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JJ-8

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Everything posted by JJ-8

  1. The Hunger Games Showdown Like bonds above, this is pretty much final. Mockingjay Part 2 should pass 30m at this point unless it's completely ripped out of cinemas today! Unlike bond, I have to say i'm disappointed as I expected to see an uptick but then i guess like many, i didn't see so much attention being soaked up by the behemith that is Star Wars. (Frankly I think that both this and Bond would have made at least a few more million without TFA in the picture.) Oh well 30m isn't anything to sneeze at and still a good result and overall while it's the lowest grossing it's not miles from the other 3 films in the franchise who all ended in the 30m range. not a bad strikerate in the end. Wk The Hunger Games Catching Fire Mockinjay Part 1 Mockinjay Part 2 22-Mar-2012 21-Nov-2013 20-Nov-2014 19-Nov-2015 1: 9.1m/9.1m 12.5m/12.5m 11.9m/11.9m 9.8m/9.8m Scns/Ave 471/19,218 580/21,545 574/20,771 624/15,757 2: 4.8m/16.2m 6.8m/22.7m 5.8m/20.9m 5.2m/17.9m 3: 3.2m/21.3m 3.5m/28.3m 3.0m/25.7m 2.8m/22.4m 4: 2.3m/26.0m 2.2m/32.0m 1.8m/28.7m 2.0m/25.5m 5: 1.5m/28.4m 1.4m/34.4m 1.2m/30.8m 883k/27.3m 6: 683k/29.8m 1.1m/36.0m 663k/32.2m 474k/28.4m 7: 398k/30.4m 838k/37.5m 564k/33.3m 370k/29.3m 8: 184k/30.7m 470k/38.5m 176k/33.6m 176k/29.7m 9: 101k/30.9m 269k/39.0m 125k/29.9m 10: 44k/31.0m TOTAL: 31.1m 39.19m 33.83m 29.98m
  2. James Bond Showdown Final Version of the Chart. As noted, Spectre will up short of 36m. Which is the 2nd biggest Bond here. It also compares well to the other 2 Daniel Craig bond films. Of course the comparison falls away when looking at Skyfall but that film had a perfect storm for it's final total which is hard to replicate. Either way great result.... here's the chart. Wk Casino Royale Quantum of Solace Skyfall Spectre 06-Dec-06 24-Nov-08 22-Nov-12 12-Nov-15 1: 6.7m/6.9m 9.7m/11.8m 12.3m/12.6m 11.3m/12.1m Scns/Ave 401/17,100 476/20,439 580/21,215 618/18,315 2: 3.7m/13.2m 4.2m/18.8m 7.7m/24.8m 5.5m/20.7m %Drop -45% -57% -37% -52% 3: 2.4m/17.4m 2.5m/22.6m 4.2m/32.2m 3.4m/25.8m 4: 2.8m/21.8m 1.6m/25.2m 3.2m/37.2m 2.1m/29.1m 5: 2.1m/25.7m 1.0m/26.9m 2.4m/41.0m* 1.6m/31.6m 6: 1.3m/28.0m 785k/28.2m 2.0m/43.9m* 655k/33.0m 7: 830k/29.5m 587k/29.5m 966k/45.7m 472k/33.8m 8: 630k/30.5m 277k/29.5m 629k/46.8m 424k/34.7m 9: 450k/31.2m 123k/30.1m 437k/47.5m 279k/35.2m 10: 227k/31.6m 246k/48.1m 114k/35.5m *Estimated TOTAL: 32.2m 31.0m 48.4m 35.51m
  3. ok some reasonable results there.... Spectre will end just under 36m and is the 2nd biggest bond here behind only Skyfall (though it was a fairly large drop off from that film). To be honest this should have been expected as Skyfall had a perfect storm to make it's nearly 49m gross 3 years ago. Mockingjay Part 2 will finally cross 30m this weekend (or least by tuesday at the latest) but it end as the lowest / weakest of the Hunger Games films. I still believe this was a step up from Mockinjay Part 1 and probably deserved more but i guess either way it's a good result as while this was the lowest grossing of the 4 films it was only just under the first films gross here. still disappointing and i had really hoped it would actually outgross MJ1 here. Catching Fire remains the largest of the 4 films with just under 40m. Star Wars The Force Awakens is finally coming back to earth with some normal grosses. over 86m now and should have 1 final weekend before a big drop off as the school holidays end after this weekend around the country (well in most states). It should at or near to 88m after this weekend is all said and done. 90m should happen at this point but i'm not seeing 95m anymore and i am expecting the final total to wind up around 91m to 92m. (see the comparison chart i'll post below as to why) The Dressmaker is still trying to reach the elusive 20m total here. unless it can avoid the post holiday drop off i think it's total will wind up just short of the mark. Still a great result and it doesn't really matter... but yeah. Alvin and the chipmunks has seen some drop off from the previous film but this was expected. frankly > 10m is a great result for this here.. Same can't be said for the Good Dinosaur though. I think Disney would have been expecting a total much much closer to 20m or even past it by now. 13m in the till now and while it should reach 15m when all is said and done i doubt it goes much further than this total (it could still miss 15m if the drop off is steeper than expected after this weekend or this weekend isn't as a good a hold either). Daddy's Home looks to be big winner banking what looks like a final total above 20m. (it could even reach the mark this weekend) I thought at most a 10m total here for it but it has surprised with a excellent run both here and stateside. Oscar bait The Revenant has started off well with over 10m in the bank after 2 weeks an a great hold already under the pillow. I think a total north of 20m is likely right now especially if it wins big at the oscars. Watch this space. Lastly, Hateful 8's crazy start in limited fashion is something we don't often see in Australia. thats a fantastic average right now, but will it translate to bigger totals when it finally goes wide (which i think is this weekend). I'm not so sure that it will, but we shall see. The coming weekend will be an interesting one how it plays out. Usually we have a 3 day long weekend (with the holiday on monday) but this year, we have a normal weekend with a public holiday on the tuesday rather than the monday. How this helps or hinders box office goers i'm not sure as many are taking the monday off work (whether by annual leave or sickness ) essentially making much of the country on a 4 day weekend which could well, even with school starting in most places wednesday, see a interesting boost to the box office over the next few days till tuesday. some showdows will follow .... for Bond & MJ2 + of course TFA
  4. Another day, another SOTM (and hopefully one that more than 2 people will play ) Below will be 12 questions. You MUST answer all 12. 1. What will Kung Fu Panda's OW be? 37m 2. What will Revenant's total be by the end of the game? 155m 3. What will Star Wars' February gross be (till end of game of course)? 15m 4. What will Norm of the North's 2nd weekend drop be? 3m 5. What will Dirty Grandpa's 2nd weekend total be? 4m 6. What will be the difference between 50 Shades of Black's OW and 50 Shades of Grey's? 64m 7. What will Hail Caesar and Pride and Prejudice's Combine OW be? 23m 8. What will be the difference in Zoolander and Deadpool's OW? 55m 9. What will be the difference in total gross between Alvin and Sister's by the end of the game? 10m 10. What will be the Big Short's total January Gross (starting from January 1st)? 28m 11. What will be the gross of the 15th placed film domestic at the end of the game? 81m 12. What will the Hateful 8 gross between February 1st and February 10th (inclusive)? 1m Here is how the scoring works: If your prediction is under the final total and within 2%: Score 10000 points If your prediction is under the final total and within 5%: Score 8000 points If your prediction is under the final total and within 10%: Score 6000 points If your prediction is under the final total and within 15%: Score 4000 points If your prediction is under the final total and within 20%: Score 3000 points If your prediction is under the final total and within 25%: Score 2000 points If your prediction is under the final total and within 30%: Score 1000 points If your prediction is under the final total and within 40%: Score 500 points If your prediction is under the final total and within 50%: Score 100 points However if you are even $1 over the final total, you will lose 5000 points no matter how close you are! Further Bonuses: If you Score at least 1000 points on every question, get a 10000 point bonus If you Score at least 3000 points on every question, get a 20000 point bonus If you Score at least 6000 points on every question, get a 40000 point bonus If you Score 10000 points on every question, for the love of Buddha never choose to use your powers for evil and get a 80000 point bonus Technically 200,000 points can be won here, but if it happens, I will personally fly a bottle of any beverage to the value of $7 to there home as a tribute to their ungodly powers. Deadline is Thursday 21st January 11:59pm, no abstaining, not answering in this thread loses 5000 points. And also, your final total will be rounded UP to the nearest 1000 points in order to not make the final scores look ugly.
  5. 6 wide (or at least wide-ish) releases are due to hit our screens by January 22nd. They are: 13 Hours - 2.6 Norm of the North - 2 Ride Along 2 - 2.4 The 5th wave 2.8 The Boy 2.4 Dirty Grandpa 2.6 You may choose as many or as few films as you wish. For each film you choose, you must predict what its multiplier (for the opening 3 day, not 4 day) will be come the end of the game. You must predict to 1 decimal place, no more, no less! 4.6, 11.9, 1.4 - these are eligible numbers to predict. Scoring is as follows: correct to within 0.2 higher or lower: 10,000 points correct to within 0.21 - 0.5 higher or lower: 5000 points correct to within 0.51 - 0.8 higher or lower: lose 1000 points correct to within 0.81 - 1.0 higher or lower: lose 4000 points correct to within 1.01 or more, higher or lower: lose 8000 points Potential bonuses losses if you predict more than 1 film: If all of the films you choose to predict score positive points: 5000 bonus points per film predicted. If all of the films you choose to predict score maximum points: 10000 bonus points per film predicted. Abstain is worth 2000 points No prediction loses 5000 points Deadline is Thursday 21st January at 11:59pm
  6. All the Usual rulez and stuff apply. 1. Which new opener will make the most this weekend? the 5th wave 2. Will at least 1 new entry enter into the top 3? 2000 Yes 3. Will the Big Short drop less than 8% this weekend? No 4. Will Norm of the North have the biggest drop amongst all animated (including Alvin) films this weekend? Yes 5. Will the Revanant finally hit the number 1 spot this weekend? 3000 Yes 6. Will Sisters remain in the top 10 this weekend? 3000 Yes 7. Will the forest finish above Norm of the North? Yes 8. Will Star Wars cross 875M total by the end of the weekend? YES 9. Will Spotlight finish above Brooklyn this weekend? 2000 No 10. Will any film in the top 12 drop more than 62%? Yes 11. Will Monster Hunt have a PTA above $6000? Yes 12. Will any film increase 2005 or more on Friday? 2000 No 13. Will any film decrease more than 47% on Sunday? No 14. Which film in the top 8 will have the highest PTA? 3000 the 5th Wave 15. Do you miss the lack of bear films being released this weekend? THERE'S A BEAR IN THERE ............ 10/15 - 2000 11/15 - 3000 12/15 - 4000 13/15 - 6000 14/15 - 8000 15/15 - 10000 Part 2 1. What will the 3 highest new openers combined OW be? 5000 43.405m 2. What will Creed's total be by end of Saturday? 5000 108.399m 3. What will Ride Along make on Sunday? 5000 5.0001m Part 3 1. The Revenant 3. The 5th Wave 5. 13 Hours : The secret soldiers of benghazi 8. Dirty Grandpa 10. norm of the north 13. brooklyn 16. alvin and the chipmunks: the road chip 2000 each plus... 4/7 - 2000 5/7 - 5000 6/7 - 8000 7/7 - 11000
  7. I think if you knock the potential gains/losses down by something close to a factor of 10, it'll be a worthwhile and challenging SOTM for the future. Maybe make it a preseason question. Then the points make more sense. ? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  8. Even with my crazy 871m prediction for star wars i'm still going to lose $ pretty sure it will get past 911m at this point.....
  9. FYI After next weekend (after the 31st Jan) - i will be moving this thread back into the sub forum in the games section and out of the box office forum. (I will keep my signature updated with the latest information as always... )
  10. Week 2: Simionski rides the box office to the top..... The 2nd weekend in the 2016 game saw 2 new entries into the weekend chart with Simionski jumping straight to the top spot with 43m thanks to investments in both Ride Along 2 and 13 Hours. Grey Ghost debuted in 2nd with 25.7m also thanks to before mentioned films. Bournefan#1 bumped up into 3rd spot with well chosen investments. Ethan Hunt also slipped up into 4th with lucasbenica rounding out the top 5. Last weekends top 2 (JJ-8 & Chasmmi) dropped down to equal 7th with no new investments this weekend. While those who invested in the forest fared ok for the type of film and especially given all grosses taken now will be profits (it's already made it's budget back) , it must be noted that those who put their money into the Masked Saint will now be regretting it with the film all but wiped from the chart this week (it dropped over 98% as per megaboxoffice's collapse in last place) Next weekend could be interesting with investments in all 3 new releases and both the boy and dirty grandpa fully booked out while of course ride along 2 and 13 hours will continue to play well. Can Simionski hold onto the top spot or will he be pipped at the post so to speak... anyway, here is this weekends chart (note i won't be releasing a 4 day chart but those $ for monday are already included in your bank accounts as it's based upon the last update on BOM.... All monthly threads & bank account thread in the sub forum are updated with the latest also.. All taking as per BOM. Budgets for Ride Along 2 & 13 Hours were as listed in the game (BOM's final budgets were the same). Weekend Box Office January 15th - 17th, 2016 TW LW Investor Title Weekend Gross % Change Movie Count Total % Active Movies Theatres Average Bank Account 1 - Simionski $43,339,707 - 3 150% 4370 $9,919 $72,506,705 2 - Grey Ghost $25,718,159 - 5 100% 2782 $9,244 $38,003,353 3 5 BourneFan #1 $23,675,063 829.1% 5 100% 2806 $8,437 $35,733,512 4 5 Ethan Hunt $6,053,515 137.6% 4 50% 1219 $4,968 $62,230,159 5 10 lucasbenica $4,859,941 3824.4% 5 130% 743 $6,544 $22,449,295 6 3 Wrath $3,114,251 -3.2% 9 60% 873 $3,569 $10,671,480 7 1 Jajang $1,793,322 -53.1% 8 30% 753 $2,383 $3,694,255 7 1 chasmmi $1,793,322 -53.1% 2 30% 753 $2,383 $93,694,255 9 4 Jayhawk $1,494,435 -53.1% 1 25% 627 $2,383 $103,078,546 10 5 WrathofHan $1,195,548 -53.1% 2 20% 502 $2,383 $94,462,837 10 5 ThatOneGuy $1,195,548 -53.1% 1 20% 502 $2,383 $102,462,837 12 9 DAJK $597,774 -53.1% 7 10% 251 $2,383 $14,231,418 13 11 megaboxoffice $494 -98.4% 1 25% 7 $76 $99,170,493 Total Weekend Gross $114,831,079
  11. Update shows we have 15 active players in the game so far. An additional 5 indicated they intended to play but so far have not invested. Bank Accounts - 2016 TW Investors Title Movie Count Total % Active Total $ Invested Bank Account Total Gross 1 Jayhawk 1 25% $2,500,000 $103,078,546 2 ThatOneGuy 1 20% $2,000,000 $102,462,837 3 megaboxoffice 1 25% $875,000 $99,170,493 4 WrathofHan 2 40% $10,000,000 $94,462,837 5 chasmmi 2 80% $13,000,000 $93,694,255 6 Simionski 3 250% $68,500,000 $72,506,705 7 The Panda 2 75% $37,500,000 $62,500,000 8 Ethan Hunt 4 120% $48,000,000 $62,230,159 9 Grey Ghost 5 250% $82,500,000 $38,003,353 10 BourneFan #1 5 150% $95,000,000 $35,733,512 11 CJohn 3 300% $73,500,000 $26,500,000 12 lucasbenica 5 430% $83,500,000 $22,449,295 13 DAJK 7 235% $88,000,000 $14,231,418 14 Wrath 9 370% $96,875,000 $10,671,480 15 Jajang 8 260% $103,000,000 $3,694,255 - Alfred 0 0% $0 $100,000,000 - glassfairy 0 0% $0 $100,000,000 - townzy89 0 0% $0 $100,000,000 - sakskidz 0 0% $0 $100,000,000 - Gokai Red 0 0% $0 $100,000,000
  12. Movie Investments - 2016 Investor Classification / Time % invested $ Spent $ Earnt % Gain The Choice Movie Budget: $30,000,000 % Available: 100% Release Date: 5-Feb-2016 INVESTMENT 100% 1 CJohn 12-Jan-16 100% $30,000,000 $0 -100% Hail, Caesar! Movie Budget: $40,000,000 % Available: 115% Release Date: 5-Feb-2016 INVESTMENT 85% 1 WrathofHan 14-Jan-16 20% $8,000,000 $0 -100% Ethan Hunt 07-Jan-16 40% $16,000,000 $0 -100% DAJK 05-Jan-16 25% $10,000,000 $0 -100% Pride and Prejudice and Zombies Movie Budget: $30,000,000 % Available: 100% Release Date: 5-Feb-2016 INVESTMENT 100% 1 Jajang 05-Jan-16 30% $9,000,000 $0 -100% Wrath 05-Jan-16 50% $15,000,000 $0 -100% DAJK 05-Jan-16 20% $6,000,000 $0 -100% Regression Movie Budget: $20,000,000 % Available: 200% Release Date: 5-Feb-2016 INVESTMENT 0% 1 Deadpool Movie Budget: $50,000,000 % Available: 0% Release Date: 12-Feb-2016 INVESTMENT 300% 1 Jajang 12-Jan-16 50% $25,000,000 $0 -100% Wrath 12-Jan-16 100% $50,000,000 $0 -100% The Panda 12-Jan-16 50% $25,000,000 $0 -100% lucasbenica 12-Jan-16 100% $50,000,000 $0 -100% How to be Single Movie Budget: $40,000,000 % Available: 75% Release Date: 12-Feb-2016 INVESTMENT 125% 1 CJohn 12-Jan-16 100% $40,000,000 $0 -100% DAJK 12-Jan-16 25% $10,000,000 $0 -100% Zoolander 2 Movie Budget: $50,000,000 % Available: 45% Release Date: 12-Feb-2016 INVESTMENT 255% 1 Jajang 12-Jan-16 30% $15,000,000 $0 -100% Wrath 12-Jan-16 20% $10,000,000 $0 -100% Grey Ghost 12-Jan-16 50% $25,000,000 $0 -100% The Panda 12-Jan-16 25% $12,500,000 $0 -100% Ethan Hunt 12-Jan-16 30% $15,000,000 $0 -100% DAJK 12-Jan-16 100% $50,000,000 $0 -100% Race Movie Budget: $20,000,000 % Available: 175% Release Date: 19-Feb-2016 INVESTMENT 25% 1 DAJK 19-Jan-16 25% $5,000,000 $0 -100% Risen Movie Budget: $50,000,000 % Available: 200% Release Date: 19-Feb-2016 INVESTMENT 0% 1 Viral Movie Budget: $50,000,000 % Available: 200% Release Date: 19-Feb-2016 INVESTMENT 0% 1 The Witch Movie Budget: $3,500,000 % Available: 0% Release Date: 19-Feb-2016 INVESTMENT 200% 1 CJohn 19-Jan-16 100% $3,500,000 $0 -100% Simionski 19-Jan-16 100% $3,500,000 $0 -100%
  13. Release Schedule Red Highlight is fully invested and no longer available unless a player decides to sell part of or all their portion. Available for Investment Budget Source / Comments February 2016 Friday 5 New in Theatres Budget %Avail Theatres The Choice $30m 100% Wide Estimate Hail, Caesar! $40m 115% Wide Estimate Pride and Prejudice and Zombies $30m 100% Wide Earlier Director indicated studio spend of about 25m to 28m (He wanted more) Regression $20m 200% TBA Various Sources (20m) BOM not listed wide but other sources do Friday 12 New in Theatres Budget %Avail Theatres Deadpool $50m 0% Wide Rumoured to be about 50m (Fox Est ?) How to be Single $40m 75% Wide Estimate Zoolander 2 $50m 45% Wide Studio targeting under 50m… Friday 19 New in Theatres Budget %Avail Theatres Race $20m 175% Wide Estimate Risen $50m 200% Wide Estimate Viral $50m 200% Wide Estimate The Witch $3.5m 0% Wide IMDB Not Available (Available 1 month prior to Release) Budget Source / Comments February 2016 Friday 26 New in Theatres Budget %Avail Theatres Eddie the Eagle $40m 200% Wide Estimate Gods of Egypt $140m 200% Wide IMDB Triple 9 $28m 200% Wide IMDB
  14. Movie Investments - 2016 Investor Classification / Time % invested $ Spent $ Earnt % Gain The Forest Movie Budget: $10,000,000 Release Date: 8-Jan-2016 RELEASED 200% 1 Jajang 08-Dec-15 30% $3,000,000 $6,694,255 +123% WrathofHan 08-Dec-15 20% $2,000,000 $4,462,837 +123% Wrath 08-Dec-15 25% $2,500,000 $5,578,546 +123% Ethan Hunt 08-Dec-15 20% $2,000,000 $4,462,837 +123% chasmmi 08-Dec-15 30% $3,000,000 $6,694,255 +123% DAJK 08-Dec-15 10% $1,000,000 $2,231,418 +123% BourneFan #1 08-Dec-15 20% $2,000,000 $4,462,837 +123% Jayhawk 08-Dec-15 25% $2,500,000 $5,578,546 +123% ThatOneGuy 08-Dec-15 20% $2,000,000 $4,462,837 +123% The Masked Saint Movie Budget: $3,500,000 Release Date: 8-Jan-2016 RELEASED 150% 1 Wrath 08-Dec-15 25% $875,000 $45,493 -95% megaboxoffice 13-Dec-15 25% $875,000 $45,493 -95% lucasbenica 28-Dec-15 100% $3,500,000 $181,973 -95% 13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi Movie Budget: $50,000,000 Release Date: 15-Jan-2016 RELEASED 200% 1 Wrath 15-Dec-15 10% $5,000,000 $1,922,441 -62% Grey Ghost 15-Dec-15 50% $25,000,000 $9,612,204 -62% Ethan Hunt 17-Dec-15 30% $15,000,000 $5,767,322 -62% BourneFan #1 15-Dec-15 30% $15,000,000 $5,767,322 -62% lucasbenica 17-Dec-15 30% $15,000,000 $5,767,322 -62% Simionski 15-Dec-15 50% $25,000,000 $9,612,204 -62% Ride Along 2 Movie Budget: $40,000,000 Release Date: 15-Jan-2016 RELEASED 200% 1 Grey Ghost 15-Dec-15 50% $20,000,000 $20,503,353 +3% BourneFan #1 15-Dec-15 50% $20,000,000 $20,503,353 +3% Simionski 15-Dec-15 100% $40,000,000 $41,006,705 +3% The 5th Wave Movie Budget: $40,000,000 % Available: 170% Release Date: 22-Jan-2016 INVESTMENT 30% 1 Jajang 02-Jan-16 30% $12,000,000 $0 -100% The Boy (2016) Movie Budget: $10,000,000 % Available: 0% Release Date: 22-Jan-2016 INVESTMENT 200% 1 Jajang 02-Jan-16 30% $3,000,000 $0 -100% Wrath 06-Jan-16 70% $7,000,000 $0 -100% lucasbenica 28-Dec-15 100% $10,000,000 $0 -100% Dirty Grandpa Movie Budget: $20,000,000 % Available: 0% Release Date: 22-Jan-2016 INVESTMENT 200% 1 Jajang 26-Dec-15 40% $8,000,000 $0 -100% Wrath 22-Dec-15 20% $4,000,000 $0 -100% Grey Ghost 22-Dec-15 50% $10,000,000 $0 -100% chasmmi 25-Dec-15 50% $10,000,000 $0 -100% DAJK 23-Dec-15 30% $6,000,000 $0 -100% BourneFan #1 22-Dec-15 10% $2,000,000 $0 -100% Fifty Shades of Black Movie Budget: $5,000,000 % Available: 0% Release Date: 29-Jan-2016 INVESTMENT 200% 1 Wrath 29-Dec-15 50% $2,500,000 $0 -100% Grey Ghost 29-Dec-15 50% $2,500,000 $0 -100% lucasbenica 29-Dec-15 100% $5,000,000 $0 -100% The Finest Hours Movie Budget: $85,000,000 % Available: 200% Release Date: 29-Jan-2016 INVESTMENT 0% 1 Kung Fu Panda 3 Movie Budget: $140,000,000 % Available: 240% Release Date: 29-Jan-2016 INVESTMENT 60% 1 Jajang 29-Dec-15 20% $28,000,000 $0 -100% BourneFan #1 29-Dec-15 40% $56,000,000 $0 -100% Jane got a Gun Movie Budget: $25,000,000 % Available: 200% Release Date: 29-Jan-2016 INVESTMENT 0% 1
  15. Release Schedule Red Highlight is fully invested and no longer available unless a player decides to sell part of or all their portion. Available for Investment Budget Source / Comments January 2016 Friday 22 New in Theatres Budget %Avail Theatres The 5th Wave $40m 170% Wide The Numbers Estimate (20m - 40m) The Boy (2016) $10m 0% Wide The Numbers Estimate (under 10m) Dirty Grandpa $20m 0% Wide Estimate (The Numbers about the same) Friday 29 New in Theatres Budget %Avail Theatres Fifty Shades of Black $5m 0% Wide IMDB 20m / The Numbers 5m ? The Finest Hours $85m 200% Wide Various Sources 85m Kung Fu Panda 3 $140m 240% Wide Various Sources (120m - 140m) Jane got a Gun $25m 200% Wide Various Sources 25m
  16. Nice start by goosebumps. 5th wave stronger than expected. A good result especially if it translates stateside. Stunning hold by the Revenant. TFA's hold isn't too shabby either given how much it's earnt already. ok so TFA should be clear of 85m. One more good hold left before the holidays supporting it finish up. Should go close to clearing 90m before holidays end. I think it will finish with about 95m or so. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  17. Yeah. I'd say we are looking at around 3.5m for goosebumps and over 2m for the 5th wave. If that holds its the equivalent of 20m in the U.S. which would be a great result if it happens. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  18. I think i can help out here... sure that Chasmmi will confirm if he feels the need.... in regards to Q4... i think he means $ drop not Percentage drop..... hence the question is A O K with me.... at least i believe that is the intention here. As for Q11.... yeah he means 15th place in the game... what will be it's gross. it has nothing to do with the year ... think in the context of the game and you will be fine. oh and @chasmmi fantastic SOTM ! love it!
  19. Okay usual rules apply. This is for a 3 day weekend, top 12 and so forth UOS. 1. Will a new film be number 1 this weekend? Yes 2. Will Revenant stay in the top 3? 3000 No 3. Will Norm of the North finish above Daddy's Home? No 4. How many new entries will be in the top 5 this weekend? 2 films 2000 5. Will The Forest drop more than 63%? No 6. Will the Big short have the lowest weekend drop of any film that decreases from last weekend (If it randomly increases then that makes this an auto yes)? Yes 7. Will Good Dinosaur stay above Creed? Yes 8. How many different best picture/best director (only 1 is needed not both) Oscar Nominees will finish in the top 18? 3000 5 films 9. Will the Hateful 8 have a better Saturday gross than Alvin? No 10. Will the Revenant's Total gross overtake Sisters' total gross by the end of the weekend? Yes 11. 13 Hours will be Michael Bay's 12th film according to Mojo. Where will it's opening weekend rank alongside his other films? 2000 8th 12. Will Brooklyn have a better percentage change than Spotlight this weekend? Yes 13. Will Danish Girl stay in the top 20? No 14. Will the three highest new entries combined gross more than the 3 highest non-new entries combined? no 15. Will any film drop more than 47% on Sunday? No 16. Will the Big Short remain in the top 8? 3000 yes 17. Will Spectre stay above the Martian? No 18. Will Hunger Game's PTA stay above $1200? Yes 19. Will any film increase more than 175% on Friday? 2000 yes 20. how many films make more than $10M this weekend? 5 films 21. How many Oscars Nominations should Jem and the Holograms and Mortdecai have received this year? Lol. Every single one! Even the short films Part 2. 1. What will be the combined weekend gross of the Best Picture Nominations? 5000 35.555m 2. What will Revenant gross on Friday? 5000 10.49m 3. What will Creed's total be by the end of the weekend? 5000 107.901m 4. What will be the combined Sunday gross of all the Best Song and best Animated feature Nominations? 5000 1.444m Positions 2. The Revenant 5. Daddy's home 7. Norm of the north 9. Hateful 8 12. Joy 14. Mj2 2000 each or... 3/6 2000 4/6 5000 5/6 8000 6/6 12000 Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  20. yeah i know that the numbers get it wrong at times..... but i add the following link... they've gone with 5m budget in their January Preview... http://www.the-numbers.com/news/210690830-2016-Preview-January however in regards to budgets i've found their budgets to not too far from the mark most of the time - especially in their monthly previews. i'm leaving it at 5m unless BOM puts up a budget...... of course i could be way off too... given how previous film of this type only cost around that 5m mark.. i am tending to believe the 5m estimate here.
  21. yah .. won my first week... Takes a look who's next on the target list... realizes it's the #1 seed in the tournament then also realizes he actually beat said #1 seed last week...................
  22. Week 1 : Welcome to the Forest..... After a long hiatus, the Fantasy Box Office is finally back in action. This years game already is a big hit with a lot of investments being made even before the game officially kicked off. This week saw the release of The Forest and the Masked Saint (it was listed as wide but ended up being more limited than expected). A total of 11 investors had put money on the line in the first week of the 2016 game. Those who backed The Forest got a good result already making the budget back over the opening weekend. Those who put money in the Masked Saint look like that they lost more than 90% of their budget when all is said and done. Jajang and Chasmmi led the way equally on the first weekend with a small but good start of 3.8m with a solo investment in the Forest. Wrath came in 3rd with 3.2m just pipping Jayhawk by 20k. WrathofHan, Ethan Hunt, BourneFan#1 and Thatoneguy all rounded out the top 5 as they were all equal in 5th place. This weeks weekend Chart is below: Bank Accounts & individual monthly updates are in the sub forum as always. Weekend Box Office January 8th - 10th, 2016 TW LW Investor Title Weekend Gross % Change Movie Count Total % Active Movies Theatres Average Bank Account 1 - Jajang $3,822,353 - 8 30% 735 $5,198 $1,019,973 1 - chasmmi $3,822,353 - 2 30% 735 $5,198 $91,019,973 3 - Wrath $3,216,254 - 8 50% 733 $4,386 $13,508,810 4 - Jayhawk $3,185,294 - 1 25% 613 $5,198 $100,849,978 5 - WrathofHan $2,548,235 - 1 20% 490 $5,198 $100,679,982 5 - Ethan Hunt $2,548,235 - 4 20% 490 $5,198 $54,679,982 5 - BourneFan #1 $2,548,235 - 5 20% 490 $5,198 $7,679,982 5 - ThatOneGuy $2,548,235 - 1 20% 490 $5,198 $100,679,982 9 - DAJK $1,274,118 - 6 10% 245 $5,198 $18,339,991 10 - lucasbenica $123,839 - 5 100% 482 $257 $16,635,330 11 - megaboxoffice $30,960 - 1 25% 121 $257 $99,158,833 Total Weekend Gross $25,668,111
  23. Bank Accounts - 2016 TW Investors Title Movie Count Total % Active Total $ Invested Bank Account Total Gross 1 Jayhawk 1 25% $2,500,000 $100,849,978 2 WrathofHan 1 20% $2,000,000 $100,679,982 3 ThatOneGuy 1 20% $2,000,000 $100,679,982 4 Alfred 0 0% $0 $100,000,000 5 glassfairy 0 0% $0 $100,000,000 6 townzy89 0 0% $0 $100,000,000 7 sakskidz 0 0% $0 $100,000,000 8 Gokai Red 0 0% $0 $100,000,000 9 megaboxoffice 1 25% $875,000 $99,158,833 10 chasmmi 2 80% $13,000,000 $91,019,973 11 The Panda 2 75% $37,500,000 $62,500,000 12 Ethan Hunt 4 120% $48,000,000 $54,679,982 13 Simionski 2 150% $65,000,000 $35,000,000 14 CJohn 2 200% $70,000,000 $30,000,000 15 DAJK 6 210% $83,000,000 $18,339,991 16 Grey Ghost 5 250% $82,500,000 $17,500,000 17 lucasbenica 5 430% $83,500,000 $16,635,330 18 BourneFan #1 5 150% $95,000,000 $7,679,982 19 Wrath 9 370% $96,875,000 $6,508,810 20 Jajang 8 260% $103,000,000 $1,019,973
  24. Movie Investments - 2016 Investor Classification / Time % invested $ Spent $ Earnt % Gain The Choice Movie Budget: $30,000,000 % Available: 100% Release Date: 5-Feb-2016 INVESTMENT 100% 1 CJohn 12-Jan-16 100% $30,000,000 $0 -100% Hail, Caesar! Movie Budget: $40,000,000 % Available: 135% Release Date: 5-Feb-2016 INVESTMENT 65% 1 Ethan Hunt 07-Jan-16 40% $16,000,000 $0 -100% DAJK 05-Jan-16 25% $10,000,000 $0 -100% Pride and Prejudice and Zombies Movie Budget: $30,000,000 % Available: 100% Release Date: 5-Feb-2016 INVESTMENT 100% 1 Jajang 05-Jan-16 30% $9,000,000 $0 -100% Wrath 05-Jan-16 50% $15,000,000 $0 -100% DAJK 05-Jan-16 20% $6,000,000 $0 -100% Regression Movie Budget: $20,000,000 % Available: 200% Release Date: 5-Feb-2016 INVESTMENT 0% 1 Deadpool Movie Budget: $50,000,000 % Available: 0% Release Date: 12-Feb-2016 INVESTMENT 300% 1 Jajang 12-Jan-16 50% $25,000,000 $0 -100% Wrath 12-Jan-16 100% $50,000,000 $0 -100% The Panda 12-Jan-16 50% $25,000,000 $0 -100% lucasbenica 12-Jan-16 100% $50,000,000 $0 -100% How to be Single Movie Budget: $40,000,000 % Available: 75% Release Date: 12-Feb-2016 INVESTMENT 125% 1 CJohn 12-Jan-16 100% $40,000,000 $0 -100% DAJK 12-Jan-16 25% $10,000,000 $0 -100% Zoolander 2 Movie Budget: $50,000,000 % Available: 45% Release Date: 12-Feb-2016 INVESTMENT 255% 1 Jajang 12-Jan-16 30% $15,000,000 $0 -100% Wrath 12-Jan-16 20% $10,000,000 $0 -100% Grey Ghost 12-Jan-16 50% $25,000,000 $0 -100% The Panda 12-Jan-16 25% $12,500,000 $0 -100% Ethan Hunt 12-Jan-16 30% $15,000,000 $0 -100% DAJK 12-Jan-16 100% $50,000,000 $0 -100%
  25. Release Schedule Red Highlight is fully invested and no longer available unless a player decides to sell part of or all their portion. Available for Investment Budget Source / Comments February 2016 Friday 5 New in Theatres Budget %Avail Theatres The Choice $30m 100% Wide Estimate Hail, Caesar! $40m 135% Wide Estimate Pride and Prejudice and Zombies $30m 100% Wide Earlier Director indicated studio spend of about 25m to 28m (He wanted more) Regression $20m 200% TBA Various Sources (20m) BOM not listed wide but other sources do Friday 12 New in Theatres Budget %Avail Theatres Deadpool $50m 0% Wide Rumoured to be about 50m (Fox Est ?) How to be Single $40m 75% Wide Estimate Zoolander 2 $50m 45% Wide Studio targeting under 50m… Not Available (Available 1 month prior to Release) Budget Source / Comments February 2016 Friday 19 New in Theatres Budget %Avail Theatres Race $20m 200% Wide Estimate Risen $50m 200% Wide Estimate Viral $50m 200% Wide Estimate The Witch $3.5m 200% Wide IMDB Friday 26 New in Theatres Budget %Avail Theatres Eddie the Eagle $40m 200% Wide Estimate Gods of Egypt $140m 200% Wide IMDB Triple 9 $28m 200% Wide IMDB
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