than Endgame (who lost to Detective Pikachu in its third weekend), Joker (who lost to Maleficent) and Infinity War (who grossed only 5% less than Men in Black 4 in its fourth weekend 🤷‍♂️). The gross week per week is now 11M in the first, 5M in the second, 4M in the third and 2M in the fourth

     

    Considering that the holidays are over and almost a month has passed since its release, we can consider his run practically over since we aren't a leggy market, I think that from here to the end it can gross another million or so (which is also more than enough to exceed 3 million admissions)

     

    In the meantime House of Gucci is getting very close to Black Widow and may surpass it

    • Like 5
  9. 36 minutes ago, Pypa94 said:

    What is multiple of movie which indicate good WOM here in Italy?

     

    Keep in mind that here we have the first weekend of 4 days if not even 5, so even a simple x2 can be considered good legs (especially if it's a front loaded movie). In the case of Spider Man it grossed 11.2 million in the first 5 days, so it would have to finish above 22.4 million to exceed x2

     

    Then of course there are special and rare cases like Joker who managed to do x5 (6M ->30M), despite having made his debut on Wednesday

    • Like 2
  10. 1 hour ago, RiddlerXXR said:

     

    Using this $550M cutoff, how many films do we think will go over it in 2022? Assuming everything currently scheduled stays where it is, I'm thinking...

    The Batman 

    Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness 

    Jurassic World: Dominion 

    Lightyear 
    Thor: Love and Thunder 
    Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

    Avatar 2

     

     

    I chose to use the 550M cutoff because it give us a nice list of about 50 movies, while a cutoff at 500M leave us with a long list of over 70 movies. I must also say that one day I will check all the figures because considering the various re-releases in 2020 and 2021 and the often inaccurate data that BOM has about China many are probably wrong

     

    For 2022 I think Thor has no chanches (Ragnarok made 427M without China), while Doctor Strange will need an incredible increase over the first movie (even higher than No Way Home compared to Far From Home). For Lightyear I honestly expect less than Minions 2, with both out of the list

  11. 19 minutes ago, Purple Minion said:

    Top Movies All Time (USD)

    According to Mojo's ER

     

    77.48M  Avengers: Endgame
    72.38M  Toy Story 4
    69.70M  Spider-Man: No Way Home
    61.74M  The Avengers
    60.05M  Avengers: Infinity War
    59.38M  Toy Story 3
    57.86M  Coco
    52.49M  The Lion King (2019)
    51.68M  Fast & Furious 7
    50.94M  Avengers: Age of Ultron

     

    Will it be able to pass Toy Story 4 or no chances?

  12. Updated the total of No Way Home and fixed a couple of figures 

     

    1. Avatar - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1,823,327,608   (2009)
    2. Titanic - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1,339,171,334   (1997)
    3. Avengers: EG - - - - - - - - - - - - 1,323,585,380  (2019)
    4. Avengers: IW - - - - - - - - - - - - 1,010,001,119  (2018)
    5. Star Wars Ep. VII - - - - - - - - - - 1,002,008,555   (2015)
    6. The Lion King - - - - - - - - - - - - - 993,000,000  (2019)
    7. Harry Potter 8 - - - - - - - - - - - - - 899,700,000   (2011)
    8. Spider-Man: NWH - - - - - - - - - - - - 867,000,000  (2021)
    9. Frozen II - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 850,000,000   (2019)
    10. Frozen - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 832,000,000   (2013)
    11. The Avengers  - - - - - - - - - - - - - 808,937,000  (2012)
    12. Jurassic World - - - - - - - - - - - - - 787,974,301  (2015)
    13. Furious 7 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 769,783,295   (2015)
    14. Minions - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 752,739,247   (2015)
    15. Skyfall - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 744,966,384   (2012)
    16. Joker - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 738,800,000   (2019)
    17. Pirates: OST - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 734,642,000   (2011)
    18. LOTR: ROTK - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 731,656,075   (2003)
    19. Avengers: AOU - - - - - - - - - - - -  705,919,899   (2015)
    20. Iron Man 3 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 685,226,000   (2013)
    21. Beauty and the Beast - - - - - - - - 673,743,959    (2017)
    22. Bohemian Rhapsody - - - - - - - - - 673,247,180  (2018)
    23. Star Wars Ep. VIII - - - - - - - - - - - 669,780,533   (2017)
    24. Ice Age 3 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 667,113,112   (2009)
    25. Hobbit: AUJ  - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 664,270,000   (2012)
    26. Alice in Wonderland - - - - - - - - - 658,276,000   (2010)
    27. Harry Potter 1 - - - - - - - - - - - - - 657,179,821   (2001)
    28. Ice Age 4 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 648,031,927   (2012)
    29. Pirates: DMC - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 642,863,913   (2006)
    30. Aladdin - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 641,347,343  (2019)
    31. Pirates: AWE - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 637,030,000   (2007)
    32. Toy Story 3 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 631,467,031   (2010)
    33. Harry Potter 7 - - - - - - - - - - - - - 631,049,529   (2010)
    34. Jurassic World: FK - - - - - - - - - - - 629,523,977 (2018)
    35. Harry Potter 5 - - - - - - - - - - - - - 628,471,191   (2007)
    36. Hobbit: DOS - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 627,270,000   (2013)
    37. Fate of the Furious - - - - - - - - - - 617,189,716   (2017)
    38. Despicable Me 3 - - - - - - - - - - - - 612,003,543 (2017)
    39. Harry Potter 2 - - - - - - - - - - - - - 610,958,152   (2002)
    40. Harry Potter 6 - - - - - - - - - - - - - 608,357,290   (2009)
    41. Transformers 3 - - - - - - - - - - - - 606,303,536   (2011)
    42. Toy Story 4 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -603,838,847  (2019)
    43. Spectre - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 597,090,211   (2015)
    44. Harry Potter 4 - - - - - - - - - - - - - 595,398,042   (2005)
    45. The Dark Knight Rises  - - - - - - - 583,514,666   (2012)
    46. The Incredibles 2 - - - - - - - - - - -582,750,551  (2018)
    47. LOTR: TT - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 580,506,069   (2002)
    48. Hobbit: BOFA - - - - - - - - - - - - - 578,280,000   (2014)
    49. Jurassic Park  - - - - - - - - - - - - - 570,810,000   (1993)
    50. Lion King - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 564,700,000   (1994)
    51. Captain America: Civil War - - - - - 564,425,629   (2016)
    52. Finding Nemo - - - - - - - - - - - - - 555,900,000   (2003)
    53. LOTR: FOTR - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 550,104,622   (2001)
  13. 17 hours ago, grey ghost said:

    This could make more than Eternals, Venom 2, Shang Chi and Black Widow combined.

     

    Eternals - 401m

    Venom 2 -  501m

    Shang Chi - 432m

    Black Widow -  379m

     

    Total -  1.713 billion

     

    This is impressive, but with a "normal" release without the competition of Disney+ Black Widow would certainly have grossed more than 400M

  14. 50 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

    Holy shit. 90M is locked. 

     

    Not only this film got XMAS & New Year, but it also got almost solo release. Endgame in NWH place would have breezed past $3.2B with 2018 ER.

     

    I never understood why Marvel never took advantage of the Christmas window in the 13 years prior to No Way Home...

    • Like 1
  15. 12 minutes ago, john2000 said:

    definately a 2billion grosser with a normal chinese release

     

    Maybe I'm wrong, but I remember that without covid its release would have been scheduled for the month of July (the month with the lowest gross for half of the countries in the world). In that case I think that even with China the 2 billion would have been really difficult, let alone the 2.2B of Titanic

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