225M budget + 150M marketing budget (according to Deadline 150M was the marketing budget for all 2022 Marvel movies) so for Disney to be happy this thing needs to make 750M to even make a tiny profit in theaters. 550-650M is not going to cut it.
2.5 hours is hardly the standard. These are the only MCU movies that are longer than 2 hours 20 minutes and only 4 of them are from the last 3 years.
Avengers: Age of Ultron: 2 hours 21 minutes
The Avengers: 2 hours 23 minutes
Captain America: Civil War: 2 hours 27 minutes
Spider-Man: No Way Home: 2 hours 28 minutes
Avengers: Infinity War: 2 hours 29 minutes
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol.3: 2 hours 30 minutes
Eternals: 2 hours 36 minutes
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever: 2 hours 41 minutes
Avengers: Endgame: 3 hours 1 minute
I've often felt that MCU films would benefit from having more slower character-focused scenes to break up the non-stop action. So that's why I'm worried. That and, as I pointed out earlier in the thread, historically most of the really short comic book movies have been awful. Then again, I acknowledge that there are people who think that MCU movies are bloated so to each their own I guess.
The number that was being thrown out previously was 98 minutes so just a 7 minute difference. At 105 minutes this is still the shortest MCU movie and excluding credits it's only 95 minutes.
Short runtime, director felt like she didn't know what she was doing (not her fault, sounds like Marvel just being Marvel taking a young and talented indie director and then making the movie for them), the plot leak that's been now pretty much confirmed by the trailers.
The more I hear about the movie, the more worried I get. I actually think this might turn out to be a disaster. And I liked Captain Marvel more than most.
For me alarm bells go off when I see a short run time for a CBM. I honestly can't think of a CBM that had a short run time (under110 minutes) and was good.
X-Men Origins Wolverine - 107 minutes
Fantastic Four (2005) - 106 minutes
X-Men/X-Men The Last Stand/Catwoman/Morbius - 104 minutes
Punisher War Zone/Daredevil - 103 minutes
Fantastic Four (2015) - 100 minutes
Elektra/Venom Let There Be Carnage - 97 minutes
Ghost Rider Spirit of Vengeance - 96 minutes
The New Mutants - 94 minutes
Fantastic Four Rise of the Silver Surfer - 92 minutes
Jonah Hex - 81 minutes
Out of all of these the first X-Men movie is the exception.
A. It wasn't borderline racist, it was flat out racist.
B. Other people in Hollywood being racist and awful doesn't excuse the Lost producers being racist and awful.
Both Cap 4 and Deadpool 3 will have reshoots so Cap 4 is the most likely 2024 MCU release because it has at least completed principal photography. I don't see a scenario where Deadpool 3 gets released next year and Cap 4 doesn't.