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abracadabra1998

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Everything posted by abracadabra1998

  1. Minnesota Previews: Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (T-21): Day: T-21, T-20 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 25 theaters 98 23 121 17196 0.7 Wednesday May 8 EA: 19 theaters 23 33 188 5146 3.65 TOTALS: 121 56 309 22342 1.38 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 110 20 90.91 MTC1: 71 6 58.68 Alamo: 16 1 13.22 Other chains: 34 16 28.1 Comps (THU + EA combined): 1.44x The Fall Guy: ??? 0.32x Oppy: $3.37 Million (17 theaters) 0.44x MI7 (w/ EA): $3.94 Million (12 theaters) Keeps climbing, decent pace so far
  2. Minnesota Previews: The Fall Guy (T-14): Day: T-14, T-13 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 25 theaters 75 29 141 13674 1.03 Wednesday May 1 EA: 18 theaters 23 26 143 5090 2.81 TOTALS: 98 55 284 18764 1.51 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 117 23 82.98 MTC1: 94 17 66.67 Alamo: 18 0 12.77 Other chains: 29 12 20.57 Comps (combined EA + THU): 2.35x Monkey Man: $3.28 Million (17 theaters) 0.82x Ghostbusters Afterlife: $3.83 Million (17 theaters) 0.78x TMNT: $4.31 Million (17 theaters) Average: $3.8 Million Running with these comps for now, can't think of much I have honestly that fits here sadly Tarot only has 2 theaters sold in all the 25 theaters I track so not posting that chart for now
  3. Minnesota Previews: Challengers (T-7): Day: T-7, T-4 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 20 theaters 64 44 80 10596 0.76 Monday April 22 EA: 17 theaters 17 83 215 3773 5.7 TOTALS: 81 127 295 14369 2.05 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 57 30 71.25 MTC1: 65 39 81.25 Alamo: 4 0 5 Other chains: 11 5 13.75 Thursday Comps: 0.26x Civil War (THU): $750k 0.43x The Creator (THU): $580k (17 theaters) 0.58x Asteroid City: $640k (12 theaters) EA Comps: 1.78x Civil War EA: $580k 0.22x Dune Part 2 (T-3 EA): $435k 0.36x MI7 (T-3 EA): $720k THU + EA Comp: 0.62x Mean Girls: $2 Million Still not doing great here but with an important caveat that one of the two heaviest pre-sale theaters hasn't released showtimes for Thursday previews for some reason. Whenever it does I can see the pre-sale number bounce up artificially somewhat
  4. Minnesota Previews: Abigail (T-1 hour): Day: T-1 Hour Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 71 100 289 9517 3.04 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 78 34 26.99 MTC1: 131 33 45.33 Alamo: 44 13 15.22 Other chains: 114 54 39.45 Comps: 1.23x Last Voyage of the Demeter: $925k (17 theaters) 0.23x Insidious Red Door: $1.16 Million (17 theaters) Don't have many T-1 hour horror comps, decent final day but not really any signs of a huge late break-out (yesterday a chain had blocked off 10 seats that I assumed were tickets sold but I now know are not, so I amended that from yesterday. Also makes yesterday's update look a little worse than I had made it out to be). I'll just go with $1 Million, +/- 0.2
  5. Minnesota Previews: Spy x Family Code: White (T-1): Day: T-1 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 66 46 380 7174 5.3 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 103 8 27.11 MTC1: 159 18 41.84 Alamo: 3 2 0.79 Other chains: 218 26 57.37 Comps: 0.57x Demon Slayer Kimetsu No Yaiba: $1.03 Million (17 theaters) 0.36x Dragon Ball Superhero: $1.42 Million (12 theaters) I trust the larger sample better so I'll go with $1 Million, +/- 0.2 for this one but this prediction is mostly for fun, don't trust my numbers much with such a small sample set
  6. Minnesota Previews: The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare (T-1): Day: T-1 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 52 56 211 5853 3.6 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 75 20 35.55 MTC1: 124 26 58.77 Alamo: 30 2 14.22 Other chains: 57 28 27.01 Comps: 0.25x Civil War: $735k 0.52x Monkey Man: $730k 0.9x The Beekeeper: ??* 0.55x Argylle: $930k (17 theaters) 1.18x Ferrari: $510k (17 theaters) 1.08x Iron Claw: $725k (17 theaters) 0.22x Napoleon (TUE): $670k (17 theaters) Average: $715k A bit of growth in the final week but nothing special. Inclined to give less weight to Ferrari (those previews were on a Sunday) and Argylle (underperformed here) and more weight to the other comps, so I'm going with a final prediction of $750k, +/- 100 for Thursday previews only. Abigail (T-1): Day: T-1 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 71 66 199 9517 2.09 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 44 16 22.11 MTC1: 98 28 49.25 Alamo: 31 4 15.58 Other chains: 70 34 35.18 Comps: 1.62x First Omen: $1.17 Million 2.19x Immaculate: $1.2 Million (17 theaters) 1.67x Imaginary: $1.21 Million (17 theaters) 1.41x Lisa Frankenstein: $990k (17 theaters) 1x Thanksgiving: $1.01 Million (17 theaters) Average: $1.12 Million Going to interrupt the doom and gloom in this thread to say this is a REALLY good update. Basically grew 50% over 24 hours. I will actually be able to give T-1 hour numbers for this one which I am excited about to see if this is just a mirage or indicative of a late jump, so I will hold off on a prediction until then
  7. That had such a small release window that makes it so that comp will likely keep going down as the others keep going up. Guessing they somewhat converge at around 1 million
  8. Minnesota Previews: Spy x Family Code: White (T-2): Day: T-2 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 66 22 334 7174 4.66 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 95 -1 28.44 MTC1: 141 12 42.22 Alamo: 1 1 0.3 Other chains: 192 9 57.49 Comps: Demon Slayer Kimetsu No Yaiba: Missed 0.37x Dragon Ball Superhero: $1.48 Million (12 theaters) Also thinking around a million for this one right now
  9. Minnesota Previews: The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare (T-2): Day: T-2 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 52 41 155 5853 2.65 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 55 9 35.48 MTC1: 98 24 63.23 Alamo: 28 4 18.06 Other chains: 29 13 18.71 Comps: 0.25x Civil War: $630k 0.5x Monkey Man: $720k 0.9x The Beekeeper: ??* 0.49x Argylle: $840k (17 theaters) 1.49x Ferrari: $640k (17 theaters) 0.98x Iron Claw: $655k (17 theaters) 0.25x Napoleon (TUE): $750k (17 theaters) Average: $705k Keeps slowly rising but its base point is so low I don't think it matters much Abigail (T-2): Day: T-2 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 69 30 133 9517 1.4 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 28 6 21.05 MTC1: 70 12 52.63 Alamo: 27 5 20.3 Other chains: 36 13 27.07 Comps: 1.99x First Omen: $1.44 Million Immaculate: Missed 1.29x Imaginary: $935k (17 theaters) Lisa Frankenstein: Missed 0.82x Thanksgiving: $825k (17 theaters) Average: $1.07 Million Thinking around a million for this one for now.
  10. Minnesota Previews: Spy x Family Code: White (T-3): Day: T-3 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 22 theaters 52 32 312 5654 5.52 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 96 16 30.77 MTC1: 129 18 41.35 Alamo: 0 0 0 Other chains: 183 14 58.65 Comps: 0.56x Demon Slayer Kimetsu No Yaiba: $1 Million (17 theaters) 0.42x Dragon Ball Superhero: $1.69 Million (12 theaters) Average: $1.34 Million
  11. Minnesota Previews: The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare (T-3): Day: T-3 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 23 theaters 41 23 114 4304 2.65 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 46 3 40.35 MTC1: 74 11 64.91 Alamo: 24 3 21.05 Other chains: 16 9 14.04 Comps: 0.22x Civil War: $630k 0.41x Monkey Man: $570k 0.93x The Beekeeper: ??* 0.48x Argylle: $815k (17 theaters) 1.5x Ferrari: $645k (17 theaters) 0.93x Iron Claw: $625k (17 theaters) Napoleon (TUE): Missed Average: $655k *Did we ever find out how much the beekeeper did in just Thursday vs. EA? Abigail (T-3): Day: T-3 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 24 theaters 57 24 103 7412 1.39 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 22 2 21.36 MTC1: 58 17 56.31 Alamo: 22 3 21.36 Other chains: 23 4 22.33 Comps: 2.45x First Omen: $1.78 Million 1.86x Immaculate: $1.02 Million (17 theaters) 1.21x Imaginary: $880k (17 theaters) 1.05x Lisa Frankenstein: $730k (17 theaters) 0.88x Thanksgiving: $885k (17 theaters) Average: $1.06 Million Discreetly having a good last few days, keeps rising against comps!
  12. Minnesota Previews: The Fall Guy (T-18): Day: T-18, T-17 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 25 theaters 75 8 112 13674 0.82 Wednesday May 1 EA: 18 theaters 23 6 117 5090 2.3 TOTALS: 98 14 229 18764 1.22 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 94 7 83.93 MTC1: 77 4 68.75 Alamo: 18 2 16.07 Other chains: 17 2 15.18 Comps (combined EA + THU): 2.16x Monkey Man: $3.02 Million (17 theaters) 0.84x Ghostbusters Afterlife: $3.93 Million (17 theaters) 1x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $4.52 Million (17 theaters) 0.96x TMNT: $5.26 Million (17 theaters) MI7 (w/ EA): Missed Bottom of the U curve this week most likely. The TMNT will be going down substantially next update as that had not been on sale for super long. Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (T-25): Day: T-25, T-24 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 25 theaters 98 13 98 17196 0.57 Wednesday May 8 EA: 19 theaters 23 17 155 5146 3.01 TOTALS: 121 30 253 22342 1.13 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 90 9 91.84 MTC1: 65 8 66.33 Alamo: 15 3 15.31 Other chains: 18 2 18.37 Comps (THU + EA combined): 1.29x Fall Guy: ??? 0.3x Oppy: $3.12 Million (17 theaters)
  13. Minnesota Previews: Challengers (T-11): Day: T-11, T-8 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 19 theaters 61 7 36 9549 0.38 Monday April 22 EA: 14 theaters 14 45 132 2899 4.55 TOTALS: 75 52 168 12448 1.35 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 27 5 75 MTC1: 26 3 72.22 Alamo: 4 0 11.11 Other chains: 6 4 16.67 Thursday Comps: 0.18x Civil War (THU): $520k 0.22x The Creator (THU): $300k EA Comps: 1.36x Civil War EA: $440k 0.16x Dune Part 2 (T-7 EA): $320k 0.25x MI7 (T-6 EA): $500k THU + EA Comp: 0.6x Mean Girls: $1.96 Million These numbers are from yesterday, I was just too lazy to post them. When you separate the EA and the Thursday numbers... not a pretty picture. Really hoping this picks up from here
  14. Minnesota Previews: Spy x Family Code: White (T-4): Day: T-4 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 22 theaters 48 280 280 5163 5.42 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 80 80 28.57 MTC1: 111 111 39.64 Alamo: 0 0 0 Other chains: 169 169 60.36 Comps: 0.58x Demon Slayer Kimetsu No Yaiba: $1.04 Million (17 theaters)
  15. Minnesota Previews: The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare (T-4): Day: T-4 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 23 theaters 38 33 91 4032 2.26 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 43 13 47.25 MTC1: 63 22 69.23 Alamo: 21 4 23.08 Other chains: 7 7 7.69 Comps: 0.21x Civil War: $600k 0.43x Monkey Man: $595k 0.45x Argylle: $760k (17 theaters) 0.87x Iron Claw: $580k 0.23x Napoleon (TUE): $680k (17 theaters) Average: $645k Hoping that this will rise now that EA is out of the way but not really holding my breath Abigail (T-4): Day: T-4 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 24 theaters 56 29 79 7250 1.09 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 20 8 25.32 MTC1: 41 14 51.9 Alamo: 19 2 24.05 Other chains: 19 13 24.05 Comps: 1.98x First Omen: $1.43 Million 1.19x Imaginary: $860k (17 theaters) 0.92x Lisa Frankenstein: $645k (17 theaters) 0.73x Thanksgiving: $735k (17 theaters) Not really doing much
  16. @keysersoze123 any Ungentlemanly Warfare EA updates from yesterday?
  17. It does seem from Deadline's article that the $2.9 Million is from Thursday only, so I'll go ahead and toot all our horns here good work everyone!
  18. Minnesota Previews: Challengers (T-13, Day 1): Day: T-13, T-10 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 18 theaters 59 29 29 9383 0.31 Monday April 22 EA: 13 theaters 13 87 87 2640 3.3 TOTALS: 72 116 116 12023 0.96 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 22 22 75.86 MTC1: 23 23 79.31 Alamo: 4 4 13.79 Other chains: 2 2 6.9 Day 1 Comps (Including EA): 0.92x Civil War (w/ EA): $2.96 Million* (17 theaters) *Using reported $2.9 Million + $325k estimated EA numbers This was a very strong start locally, obviously carried by the EA but a good sign of local interest. I will have better comps at T-11.
  19. Minnesota Previews: The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare Early Access (T-1): Day: T-1 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Saturday April 13 EA: 18 theaters 18 43 367 2004 18.31 EA Comps: 2.57x Civil War EA: $835k (using Keyser's $325k estimate) 1.83x The Beekeeper EA: ??? (Never reported) 0.36x Trolls Sat EA: $420k (17 theaters) 0.42x MI7 EA: $845k (17 theaters) Lower PLF than Civil War or MI7, but still maybe 500-600k in EA. EA numbers are more prone to variance because of number of locations and all that however.
  20. 2.9 is expected I feel like if that number is sans EA. Hoping maybe @Shawn Robbins could shed some light here? If 2.9 includes EA then I would be very surprised
  21. Minnesota Previews: The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare (T-7): Day: T-7, T-2 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 23 theaters 38 29 58 4032 1.44 Saturday April 13 EA: 18 theaters 18 96 324 2004 16.17 TOTALS: 56 125 382 6036 6.33 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 30 13 51.72 MTC1: 41 22 70.69 Alamo: 17 8 29.31 Other chains: 0 -1 0 (Chart for Thursday only) Thursday comp: 0.67x Trolls: $875k (17 theaters) Monkey Man: Missed 0.42x Argylle: $710k (17 theaters) 0.21x Napoleon (TUE): $640k (17 theaters) EA Comp: 0.4x Trolls Sat EA: $445k (17 theaters) 0.45x MI7 EA: $905k (17 theaters) 0.3x Dune Part 2 EA: $595k (17 theaters) Will try to give a T-1 update for EA tomorrow, maybe around $500k for that (ATP is lower than other EA due to no PLFs)? Abigail (T-7): Day: T-7 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 24 theaters 56 20 50 7250 0.69 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 12 0 24 MTC1: 27 5 54 Alamo: 17 6 34 Other chains: 6 2 12 Comps: 1.27x Imaginary: $920k (17 theaters) 0.9x Lisa Frankenstein: $635k (17 theaters) 0.77x Thanksgiving: $770k (17 theaters) 0.32x Exorcist Believer: $905k (17 theaters) Rose against all comps, we shall see where it goes with a week left
  22. Minnesota Previews: The Fall Guy (T-21): Day: T-21, T-20 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 25 theaters 75 10 104 13674 0.76 Wednesday May 1 EA: 18 theaters 23 9 111 5090 2.18 TOTALS: 98 19 215 18764 1.15 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 87 8 83.65 MTC1: 73 1 70.19 Alamo: 16 3 15.38 Other chains: 15 6 14.42 *Chart for Thursday sales only Comps (combined EA + THU): 2.79x Monkey Man: $3.91 Million 1.17x Ghostbusters Afterlife: $5.49 Million (17 theaters) 1.03x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $4.61 Million (17 theaters) 0.23x MI7 (w/ EA): $2.09 Million (12 theaters) Gonna start having some better comps from now on, but the release window is always going to be messy here. Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (T-28): Day: T-28, T-27 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 25 theaters 98 28 85 17196 0.49 Wednesday May 8 EA: 19 theaters 23 43 138 5146 2.68 TOTALS: 121 71 223 22342 1 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 81 24 95.29 MTC1: 57 6 67.06 Alamo: 12 6 14.12 Other chains: 16 16 18.82 *Chart for Thursday sales only Comps: 1.24x Fall Guy: ??? 0.23x Oppy: $2.43 Million (12 theaters)
  23. Minnesota Previews: Civil War (T-1): Day: T-1 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 113 207 831 18201 4.57 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 672 141 80.87 MTC1: 438 76 52.71 Alamo: 111 16 13.36 Other chains: 282 115 33.94 Comps (Thursday only): 2.05x Monkey Man: $2.87 Million 4.23x Iron Claw: $2.83 Million (17 theaters) 0.87x Napoleon (TUE): $2.62 Million (17 theaters) 0.36x MI7 (TUE): $2.5 Million (17 theaters) Average: $2.71 Million Keep in mind that Napoleon and MI7 ATP are lower due to Tuesday discounts, so the actual average is higher than this. I hate being just another voice shouting the same tune, but with the way it's been growing 3 does look like the number right now. Gonna stay true to these numbers however and go with $2.8 Million, +/- 0.3 as my final prediction.
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