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Rthmessiah

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Everything posted by Rthmessiah

  1. Rthmessiah
    Well TA monday was up 3% on last week cumes over 32mil, have QLD monday holiday to thank for that (55% of the bus)
  2. Rthmessiah
    , in Brief while Avatar took like 2 times Titanic it didn't beat it in Admissions
  3. Rthmessiah
    The majority of the increase is due to it being part of double feature at drive-insIn Domestic market for boxoffice reporting all films in double/triple program get allocated 100% of boxoffice, so if its TA + JC and drive-in takes 30k both films get allocated 30k, at the end of the day the actuals & film rental calculation doesn't take that in (theatre/drive-in would be paying to much) its a split of the total bo for the program.Domestic also allow for studio mixing of titles i.e. Disney + paramount (generally in International it has to be like with like so Disney+ disney,Fox+fox etc)In International the boxoffice is allocated all to the main title so TA + JC 30k TA gets 30K, JC gets 0, film rental calculation is however split to all titles(% of split varies, usually what is classed as main title will get major %)
  4. Rthmessiah
    Amazing result was about to post but saw Actuals were now out
  5. Rthmessiah
    sunday will definetly be over 55mil 57 probably low end, actuals will be out in a few hours there will be a few adjustments across all days.
  6. Rthmessiah
    Actuals1-Avengers 627 8,232,502 31,075,4732-FYE 276 1,942,104 1,954,603
  7. Rthmessiah
    56-61mil strong
  8. Rthmessiah
    I think I need to go smoke something, looks like sundays holding up very well probably 56-61m range
  9. Rthmessiah
    Without working anything out i'd say yes, other than DS opening there is no competition this coming weekend for it and the following week only WIB & Dictator(wed opening)US sunday is looking very strong
  10. Rthmessiah
    it'll go over 8.2mil for weekendIt'll also be the 3rd biggest 2nd weekend (behind Avatar,mix school &public hols & Shrek 2 ,school hols ) so biggest 2nd wkend non-holiday2nd fastest to 30mil
  11. Rthmessiah
    It is, and typo its down 39% not 31 lol
  12. Rthmessiah
    I wake up to find 60 more pages OMG
  13. Rthmessiah
    Weekends going to be over 8.1mil (-31%) , cume nudging 31mil
  14. Rthmessiah
    Looks like Brazil with TA only be down 30-35% weekend
  15. Rthmessiah
    What did I say hours ago 68-70 & maybe higher, I'd say leave Sat in the 68-70 range amazing result
  16. Rthmessiah
    Last time I tool a proper look at this thread(very brief look) it was like 75 pages, now its like 152+ WTF.Like I've stated before here (and many other times) hourly tracking is max of 50% of theatres and end of night is average 90-93% can be a lot lower depending, With yesterday and midnights it does throw a spaner in the works for working things out (part of it is due to figures going up and down while they work out what has and hasn't been included) and how every you extropolate data being couple of % can throw you off millions, that said whoever told Nikki around 65m initially(wasn't it) was either being super conservative or didn't understand the market 70 at least would have been more of an starting point.From brief read I've done a lot seem to think 70m today would be low end well that would be about right 68-70 would more than likely be the at least what its going to do and could easily go beyond . Be interested to see what the next update says, sure there will be one soon.
  17. Rthmessiah
    Fri is down about 58% on LW,but would expect it to make it up big way sat/sun (similar to other markets), the three new films that opened are nowhere near TA 2nd Friday number (its 18 times #2 film)
  18. Rthmessiah
    One of only very very few that do, Weekend International reports always include previews/early openings as part of OWe, even if the local territory itself doesn't(UK one that does) and doesn't for records list.The UK will do something like X was the biggest Opening ever ,but it wouldnt have been without previews it would have been film Z(which may/may not have had previews) in recent years there seems to be more push for being about to see a seperation between the figure with/with out previews/early opening included.
  19. Rthmessiah
    Thats about correct Friday is looking at 20% drop on Thursday
  20. Rthmessiah
    Well it's looking like it could now get as high as OD 80m or close
  21. Rthmessiah
    Good start to 2nd weekend #1 TA, #2 APR(#1 Admits) thu-fri looking to be down less than 40% both films
  22. Rthmessiah
    Yeah pretty much Fri only off 40%
  23. Rthmessiah
    Should end up over $gbp1.9m roughly down -43%, APR is currently tracking 75% of TA for Friday, at present APR will be #1 weekend because they will add wed-thu previews to OWe
  24. Rthmessiah
    Nikki & others THR, Variety etc get early estimate from either the studio and where they think the film will be place and or from other studios/ exhibitors and what their options are on what films will do , distributors all have access to same data and can see what each other is doing and come up with their on estimates on what each other is doing.The hourly gross tracking that goes on during the day/eve only around 50% of theatres are polled (TA for eg its 48%) so a figure at say 3pm(6pm EC) is 48% of theatres, then through use of historical data comparisons etc work out what the rest of theatres did and then what the rest of the day holds, even looking at say a 6pm load if you look at a lot of historical comparisons to see at 6pm what they represented for the whole day , if you were off by just a few % it can throw you out millions, for example with HP DHpt2 a 2% swing would throw end of day estimate out by 10mil.Going into evening TA has gone up quite a lot and if comparing to THG it would put it well over 70mil, if you compared to other recording OD films like DH, NM BD could be a lot higher, but midnights especially plays havoc with working out OD estimates.
  25. Rthmessiah
    not quite 911k -53% LW, -2% fr Wed , #2 FYE, #3 AOV
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