ViktorLosAngeles

Hmmm… How good were they at predicting before this? I would say that Avatar 2 could go either way, exceeding the first one’s numbers or being greatly overlooked if the gp doesn’t connect with it.

I think this will open to 125-128 million $ in the US, with 315 million $ total.

I guess this is getting that big expansion today. It went from 10 theaters on Thursday to 33 on Friday on Fandango in Los Angeles.

Let’s see - do you think this will have a 175+ million opening?

I guess this will finish with around 22 million $ in the States, and I guess around the same or up to 25 million $ overseas.

FEBRUARY 25-27: 1. “Uncharted” - 19.8 / 76.9 2. “Dog” - 7.8 / 28.8 3. “Spider-Man:NWH” - 5.5 / 778.9 4. “Death on the Nile” - 3.1 / 30.7 5. “Jackass Forever” - 2.8 / 51.5 6. “Sing 2” - 2.0 / 150.8 7. “Marry Me” - 1.7 / 19.7 8. “Studio 666” - 1.6 9. “Cyrano” - 1.1 10. “Scream” - 1.1 / 78.7 11. “Blacklight” - 0.9 / 8.6 12. "The Cursed" - 0.7 / 2.9 MARCH 4-6: 1. “The Batman” - 128.0 2. “Uncharted” - 8.9 / 91.2 3. “Dog” - 3.9 / 34.7 4. “Spider-Man:NWH” - 3.4 / 783.8 5. “Death on the Nile” - 1.8 / 33.4 6. “Jackass Forever” - 1.3 / 53.6 7. “Sing 2” - 1.3 / 152.6 8. “Marry Me” - 0.8 / 21.0 9. “Studio 666” - 0.6 / 2.7 10. “Scream” - 0.6 / 79.6 11. “Cyrano” - 0.5 / 1.9 12. “The Worst Person in the World” - 0.4 / 2.3 MARCH 11-13: 1. "The Batman" - 56.2 / 217.7 2. "Uncharted" - 4.7 / 98.6 3. "Dog" - 2.1 / 38.0 4. "Spider-Man:NWH" - 2.2 / 787.1 5. "Death on the Nile" - 0.9 / 34.8 6. "Sing 2" - 0.7 / 153.5 7. "Jackass Forever" - 0.6 / 54.5 8. "Marry Me" - 0.4 / 21.6 9. "Studio 666" - 0.3 / 3.2 10. "Cyrano" - 0.3 / 2.3 11. "The Worst Person in the World" - 0.3 / 2.7 12. "Scream" - 0.3 / 80.1 MARCH 18-20: 1. “The Batman” - 28.0 / 263.4 2. “The Unbreakable Boy” - 3.7 3. “Uncharted” - 2.7 / 102.5 4. “X” - 1.9 5. “Spider-Man:NWH” - 1.6 / 789.3 6. “Dog” - 1.3 / 40.0 7. "Umma" - 0.8 8. "The Outfit" - 0.7 9. “Death on the Nile” - 0.5 / 35.6 10. "Sing 2" - 0.4 / 154.0 11. “Jackass Forever” - 0.3 / 55.0 12. “Marry Me” - 0.2 / 21.9 MARCH 25-27: 1. "The Lost City" - 16.5 2. "The Batman" - 15.2 / 286.1 3. "The Unbreakable Boy" - 1.8 / 6.5 4. "Uncharted" - 1.5 / 104.8 5. "Spider-Man:NWH" - 1.1 / 790.9 6. "X" - 1.0 / 3.4 7. "Dog" - 0.7 / 41.0 8. "Umma" - 0.4 / 1.5 9. "The Outfit" - 0.4 / 1.3 10. "Death on the Nile" - 0.3 / 36.0 11. "The Worst Person in the World" - 0.2 / 3.2 12. "Sing 2" - 0.2 / 154.3 APRIL 1-3: 1. "Morbius" - 65.8 2. "The Lost City" - 8.2 / 29.3 3. "The Batman" - 7.7 / 298.0 4. "The Unbreakable Boy" - 1.0 / 8.1 5. "Uncharted" - 0.8 / 106.1 6. "Spider-Man:NWH" - 0.7 / 792.0 7. "X" - 0.6 / 4.3 8. "You Won't Be Alone" - 0.4 9. "Dog" - 0.4 / 41.6 10. "Umma" - 0.2 / 1.8 11. "The Outfit" - 0.2 / 1.6 12. "West Side Story" - 0.2 / 39.1 Predicted US totals: 1. "Nightmare Alley" - 11.2 million $ 2. "Encanto" - 95.9 million $ 3. "House of Gucci" - 54 million $ 4. "Ghostbusters" - 129.6 million $ 5. "The Matrix Resurrections" - 37.8 million $ 6. "Licorice Pizza" - 16.7 million $ 7. "Sing 2" - 154.5 million $ 8. "West Side Story" 39.3 million $ 9. "The King's Man" - 37.3 million $ 10. "Scream" - 80.4 million $ 11. "Spider Man: NWH" - 795 million $ 12. "The 355" - 14.6 million $ 13. "American Underdog" - 26.7 million $ 14. "Dune" - 108.3 million $ 15. "Marry Me" - 22.1 million $ 16. “Jackass Forever” - 55.4 million $ 17. “Dog” - 42.1 million $ 18. “Death on the Nile” - 36.5 million $ 19. “Uncharted” - 107 million $ 20. “Moonfall” - 18.8 million $ 21. “The Batman” - 316 million $ 22. “Blacklight” - 9.8 million $ 23. "Belfast" - 9.2 million $

While I still believe “Avatar” will be the highest grossing film of the year, is it just me or does it seem like there is no buzz or interest from the public in it? Or maybe I’m sleeping on it.

Don't want to sound harsh but which impact? I mean, outside the Marvel circles and it's fans, I haven't heard anyone talking about the first film, and I live here in LA. I would say it had it's moment because it was the first of it's kind, but anything more than that would be an overstatement. Even if the drop is softer Stateside, I can see a bigger drop coming overseas.

Uhm… the first Black Panther was the first of it’s kind. Also it had Chadwick and Michael B. Jordan. This film will probably market as a POC female driven superhero film and I think it won’t replicate the success of it’s predecessor. Maybe I’m underestimating it, but anything above 400 million $ is an overestimation imo.

Well I'm watching this tonight, and it can't be worse than some of her other bad films. And I love JLo.

I like it, I don't love it. If I can be honest, CGI looks a bit dated. I prefer more animatronics...

You think I overestimated some?

These are my predictions: 1. “Avatar 2 “ - 800 million $ 2. “Lightyear” - 455 million $ 3. “Jurassic World:Dominion” - 375 million $ 4. “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” - 335 million $ 5. “The Batman” - 305 million $ 6. “Thor: Love and Thunder” - 300 million $ 7. “Aquaman 2” - 285 million $ 8. “Spider-Man: Across the Spider Verse” - 280 million $ 9. “Doctor Strange” - 275 million $ 10. “The Flash” - 250 million $ 11. “Minions 2” - 225 million $ 12. “Black Adam” - 215 million $ 13. “Morbius” - 195 million $ 14. “Fantastic Beasts” - 175 million $ 15. “DC League of Super Pets” - 165 million 16. “Puss in the Boots 2 “ - 155 million $ 17. “Sonic 2” - 150 million $ 18. “Mario” - 140 million $ 19. “Elvis” - 130 million $ 20. “Top Gun:Maverick” - 125 million $

Is this really expanding to 2000+ screens?

FEBRUARY 11-13: 1. "Death on the Nile" - 12.4 2. "Jackass Forever" - 8.2 / 37.6 3. "Marry Me" - 7.7 4. "Spider-Man:NWH" - 7.0 / 758.9 5. "Blacklight" - 3.2 6. "Sing 2" - 3.0 / 143.4 7. "Scream" - 2.6 / 72.9 8. "Moonfall" - 2.6 / 14.9 9. "Licorice Pizza" - 1.0 / 14.1 10. "The Beatles: Get back" - 0.5 / 0.9 11. "The King's Man" - 0.4 / 36.7 12. "Redeeming Love" - 0.4 / 8.9 13. "American Underdog" - 0.3 / 26.4 14. "Belfast" - 0.3 / 7.9 15. "West Side Story" - 0.3 / 37.2 16. "The Worst Person in the World" - 0.3 / 0.5 17. "Ghostbusters" - 0.2 / 129.1 18. "Parallel Mothers" - 0.2 / 1.6 19. "Nightmare Alley" - 0.1 / 11.0 20. "The 355" - 0.1 / 14.5 FEBRUARY 18-20: 1. "Uncharted" - 23.7 2. "Dog" - 6.2 3. "Death on the Nile" - 5.9 / 21.7 4. "Spider-Man:NWH" - 4.7 / 765.6 5. "Jackass Forever" - 3.9 / 43.8 6. "Marry Me" - 3.5 / 13.2 7. "Sing 2" - 1.9 / 146.0 8. "Scream" - 1.4 / 75.0 9. "Blacklight" - 1.4 / 5.3 10. "Moonfall" - 0.9 / 16.4 11. "Licorice Pizza" - 0.6 / 15.0 12. "The Worst Person in the World" - 0.4 / 1.0 FEBRUARY 25-27: 1. “Uncharted” - 11.4 / 41.0 2. “Dog” - 3.2 / 11.1 3. “Spider-Man:NWH” - 3.2 / 770.1 4. “Death on the Nile” - 3.0 / 26.5 5. “Jackass Forever” - 1.8 / 46.9 6. “Marry Me” - 1.7 / 15.9 7. “Studio 666” - 1.6 8. “Sing 2” - 1.2 / 147.6 9. “Cyrano” - 1.1 10. “Scream” - 0.7 / 76.1 11. “Blacklight” - 0.6 / 6.3 12. "West Side Story" - 0.5 / 38.0

I would say "Avatar 2" is a given. "Lightyear" most probably, since TS4 grossed 434 million $ in the US. The only other "threat" is "Black Panther 2" if it really gets supported by the fans of the first one, but I could also see it finishing with 300-350 million $. "Avatar 2" is probably going to do 700-800 million $ domestically, and I put JW3 at 375-400 million $ as of now.

FEBRUARY 4-6: 1. "Jackass Forever" - 24.0 2. "Spider Man:NWH" - 7.6 / 747.2 3. "Moonfall" - 7.2 4. "Scream" - 3.7 / 68.1 5. "Sing 2" - 3.0 / 138.4 6. "The King's Man" - 1.1 / 35.7 7. "Redeeming Love" - 0.8 / 7.8 8. "The 355" - 0.7 / 14.2 9. "American Underdog" - 0.7 / 25.8 10. "Ghostbusters" - 0.5 / 128.7 11. "Licorice Pizza" - 0.4 / 12.5 12. "West Side Story" - 0.4 / 36.7 13. "House of Gucci" - 0.3 / 53.4 14. "Nightmare Alley" - 0.3 / 10.9 15. "Parallel Mothers" - 0.3 / 1.3 FEBRUARY 11-13: 1. "Death on the Nile" - 13.7 2. "Jackass Forever" - 12.1 / 42.8 3. "Marry Me" - 6.7 4. "Spider-Man:NWH" - 5.0 / 754.5 5. "Moonfall" - 3.0 / 12.4 6. "Blacklight" - 2.4 7. "Scream" - 2.0 / 72.2 8. "Sing 2" - 2.0 / 141.1 9. "The King's Man" - 0.6 / 36.7 10. "Redeeming Love" - 0.5 / 8.5 11. "American Underdog" - 0.4 / 26.4 12. "The 355" - 0.4 / 14.8 Predicted US totals: 1. "Nightmare Alley" - 11.2 million $ 2. "Encanto" - 94.3 million $ 3. "House of Gucci" - 54 million $ 4. "Ghostbusters" - 129.6 million $ 5. "The Matrix Resurrections" - 37.6 million $ 6. "Licorice Pizza" - 13.4 million $ 7. "Sing 2" - 144 million $ 8. "West Side Story" 37.5 million $ 9. "The King's Man" - 37.7 million $ 10. "Scream" - 75 million $ 11. "Spider Man: NWH" - 767 million $ 12. "The 355" - 15.2 million $ 13. "American Underdog" - 27 million $ 14. "Dune" - 108 million $ 15. "Marry Me" - 15.5 million $

JANUARY 28-30: 1. "Spider Man:NWH" - 10.3 / 735.3 2. "Scream" - 6.2 / 60.9 3. "Sing 2" - 4.5 / 134.2 4. "Redeeming Love" - 1.7 / 6.4 5. "The King's Man" - 1.5 / 33.8 6. "The 355" - 1.1 / 12.7 7. "American Underdog" - 1.0 / 24.6 8. “Ghostbusters” - 0.7 / 128.0 9. "Licorice Pizza" - 0.6 / 11.7 10. "West Side Story" - 0.6 / 36.0 11. "Nightmare Alley" - 0.5 / 10.3 12. “House of Gucci” - 0.3 / 52.7 FEBRUARY 4-6: 1. "Jackass Forever" - 21.0 2. "Moonfall" - 7.3 3. "Spider Man:NWH" - 6.6 / 745.1 4. "Scream" - 3.2 / 65.7 5. "Sing 2" - 3.0 / 138.6 6. "Redeeming Love" - 1.0 / 7.9 7. "The King's Man" - 0.9 / 35.1 8. "The 355" - 0.6 / 13.6 9. "American Underdog" - 0.6 / 25.5 10. "Licorice Pizza" - 0.4 / 12.3 11. "Ghostbusters" - 0.4 / 128.6 12. "West Side Story" - 0.3 / 36.5 FEBRUARY 11-13: 1. "Death on Nile" - 12.4 2. "Jackass Forever" - 11.8 / 39.2 3. "Marry Me" - 6.7 4. "Spider Man:NWH" - 4.0 / 751.1 5. "Moonfall" - 3.2 / 12.9 6. "Scream" - 1.7 / 68.4 7. "Sing 2" - 1.7 / 141.3 8. "Redeeming Love" - 0.7 / 9.0 9. "The King's Man" - 0.6 / 36.0 10. "The 355" - 0.3 / 14.2 11. "American Underdog" - 0.3 / 26.0 12. "Licorice Pizza" - 0.3 / 12.7

I was doing a “realistic” box office predictions based on how it has performed so far: 1. USA - 753.5 million $ 2. Worldwide - 1,041.5 million $ Total: 1,795 billion $ 2 billion is really up in the air depending on China. If it get’s released I can see it making anywhere from 140 million $ on the lower and to like 300 million $ on the higher end.

I wonder if they will give this another boost and expand it to 1000+ theaters after the Oscar nominations. But from what I can see, regardless of what they do, the total will be around 15 million $, which is fine.

If this scores anything in terms of Oscar nominations it will be Production Design. But I can see it being completely ignored and then people will be “shocked”.

JANUARY 28-30: 1. "Spider Man:NWH" - 8.8 / 733.9 2. "Scream" - 5.5 / 60.3 3. "Sing 2" - 3.4 / 133.5 4. "Redeeming Love" - 1.6 / 6.5 5. "The King's Man" - 1.2 / 33.2 6. "The 355" - 0.8 / 12.4 7. "American Underdog" - 0.7 / 24.2 8. "Licorice Pizza" - 0.5 / 11.5 9. "West Side Story" - 0.5 / 35.8 10. “Ghostbusters” - 0.3 / 127.6 11. “House of Gucci” - 0.3 / 52.6 12. "Belle" - 0.2 / 3.2 FEBRUARY 4-6: 1. "Jackass Forever" - 19.5 2. "Moonfall" - 7.1 3. "Spider Man:NWH" - 5.6 / 742.3 4. "Scream" - 2.6 / 64.5 5. "Sing 2" - 1.8 / 136.3 6. "Redeeming Love" - 0.7 / 7.7 7. "The King's Man" - 0.7 / 34.3 8. "The 355" - 0.4 / 13.0 9. "American Underdog" - 0.4 / 24.8 10. "Licorice Pizza" - 0.3 / 12.0 11. "West Side Story" - 0.2 / 36.2 12. “House of Gucci” - 0.2 / 52.9 Predicted US totals: 1. "A Journal for Jordan" - 6.4 million $ 2. "Nightmare Alley" - 10.1 million $ 3. "Encanto" - 93.8 million $ 4. "House of Gucci" - 53.3 million $ 5. "Ghostbusters" - 128.0 million $ 6. "The Matrix Resurrections" - 37.1 million $ 7. "Licorice Pizza" - 12.8 million $ 8. "Sing 2" - 140 million $ 9. "West Side Story" 37 million $ (depending on the Oscars push) 10. "The King's Man" - 35.0 million $ 11. "Scream" - 67.7 million $ 12. "Spider Man: NWH" - 753.5 million $ 13. "The 355" - 13.6 million $ 14. "American Underdog" - 25.3 million $ 15. "Dune" - 107.8 million $ 16. "Venom 2" - 213.7 million $ 17. "Marry Me" - 13.4 million $ 18. "Cyrano" - 2.5 million $ 19. "Jackass Forever" - 50.7 million $ 20. "Death on the Nile" - 36.5 million $ 21. "Dog" - 20.3 million $ 22. "Uncharted" - 54.5 million $ 23. "Moonfall" - 15.7 million $

How wide will this go?

JANUARY 21-23: 1. "Spider Man:NWH" - 13.1 / 720.0 2. "Scream" - 11.6 / 50.5 3. "Sing 2" - 5.4 / 128.1 4. "Redeeming Love" - 3.7 5. "The King's Man" - 1.7 / 31.3 6. "The 355" - 1.4 / 10.9 7. "American Underdog" - 1.2 / 23.1 8. "Licorice Pizza" - 0.7 / 10.8 9. “The King’s Daughter” - 0.6 10. "West Side Story" - 0.6 / 35.0 11. "Belle" - 0.6 / 2.8 12. "Ghostbusters" - 0.4 / 126.8 13. "House of Gucci" - 0.3 / 51.9 14. "The Matrix 4" - 0.3 / 36.5 JANUARY 28-30: 1. "Spider Man:NWH" - 8.1 / 732.3 2. "Scream" - 5.2 / 59.5 3. "Sing 2" - 3.3 / 133.0 4. "Redeeming Love" - 1.4 / 6.3 5. "The King's Man" - 1.0 / 32.9 6. "The 355" - 0.7 / 12.0 7. "American Underdog" - 0.7 / 24.2 8. "Licorice Pizza" - 0.5 / 11.5 9. "West Side Story" - 0.3 / 35.5 10. "Belle" - 0.3 / 3.3 11. "The King's Daughter" - 0.2 / 1.0 12. “House of Gucci” - 0.2 / 52.2 FEBRUARY 4-6: 1. "Jackass Forever" - 19.5 2. "Moonfall" - 7.1 3. "Spider Man:NWH" - 5.0 / 739.9 4. "Scream" - 2.5 / 63.6 5. "Sing 2" - 1.8 / 135.8 6. "Redeeming Love" - 0.6 / 7.3 7. "The King's Man" - 0.6 / 33.8 8. "The 355" - 0.4 / 12.6 9. "American Underdog" - 0.4 / 24.8 10. "Licorice Pizza" - 0.3 / 12.0 11. "West Side Story" - 0.2 / 35.8 12. “Belle” - 0.1 / 3.5 FEBRUARY 11-13: 1. "Death on the Nile" - 13.5 2. "Jackass Forever" - 10.1 / 35.8 3. "Marry Me" - 5.8 4. "Blacklight" - 4.4 5. "Spider Man:NWH" - 3.1 / 744.5 6. "Moonfall" - 2.8 / 12.1 7. "Scream" - 1.3 / 65.6 8. "Sing 2" - 1.0 / 137.3 9. "The King's Man" - 0.4 / 34.4 10. "Redeeming Love" - 0.3 / 7.8 11. "West Side Story" - 0.2 / 36.0 12. “American Underdog” - 0.2 / 25.1 FEBRUARY 18-20: 1. "Uncharted" - 19.8 2. "Dog" - 7.4 3. "Death on the Nile" - 6.8 / 24.4 4. "Jackass Forever" - 5.0 / 44.1 5. "Marry Me" - 2.4 / 10.0 6. "Spider Man:NWH" - 1.9 / 747.3 7. "Moonfall" - 1.3 / 14.2 8. "Scream" - 0.6 / 66.5 10. "Sing 2" - 0.5 / 138.1 11. “The King’s Man” - 0.2 / 34.7 12. "West Side Story" - 0.1 / 36.1 FEBRUARY 25-27: 1. "Uncharted" - 10.1 / 36.5 2. "Dog" - 4.1 / 13.9 3. "Death on the Nile" - 3.7 / 30.3 4. "The Devil's Light" - 2.8 5. "Jackass Forever" - 2.3 / 47.9 6. "Studio 666" - 1.9 7. "Marry Me" - 1.1 / 11.8 8. "Spider Man:NWH" - 1.0 / 748.9 9. “Cyrano” - 1.0 10. "Outfit" - 0.8 11. "Moonfall" - 0.6 / 15.1 12. "Scream" - 0.3 / 67.0 MARCH 4-6: 1. "The Batman" - 110.5 2. "Uncharted" - 5.0 / 45.1 3. "Dog" - 2.0 / 17.2 4. "Death on the Nile" - 1.9 / 33.4 5. "The Devil's Light" - 1.2 / 4.8 6. "Jackass Forever" - 1.0 / 49.6 7. "Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris" - 0.7 8. “Cyrano” - 0.5 / 1.8 9. "Marry Me" - 0.5 / 12.6 10. "Spider Man:NWH" - 0.5 / 749.7 11. "Outfit" - 0.3 / 1.4 12. "Moonfall" - 0.2 / 15.5 Predicted US totals: 1. "A Journal for Jordan" - 6.4 million $ 2. "Nightmare Alley" - 9.8 million $ 3. "Encanto" - 93.5 million $ 4. "House of Gucci" - 52.3 million $ 5. "Ghostbusters" - 127.2 million $ 6. "The Matrix Resurrections" - 36.9 million $ 7. "Licorice Pizza" - 12.8 million $ 8. "Sing 2" - 138.7 million $ 9. "West Side Story" 36.5 million $ (depending on the Oscars push) 10. "The King's Man" - 35.0 million $ 11. "Scream" - 67.3 million $ 12. "Spider Man: NWH" - 750.5 million $ 13. "The 355" - 13 million $ 14. "American Underdog" - 25.3 million $ 15. "Dune" - 107.8 million $ 16. "Venom 2" - 213.7 million $ 17. "Marry Me" - 13.4 million $ 18. "Cyrano" - 2.5 million $ 19. "Jackass Forever" - 50.7 million $ 20. "Death on the Nile" - 36.5 million $ 21. "Dog" - 20.3 million $ 22. "Uncharted" - 54.5 million $ 23. "Moonfall" - 15.7 million $

It looks like it will be pushed back. It's mid January and no word about it. I remember seeing the trailer in the theater, before "Halloween Kills".