TylerDurden365

1) Will HTTYD2 OPEN to more than 63 mill? Yes 2) Will 22JS open to number 2? Yes 3) Will FIOS place 3 rd? Yes 4) Will the films in spots 3-4-5-6 combine to make more than position 2? No 5) Will HTTYD and 22JS combine to make more than 125 mill? Yes 6) Will Maleficent have a Friday increase of more than 68%? Yes 7) Will any film have more than a 60% Saturday increase? No 8) Will 22JS make more than 7 mill for Thurs? No 9) Will HTTYD make more than 1.8 mill on Thurs? Yes 10) Will EOTdecrease by less than 45%? No 11) Will Godzilla still suck? Nope 12) Will ASM2 have a Saturday increase of more than 45%? Yes 13) Will Million Ways drop more than 41%? Yes 14) Will any film increase on Thurs? ( openers dont count) Yes 10/12 3000 11/12 5000 12/12 8000 Bonus 1) what will be the drop percentage wise for Fault in Our Stars? 5000 -59.319% Bonus 2) What will be the cumulative total fpr the top ten films? 5000 185.936 Bonus 3) what will x-men gross internationally this weekend? 5000 30.597 Bonus 4) what will Frozen worldwide total be after this weekend? 5000 1.268b Bonus 5) (to be pmed to me) what famous Hollywood personality did some uncredited rewrites on the gene Hackman and Denzel Washington Submarine movie Crimson Tide? (3000).

ABSTAIN FOR BOTH PARTS

Transformers: Age of Extinction

1) Will Fault in our Stars have a bigger Thursday than Edge of Tomorrow? Yes 2) Will Fault in our Stars open to number one? Yes 3) Will Fault in our Stars open to more than 35 million? Yes 4) Will Fault in our Stars open to less than 45 million? No 5) Will Edge of Tomorrow open to more than 25 million? Yes 6) Will Edge of Tomorrow gross more than 80 million WW? Yes 7) Will Maleficent drop less than 50.5%? No 8) Will DOFP have a Friday increase of more than 70% Yes 9) Will DOFP drop by less than 45%? Yes 10) Will Godzilla increase by more than 45% on Saturday? Yes 11) Will Blended fall less than 40%? Yes 12) Will any film in the top 12 have a Saturday increase of more than 75%? Yes 13) Will Million Ways make more than Blended and Neighbors combined? No 14) Will Fault in our Stars have at least an A- cinemascore? Yes 15) Will Fault in our Stars open to more than 60 mill? (for all the loonies) No 12/15 3000 13/15 5000 14/15 7000 15/15 10,000 Bonus 1: What will be the combined gross of Fault and Edge? 5000 87.548 Bonus 2: What will Godzilla's drop be this weekend? 5000 -47.281% Bonus 3: What will be the best Friday increase % wise? (not the film, but the actual number...so if you think Million Ways to die will have the best Friday increase, and you think it will increase 97.55%, your answer will simply be 97.55%, I don't need the movie) 5000 91.639% What finishes in spots: 1 The Fault in our Stars 2 Edge of Tomorrow 3 Maleficent 8 Neighbors 12 The Other Woman 15 The Grand Budapest Hotel

1) Will Maleficent open to more than 60 mill? Yes 2) Will Million Ways open to more than 33 mill? No 3) Will Grand Seduction have a theater average of more than $4500? No 4) Will Grand Seduction finish in the top 25? Yes 5) Will X-men fall less than 62.5%? No 6) Will Million Dollar Arm make more than ASM2 and The Other Woman, combined? No 7) Will Maleficent have a WW weekend of more than 135 mill? Yes 8) Will any film (not including any films that might have expanded in theater count by more than 100 theaters) have a Friday increase of more than 100%? Yes 9) Will Million Ways make more than X-men? No 10) Will Million Ways and Maleficent combine to make more than 4 million from Thursday shows? Yes 11) Will Blended drop less than 50%? No 12) Will any Memorial Day film that finished in the top 5 fall less than 50%? No 13) Will Godzilla fall less than 6% on Thursday? No 14) Will ASM2 fall less than 5% on Thursday? Yes 12/14: 3000 13/14: 5000 14/14: 7000 Bonus 1: What will Godzilla's Saturday's gross be? 4000 6.875 Bonus 2: What will the combined gross of Million Ways and Maleficent be? 5000 101.564 Bonus 3: If you add up the % drops of TOW, Blended and Neighbors, what is your total? 5000 (so if TOW drops 50%, Blended drops 50% and Neighbors drops 50%, your answer is 150%) 143.397% Bonus 4: What finishes in spots: 10 Chef 12 Belle 15 Divergent 16 Mom's Night Out 17 Grand Seduction

2) What film finishes with the highest total? X-Men: Days of Future Past 6) What film will have the highest total in Portugal? X-Men: Days of Future Past

Name any film that will not have at least a 3 multiplier (note, if you choose to answer this one, and you feel that no film will miss a 3X, you can answer "none")? Think Like a Man Too What will have the best total? Maleficent What will have the best opening day? 22 Jump Street

1) Will X-men make more than 9 mill on Thurs/midnight? 2000 No 2) Will Blended's OD be more than X-men's Thurs/midnight? 2000 No 3) Will X-men make more than 110 mill for the 4 DAY? 2000 Yes 4) Will X-men fall less than 8.2% on Sunday? No 5) Will Blended make more than 27.5 mill? No 6) Will Godzilla fall less than 45.5% No 7) Will any film fall less than 25%? Yes 8) Will any film (not including Godzilla) fall more than 44.7%? Yes 9) Will Captain America have one of the two best Saturday increases? Yes 10) Will any film increase more than 185% on Friday? Yes 11) What film will have the softest decrease on Sunday? Captain America: The Winter Soldier 12) Will Million Dollar Arm increase (for the 4 day)? Yes 13) Will ASM2 decrease by more than 50% No 14) Will ASM2 decrease by more than 18.5% on Monday? No 15) Will X-men have a WW weekend of more than 225 mill? Yes 12/15 3000 13/15 5000 14/15 7000 15/15 9000 ( I think the degree of difficulty this weekend is higher than others, hence the large amount of points being offered) Bonus 1: What will X-men gross for the 4 day? 5000 117.458 Bonus 2: What will Godzilla gross for the 3 day? 5000 40.248 Bonus 3: What will be the combined weekend 3 day gross for The Other Woman, Blended and Heaven is For Real? 5000 27.384 Bonus 4: (Estimates {on Sunday only} will count) What will X-men gross WW for the 3 day? Closest 3 people to this will each receive 5000 pts. 224.713 What finishes in spots: 4 Neighbors 6 Million Dollar Arm 8 Heaven is for Real 10 Captain America: The Winter Soldier 13 Divergent 2000 each 5000 bonus if all five correct.

7) The Heat: 159.582

X-Men: Days of Future Past - May 29, 2014

1) Will Million Dollar Arm open to more than 23.5 million? No 2) Will Million Dollar Arm have an opening day of more than 8.5 million? No 3) Will Neighbors and Million Dollar Arm combine to come within 20 million of Godzilla? No 4) Will Godzilla open to more than 66.4 million? Yes 5) Will Godzilla make at least 150 million WW by the time estimates come out? Yes 6) Will Godzilla gross more than 7.5 mill in Russia? Yes 7) Will Amazing Spider-man fall less than 50%? No 8) Which film will have the softer drop? MNO or LOO:DR? MNO 9) Will ASM's Saturday be within 16 million of Godzilla's? No 10) Will Godzilla make more than 3.5 million on Thursday? Yes 11) Will Neighbors have a Saturday increase of more than 25%? Yes 12) Name any two movies that will drop more than 35% on Sunday. Must get both films to get points (if you don't think two will drop more, then just put the one that will or put none). Godzilla, The Amazing Spider-Man 2 13) Will TOW finish within 18 million of ASM2? No 14) Will MDA place in second? No 15) Will any film have a 200% increase on Friday? Yes 12/15 3000 13/15 4000 14/15 6000 15/15 9000 Bonus 1: What will Godzilla gross? 4000 74.485 Bonus 2: What will TOW gross? 4000 6.546 Bonus 3: What will the combined gross be of Godzilla, GBH and Rio be? 5000 80.895 Bonus 4: What % will ASM2 drop internationally? Note: we will use the 69.5 mill from the report this weekend. Only Sunday report will count. Monday actuals do not come into play. -35.587 Bonus 5: What will Frozen gross in Japan for the weekend? 6000 (for this question only, the three closest players will get the points) 8.745 What finishes in spots: 5000 7 Captain America: The Winter Soldier 8 Rio 2 9 Legends of Oz 13 God's Not Dead 15 Bears

1) Will Neighbors open in first? 2000 Yes 2) Will ASM 2 fall more than Spider-man 3 did in it's second weekend? 2000 No 3) Will ASM2's Friday to Friday decrease ( from the 35.167 number) be more than 75%? No 4) Which film will open higher, MNO or LOO:DR? Mom's Night Out 5) Will Neighbors be number one on Friday (including Thurs) Yes 6) Will The Other Woman fall more than 34.4%? Yes 7) Will Divergent stay in the top 10? Yes 8) Will Neighbors get at least an A cinemascore? Yes 9) Will more than 2 films in the top 15 have a Saturday increase of more than 74%? Yes 10) Will Transcendence finish ahead of Haunted House 2? No 11) Will The Other Woman and Neighbors combine to make more than 8 million in Australia this weekend (TOW has been on fire there, it will more than likely pass ASM2 in Australia this week)? Yes 12) How many films will have a drop of less than 40%? 4 10/12 3000 11/12 4000 12/12 6000 What will Neighbors Friday gross be (including early showings on Thurs) 3000 18.865 What will ASM2's gross be for the weekend? 3000 37.156 What will Captain America TWS's gross be? 3000 5.254 What finishes in spots: 4 Mom's Night Out 5 Heaven is for Real 6 Captain America: The Winter Soldier 10 Divergent 2000 each, 5000 bonus if all four correct.

2) Will Neighbors finish higher than ASM2 this weekend? Yes

1) Will ASM2 make more than 35 mill OD? 5000 Yes 2) Will ASM2 make less than 30 mill OD? 3000 No 3) Will ASM2 make more than 37.5 M OD mill OD? 3000 No 4) Will ASM2 make more than 7M OW in Brazil? 2000 Yes 5) Will ASM2 make more than 90 mill OW? 2000 Yes 6) Will ASM2 make more than 100 mill OW? 2000 No 7) Will ASM2 have a Saturday drop of more than 8%? Yes 8) Will ASM2 make more than 10 mill at midnight/thurs? No 9) Will ASM2 make more than 10 mill at IMAX domestically? No 10) Will ASM2 have a per theater average of more than $23,200? Yes 11) Will ASM2 have a cinemascore of A or better? No 12) Will ASM2 fall less than 33% on Sunday? No 13) Will ASM2 make at least 60 mill more than positions 2 and 3 combined? Yes 14) Will ASM2 have a world wide weekend of more than 200 mill? No 15) Will the top 10 films combine to make more than 130 million? No 16 Will Captain2 drop less than 50.5%? Yes 17) Will Captain2 have a Friday increase of more than 125%? Yes 18) Will The Other Woman drop more than 41%? No 19) Will Nikki or Deadline's posting about ASM2 contain the phrase "NOT A RECORD" anywhere in the post at any time on the weekend? No 20) Will the first posted "projection" about ASM2 be higher than the number reported with official Friday estimates? 3000 Yes 21) Will The Quiet Ones drop less than 55%? No 22) Will HIFR drop less than 45%? Yes 23) Will any film in the top 12 drop less than 35%? Yes 24) Will Walk of Shame have a per theater average of more than $3000? No 25) Will Transcendence stay in the top 15? Yes 26) Will Transcendence drop more than 70%? Yes 27) Will any film have a Saturday increase of more than 85%? Yes 28) Will Rio 2 have a Friday increase of more than 75%? Yes 29) Will Draft Day stay in the top 13? No 30) Will Divergent increase more than 40% on Saturday? Yes 25/30 3000 26/30 4000 27/30 7,000 28/30 10,000 29/30 12,000 30/30 24,000 Bonus 1-4 are to 3 decimal points please. Only one person will get the bonus per question. Bonus 1: What will ASM2 weekend gross be? 5000 90.253 Bonus 2: What will TOW's weekend gross be? 5000 18.546 Bonus 3: What will Brick Mansion's weekend gross be? 5000 3.823 Bonus 4: What will the combined gross be for The Quiet Ones, Oculus and Transcendence? 5000 4.146 Bonus 5: What finishes in spots: 4 Captain America: The Winter Soldier 5 Rio 2 10 Transcendence 11 Divergent 13 The Grand Budapest Hotel

1) Will ASM2 make more than Captain America 2 did on Thursday? NO 2) Will ASM2 make more than Cap2 on OD? NO 3) Will ASM2 make more than Cap2 did on OW? NO 4) Will ASM2 fall more than 67% on Monday? YES 92.235 MILLION

Oh, and go Cap.

Here's the thing. DiCaprio is a draw because, domestically, his name means quality to a certain type of audience. This quality often stems from the fact that he works with quality directors who make quality films. Depp, on the other hand, has chosen to go down a more "kid friendly" blockbuster path. Both have the name recognition internationally to make their movies a success but one slipping domestically compared to the other seems to be largely a consequence of what their names mean to American moviegoers.

Anecdotal evidence I know but the evening sell outs have picked up a great deal in my town out on the west coast including an IMAX sell out. Wouldn't be shocked if this ends up closer to the mid 60 end of the range discussed. Not the super high numbers I know most expected, but it's a successful opening by any reasonable objective standard. Lionsgate will still see a massive profit on this.

Congrats to Kitik for playing a hell of a game and thank you to Baumer for running a hell of a game. I'm satisfied with my top 10 finish...this time. Next time, I want it all.

Ugh. All year hanging around the top 5 and then I get knee capped at the end. Oh well, such is the way these things go I suppose.

1) Will One Direction open to more than 19.5 mill? Yes 2) Will any film increase more than 12.5% on Sunday? Yes 3) Will Paranoia fall less than 35%? No 4) Will Getaway open to more than Hardball did? No 5) Will Closed Circuit open to more than 16.775 mill for the 6 day? No 6) Will Mortal Instruments fall less than 32.5%? Yes 7) Will You're Next increase more than 5% on Sunday? Yes 8) Will MI have a Monday drop of less than 15% No 9) Will The Butler finish in the top 2 on Monday? Yes 10) Will Millers finish in the top 3? Yes 11) Will any animated film in the top 50 drop less than 12.25%? Yes 12) Will Man of Steel fall less than 15% for the 4 day? Yes 13) Will WHD fall more than 15% for the 4 day? Yes 14) Will Will any film in the top 20 increase more than 200%? Yes 15) Will any film in the top 10 have an increase of more than 17.5% for the 4 day? Yes 12/15 3000 13/15 6000 14/15 9000 15/15 15000 What finishes in spots: 5 The World's End 6 Getaway 10 You're Next 11 Blue Jasmine 13 Monsters University Bonus 1: What will the top three films add up to on Thursday? 10,000 4.135 Bonus 2: What will the top 5 films add up to on Friday? 10,000 17.854 Bonus 3: What will the top 3 films add up to on Sunday? 15,000 14.543 Bonus 4: What will the combined grosses of DM2, Smurfs 2 and Butler add up to for the 3 day? 10,000 19.556 Bonus 5: What will the combined % drop be for Millers, Kick Ass 2 and World's End for the three day? 15,000 -85.435%

1) What film finishes number one? The Butler 2) Will any film finish with more than 25 mill? No 3) Will The World's End finish with more than 8.75 mill? No 4) Will You're Next have an opening day of more than 9 mill? No 5) Will The Butler fall less than 26%? No 6) Will KA2 fall less than 52.5%? No 7) Will Jobs have a Friday increase of more than 66.7%? Yes 8) Will Paranoia...never mind, who cares. Any answer will do. Party time. 9) Will Miller's finish in the top 5? Yes 10) Will The Butler finish higher than any of the openers? Yes 11) Will Wolverine have a Saturday increase of more than 34%? Yes 12) Will Despicable Me fall more than 33%? Yes 13) Will 2 Guns fall more than 45%? No 14) Which film of these 4 has the best drop? Smurfs, DM2, Planes, Turbo. Planes 15) Will Mortal Instruments have a Thursday drop of more than 22.5%? Yes 12/15 4000 13/15 6000 14/15 8000 15/15 10,000 What finishes in spots: 3 We're the Millers 5 The Mortal Instruments 7 Elysium 9 Percy Jackson 11 2 Guns 2000 each 7000 for all 5 spots Bonus 1: What is Mortal Instruments 5 day gross? 4000 13.255 Bonus 2: What do the three openers add up to for the 3 day? 4000 29.546

Total: The Butler

1) What film finishes in first spot? The Butler 2) What film finishes in second spot for Friday? Kick-Ass 2 3) Will any film open to more than 25 mill? Yes 4) Will The Butler open to more than 20 mill? Yes 5) Will Kick Ass 2 open to more than 20 mill? Yes 6) Will Paranoia open to more than 12 mill? No 7) Will Jobs open to more than 8 mill? No 8) Will Elysium fall less than 58.5%? Yes 9) Will Miller's fall more than 45%? No 10) Will Percy Jackson have a Friday increase of more than 50%? Yes 11) Will Planes have a Saturday increase of more than 35%? Yes 12) Will Wolverine stay in the top 12? Yes 13) Will DM2 finish within at least a million of Smurfs? No 14) Will Blackfish fall more than 20%? No 15) Is RIPD a joke of a box office run? Hell Yes 12/15 4000 13/15 5000 14/15 7000 15/15 10,000 Bonus 1: What will the four openers add up to? 5000 60.348 Bonus 2: What does the top 10 add up to? 5000 116.854 Bonus 3: What finishes in spots: 1 The Butler 2 Kick-Ass 2 3 We're the Millers 4 Elysium 8 2 Guns 9 Paranoia