ViktorLosAngeles
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Weekend Prediction thread 5/31-6/2 Play the Derby
ViktorLosAngeles replied to Impact's topic in Box Office Derby
Judging by the daily drop, it will land anywhere between $60 and $70 million, but will have a softer 3rd weekend drop like $35-45 million, and then 4th weekend $15-18 million. It will gross $400-450 million when it's all said and done. Internationally probably close to $400 million. -
Weekend Prediction thread 5/31-6/2 Play the Derby
ViktorLosAngeles replied to Impact's topic in Box Office Derby
NOVEMBER 18-20: 1. "Black Panther 2" - 61.2 / 294.7 2. "The Menu" - 9.3 3. "Black Adam" - 5.6 / 159.7 4. "She Said" - 4.7 5. "Ticket to Paradise" - 4.1 / 62.5 6. "Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile" - 2.4 / 44.1 7. "The Banshees of Inisherin" - 1.4 / 7.8 8. "Smile" - 1.3 / 104.7 9. "Prey for the Devil" - 0.8 / 18.4 10. "The Fabelmans" - 0.3 / 0.5 11. "Till" - 0.3 / 8.5 12. "One Piece Film: Red" - 0.3 / 13.3 -
Weekend Prediction thread 5/31-6/2 Play the Derby
ViktorLosAngeles replied to Impact's topic in Box Office Derby
NOVEMBER 11-13: 1. "Black Panther 2" - 178.8 2. "Black Adam" - 7.9 / 150.4 3. "Ticket to Paradise" - 6.2 / 56.6 4. "Lyle, Lyle Crocodile" - 3.0 / 40.7 5. "One Piece Film: Red" - 2.1 / 13.4 6. "Smile" - 2.0 / 102.4 7. "Prey for the Devil" - 1.8 / 16.7 8. "The Banshees of Inisherin" - 1.7 / 5.8 9. "Till" - 0.9 / 8.3 10. "The Woman King" - 0.5 / 66.7 12. "Terrifier 2" - 0.4 / 10.6 12. "Halloween Ends" - 0.3 / 64.2 -
Weekend Prediction thread 5/31-6/2 Play the Derby
ViktorLosAngeles replied to Impact's topic in Box Office Derby
NOVEMBER 4-6: 1. "Black Adam" - 13.0 / 133.6 2. "Ticket to Paradise" - 6.2 / 43.1 3. "Smile" - 3.3 / 97.7 4. "Prey for the Prey" - 3.2 / 12.5 5. "Till" - 1.8 / 5.4 6. "Lyle, Lyle Crocodile" - 1.7 / 35.2 7. "Halloween Ends" - 0.9 / 62.4 8. "The Banshees of Inisherin" - 0.9 / 2.0 9. "Terrifier 2" - 0.8 / 9.3 10. "Tar" - 0.7 / 3.6 11. "The Woman King" - 0.7 / 65.7 12. "Armageddon Time" - 0.6 / 0.7 -
Weekend Prediction thread 5/31-6/2 Play the Derby
ViktorLosAngeles replied to Impact's topic in Box Office Derby
OCTOBER 28-30: 1. "Black Adam" - 28.1 / 112.2 2. "Ticket to Paradise" - 10.4 / 31.9 3. "Smile" - 6.1 / 93.5 4. "Halloween Ends" - 4.9 / 61.2 5. "Prey for the Devil" - 4.4 6. "Lyle, Lyle Crocodile" - 2.6 / 32.6 7. "Terrifier 2" - 2.5 / 8.2 8. "Tar" - 1.7 / 3.1 9. "The Woman King" - 0.9 / 64.4 10. "Triangle of Sadness" - 0.7 / 2.4 11. "Till" - 0.5 / 1.3 12. "Don't Worry Darling" - 0.3 / 44.9 -
Weekend Prediction thread 5/31-6/2 Play the Derby
ViktorLosAngeles replied to Impact's topic in Box Office Derby
OCTOBER 21-23: 1. "Black Adam" - 57.5 2. "Ticket to Paradise" - 12.8 3. "Smile" - 8.4 / 83.8 4. "Halloween Ends" - 7.9 / 57.0 5. "Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile" - 4.9 / 30.4 6. "The Woman King" - 2.6 / 63.7 7. "Don't Worry Darling" - 1.4 / 44.4 8. "Amsterdam" - 1.3 / 14.2 9. "Barbarian" - 0.9 / 40.3 10. "Terrifier 2" - 0.7 / 3.2 11. "Top Gun: Maverick" - 0.6 / 716.6 12. "Tar" - 0.5 / 0.9 -
And the early opening weekend predictions are between $50 and $60 million. I simply can't believe it. It would need at least $60 million opening to cross $100 million domestically. As for international, just look at this hitting $25-30 million. Let's say it hits $60 million opening... Weekend #1: 60 million Weekend #2: 14 million / 84.8 million Weekend #3: 7.7 million / 96.1 million Weekend #4: 1.8 million / 99.2 million Weekend #5: 0.7 million / 100.4 million So, it would really need $60 million to get to roughly $101 million.
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Weekend Prediction thread 5/31-6/2 Play the Derby
ViktorLosAngeles replied to Impact's topic in Box Office Derby
OCTOBER 14-16: 1. "Halloween Ends" - 37.8 2. "Smile" - 12.8 / 69.3 3. "Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile" - 7.7 / 23.5 4. "The Woman King" - 3.7 / 59.9 5. "Amsterdam" - 3.0 / 11.3 6. "Don't Worry Darling" - 1.6 / 41.2 7. "Barbarian" - 1.5 / 38.7 8. "Avatar" - 1.3 / 25.5 9. "Bros" - 0.9 / 10.5 10. "Top Gun:Maverick" - 0.6 / 715.5 11. "Terrifier 2" - 0.4 / 1.4 12. "Triangle of Sadness" - 0.3 / 0.6 -
I also don't think Ends will hit $100 million as well. Reviews will be horrible and many people left disappointed after Kills, so it will definitely lose some of it's core audience. Also Peacock now has more subscriptions than a year ago. Apart from that marketing is not as aggressive as it was for the last two films. Even the new trailer looks bad, and even Kills had an amazing trailer. Finally, this year had way more horrors to offer, so I'm not sure will the audience be there for this one. I'm sticking to $35-40 million opening and $75-80 million total.
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The second trailer is awful. Decision to release it simultaneously on Peacock says a lot about what Uni/Blum think about the film. I'm afraid this one will be even worse than "Halloween Kills". As far as box office, I think it can open with $40 million. I expect $77-80 million total. Overseas will probably also drop to like $28-30 million total.
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Weekend Prediction thread 5/31-6/2 Play the Derby
ViktorLosAngeles replied to Impact's topic in Box Office Derby
OCTOBER 7-9: 1. "Lyle,Lyle Crocodile" - 21.2 2. "Amsterdam" - 15.0 3. "Smile" - 13.4 / 42.1 4. "The Woman King" - 4.4 / 53.9 5. "Don't Worry Darling" - 3.7 / 39.2 6. "Bros" - 2.8 / 9.3 7. "Avatar" - 2.3 / 22.6 8. "Barbarian" - 1.7 / 35.8 9. "Bullet Train" - 1.0 / 102.8 10. "Top Gun: Maverick" - 0.9 / 714.8 11. "DC League of Super Pets" - 0.9 / 93.1 12. "Ponniyin Selvan" - 0.8 / 5.4 -
Weekend Prediction thread 5/31-6/2 Play the Derby
ViktorLosAngeles replied to Impact's topic in Box Office Derby
SEPTEMBER 30-OCTOBER 2: 1. "Bros" - 14.7 2. "Smile" - 12.5 3. "Don't Worry Darling" - 7.5 / 31.7 4. "The Woman King" - 6.7 / 47.0 5. "Avatar" - 5.4 / 18.5 6. "Barbarian" - 3.2 / 33.4 7. "DC League of Super Pets" - 1.3 / 92.0 8. "Pearl" - 1.2 / 8.6 9. "Bullet Train" - 1.2 / 100.9 10. "Top Gun: Maverick" - 1.1 / 713.2 11. "See How They Run" - 1.1 / 7.8 12. "Minions 2" - 0.7 / 366.7 -
Weekend Prediction thread 5/31-6/2 Play the Derby
ViktorLosAngeles replied to Impact's topic in Box Office Derby
SEPTEMBER 23-25: 1. "Don't Worry Darling" - 22.4 2. "The Woman King" - 11.8 / 36.6 3. "Avatar (Re-release)" - 6.8 4. "Barbarian" - 3.9 / 27.4 5. "Bullet Train" - 1.7 / 99.1 6. "See How They Run" - 1.6 / 5.6 7. "Top Gun:Maverick" - 1.6 / 711.5 8. "Pearl" - 1.6 / 6.2 9. "DC League of Super-Pets" - 1.6 / 89.8 10. "Moonage Daydream" - 1.4 / 3.0 11. "The Invitation" - 1.0 / 23.1 12. "Minions 2" - 1.0 / 365.5 -
Weekend Prediction thread 5/31-6/2 Play the Derby
ViktorLosAngeles replied to Impact's topic in Box Office Derby
SEPTEMBER 2-5: 1. "Top Gun: Maverick" - 5.1 / 6.5 / 699.8 2. "Spider Man" - 4.4 / 5.4 / 810.2 3. "Bullet Train" - 4.2 / 5.3 / 85.8 4. "The Invitation" - 3.7 / 4.6 / 13.7 5. "Beast" - 3.2 / 4.2 / 25.9 6. "DC League of Super-Pets" - 3.2 / 4.3 / 79.7 7. "Minions 2" - 2.6 / 3.3 / 359.1 8. "Thor: Love and Thunder" - 2.1 / 2.7 / 340.2 9. "Jaws" - 2.1 / 2.6 / 263.2 10. "Dragon Ball" - 2.0 / 2.5 / 35.1 11. "Where the Crawdads Sing" - 1.9 / 2.5 / 85.5 12. "Honk for Jesus" - 1.7 / 2.1 SEPTEMBER 9-11: 1. "Barbarian" - 5.3 2. "Top Gun:Maverick" - 3.7 / 705.0 3. "Brahmastra Part 1" - 3.2 4. "Spider Man" - 2.5 / 814.0 5. "Bullet Train" - 2.4 / 89.4 6. "Medieval" - 2.2 7. "DC League of Super Pets" - 2.0 / 82.6 8. "The Invitation" - 1.7 / 16.5 9. "Beast" - 1.5 / 28.3 10. "Minions 2" - 1.5 / 361.4 11. "Thor: Love and Thunder" - 1.3 / 342.1 12. "Where the Crawdads Sing" - 1.2 / 87.3