TylerDurden365

Of course, just focusing on the pure numbers ignores things like budget, home market, etc. etc. Perks is a fine success for the type of movie it is and the release pattern that it received. At least it is imo, I may be incorrect.In other thoughts, can this opening mean we're done with Paranormal Activity movies? Please?

1. Will PA 4 make more than 40m? Yes 2. Will PA4 break PA3's Oct OW record of 52.57m? No 3. Will Argo be number 2? Yes 3. Will Alex Cross gross more than 17m? No 4. Will Alex Cross be in the top 3? Yes 5. Will Argo drop less than 40%? Yes 6. Will sinister drop more than 50%? Yes 7. Will PA4 drop more than 35% on Saturday? Yes 8. Will PA4, Alex Cross, or Argo have the highest 3 day PTA? Choose one Paranormal Activity 4 9. Will PA4 receive at least a 'B' cinemascore? No 10. Will PA4 make more than 8m in Thurs night/midnight shows? Yes 11. Will Here Comes the Boom drop less than 50%? Yes 12. Will Sinister remain in the top 5? Yes Bonus 1: what will be the top 12's gross? 3 decimals. 3000 pts 128.649 Bonus 2: what will PA4 and sinister's combined gross be? 3 decimals. 3000 pts 52.358 Bonus 3: give me Alex Cross' OW gross. 3 decimals. 3000 pts 12.675 Bonus 4: what will be spots 2 Argo 5 Hotel Transylvania 7 Sinister 11 Perks of Being a Wallflower

SOTM 2: 10/12 - Argo 10/19 - Paranormal Activity 4 10/26 - Cloud Atlas 11/2 - Wreck-It Ralph 11/9 - Skyfall 11/16 - Twilight: Breaking Dawn, Part 2 11/23 - Abstain 11/30 - Rise of the Guardians 12/7 - Rise of the Guardians 12/14 - The Hobbit 12/21 - The Hobbit 12/28 - The Hobbit 1/4- Texas Chainsaw 3D 1/11 - Gangster Squad 1/18 - Abstain

I think the questions were just right

1. Will Taken 2 open to more than 40 million? Yes 2. Will Taken 2 open to more than 50 million? No 3. Will Taken 2 set the October OW record (current holder is PA3 with 52.57m)? No 4. Will Frankenweenie be number 2? No 5. Will Pitch Perfect make the top 4? Yes 6. Will Frankenweenie have a Saturday increase of at least 50%? Yes 7. Will Hotel Transylvania drop more than 40%? No 8. Will any film in the top 12 have a Friday increase of more than 125%? Yes 9. Will Frankenweenie open to more than Corpse Bride's first wide release (19.15m)? No 10. Will Looper drop more than 35%? Yes 11. Will Perks of Being a Wallflower remain in the top 15? Yes 12. Will End of Watch stay in the top 5? No 10/12 3000 11/12 4000 12/12 6000 Bonus 1: What will be the combined grosses of Taken 2, Frankenweenie, and Pitch Perfect? 3 decimal places. 3000 76.856 Bonus 2: What will be the combined gross of the top 12? 3 decimal places. 3000 127.524 Bonus 3: What will Pitch Perfect's gross be? 15.365 Bonus 4: What finishes in spots: 3 Frankenweenie 5 Looper 7 Trouble with the Curve 11 The Perks of Being a Wallflower

SOTM 1: Taken 2 - 105 million

Domestic Top 12 1. The Hobbit: There and Back Again - 450 million 2. Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 2 - 290 million 3. Skyfall - 185 million 4. Rise of the Guardians - 180 million 5. Wreck-It Ralph - 170 million 6. Django Unchained - 110 million 7. Taken 2 - 105 million 8. Lincoln - 100 million 9. Paranormal Activity 4 - 90 million 10. Argo - 85 million 11. Flight - 78 million 12. Les Miserables - 70 million Top 5 Opening Weekends 1. Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 2 - 141 million 2. The Hobbit: There and Back Again - 100 million 3. Skyfall - 60 million 4. Wreck-It Ralph - 55 million 5. Rise of the Guardians - 49 million Top 5 Worldwide 1. The Hobbit: There and Back Again - 1.2 billion 2. Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 2 - 730 million 3. Skyfall - 695 million 4. Rise of the Guardians - 525 million 5. Wreck-It Ralph - 455 million Tell me, of these six films, which one will be the lowest grossing of the Winter: Seven Psycopaths Sinister Pitch Perfect The Man with the Iron Fists Playing Keeps Chasing Mavericks - 10 million FOR AN ADDITIONAL 10,000 Tell me, within 5 million dollars, what its gross will be. Anyone who calls this within 5 million dollars (note you MUST CALL THE CORRECT FILM TO QUALIFY FOR THE 10,000 BONUS PTS) whether it is over or under the total, will get the 10,000 points. Second Bonus Question: Tell me which of these will be the highest grossing film of the Winter: Taken 2 - 105 million Argo Paranormal Activity 4 Flight This is 40 Life of Pi For 10,000 POSSIBLE bonus points, tell me, within 5 million dollars, what its gross will be. Anyone who calls this within 5 million dollars (note you MUST CALL THE CORRECT FILM TO QUALIFY FOR THE 10,000 BONUS PTS) whether it is over or under the total, will get the 10,000 points. Tell me, of these four films, which will be the highest grossing? Rise of the Guardians Wreck-It Ralph Jack Reacher Skyfall - 185 million Django Unchained Les Miserables For 15,000 bonus points, call the correct film within 5 mill. PRESEASON QUESTIONS: 1. Will the Holiday OW record be broken? The current holder is New Moon with $142,839,137 No Answer it correctly: 15,000 points Answer it incorrectly: lose 8000 points Abstain (and you must state that you are not answering or you will lose 8000 points) 3000 points. 2. Will the October OW record be broken? The current holder is Paranormal Activity 3 with $52,568,183. Only films released in Oct are valid. No Answer it correctly: 15,000 points Answer it incorrectly: lose 8000 points Abstain (and you must state that you are not answering or you will lose 8000 points) 3000 points. 3. Will the December OW record be broken by more than 40M? The current holder is I Am Legend with $77,211,321. Only films released in December are valid. No Answer it correctly: 15,000 points Answer it incorrectly: lose 8000 points Abstain (and you must state that you are not answering or you will lose 8000 points) 3000 points. 4. Will any movie come within 15M of the January biggest OW? The current January OW record is Cloverfield at $40,058,229. Only films released in Jan are valid. No Answer it correctly: 15,000 points Answer it incorrectly: lose 8000 points Abstain (and you must state that you are not answering or you will lose 8000 points) 3000 points. 5. Will any movie do more than 45M in Spain? Abstain Answer it correctly: 15,000 points Answer it incorrectly: lose 8000 points Abstain (and you must state that you are not answering or you will lose 8000 points) 3000 points. 6. Will any movie do more than 110M in the UK? Yes Answer it correctly: 15,000 points Answer it incorrectly: lose 8000 points Abstain (and you must state that you are not answering or you will lose 8000 points) 3000 points. 7. Which combination of films will gross more DOM? A. Paranormal Activity 4, Killing Them Softly, The Big Wedding B. Taken 2, Frankenweenie, Here Comes the Boom C. Argo, Cloud Atlas, Alex Cross Answer it correctly: 15,000 points Answer it incorrectly: lose 10,00 points Abstain (and you must state that you are not answering or you will lose 8000 points) 3000 points. 8. Will Breaking Dawn 2 and Hobbit make more DOM combined than the rest of the top 8 combined? No Answer it correctly: 15,000 points Answer it incorrectly: lose 8000 points Abstain (and you must state that you are not answering or you will lose 8000 points) 3000 points. 9. Which combination of movies will gross more OS: Skyfall, Cloud Atlas, Pitch Perfect Rise of the Guardians, Paranormal Activity 4, Argo, Red Dawn Wreck-It Ralph, Taken 2, Jack Reacher Answer it correctly: 15,000 points Answer it incorrectly: lose 10,000 points Abstain (and you must state that you are not answering or you will lose 8000 points) 3000 points. 10. Will Taken 2 gross more than Gone in 60 Seconds ($101,648,571)? Yes Answer it correctly: 15,000 points Answer it incorrectly: lose 8000 points Abstain (and you must state that you are not answering or you will lose 8000 points) 3000 points 11. Will The Hobbit gross more WW than the rest of the top 4 combined? No Answer it correctly: 15,000 points Answer it incorrectly: lose 10,000 points Abstain (and you must state that you are not answering or you will lose 8000 points) 3000 points. 12. Will any movie listed as horror by boxofficemojo.com not named Paranormal Activity 4 open with more than 20M? Yes Answer it correctly: 15,000 points Answer it incorrectly: lose 8000 points Abstain (and you must state that you are not answering or you will lose 8000 points) 3000 points 13. Will any movie listed as crime by boxofficemojo.com open with more than 29.5M? No Answer it correctly: 15,000 points Answer it incorrectly: lose 8000 points Abstain (and you must state that you are not answering or you will lose 8000 points) 3000 points 14. Will any animated film make more than 250 million domestically? No Answer it correctly: 15,000 points Answer it incorrectly: lose 8000 points Abstain (and you must state that you are not answering or you will lose 8000 points) 3000 points 15. Will the Hobbit beat DH2's OW ($169,189,427)? No Answer it correctly: 15,000 points Answer it incorrectly: lose 10,000 points Abstain (and you must state that you are not answering or you will lose 8000 points) 3000 points

Finishing 25th in my first time playing, not too shabby. This was a great time. Thanks Baumer for running it. Looking forward to the winter version.

I'm in for this.

1) Will Oogieloves drop more than 20% on Thurs? No 2) Will Lawless drop more than 20% on Thurs? No 3) Will Possession make more than 15 mill for the 3 day? Yes 4) Will Expendables 4 day be more than Possessions 3 day? No 5) Will Expendables drop less than 10% for the 4 day (compared to this weekends 3 day)? No 6) Of all the films in the top 12, will more than 5 increase for the 4 day compared to last weekends 3 day? No 7) Will Premium Rush make more for the 4 day than Oogieloves does for Wed Thurs Fri.? Yes 8) Will TDKR make more that Bourne? No 9) Will Paranorman have one of the three best holds in the top 12? Yes 10) Will TDKR make more than ASM in China when we get the Sunday report from SD? No 11) Will TDKR hit 1 billion WW, causing me to go back and do some points over again? Yes 12) Will any film increase by more than 59.5% on Saturday? Yes 13) Did you enjoy the game this year? (there are no wrong answers) Yes 10/13 3000 11/13 4000 12/13 5000 13/13 10,000 Final bonus of the year: What finishes in spots (4 day) 3 The Expendables 2 4 Paranorman 5 Bourne Legacy 7 Timothy Green 12 The Avengers 3000 each 7000 bonus for all five right.

SOTM 13: No

Just to point out, since the late posters are getting credited for SOTM 11, that I posted only about 15 minutes late and got the question correct when I did so. Not expecting to get the points, just want to have it on the record.

1) Will Hit and Run have a 5 day of more than 8 mill? No 2) Will Apparition have a per theater average of more than $4500? No 3) Will Premium Rush open to more than 12 mill? No 4) Will Expendables drop more than 53.5%? No 5) Will Expendables be number one? Yes 6) Will Sparkle drop more than 55%? Yes 7) Will Bourne have a Friday increase of more than 80%? Yes 8) Will Expendables have a Saturday increase of more than 35.5%? No 9) Will Paranorman have a Saturday increase of more than 50%? No 10) Will more than two films increase by more than 50% on Saturday (in the top 15)? Yes 11) Will The Campaign finish in the top 10? Yes 12) Will Bourne finish within 4 mill of EXP? Yes 13) Someone make me feel better in 140 characters or less, regarding why EXP2 did so poorly last weekend. Cheer me up. I'm wounded....need some kind words. Top 3 answers get 3000 bonus points. Judged by me solely. The legs will approve on the first one, the quality of the film was still high, and it still opened number one over a number of other openers that diffused the market. 10/12 3000 11/12 5000 12/12 7000 Bonus 1: What will Expendables gross on Saturday? 3000 5.123 Bonus 2: What will the weekend combined cume be of Bourne, Paranorman and Brave? 3000 19.756 Bonus 3: What finishes in spots: 1 The Expendables 2 3 Premium Rush 7 Timothy Green 10 Obama 2016 12 Hit and Run 2000 each, 3000 bonus if all 5 correct.

SOTM 12: No

1) Will The Expendables 2 open to more than 42 mill? 3000 Yes 2) Will The Expendables 2 make more than 15.5 mill on Friday? 3000 Yes 3) Will The Expendables 2 drop more than 15% on Saturday? 3000 No 4) If you add the %drops for TE2 for Saturday and Sunday, will it total up to more than 35%? Yes 5) Will there be a midnight number reported for TE2? Yes 6) Will TE2 open to more than 40 mill internationally? No 7) Will TE2 open to more than 80 mill WW? No 8) Will Sparkle open to more than 10 mill? Yes 9) Will Sparkle have one of the two best theater averages? Yes 10) Will Paranorman open to more than 12.5 mill? Yes 11) Will The Odd Life of Timothy Green have a 5 day of more than 14 mill? Yes 12) Will The Odd Life of Timothy Green drop more than 25% on Thurs? No 13) Will TE2 gross more on it's 3 day weekend than the rest of the openers combined (including Wed and Thurs for Timothy Green)? No 14) Will Bourne fall more than 55%? No 15) Will Total Recall fall more than 55%? Yes 16) Will TDKR fall more than 45%? No 17) Will any film have a Saturday increase of more than 50%? Yes 18) Will Bourne finish second? Yes 19) Will the Campaign fall less than The Other Guys did in it's second weekend? No 20) Will Hope Springs Thursday be within 500K of it's first Thursday? No Bonus 1: What will Expendables 2 weekend number be? 4000 51.265 Bonus 2: What will Hope Springs total be after the weekend? 4000 36.435 Bonus 3: What will the combined weekend gross be of Total Recall, Brave and ASM? 4000 5.525 Bonus 4: What finishes in slots: 3 Paranorman 5 Sparkle 9 Ice Age 4 11 Ted 12 Total Recall

SOTM 11: The Dark Knight Rises

1) Will Diary of a Wimpy Kid open to more than 22.9 mill? 2000 No 2) Will Total Recall open to more than 25 mill? 2000 No 3) Will either of these two films have an increase on Saturday? Yes 4) Will both films have an increase on Saturday? No 5) Will TDKR finish number one? Yes 6) Will TDKR fall less than 50%? Yes 7) Will TDKR have one of the three best Friday increases in the top 12? Yes 8) Will any film have a Saturday bump of more than 43%? Yes 9) Will THG finish higher than The Avengers? Yes 10) Will The Watch have a better drop than Step Up? No 11) Will Moonrise finish within 5.2 mill of The Watch? Yes 12) Will Ted make more than Step Up? Yes 10/12 3000 11/12 4000 12/12 7000 Bonus 1: What will be the combined Friday gross of Wimpy and Recall? 4000 10.563 Bonus 2: What will the combined weekend gross be of THG, The Avengers and Brave: 4000 4.135 Bonus 3: Internationaly, what films finish in spots: 2 Ice Age 4 4 Mad 3 5 Amazing Spider-Man 2000 each 3000 bonus if all three are correct. Bonus 4: Domestically, what films finish in spots: 1 The Dark Knight 2 Total Recall 3 Wimpy Kid 4 Ice Age 4 5 Step Up 4 13 To Rome With Love 2000 each 7000 bonus if all 6 are correct. Individuals: 1) Will TDKR fall more than 3% on Thurs? No 2) Will Avengers fall more than 25%? No 3) Will Spidey gross more than 8 mill internationally? Yes

SOTM 10: 435.589M

1) Will TDKR have a Friday increase of more than 45%? Yes 2) Will TDKR drop less than 55%? Yes 3) Will TDKR have a Thursday drop of less than 9.5%? Yes 4) Will Neighborhood Watch have an OW of more than 30 mill? Yes 5) Will Step Up 4 have an OD of more than 5 mill? Yes 5) Will NW have an opening day of more than 12 mill? No 6) Will ASM drop less than 43%? Yes 7) Will IA4 have a better drop than Brave? No 8) Will any film in the top 12 fall more than 46%? Yes 9) Will any film in the top 12 fall less than 20%? Yes 10 Will MM have a Sunday drop of less than 30%? No 11) Will TDKR have an international weekend of more than 100 mill (all 5 day grosses will count)? 3000 Yes 12 Will TDKR open to more than 13 mill in Germany? No 13 Will TDKR open to more than 10 mill in Russia? Yes 10/13 3000 11/13 4000 12/13 5000 13/13 8000 Bonus 1: What will TDKR's weekend gross be? 3000 73.256 Bonus 2: What will TDKR's worldwide weekend (5 days count) gross be? 5000 185.659 Bonus 3: What finishes in spots: 3 Ice Age 4 5 The Amazing Spider-Man 7 Brave 9 Savages 13 Madagascar 3 2000 each, 5000 bonus if all 5 correct.

Don't know how widespread it was, but I can vouch that my local theater cancelled all 9 and later shows last night to alleviate line up problems for Dark Knight Rises midnights.

1) Will The Dark Knight break the opening day record? 5000 Yes 2) Will TDKR make at least 100.05 million OD? 3000 No 3) Will TDKR make less than 74.087 mill OD? 3000 No 4) Will TDKR make more than 12 mill OW in Australia? 2000 Yes 5) Will TDKR make more than 5 mill OW in Spain? 2000 Yes 6) Will TDKR make more than 25 mill OW in UK? 2000 Yes 7) Will TDKR have a Saturday drop of more than 30%? Yes 8) Will TDKR make more than 30 mill at midnight? Yes 9) Will TDKR make more than 15.95 mill at IMAX domestically? Yes 10) Will TDKR have a per theater average of more than $47,698? No 11) Will TDKR have a cinemascore of A+? Yes 12) Will TDKR make at least 60.05 mill on Sunday? No 13) Will TDKR make at least 57.5 mill on Sunday? Yes 14) Will TDKR drop less than 15% on Sunday? Yes 15) Will TDKR make at least 150 mill more than ASM, IA4 and Ted combined? Yes 16) Will TDKR make more than 185 mill OW? 2000 Yes 17) Will TDKR make more than 192 mill OW? 2000 Yes 18) Will TDKR make more than 208 mill OW? 2000 No 19) Will TDKR make less than 174.738 mill OW? 2000 No 20) Will TDKR have a world wide debut of more than 300 mill? Yes 21) Will TDKR have a world wide debut or more than 325 mill? Yes 22) Will TDKR have a world wide debut of less than 280 mill? No 23) Will the top 10 films combine to make more than 260 million? Yes 24) Will ASM drop less than 55.5%? Yes 25) Will ASM have a Friday increase of more than 50%? No 26) Will ASM have a Saturday increase of more than 25%? Yes 27) Will ASM's 6 day (including the BS Canadian Monday previews) be more than TDKR's first two days? No 28) Will Nikki's first Friday report come out before 1pm PST time (just go to deadline and see when she posts her tentpoles)? Yes 29) Will Nikki's first posting about TDKR contain the phrase "NOT A RECORD" anywhere in the post? No 30) Will Nikki's first "projection" about TDKR be higher than the number reported with official Friday estimates? 3000 Yes 31) On the first three days, will BKB post anywhere at anytime about how the film is not meeting expectations from a box office standpoint? Yes 32) Will the Weekend Numbers thread (this starts with Thurs midnights and goes until Sunday estimates) reach 300 pages by 9AM on Monday July 23rd? (I'll keep track) Yes 33) Will IA4 drop less than 50%? No 34) Will MM drop less than 45%? No 35) Will any film in the top 12, besides MM drop less than 45%? Yes 36) Will Moonrise Kingdom make more than MAD3? Yes 37) Will The Avengers drop less than 55%? No 38) Will Prom, MIB and SWATH all drop more than 58%? Yes 39) Will The Hunger Games fall less than 25%? No 40) Will The Intouchables fall less than 15%? No Bonus 1: What will TDKR's weekend gross be? 5000 203.565 Bonus 2: What will IA4's weekend gross be? 5000 22.365 Bonus 3: What will ASM's weekend gross be? 5000 18.632 Bonus 4: What will TDKR, Avengers and Tyler Perry's combined gross be? 5000 210.489 Bonus 5: What finishes in spots: 6 Magic Mike 8 Moonrise Kingdom 10 Mad 3 11 Rome 13 Beasts of the Southern Wild 2000 each and a bonus of 5000 if all correct Bonus 6: According to the International Report in the International section (first report will be the one we go by), Internationally, what finishes in spots: 3 The Amazing Spider-Man 4 Ted 6 Brave 2000 each one correct and a bonus of 3000 if all three correct.

1) Will TDKR make more than 30 mill at midnight? Yes 2) Will TDKR make more than 74 mill OD? Yes 3) Will TDKR make more than 81 mill OD? Yes 4) Will TDKR make more than DH2 OW? Yes 5) Will TDKR make more than 190.5 mill OW? Abstain

1) Will Ice Age debut to more than 41.7 mill? Yes 2) Will Ice Age increase by more than 10% on Saturday? No 3) Will ASM drop more than 47.5%? No 4) Will ASM's Sunday to Sunday decline be more than 45%? No 5) Will Katy Perry finish higher than Moonrise Kingdom? No 6) Will To Rome With Love increase? No 7) Will Madea fall less than 57%? No 8) Will Mad3 have a better drop than Brave? No 9) Will ASM and Savages combine to make more than Ice Age? Yes 10) Will any film in the top 12 have a Saturday increase of more than 45%? Yes 11) Will any Pg or G rated film in the top 12 have a Friday increase of more than 50%? No 12) Will Prometheus fall less than 50% No Bonus 1: What will ASM's Friday and Saturday gross be total? (Take Fri's gross, add it to Sat, what you do get?) 23.563 Bonus 2: What will the combined grosses of Savages, Avengers and People Like Us be? 9.876 Bonus 3: What finishes in spot: 4 Brave 5 Magic Mike 7 Madea 11 To Rome with Love 13 People Like Us

SOTM 8 More than 280M

1) Will Spidey make more than 55 mill? Yes 2) Will Spidey have a Friday increase of more than 20%? Yes 3) Will Spidey have a Saturday increase of more than 15%? Yes 4) Will Katy Perry have a 4 day of more than 22 mill? No 5) Will Savages make more than 15 mill? No 6) Will MM fall less than 60%? No 7) Will Ted fall less than 45%? Yes 8) Will Madea fall less than 59%? No 9) Will Avengers fall less than 30%? No 10) Will Prometheus fall less than 50%? No 11) Will Ted increase more than 30% on Saturday? No 12) Will Ted and MM make more combined that Spidey does? No Bonus 1: What will ASM's three day total be? 63.267 Bonus 2: What will ASM's 6 day total be? 137.865 Bonus 3: What finishes in spots: 6 Madea 8 Moonrise 9 Abe 11 Snow White