Tower Posted November 3, 2015 Author Share Posted November 3, 2015 8 minutes ago, Fullbuster said: So, MJ2/ The Good Dinosaur/ Star Wars 7..What do you expect in Israel? MJ2 should be big, THG franchise is always big, MJ1 dropped quite a bit from CF, but MJ2 is a finale with more action, so I would predict it to go halfway back to CF. The Good Dinosaur is the big Animation for December and its Pixar so it should be OK, but animations never do as will in the winter compared with the Summer, so don't expect Inside Out numbers. SW7 is hard to say, ROTS and AOTC didn't make much, but that was quite a long time ago, I would predict it to make more than those (if it's good) but I don't expect huge numbers. But the biggest film for the rest of the year should be Spectre, since Skyfall was a monster, Spectre should drop from that without its WOM but still be huge. estimates: 1) Spectre: 4M 2) MJ2: 3M 3) The Good Dinosaur: 2.2M 4) SW7: 1.5M It is quite possible for something else to make more than these (particularly SW7) but those aren't franchise films and would be almost impossible to predict. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tower Posted November 10, 2015 Author Share Posted November 10, 2015 The weekend of November 5-8: Film Weekend Gross Total gross drop weeks in release Spectre 756,309 756,309 1 The Intern 105,289 1,253,059 -21% 6 The Martian 92,644 1,554,996 -31% 6 Hotel Transylvania 2 84,883 1,804,006 20% 7 Paranormal Activity 5 77,991 173,952 -19% 2 Pan 42,028 417,258 28% 5 Black Mass 38,994 224,445 -40% 3 Everest 38,272 1,428,364 -35% 7 Goosebumps 13,887 142,897 -41% 4 Spectre has a solid opening, increasing 15% from Skyfall. Still, if Spectre wants to match Skyfall's 4.82M it will have to follow this up with good holds, Skyfall actually increased in its second weekend on its way to a 7.3 multiplier. Spectres opening had no significant effect on the other films though whose drops were all fine, with the children's fare increasing significantly and Paranormal Activity decreasing 19% while having the biggest gross of the franchise after two weeks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tower Posted November 17, 2015 Author Share Posted November 17, 2015 (edited) The weekend of November 12-15: Film Weekend Gross Total gross drop weeks in release Spectre 489,067 1,250,085 -35% 2 The Intern 85,666 1,401,266 -19% 7 Steve jobs 68,880 68,880 1 The Martian 65,578 1,663,159 -29% 7 Paranormal Activity 5 63,865 265,476 -18% 3 Hotel Transylvania 2 55,072 1,873,555 -35% 8 Everest 26,839 1,475,542 -30% 8 Pan 26,297 448,727 -37% 6 Black Mass 22,485 266,026 -42% 4 Goosebumps 9,902 156,418 -29% 5 Spectre's drop isn't bad in general, but it is nowhere near Skyfall, which increased 5.5% in its second weekend. Edited November 25, 2015 by Tower 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tower Posted November 25, 2015 Author Share Posted November 25, 2015 The weekend of November 19-22: Film Weekend Gross Total gross drop weeks in release Spectre 284,031 1,745,137 -42% 3 The Intern 55,994 1,512,502 -35% 8 Hotel Transylvania 2 53,069 1,940,684 -4% 9 Steve jobs 43,007 156,417 -43% 2 The Martian 32,059 1,724,673 -53% 8 Paranormal Activity 5 29,429 314,134 -54% 4 Pan 22,264 476,774 -15% 7 Black Mass 9,817 284,614 -56% 5 Everest 9,223 1,507,711 -66% 9 Goosebumps 8,484 167,803 -14% 6 MJ2 opened this weekend, but it is a Lionsgate release, so it's a problem getting numbers, hopefully there will be something at some point in the run. Spectre falls hard and is nowhere near Skyfall. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tower Posted December 2, 2015 Author Share Posted December 2, 2015 The weekend of November 26-29: Film Weekend Gross Total gross drop weeks in release Bridge Of Spies 243,558 243,558 1 Spectre 175,388 2,055,638 -38% 4 The Good Dinosaur 173,067 173,067 1 The Intern 43,930 1,602,282 -22% 9 By The Sea 38,968 41,451 1 Hotel Transylvania 2 31,449 1,984,193 -41% 10 The Martian 25,570 1,773,608 -20% 9 Paranormal Activity 5 19,936 349,226 -32% 5 Steve jobs 18,599 181,761 -57% 3 Pan 12,824 496,662 -42% 8 Everest 8,133 1,519,656 -12% 10 Goosebumps 5,024 173,367 -41% 7 That is a good opening for Bridge Of Spies, 33% higher than Captain Phillips which finished with a Million. Bad for TGD though, the Worst for Pixar on record. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tower Posted December 2, 2015 Author Share Posted December 2, 2015 Pixar openings: Up: 495K (508K) Inside Out: 423K Toy Story 3: 391K Wall-E: 260K Ratatouille: 259K Monsters University: 257K (265K) Brave: 234K (236K) Cars 2: 207K (208K) The Good Dinosaur: 173K Not good, and Unlike the other films it doesn't have summer weekdays for legs. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tower Posted December 9, 2015 Author Share Posted December 9, 2015 The weekend of December 3-6: Film Weekend Gross Total gross drop weeks in release Bridge Of Spies 223,427 490,624 -8% 2 Spectre 124,218 2,260,032 -29% 5 The Night Before 120,757 120,757 1 The Good Dinosaur 116,246 289,362 -33% 2 Capture The Flag 41,584 41,584 1 Peanuts 35,973 35,973 1 The Intern 28,600 1,661,146 -35% 10 The Martian 17,763 1,803,695 -31% 10 Hotel Transylvania 2 16,826 2,009,067 -46% 11 Goosebumps 3,666 177,574 -27% 8 The Night Before has a decent but not special opening. Peanuts flops, opening below Spanish animation Capture The flag. As for holdovers Bridge Of Spies does well, and is still tracking well ahead of Captain Phillips, currently almost 100K more after 2 weeks. Spectre's later legs seem good, It won't come anywhere near Skyfall, but it is still big numbers and has already easily beat both CR and QOS. No good news for TGD, it still has Hanukkah bump this week, but it will still end up with a bad number for a Pixar release. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tower Posted December 16, 2015 Author Share Posted December 16, 2015 The weekend of December 10-13: Film Weekend Gross Total gross drop weeks in release The Good Dinosaur 487,903 803,824 320% 3 Capture The Flag 237,138 278,557 470% 2 Bridge Of Spies 220,217 803,824 -1% 3 Peanuts 164,740 200,571 358% 2 The Night Before 150,982 340,440 25% 2 Hotel Transylvania 2 145,426 2,200,323 764% 12 Spectre 141,030 2,453,087 14% 6 The Intern 31,820 1,717,602 11% 11 Our Brand Is Crisis 29,272 29,272 1 Goosebumps 11,936 196,189 226% 9 Hanukkah is here and with it some huge increases for the animated films, that range between +320% for TGD and a crazy +764% for HT2. We will see big decreases after this, the reasonable max we will see for TGD shouldn't be more than 1.3M. HT2's incredible increase means that its 12th weekend is its second biggest overall behind the second weekend (Which also had a holiday) with the OW in third. Next week sees the release of Star Wars and not much else. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tower Posted December 22, 2015 Author Share Posted December 22, 2015 (edited) The weekend of December 17-20: Film Weekend Gross Total gross drop weeks in release Star Wars 7 1,069,016 1,069,016 1 Bridge Of Spies 162,500 1,096,637 -26% 4 The Night Before 101,138 487,093 -33% 3 The Good Dinosaur 84,884 1,113,401 -83% 4 Spectre 63,431 2,595,993 -55% 7 Capture The Flag 46,708 450,989 -80% 3 Peanuts 35,630 302,940 -78% 3 The Intern 17,132 1,751,823 -46% 12 Our Brand Is Crisis 10,974 40,666 -63 2 Hotel Transylvania 2 7,654 2,231,696 -95% 13 Goosebumps 3,218 202,488 -73% 10 Star Wars has the Fourth biggest opening that I know of (not sure what Catching Fire made but there is a good chance it made more), behind Fast 6, Fast 7 and HP8 Fast 7 also made more in its second weekend). No point in comparing to other Star Wars, as SW7 has already made more ROTS. My early projection for the total would be 3M. Edited December 29, 2015 by Tower 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tower Posted December 29, 2015 Author Share Posted December 29, 2015 The weekend of December 24-27: Film Weekend Gross Total gross drop weeks in release Star Wars 7 610,530 1,680,949 -43% 2 Joy 154,727 154,727 1 Bridge Of Spies 115,961 1,309,508 -29% 5 The Night Before 65,157 588,096 -36% 4 The Good Dinosaur 55,689 1,311,714 -34% 5 Spectre 37,862 2,678,437 -40% 8 Capture The Flag 36,854 566,542 -21% 4 Peanuts 23,462 380,670 -34% 4 The Intern 11,223 1,778,538 -34% 13 Hotel Transylvania 2 5,228 2,237,873 -32% 14 Goosebumps 2,108 204,760 -34% 11 SW7 drops similarly to what Hobbit 3 did last year, if it continues on the same trajectory, it will finish somewhere in the 2.5M-3M range. Joy has one of those decent but uneventful openings. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tower Posted December 30, 2015 Author Share Posted December 30, 2015 I made this top 10 of all time for another thread but I'll repost it here: Rank Film gross ($M) Year 1 Avatar 13.541 2009 2 Titanic 8.538 1997 3 The Smurfs 6.473 2011 4 Furious 7 5.823 2015 5 Minions 5.632 2015 6 Alice In Wonderland 5.053 2010 7 Smurfs 2 4.944 2013 8 Inside Out 4.845 2015 9 Skyfall 4.819 2012 10 Fast 6 4.634 2013 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tower Posted December 30, 2015 Author Share Posted December 30, 2015 (edited) And here are all the 24 films that made over $1M in 2015 (Bold films are still in release, * for spongebob is because something is off with the numbers, it probably made more): Rank Film gross ($M) 1 Furious 7 5.823 2 Minions 5.632 3 Inside Out 4.845 4 Ted 2 3.043 5 Jurassic World 2.796 6 Spectre 2.678 7 Fifty Shades of Grey 2.601 8 Taken 3 2.403 9 Mission Impossible 5 2.354 10 Hotel Transylvania 2 2.238 11 Avengers 2 2.021 12 The Martian 1.804 13 The Intern 1.779 14 Star Wars 7 1.681 15 Everest 1.541 16 San Andreas 1.52 17 Spongebob* 1.481* 18 Vacation 1.391 19 Ant-Man 1.336 20 Spy 1.321 21 The Good Dinosaur 1.312 22 Home 1.303 23 Bridge Of Spies 1.301 24 Maze Runner 2 1.192 Israel must be the only country where Ted 2 beat JW AOU and likely SW7. Edited December 31, 2015 by Tower 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tyrannyreborn Posted December 31, 2015 Share Posted December 31, 2015 On 12/29/2015 at 11:51 PM, Tower said: The weekend of December 24-27: Film Weekend Gross Total gross drop weeks in release Star Wars 7 610,530 1,680,949 -43% 2 Joy 154,727 154,727 1 Bridge Of Spies 115,961 1,309,508 -29% 5 The Night Before 65,157 588,096 -36% 4 The Good Dinosaur 55,689 1,311,714 -34% 5 Spectre 37,862 2,678,437 -40% 8 Capture The Flag 36,854 566,542 -21% 4 Peanuts 23,462 380,670 -34% 4 The Intern 11,223 1,778,538 -34% 13 Hotel Transylvania 2 5,228 2,237,873 -32% 14 Goosebumps 2,108 204,760 -34% 11 SW7 drops similarly to what Hobbit 3 did last year, if it continues on the same trajectory, it will finish somewhere in the 2.5M-3M range. Joy has one of those decent but uneventful openings. So, TFA grossed $0m during the weekdays? There must be a mistake. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tower Posted December 31, 2015 Author Share Posted December 31, 2015 29 minutes ago, tyrannyreborn said: So, TFA grossed $0m during the weekdays? There must be a mistake. Yeah, but these are the numbers that BOM and thenumbers have, and I don't really have an answer, the same thing happened with Spectre in its second weekend, but it continued normally after that. The only one around here who could have an answer is RTH. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tyrannyreborn Posted December 31, 2015 Share Posted December 31, 2015 9 hours ago, Tower said: Yeah, but these are the numbers that BOM and thenumbers have, and I don't really have an answer, the same thing happened with Spectre in its second weekend, but it continued normally after that. The only one around here who could have an answer is RTH. I'm not saying it's your fault. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tower Posted January 5, 2016 Author Share Posted January 5, 2016 (edited) The Weekend of December 31-January 3: Film Weekend Gross Total gross drop weeks in release Star Wars 7 361,119 2,318,857 -41% 3 Joy 111,433 266,409 -28% 2 Creed 104,269 104,269 1 In The Heart Of The Sea 87,345 87,345 1 Bridge Of Spies 78,359 1,459,875 -32% 6 The Good Dinosaur 66,341 1,394,610 19% 6 The Night Before 54,710 664,562 -16% 5 Capture The Flag 47,366 622,526 29% 5 Peanuts 36,302 421,668 55% 5 Spectre 24,509 2,732,288 -35% 9 Hotel Transylvania 2 6,923 2,245,959 32% 15 Goosebumps 1,619 206,399 -23% 12 Star Wars is on pace to around 3M, should be a close fight with Ted 2 for fourth biggest film of 2015. Creed and In The Heart Of The See both open to boring and unimpressive numbers. Edited January 6, 2016 by Tower 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tower Posted January 5, 2016 Author Share Posted January 5, 2016 Looking into 2016, there are only 2 obvious huge films, the only films likely to pass 3M are IA5 and Finding Dory. Something else might break out but, there are no obvious candidates. But as usual there should be plenty of films in the 2M-3M range. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tower Posted January 12, 2016 Author Share Posted January 12, 2016 (edited) The weekend of January 7-10: Film Weekend Gross Total gross drop weeks in release Star Wars 7 229,671 2,721,552 -36% 4 Daddy's Home 205,189 205,189 1 Creed 71,489 174,367 -31% 2 Joy 66,742 419,084 -40% 3 Bridge Of Spies 57,934 1,575,974 -26% 7 In The Heart Of The Sea 54,630 140,810 -37% 2 The Good Dinosaur 52,750 1,473,439 -20% 7 Capture The Flag 48,759 683,556 3% 6 Peanuts 28,765 455,021 -21% 6 The Night Before 23,862 704,027 -56% 6 Hotel Transylvania 2 4,265 2,250,631 38% 16 Goosebumps 1,579 207,979 -2% 13 SW7 has been holding up well and will clearly pass 3M now. Daddy's Home has good, but not amazing, opening. Edited January 13, 2016 by Tower 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tower Posted January 20, 2016 Author Share Posted January 20, 2016 January 14-17: Film Weekend Gross Total gross drop weeks in release Daddy's Home 184,779 392,606 -10% 2 Star Wars 7 155,318 2,973,168 -32% 5 Joy 62,831 541,956 -6% 4 Creed 62,024 268,548 -13% 3 Bridge Of Spies 50,451 1,662,686 -13% 8 The Danish Girl 43,210 43,210 1 In The Heart Of The Sea 42,024 209,990 -23% 3 Capture The Flag 36,556 728,887 -25% 7 The Good Dinosaur 34,334 1,522,682 -35% 8 The Night Before 19,181 728,198 -20% 7 Hotel Transylvania 2 4,009 2,254,695 -6% 17 Goosebumps 1,377 209,356 -13% 14 Daddy's Home holds well and if it keeps up with good holds, could make it to a million. SW7 looking to finish around 3.3M. Next weekend brings The Revenant which with the Oscar buzz plus Leo I expect to end up being big. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A District 3 Engineer Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Joy is doing very well 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...