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Heretic

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Everything posted by Heretic

  1. Astonishing for Top Gun, this is just an insane performance, and has got me absolutely hooked on following box office again.
  2. That’s great, hoping for £10m 3 day, which would be only a 12% drop from last Fri-Sun
  3. Not surprised tbh, it can’t keep increasing from the already insane numbers we’ve been seeing this week. Is it still above £3m?
  4. Definitely WOM too, and also British audiences do tend to like these type of films anyway, so it’s likely a lot of different factors at play that is leading to this exceptional run.
  5. This is what I don’t understand either. Perhaps the jubilee is helping in a way with the heightened patriotism across the country, and especially the fly by of over 70 military planes and jets in London yesterday. But again, this isn’t a British subject so it’s a bit baffling.
  6. There is. But even Monday and Tuesday weren’t far off from OD, and they were normal working days, and Wednesday which was also a normal working day was above the OD.
  7. Yeah, the numbers have been truly bonkers across the pond aswell. Looks set to potentially stay flat in the UK over Wed-Sun from the already huge 5 day opening of £15.9m ($20m) last week.
  8. This is having an absolutely unbelievable run, especially considering this is about the American military, not the British. This is on par with any recent Bond performance/NWH at this point.
  9. Amazing number, higher than OD last Wednesday again. I reckon today will be slightly down or flat, and probably similar throughout the 4 day weekend. Wondering how high this will go now. Assuming it’s around £35m by Sunday, £50m is virtually certain to happen, but the question is how much higher? It will lose PLF/IMAX to JW next week which I think will have quite a significant impact, but maybe it can regain some of those screens afterwards. But I guess that depends on contracts.
  10. It is. I think maybe it stays flat, but doubt it increases that much to £4m. This is already skewing older which means that weekday performance even without holidays is stronger than family films. Also the fact that premium formats are limited but in high demand, as well as the extended holiday may mean business is more spread out. Quite difficult to predict, but given this is already performing at such a high level, I don’t see big increases even with the holidays.
  11. Wtf is going on! Higher than OD. This is truly incredible for Top Gun, and today it should surely stay flat/slightly increase as tomorrow and Friday are both holidays. Looking like the 5 day could stay nearly flat from the opening 5 days. Tue 2.9 (~£21.3m total) Wed 3 Thu 2.5 Fri 3 Sat 3.5 Sun 2.5 £14.5m 5 day (9% drop), and £35.8m total (~$45m) It will be difficult to predict increases over the weekend, I have a feeling they will be quite muted due to the extended holiday.
  12. Damn!! So over £2m Monday. Looking like this could turn into a special run
  13. Looking around, tonight looks as busy as the weekend. Gonna be a big Monday.
  14. It’s possible, but depends how well it holds when JW opens. It was completely flat on Sunday as per Philip which is very rare. I expect it’ll be past £30m by Sunday. A 3x multi from the 5 day would be £47.7m.
  15. Possibly could have had a bit of an impact with an English team in the final, but I don’t think anything that significant. A lot of people are off work this week to take advantage of the three day working week, so that’ll also have boosted Sunday evening shows.
  16. UK actuals also up ~$0.7m, and looks to have just breached the $20m mark (£15.9m opening)
  17. HUGE! That means 3-day weekend was around £11.2m. Sunday drop must have been very small. Up £0.6m from estimates. £15.9m is also just over $20m with current rates.
  18. Top Gun looks busy today, and pre sales for Wednesday are basically acting like a Friday night. Expecting a huge 7 days coming up, and a soft drop today. Wonder if this has a chance at £50m. That would be quite something, but the arrival of Jurassic World might stop that from happening by taking its premium screens. The two can co-exist though.
  19. $19.4m, so around £15.3m. Excellent opening. There is a 4 day holiday weekend coming up with Thursday and Friday both being bank holidays, so I expect at least another £10m or so from the 4 day. Probably near £30m by next Sunday which would be $37-38m depending on ER. $40m is probably tough but we’ll see how well it holds. It’s also half term this week, but don’t think that’ll provide much of a benefit to Top Gun.
  20. Also, Top Gun isn’t aimed at kids and families, so Saturday bump wouldn’t be as strong
  21. Great Friday bump, looking like at least £14m 5-day then which is around $17.7m with current rates.
  22. This is incredible for Top Gun. Must say I’ve become a bit disenchanted with BO over the last few years especially, but this opening brings me back to the times where films unexpectedly broke out and became absolutely huge. I know this was already tracking for a big opening, but I don’t think an opening on this level was expected. An A+ cinemascore and WOM clearly through the stratosphere, it’ll be a very exciting run ahead. Would be some story if Top Gun took the summer crown.
  23. That is a great OD. Pre-sales look stronger for Friday than they did for OD, but not sure about £15m yet. Depends on its Saturday bump, but at least £13m should be doable with that OD
  24. Pre sales are strong in IMAX/premium formats but elsewhere I’m not seeing anything out of the ordinary that points to a £20m opening… I guess we’ll see
  25. £20m!? I must admit I haven’t been looking into pre-sales much but I doubt it goes that high. If it does that would be one of the most impressive openings ever.
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