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Everything posted by spizzer
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Thursday Preview & Midnight Numbers Archive
spizzer replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Numbers and Data
Looking for Indy 4, Hancock, QoS, SATC (all 08 films) -
Thursday Preview & Midnight Numbers Archive
spizzer replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Numbers and Data
ROPOTA: $1.254 million, http://boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=3236&p=s.htmStar Trek: ~$3 million, http://boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=2584&p=.htm (had to calculate this one)X-Men Origins: Wolverine: nearly $5 million, http://boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=2582&p=.htmTerminator: Salvation: $3 million, http://boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=2588&p=.htm -
Thursday Preview & Midnight Numbers Archive
spizzer replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Numbers and Data
Watchmen: $4.55 million, http://boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=2957&p=.htm -
Thursday Preview & Midnight Numbers Archive
spizzer replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Numbers and Data
Alright, cool. Thanks -
Thursday Preview & Midnight Numbers Archive
spizzer replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Numbers and Data
Super 8: $500,000, and $1 million in Thursday previews, http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/box-office-report-super-8-196858Paranormal Activity 2: $6.3 million, http://boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=2957&p=.htm -
Thursday Preview & Midnight Numbers Archive
spizzer replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Numbers and Data
Fast Five: $3.8 million, http://boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=3151&p=.htmFast and Furious: $1.8 million, http://boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=3151&p=.htm -
Thursday Preview & Midnight Numbers Archive
spizzer replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Numbers and Data
Don't see anything, but I'm sure when the new one comes out, BOM will provide it to us -
I'd probably have to do some other sort of calculation. I'm not sure that just adding a few million here and there is going to give a very accurate answer. Looking back at the last time July 4th fell on that Sunday, in 2004, Spidey 2 was the major Wednesday opener, and it didn't decrease on that Saturday. So I don't know, I'll stick with this for now, until someone more knowledgeable than I ever takes a look at this. http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?view=7day&sortdate=2004-07-02&p=.htm
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So after reading Shawn's theory about Wednesday openers (in which he says the 4 day is a good indicator of what the film would've made on a conventional 3 day weekend), I'm estimating that Eclipse would've opened to $144.3m. Then, I took the midnight out of the total gross for NM and Eclipse, then did the same with their respective OW figures. New Moon: 116.6 OW, 270.4 Total Eclipse: 114.2 OW, 270.4 Total Now, I calculated the overall multiplier using these figures, what I call the adjusted multiplier, and they were remarkably similar New Moon: 2.32 Eclipse: 2.37 Average: 2.345 Now I take Breaking Dawn's OW estimate of $139m and subtract the midnights for an adjusted weekend of $109m. Applying the multiplier to this weekend figure yields $255.6m. Now, adding in the midnight figure gives an expected 285.6m
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Thursday Preview & Midnight Numbers Archive
spizzer replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Numbers and Data
At World's End is strangeThe midnight is $3 million, but it had Thursday night previews of $13.2 millionhttp://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=2320&p=s.htm -
Thursday Preview & Midnight Numbers Archive
spizzer replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Numbers and Data
Thor: $3.25 million, http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=3216&p=s.htmCaptain America: $4 million, http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=3216&p=s.htmThe Incredible Hulk:??X-Men: First Class: $3.38 million, http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=3216&p=s.htmGreen Lantern: $3.35 million, http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=3216&p=s.htm -
Thursday Preview & Midnight Numbers Archive
spizzer replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Numbers and Data
Toy Story 3: $4 million, http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=2825&p=s.htmAvatar: $3.537 million, http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=2635&p=s.htmInception: $3 million, http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=2860&p=.htm -
Thursday Preview & Midnight Numbers Archive
spizzer replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Numbers and Data
POTM: $6-8 million, http://www.boxoffice...id=1171&p=s.htmAOTC: $6.2 million, BOM verifies, http://www.boxoffice...id=1823&p=s.htm -
Thursday Preview & Midnight Numbers Archive
spizzer replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Numbers and Data
Well there's the top 20, unless I'm missing something -
Thursday Preview & Midnight Numbers Archive
spizzer replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Numbers and Data
GOF: $6.3 million, http://insidemovies....ght-box-office/POA: around $5 million, http://www.boxoffice...rry-potter.html (Xia-Yun's site, I've asked him about the source) -
Thursday Preview & Midnight Numbers Archive
spizzer replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Numbers and Data
SM1: $7 million, http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=1823&p=s.htmSM2: ?? -
Thursday Preview & Midnight Numbers Archive
spizzer replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Numbers and Data
Twilight: over $7 million, http://www.boxoffice...id=2514&p=s.htm -
Thursday Preview & Midnight Numbers Archive
spizzer replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Numbers and Data
IM2: $7.5 million, http://www.boxoffice...id=2762&p=s.htmIM: ?? -
Thursday Preview & Midnight Numbers Archive
spizzer replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Numbers and Data
Lord of the Rings, http://www.boxoffice...id=1284&p=s.htmROTK: $8 millionTTT: $4 millionFOTR: $ 4 million -
Thursday Preview & Midnight Numbers Archive
spizzer replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Numbers and Data
Fixed, and found the source -
Thursday Preview & Midnight Numbers Archive
spizzer replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Numbers and Data
Hangover 2: $10.4 million, http://www.boxoffice...?id=3171&p=.htmSM3: $10 million, (looking for source)DMC: $9 million, http://www.boxoffice...id=2111&p=s.htmPA3: $8 million, http://www.boxoffice...id=3294&p=s.htmTF3: $8 million, http://www.boxoffice...?id=3197&p=.htm -
Thursday Preview & Midnight Numbers Archive
spizzer replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Numbers and Data
DH2: $43.5 million, http://www.boxoffice...?id=3209&p=.htm BD1: $30.25 million, http://www.boxoffice...?id=3310&p=.htm Eclipse: $30.1 million, http://www.boxoffice...?id=3310&p=.htm NM: $26.27 million, http://www.boxoffice...?id=2625&p=.htm DH1: $24.0 million, http://www.boxoffice...?id=2987&p=.htm HBP: $22.8 million, http://www.deadline....post-midnights/ THG: $19.735 million https://twitter.com/...219315032592384 TA: $18.7M http://www.deadline....china-openings/ TDK: $18.5 million, http://www.boxoffice...id=2504&p=s.htm ROTS: $16.9 million, http://boxofficemojo...?id=1824&p=.htm ROTF: $16.8 million, http://boxofficemojo...?id=2601&p=.htm OOTP: $12.0 million, http://boxofficemojo...?id=2987&p=.htm Hangover 2: $10.4 million, http://www.boxoffice...?id=3171&p=.htm SM3: $10 million, http://boxofficemojo...?id=2762&p=.htm DMC: $9 million, http://www.boxoffice...id=2111&p=s.htm PA3: $8 million, http://www.boxoffice...id=3294&p=s.htm TF3: $8 million, http://www.boxoffice...?id=3197&p=.htm ROTK: $8 million, http://www.boxoffice...id=1284&p=s.htm IM2: $7.5 million, http://www.boxoffice...id=2762&p=s.htm Twilight: over $7 million, http://www.boxoffice...id=2514&p=s.htm SM1: $7 million, http://www.boxoffice...id=1823&p=s.htm GOF: $6.3 million, http://insidemovies....ght-box-office/ PA2: $6.3 million, http://boxofficemojo...?id=2957&p=.htm TPM: $6-8 million, http://www.boxoffice...id=1171&p=s.htm AOTC: $6.2 million, BOM verifies, http://www.boxoffice...id=1823&p=s.htm X-Men: The Last Stand: $5.9 million, http://boxofficemojo...?id=2078&p=.htm POA: around $5 million, http://www.boxoffice...rry-potter.html X-Men Origins: Wolverine: nearly $5 million, http://boxofficemojo...?id=2582&p=.htm Watchmen: $4.55 million, http://boxofficemojo...?id=2957&p=.htm Indy 4: $4.5 million, http://www.variety.c...le/VR1117986317 TTT: $4 million, http://www.boxoffice...id=1284&p=s.htm FOTR: $ 4 million, http://www.boxoffice...id=1284&p=s.htm Captain America: $4 million, http://www.boxoffice...id=3216&p=s.htm Toy Story 3: $4 million, http://www.boxoffice...id=2825&p=s.htm Fast Five: $3.8 million, http://boxofficemojo...?id=3151&p=.htm Avatar: $3.537 million, http://www.boxoffice...id=2635&p=s.htm Tron: Legacy: ~$3.5 million, http://www.boxoffice...id=3017&p=s.htm X-Men: First Class: $3.38 million, http://www.boxoffice...id=3216&p=s.htm Green Lantern: $3.35 million, http://www.boxoffice...id=3216&p=s.htm Thor: $3.25 million, http://www.boxoffice...id=3216&p=s.htm Terminator: Salvation: $3 million, http://boxofficemojo...?id=2588&p=.htm Sex and the City 2: $3 million, http://www.boxoffice...id=2795&p=s.htm Inception: $3 million, http://www.boxoffice...?id=2860&p=.htm AWE: $3 million, http://www.boxoffice...id=2320&p=s.htm Star Trek: ~$3 million, http://boxofficemojo...?id=2584&p=.htm (had to calculate this one) 300: $2.5 million, http://www.boxoffice...id=2557&p=s.htm Sex and the City: $2.5 million, http://www.boxoffice...id=2795&p=s.htm Quantam of Solace: ~$2.5 million, http://www.boxoffice...id=2557&p=s.htm Jackass 3D: $2.5 million, http://www.boxoffice...?id=2950&p=.htm The Devil Inside: $2 million http://www.deadline....nights-cost-1m/ Fast and Furious: $1.8 million, http://boxofficemojo...?id=3151&p=.htm Immortals: $1.4 million, http://www.hollywood...x-office-260656 ROPOTA: $1.254 million, http://boxofficemojo...id=3236&p=s.htm SH2: $1.25M http://www.deadline....rising-preview/ Project X: 1.15 million http://www.boxoffice...-midnight-shows MI4: $1.1M http://www.deadline....rising-preview/ The Hangover: $1 million, http://www.boxoffice...?id=3171&p=.htm Wrath of the Titans: $1 million http://www.deadline....o-1m-midnights/ 2012: $1.0 million, http://www.deadline....rst-box-office/ Scream: >$1.0 million, http://boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=3138 Last Exorcism: $750,000, http://www.boxoffice...id=2902&p=s.htm Cowboys & Aliens: $700,000, http://www.hollywood...favreaus-217298 Battle: LA: $700,000 http://www.hollywood...x-office-260656 21 Jump Street: $700,000 http://www.deadline....tralia-opening/ Green Hornet: $550,000, http://www.deadline....mma-disastrous/ Super 8: $500,000, http://www.hollywood...-super-8-196858 John Carter: $500,000 http://www.hollywood...e-russia-298092 Titanic 3D - $250,000 http://www.deadline...._medium=twitter -
NoVA/DC Friday/Saturday Sellout Comparison: 6 sellouts as of 4:30PM EST, versus 19 yesterday. *Note, yesterday, most sellouts were evening shows. Today, evening shows haven't sold as much yet, but there are more day time sellouts.
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Only counted 6 sellouts for today so far. Yesterday at this time there were 19, although there's obviously been more daytime sellouts today.
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With $73.5 million, Friday comes out to $43.25. New Moon's IM:30.3 midnights43.3 Friday39.4 Saturday25.9 Sunday138.8 OWDH1's IM:30.3 midnights43.3 Friday43.9 Saturday28.8 Sunday146.2 OWI'm thinking something right in between that, but closer to New Moon's trajectory. Should do about 140