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Everything posted by Spidey Freak
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150M is a reasonable guess but I don't think Homecoming is the right comp for this because the market couldn't be any different. Homecoming came out in the shadow of Wonder Woman which had incredible legs and had sealed the title of movie of the summer. HC also was the 3rd big superhero film in just 2 months after GOTG2 and WW and the 4th in 4 months counting Logan, so anticipation for it had dissipated somewhat. OTOH, the market is currently bare and the anticipation is just building for The Batman, and will continue to do till March barring awful reviews or mass shutdowns.
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"MCU adjacent" = Films that Amy Pascal vaguely tries to pass off as connected to the MCU like Venom. Not NWH which is MCU proper lol. As for Batman and 200M, let's see. There's a reason NWH opened well above 200M and Homecoming/FFH despite all being MCU films and that's because it had a big hook of its own and was the most anticipated pandemic film so far. The Batman doesn't have as big a hook as NWH but then again we aren't expecting it to open at 260M either. I'll peg 200M OW as 50:50 right now as it's hotly anticipated and the first superhero film to follow NWH, with the perfect gap in release dates to build up demand. 200M will come down to the reviews and how they affect the hype.
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MLK 2021 Weekend Thread | Scream 3.5 Previews
Spidey Freak replied to The Wild Eric's topic in Numbers and Data
Not now. Later when the mutants have been established so that one of the crossover movies can put out a poster based on this wild 80's promo art -
Spiderman : No Way Home - Box office thread
Spidey Freak replied to LPLC's topic in International Box Office
Wow, superheroes really are a religion in Brazil. -
I don't think Elgort would significantly hurt the BO prospects of a random movie but an adaptation of an NY set interracial romance Broadway musical whose target demo are left-leaning crowds, especially progressive women? I think he definitely put them off from at least making it a pandemic must see like Gucci. It's also the reason why I think you are very right that Harry would have taken it to blockbuster status as his fanbase would have been interested in the film if HE were in it.
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Spiderman : No Way Home - Box office thread
Spidey Freak replied to LPLC's topic in International Box Office
I had no idea it hadn't opened in the Philippines until today. It's a big market for Spider-Man. Insane to think NWH is crossing Ultron and would have crossed TA1 without China and Philippines in less than a month. -
Spiderman : No Way Home - Box office thread
Spidey Freak replied to LPLC's topic in International Box Office
I mean, we'll never know about Shang-Chi. It might have easily beaten Detective Chinatown 3 WW. -
Weekday Numbers (1/3-6) | 7.9 Spider Monday
Spidey Freak replied to The Wild Eric's topic in Numbers and Data
Ehh... Into the Spider-Verse is still the best Spidey film and some people still swear by the Raimi films. Also don't see Marvel ever making something as dumb and amazing as the Venom films.