noobmaster69
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Everything posted by noobmaster69
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impossible. 2.5m still has a chance
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The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
noobmaster69 replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Perhaps to create the possibility of 80m+ opening, 8X previews seems to be upper limit in tracking, which requires >9.75m previews to get 80m+ opening range. -
t-7:146k(+28.6k) t-6:165k(+19k) t-5:183k(+17.8k) t-4:200k(+16.9k) t-3:213k(+13k) The daily presales continues decrease from T-7 to T-3, which is a rare phenomenon.I think korean ga has steadfastly refused to try dune 2 after part 1, but at least fans have provided enough numbers.
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The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
noobmaster69 replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Most ga think Denis's film very slow and boring. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
noobmaster69 replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Except streaming, many markets are released early than us 5 weeks. Comments drop will early increase the ga awareness .There is a reason for the bad presale increase of Dune. -
Weekend Thread | TAYLOR SWIFT $31M Estimate, KOTFM $23M
noobmaster69 replied to Issac Newton's topic in Numbers and Data
Martin has been eliminated by the cinema. How many times he has lost budget this century. How weak his box office is, he does not match the cost of 200 million, but the lord of oilfield bring osage oil coming ,appletv given Martin business again. From the beginning, it is destined to be a bomb. Fans should be grateful for Appletv, instead of continuing to defend for Martin. -
Weekend Thread | TAYLOR SWIFT $31M Estimate, KOTFM $23M
noobmaster69 replied to Issac Newton's topic in Numbers and Data
Killers of the Flower Moon will be a huge bomb, appletv+ can't change this,most users of Appletv+ are free users, Appletv+ cannot cover the loss. The difference between kotfm and other bombs is that Apple is willing to pay for kotfm to get something goodwill, while other studios are not willing to pay for bombs. -
Weekend Thread | TAYLOR SWIFT $31M Estimate, KOTFM $23M
noobmaster69 replied to Issac Newton's topic in Numbers and Data
1.Letterboxd users tastes closer to those of critics. 2.imdb review has a minimum character required, and reviews will be checked by imdb, which means reviews will not be post quickly. 3.Letterboxd users continue to increase. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
noobmaster69 replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
The numbers for Fri& Sat are same, maybe mistake? -
I don't pity blue beetle, although it is toxic by dceu, it just lazy film, 80% content copied from other successful superhero movies, only few less effective humor and latin culture are original, many people say superhero movies use same formula, but blue beetle too absurd, even ending was carried from nwh, nwh still need a few months to 2nd anniversary, creators are speedsters at copy, wow.
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Form the diversity demos, Mario has 41% Latin audience, and Atsv has 34% Latin audience, so single Latin audience can provide 43m-60m opening box office, Latin audience has huge market potential, when they interested, T7 & BB though benefited from a latin audience, but apparently they weren't as interested in them as Mario and Atsv.
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Use Domestic 50%,International 40% and China 25% formula to calculate the theatrical rental and net theatrical profit(without other cost and income, just see box office can cover product cost or not): Quantumania Domestic :214.5M International :209.7 China :39.4M Theatrical:~201M Production Cost:200M Net Theatrical Profit:+1M😂 Shazam 2 Domestic :57.6M International :68.5M China :6M Theatrical:~58M Production Cost:100M-125M Net Theatrical Profit:-42M-67M Mario Domestic :572M International :738.4M China :24.8M Theatrical:~588M Production Cost:100M Net Theatrical Profit:+488M Gotg 3 Domestic :344.3M International :387.5M China :89.3 Theatrical:~349M Production Cost:250M Net Theatrical Profit:+99M Spider-Man AtSV Domestic :280.3M International :166.9M China :42.1M Theatrical:~217M Production Cost:100M Net Theatrical Profit:+117M
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Personal Rating Good , But Not Great 1.The Suicide Squad 2.Zack Snyder's Justice League 3.Aquaman 4.The Flash 一一一一一一 Normal 5.Wonder Woman 6.Black Adam 7.Man Of Steel 8.Justice League 一一一一一 Bad 9.Shazam! 10.Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice 11.Shazam! Fury of the Gods 12.Suicide Squad ____________ Rubbish 13.Wonder Woman 1984 14.Birds of Prey