abracadabra1998

Minnesota Previews: Civil War (T-2): Day: T-2 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 115 100 624 18251 3.42 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 531 72 85.1 MTC1: 362 46 58.01 Alamo: 95 14 15.22 Other chains: 167 40 26.76 (Chart for Thursday only) Comps (Thursday only): 2x Monkey Man: $2.8 Million 3.89x Iron Claw: $2.6 Million (17 theaters) 0.99x Napoleon (TUE): $2.98 Million (17 theaters) 1.6x The Creator (THU): $2.16 Million (17 theaters) 0.36x MI7 (TUE): $2.51 Million (17 theaters) Average: $2.61 Million Pretty good update, this is headed the right direction for sure. My one concern is that Creator comp, and how walk-ups for this might mirror that more than something like MI7 or Napoleon. Sadly this is the last day I tracked the Creator, so I will be blind to how that unfolds. Still feeling good about this, and hoping the pace keeps up and this could climb up to something around 2.75 for previews

NCAA probs

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews: Civil War (T-3): Day: T-3 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 23 theaters 90 83 524 15596 3.36 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 459 71 87.6 MTC1: 316 54 60.31 Alamo: 81 7 15.46 Other chains: 127 22 24.24 (Chart for Thursday only) Comps (Thursday only: 1.87x Monkey Man: $2.62 Million 4.02x Iron Claw: $2.7 Million (17 theaters) Napoleon (TUE): Missed 1.69x The Creator (THU): $2.47 Million (17 theaters) 0.35x MI7 (TUE): $2.35 Million (17 theaters) Average: $2.54 Million Missed out on the T-1 hour EA sadly but it seems like others are tracking that pretty well

With these numbers and my Minne ones I feel this is showing some real strength in the so called Middle America that gets thrown around here sometimes. A good MTC1 ratio as well in my last update, at this point I’m feeling somewhat optimistic for a previews number at least around the 2.5 range (not even counting EA)

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews: Civil War (T-4): Day: T-4, T-1 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 23 theaters 81 131 441 14403 3.06 Monday April 8 EA: 1 theater 1 22 143 212 67.45 TOTALS: 82 153 584 14615 4 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 388 111 87.98 MTC1: 262 74 59.41 Alamo: 74 21 16.78 Other chains: 105 36 23.81 (Chart for Thursday only) Comps (Thursday only): 2.06x Monkey Man: $2.89 Million 1.04x Napoleon (TUE): $3.13 Million (17 theaters) 1.75x The Creator (THU): $2.36 Million (17 theaters) 0.34x MI7 (TUE): $2.35 Million (17 theaters) Average: $2.68 Million EA Comp: 0.12x Barbie EA: $135k Dune Part 2 EA: Missed Updating daily from now on, I'll get a T-1 hour update for its EA as well

Minnesota Previews: The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare (T-11): Day: T-11, T-6 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 20 theaters 35 20 29 3730 0.78 Saturday April 13 EA: 18 theaters 18 48 228 2004 11.38 TOTALS: 53 68 257 5734 4.48 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 17 15 58.62 MTC1: 19 12 65.52 Alamo: 9 8 31.03 Other chains: 1 0 3.45 (Chart for Thursday only) Thursday comp: 0.6x Trolls: $775k (17 theaters) 0.21x Monkey Man: $295k (17 theaters) 0.28x Argylle: $480k (17 theaters) EA Comp: 0.61x Trolls Sat EA: $710k (17 theaters) 0.5x MI7 EA: $1 Million (17 theaters) Abigail (T-11): Day: T-11 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 21 theaters 50 17 30 6686 0.45 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 7 0 23.33 MTC1: 15 5 50 Alamo: 10 6 33.33 Other chains: 5 2 16.67 Comps: 1.3x Imaginary: $945k (17 theaters) 0.87x Lisa Frankenstein: $605k (17 theaters) 0.54x Thanksgiving: $540k (17 theaters) 0.24x Exorcist Believer: $685k (17 theaters) As always, there is a high degree of variance with sales this small, so beware! Things can easily change

Minnesota Previews: The Fall Guy (T-25): Day: T-25, T-24 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 25 theaters 75 5 94 13674 0.69 Wednesday May 1 EA: 18 theaters 23 11 102 5090 2 TOTALS: 98 16 196 18764 1.04 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 79 2 84.04 MTC1: 72 2 76.6 Alamo: 13 0 13.83 Other chains: 9 3 9.57 *Chart for Thursday sales only Comps: 0.23x Oppy: $2.39 Million (17 theaters) This is not a real jump, it's because I started tracking Oppy in more theaters at T-25. Next update on Thursday I will have actually useful comps. Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (T-32): Day: T-32, T-31 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 7 theaters 21 8 57 4568 1.25 Wednesday May 8 EA: 19 theaters 23 35 95 5146 1.85 TOTALS: 44 43 152 9714 1.56 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 57 8 100 MTC1: 51 8 89.47 Alamo: 6 0 10.53 Other chains: 0 0 0 *Chart for Thursday sales only Comps: 0.92x Fall Guy: ??? 0.19x Oppy: $2 Million (12 theaters)

Watched GxK last night in a pretty full theater, had a blast tbh; some people have superhero movies as their guilty pleasures, others have cheesy rom coms, mine are this type of movie. Just absolutely bonkers and loved it for it

Yep, I'm riding out Oppy until ~ T-21 and then I will switch it out for better comps

Minnesota Previews: The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare (T-14): Day: T-14, T-9 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 20 theaters 34 9 9 3631 0.25 Saturday April 13 EA: 17 theaters 17 180 180 1880 9.57 TOTALS: 51 189 189 5511 3.43 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 2 2 22.22 MTC1: 7 7 77.78 Alamo: 1 1 11.11 Other chains: 1 1 11.11 (Chart for Thursday only) Thursday comp: 0.25x Trolls: $325k EA Comp: 0.78x Trolls Sat EA: $915k No, this is NOT a joke, there are too many similarities with Trolls Band Together (Saturday EA, EA exploding while Thursday sells barely anything) for me to not use it as a comp. After the EA I will switch to genre comps because I get this is not a family flick, but for now this will be what I use to gauge the EA Abigail (T-14, Day 1): Day: T-14 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 21 theaters 43 13 13 5118 0.25 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 0 0 0 MTC1: 5 5 38.46 Alamo: 6 6 46.15 Other chains: 2 2 15.38 Day 1 Comps: 1.1x Imaginary: $800k 0.79x Lisa Frankenstein: $550k 0.35x Thanksgiving: $355k We shall see where it goes from here

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews: Civil War (T-7): Day: T-7, T-4 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 23 theaters 81 110 310 14403 2.15 Monday April 8 EA: 1 theater 1 24 121 212 57.08 TOTALS: 82 134 431 14615 2.95 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 277 90 89.35 MTC1: 188 72 60.65 Alamo: 53 7 17.1 Other chains: 69 31 22.26 (Chart for Thursday only) Comps (Thursday only): Monkey Man: Missed 1.08x Napoleon (TUE): $3.24 Million (17 theaters) 1.4x The Creator: $2.24 Million (17 theaters) 0.35x MI7 (TUE): $2.46 Million (17 theaters) Average: $2.65 Million EA Comp: 0.11x Barbie EA: $120k 0.13x Dune Part 2 EA: $255k Went with EA comps that had limited walk-ups due to capacity, but with how limited this is those comps aren't super useful. Thursday is just chugging along, this is doing pretty well at this point!

Minnesota Previews: The Fall Guy (T-28): Day: T-28, T-27 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 25 theaters 75 4 89 13674 0.65 Wednesday May 1 EA: 18 theaters 23 10 91 5090 1.79 TOTALS: 98 14 180 18764 0.96 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 77 4 86.52 MTC1: 70 0 78.65 Alamo: 13 3 14.61 Other chains: 6 1 6.74 *Chart for Thursday sales only Comps: 0.14x Oppy: $1.5 Million (12 theaters) Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (T-35): Day: T-35, T-34 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 7 theaters 21 11 49 4568 1.07 Wednesday May 8 EA: 18 theaters 22 23 60 5010 1.2 TOTALS: 43 34 109 9578 1.14 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 49 13 100 MTC1: 43 7 87.76 Alamo: 6 4 12.24 Other chains: 0 0 0 *Chart for Thursday sales only Still a bunch of blocked off showtimes for Thursday previews, super weird release Comps: 0.14x Oppy: $1.52 Million (12 theaters)

Minnesota Previews: Monkey Man (T-1 hour): Day: T-1 hour Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 70 146 552 7709 7.16 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 266 51 48.19 MTC1: 337 61 61.05 Alamo: 41 8 7.43 Other chains: 174 77 31.52 Comps: 0.91x Argylle: $1.54 Million (17 theaters) 0.35x KOFM: $920k (17 theaters) 0.66x Blue Beetle: $2.19 Million (17 theaters) 0.16x MI7 (TUE): $1.13 Million (17 theaters) 0.2x Indy 5: $1.42 Million (17 theaters) Average: $1.44 Million My T-0 comps aren't great for this, but the one that mattered most (Argylle) petered off pretty badly from yesterday to today. MI7 is perennially tainted by the Tuesday discount so I'll go with a final prediction of $1.5 Million, +/- 0.2

Minnesota Previews: Monkey Man (T-1): Day: T-1 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 70 94 406 7709 5.27 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 215 27 52.96 MTC1: 276 47 67.98 Alamo: 33 8 8.13 Other chains: 97 39 23.89 Comps: 1.07x Argylle: $1.83 Million (17 theaters) 2.13x The Iron Claw: $1.43 Million (17 theaters) 0.44x Napoleon (TUE): $1.32 Million (17 theaters) 0.18x MI7 (TUE): $1.26 Million (17 theaters) Average: $1.46 Million Sadly I did not track The Creator after T-2, so I slotted in MI7 as a comp there. Taking into account the Tuesday discounts I would say this is leaning towards 1.6-1.9 Million previews, but I will give my final prediction tomorrow since I'll actually be able to do a T-0 track for once, yay!

Minnesota Previews: First Omen (T-1): Day: T-1 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 47 56 123 5012 2.45 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 30 6 24.39 MTC1: 76 24 61.79 Alamo: 12 1 9.76 Other chains: 35 31 28.46 Comps: 1.01x Night Swim: $1.46 Million (17 theaters) 0.66x Thanksgiving: $665k (17 theaters) 0.35x Exorcist Believer: $995k (17 theaters) 0.45x Nun II: $1.39 Million (17 theaters) 0.38x Talk To Me (w/ EA): $480k (17 theaters) 0.23x Insidious Red Door: $1.13 Million (12 theaters) Average: $1.02 Million Usually I would have the last 3 day growth chart, but I'll wait for a while to bring it out, doesn't seem super useful comparing it to other movies when I was tracking a lot of different theaters, and at a different pull time. Anyway, decided to throw a bunch more horror comps; really good last day (with the above caveat that this is a later pull than all those other comps, which could be skewing this a little), and maybe confirms that this would behave more a la like Night Swim and those small window releases, like Nun II. All over the place because of its window, so I'm gonna play it safe and go with behaving somewhere in the middle of the two groupings; my final prediction is $1 Million, +/- 0.2.

Glad my update wasn’t an outlier, kinda whimpering to the finish line

Minnesota Previews: First Omen (T-2): Day: T-2 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 47 25 67 5012 1.34 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 24 9 35.82 MTC1: 52 18 77.61 Alamo: 11 3 16.42 Other chains: 4 4 5.97 Comps: 0.79x Night Swim: $1.15 Million (17 theaters) 0.28x Saw X: $570k (17 theaters) 0.31x Nun II: $975k (17 theaters) 0.18x Insidious Red Door: $910k (17 theaters) Average: $900k Better day today, but I am not super happy with my comps. The latter 3 are all established IPs and the former had many schools still out on winter break in other parts of the country. I had originally done that to account for the super short window, but for my final update tomorrow I will comp it with other horrors with more similar sales numbers

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews: Monkey Man (T-2): Day: T-2 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 72 32 312 7797 4 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 188 6 60.26 MTC1: 229 15 73.4 Alamo: 25 -2 8.01 Other chains: 58 19 18.59 Comps: 1x Argylle: $1.69 Million (17 theaters) 1.98x The Iron Claw: $1.33 Million (17 theaters) 0.51x Napoleon (TUE): $1.52 Million (17 theaters) 0.81x The Creator (THU): $1.1 Million (17 theaters) Average: $1.41 Million Bleeeeeeehhhh day jeez, was not expecting this after the growth it had been showing. Hoping it's just a bleep

Minnesota Previews: Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (T-38, Day 1): Day: T-38, T-37 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 5 theaters 16 38 38 3318 1.15 Wednesday May 8 EA: 18 theaters 22 37 37 5010 0.74 TOTALS: 38 75 75 8328 0.9 Quirky stuff, the EA showings are all on sale, but for Thursday previews only a few theaters (MTC1, Alamo, and CMX) have showtimes available, many others still blocked off (even PLF showings). Take that in mind when looking at these comps. Day 1 Comps: 0.26x Godzilla x Kong: $2.6 Million 0.43x Ghostbusters Frozen Empire: $2.04 Million 1.01x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $4.56 Million 0.39x Hunger Games BoSS: $2.25 Million 0.38x FNAF: $3.9 Million Not a lot to glean from here with the strange Day 1 release, but not bad, definitely some interest there. Anyone got comps in mind for this movie?

Minnesota Previews: First Omen (T-3): Day: T-3 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 24 theaters 35 2 42 3702 1.13 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 15 3 35.71 MTC1: 34 5 80.95 Alamo: 8 0 19.05 Other chains: 0 -3 0 Comps: 0.63x Night Swim: $910k (17 theaters) 0.24x Saw X: $485k (17 theaters) 0.3x Nun II: $925k (17 theaters) 0.18x Insidious Red Door: $895k (17 theaters) Average: $805k Horrible update

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews: Monkey Man (T-3): Day: T-3 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 24 theaters 56 66 280 6042 4.63 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 182 52 65 MTC1: 214 45 76.43 Alamo: 27 5 9.64 Other chains: 39 16 13.93 Comps: 1.15x Argylle: $1.95 Million (17 theaters) 2.23x The Iron Claw: $1.49 Million (17 theaters) 0.54x Napoleon (TUE): $1.61 Million (17 theaters) 0.93x The Creator (THU): $1.26 Million (17 theaters) Average: $1.58 Million Really good update, rose against all comps, and that Argylle comp is looking pretty nice. Let's hope it keeps doing strong here!

I should make that into a sticker and put it on my laptop changing my tracking to twice a week has really helped, but I always (try to) keep that in mind! And the rest of your post is great advice, appreciate your wisdom as always!

Minnesota Previews: The Fall Guy (T-32): Day: T-32, T-31 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 25 theaters 75 N/A 85 13674 0.62 Wednesday May 1 EA: 18 theaters 23 N/A 81 5090 1.59 TOTALS: 98 N/A 166 18764 0.88 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 73 N/A 85.88 MTC1: 70 N/A 82.35 Alamo: 10 N/A 11.76 Other chains: 5 N/A 5.88 Comps: 0.15x Oppy: $1.57 Million (12 theaters) I hope I don't have to outline the myriad of reasons that Oppy is a terrible comp, it's just the only one I have at the moment.

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews: Civil War (T-11): Day: T-11, T-8 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 23 theaters 81 N/A 200 14403 1.39 Monday April 8 EA: 1 theater 1 N/A 97 212 45.75 TOTALS: 82 N/A 297 14615 2.03 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 187 N/A 93.5 MTC1: 116 N/A 58 Alamo: 46 N/A 23 Other chains: 38 N/A 19 (Chart for Thursday only) Comps (including EA at this point): 2.16x Monkey Man: ?? (17 theaters) 1.7x The Creator: $2.71 Million (17 theaters) 0.74x KoFM: $1.93 Million (17 theaters) Average: $2.32 Million

Minnesota Previews: First Omen (T-4): Day: T-4 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 23 theaters 28 40 40 3052 1.31 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 12 12 30 MTC1: 29 29 72.5 Alamo: 8 8 20 Other chains: 3 3 7.5 Comps: 0.77x Night Swim: $1.12 Million (17 theaters) 0.3x Saw X: $600k (17 theaters) 0.35x Nun II: $1.08 Million (17 theaters) 0.25x Insidious Red Door: $1.24 Million (17 theaters) Average: $1.01 Million Perhaps I am being too kind with the comps (all super short windows or super huge late breakouts), but I don't think it makes much sense to comp it with other horror movies since this had such a short window. If the week's growth doesn't reflect that I will adjust the comps.