chasmmi's Winter 2015 Game: Domestic Top 15 Prediction Standings

[Infernus]

Of all these creed will probably be the only one where I don't lose points...

Edited December 3, 2015 by Infernus

[Wrath]

On 11/26/2015, 11:07:21, WrathOfHan said:

I need Peanuts to leg it to 130M so I don't lose anything. I'll be getting nice gains on Spies and Goosebumps at least.

 

Laughing at people is really rude, so when Goosebumps finishes at 79.5M I promise to only laugh at you behind your back.

 

Edit - And then the Box Office gods will laugh at both of us when Goosebumps finishes 16th.

Edited December 3, 2015 by Wrath

[WrathOfHan]

14 minutes ago, Wrath said:

 

Laughing at people is really rude, so when Goosebumps finishes at 79.5M I promise to only laugh at you behind your back.

 

Edit - And then the Box Office gods will laugh at both of us when Goosebumps finishes 16th.

Uh, ok.

[Wrath]

3 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Uh, ok.

 

Because I'm at 88, and you're at 90. Plus, we had that disagreement over where exactly Goosebumps was going to end up a while back.

[That One Girl]

Rip me, I forgot creed and included Night Before

[Dementeleus]

50 minutes ago, ThatOneGuy said:

Rip me, I forgot creed and included Night Before

 

We will all miss at least one or two.

 

I didn't include BRIDGE OF SPIES, for example, because while I pegged the final gross pretty accurately (I had it finishing in the low-70s) it was #16 in my overall predictions.

[grey ghost]

1 hour ago, Telemachos said:

 

We will all miss at least one or two.

 

I didn't include BRIDGE OF SPIES, for example, because while I pegged the final gross pretty accurately (I had it finishing in the low-70s) it was #16 in my overall predictions.

 

Bridge of Spies might not make the top 15.

 

It will be close.

 

I wish I picked Goosebumps instead.

[MovieMan89]

5 hours ago, grey ghost said:

 

Bridge of Spies might not make the top 15.

 

It will be close.

 

I wish I picked Goosebumps instead.

I think both will still make top 15. Assuming BoS finished with 75 or so, there needs to be 9 more films to hit 75m+ (besides TGD and Creed) before the game ends for it not to make it. SW and KFP3 are locks obviously and Joy, The Hateful Eight, and Ride Along 2 should all do it. Daddy's Home and 13 Hours are maybes. So that's 7. Anything else is a long shot. Zoolander and Deadpool only have about a week to gross, so that's why they're long shots. 

Edited December 4, 2015 by MovieMan89

[Wrath]

8 hours ago, MovieMan89 said:

I think both will still make top 15. Assuming BoS finished with 75 or so, there needs to be 9 more films to hit 75m+ (besides TGD and Creed) before the game ends for it not to make it. SW and KFP3 are locks obviously and Joy, The Hateful Eight, and Ride Along 2 should all do it. Daddy's Home and 13 Hours are maybes. So that's 7. Anything else is a long shot. Zoolander and Deadpool only have about a week to gross, so that's why they're long shots. 

 

Yeah, I was looking back over my pre-season predictions and somehow I expected Deadpool to open to around $40M and then somehow end up at like $130M despite it only getting that week and one more weekend. I guess all it has to do is do double its OW on its second weekend and I'll look like a genius instead of an idiot.

[WrathOfHan]

The only thing on my list I regret is The Revenant. Looking back I should have never predicted 140M  

[Wrath]

2 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:

The only thing on my list I regret is The Revenant. Looking back I should have never predicted 140M  

 

Since it's going to do 181M and you'll feel silly?

[Wrath]

13 hours ago, MovieMan89 said:

I think both will still make top 15. Assuming BoS finished with 75 or so, there needs to be 9 more films to hit 75m+ (besides TGD and Creed) before the game ends for it not to make it. SW and KFP3 are locks obviously and Joy, The Hateful Eight, and Ride Along 2 should all do it. Daddy's Home and 13 Hours are maybes. So that's 7. Anything else is a long shot. Zoolander and Deadpool only have about a week to gross, so that's why they're long shots. 

 

This is painful to say, but I think Roadchip should be on your list of locks to do 75M.

 

Chipwrecked made me want to carve my eyes out with a spoon, but it made $133M and almost got a 6x multiple, and the first two were 200M+. Sure, Star Wars is going to try to club this one like a baby harp seal, but the Alvin movies simply won't die. Chipwrecked opened the *same weekend* as Sherlock Holmes (186M) and Ghost Protocol (209M) yet still had legs for days.

 

I'm sure it'll be down from Chipwrecked, and will probably even be under 100M, but there's no way it'll be under 75M even if it gets god-awful reviews. The *best* reviewed of the series was the first one, and it came in at 27% RT and a 4.4 rating. It laughed its way to 217M DOM.

Edited December 4, 2015 by Wrath

[Dementeleus]

ALVIN's gonna do $100m+. Mark it, dude.

[laguy03]

Current Domestic Top 15 Standings

As of December 6^th, 2015:

If your prediction is in GOLD, then you are within $2 MILLION and get 30,000 points!
If your prediction is in PURPLE, then you are within $5 MILLION and get 25,000 points!
If your prediction is in LIGHT BLUE, then you are within $10 MILLION and get 20,000 points!
If your prediction is in BLUE then you are within $20 MILLION and get 15,000 points!
If your prediction is in GREEN, then you are within $30 MILLION and get 10,000 points!
If your prediction is in BLACK then you are SAFE!
If your prediction is in RED, then you are over the film's final total by at least $40 MILLION and lose at least 10,000 points!

OCTOBER
GOOSEBUMPS (16/27)
bcf26 - $126M
Kayumanggi - $105M
Chasmmi - $104M
DAJK - $103M
99 Trees - $102M
The Background Character - $100M
The Panda - $95M
WrathofHan - $90M
Wrath - $88M
Misafeco - $87M
MovieMan89 - $83M
Filmovie - $83M
Telemachos - $82M
CURRENT TOTAL - $78.06M
laguy03 - $78M
Darkelf - $77M
Jajang - $73M

BRIDGE OF SPIES (16/27)
Infernus - $155M
Jajang - $153M
Blankments - $144M
DamienRoc - $122M
DAJK - $121M
MikeyKaye42 - $120M
Darkelf - $110M
Grey ghost - $90M
Filmovie - $87M
WrathofHan - $85M
Chasmmi - $85M
Alfredstellar - $85M
99 Trees - $80M
The Background Character - $80M
MovieMan89 - $78M
bcf26 - $77M
CURRENT TOTAL - $68.59M
Avi - $60M

CRIMSON PEAK (1/27)
MikeyKaye42 - $105M
CURRENT TOTAL - $31.09M

OUR BRAND IS CRISIS (1/27)
Glassfairy - $156M
CURRENT TOTAL $6.98M

THE PEANUTS MOVIE (27/27)
MikeyKaye42 - $300M
Avi - $277M
The Background Character - $250M
DAJK - $217M
Infernus - $215M
Misafeco - $199M
bcf26 - $190M
Exxdee - $180M
Glassfairy - $178M
Alfredstellar - $178M
Kalo - $178M
WrathofHan - $170M
DamienRoc - $168M
laguy03 - $165M
chasmmi - $160M
Kayumanggi - $155M
Filmovie - $153M
MovieMan89 - $150M
Jajang - $149M
Blankments - $148M
Darkelf - $146M
Baumer - $145M
99 Trees - $142M
Grey ghost - $135M
CURRENT TOTAL - $121.48M
The Panda - $120M
Wrath - $106M
Telemachos - $105M

SPECTRE (27/27)
Chasmmi - $335M
MikeyKaye42 - $330M
Avi - $323M
The Background Character - $320M
Blankments - $319M
bcf26 - $310M
The Panda - $300M
laguy03 - $300M
Kayumanggi - $290M
Kalo - $285M
Infernus - $285M
DamienRoc - $283M
WrathofHan - $280M
Exxdee - $280M
DAJK - $277M
Jajang - $277M
Grey ghost - $275M
Telemachos - $272M
MovieMan89 - $270M
Misafeco - $270M
Baumer - $260M
Alfredstellar - $258M
Darkelf - $251M
Glassfairy - $250M
99 Trees - $248M
Wrath - $246M
Filmovie - $238M
CURRENT TOTAL - $184.62M

The 33 (2/27)
Blankments - $122M
Baumer - $120M
CURRENT TOTAL - $11.67M

 

THE HUNGER GAMES: MOCKINGJAY PART 2 (27/27)
Blankments - $445M
Jajang - $429M
MikeyKaye42 - $415M
Infernus - $415M
MovieMan89 - $410M
The Background Character - $410M
Baumer -- $405M
Chasmmi - $404M
DAJK - $404M
Misafeco - $400M
laguy03 - $395M
Kalo - $387M
DamienRoc - $387M
99 Trees - $384M
WrathofHan - $380M
Exxdee - $380M
The Panda - $380M
Kayumanggi - $380M
Darkelf - $378M
bcf26 - $375M
Filmovie - $373M
Alfredstellar - $372M
Telemachos - $359M
Avi - $344M
Grey ghost - $335M
Glassfairy - $326M
CURRENT TOTAL - $227.37M
Wrath – N/A

THE NIGHT BEFORE (7/27)
The Panda - $140M
MikeyKaye42 - $125M
The Background Character - $110M
Darkelf - $101M
Chasmmi - $95M
Filmovie - $91M
laguy03 - $86M
CURRENT TOTAL - $32.09M

THE GOOD DINOSAUR (27/27)
bcf26 - $385M

Blankments - $373M

MovieMan89 - $340M

The Panda - $340M

Avi - $321M

laguy03 - $315M

Infernus - $305M

99 Trees - $301M

Glassfairy - $301M

MikeyKaye42 - $295M

WrathofHan - $290M

The Background Character - $290M

Misafeco - $280M

DamienRoc - $274M

Chasmmi - $272M

Kayumanggi - $265M

Kalo - $264M

Alfredstellar - $261M

Baumer - $260M

Darkelf - $249M

DAJK - $247M

Telemachos - $247M

Wrath - $245M

Filmovie - $245M

Exxdee - $220M

Grey ghost - $220M

Jajang - $213M
CURRENT TOTAL - $75.76M

CREED (23/27)
Avi - $214M

MikeyKaye42 - $200M

WrathofHan - $150M

Glassfairy - $149M

DamienRoc - $148M

Infernus - $140M

Baumer - $130M

Telemachos - $121M

Chasmmi - $117M

Kayumanggi - $115M

Kalo - $112M

laguy03 - $111M

DAJK - $110M

Alfredstellar - $108M

The Panda - $105M

Jajang - $100M

Wrath - $97M

Grey ghost - $95M

Exxdee - $90M

Misafeco - $90M

Darkelf - $84M

99 Trees - $83M

MovieMan89 - $75M
CURRENT TOTAL - $64.59M

KRAMPUS (1/27)
bcf26 - $75M
CURRENT TOTAL - $16.29M

Edited December 8, 2015 by laguy03

[laguy03]

Current Top 15 Films of Winter (as of 11.06.15):

1. The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 2 - $227,369,547
2. Spectre - $184,618,701
3. The Peanuts Movie - $121,484,253
4. Goosebumps - $78,058,808
5. The Good Dinosaur - $75,763,488
6. Bridge of Spies - $68,589,003
7. Creed - $64,586,859
8. The Night Before - $32,097,356
9. Crimson Peak - $31,090,320
10. The Last Witch Hunter - $27,111,660
11. Love the Coopers - $22,698,271
12. Paranormal Activity: The Ghost Dimension - $18,300,124
13. The Secret in Their Eyes - $17,225,077
14. Spotlight - $16,505,705
15. Krampus - $16,293,325

Current Top 15 Total: $1,001,792,497

[Blankments]

On 12/3/2015, 5:12:02, Telemachos said:

 

We will all miss at least one or two.

 

I didn't include BRIDGE OF SPIES, for example, because while I pegged the final gross pretty accurately (I had it finishing in the low-70s) it was #16 in my overall predictions.

That's me with Creed this game and Mad Max last game

 

[laguy03]

Current Domestic Top 15 Standings

As of December 13^th, 2015:

If your prediction is in GOLD, then you are within $2 MILLION and get 30,000 points!
If your prediction is in PURPLE, then you are within $5 MILLION and get 25,000 points!
If your prediction is in LIGHT BLUE, then you are within $10 MILLION and get 20,000 points!
If your prediction is in BLUE, then you are within $20 MILLION and get 15,000 points!
If your prediction is in GREEN, then you are within $30 MILLION and get 10,000 points!
If your prediction is in BLACK, then you are SAFE!
If your prediction is in RED, then you are over the film's final total by at least $40 MILLION and lose at least 10,000 points!

OCTOBER
GOOSEBUMPS (16/27)
bcf26 - $126M
Kayumanggi - $105M
Chasmmi - $104M
DAJK - $103M
99 Trees - $102M
The Background Character - $100M
The Panda - $95M
WrathofHan - $90M
Wrath - $88M
Misafeco - $87M
MovieMan89 - $83M
Filmovie - $83M
Telemachos - $82M
CURRENT TOTAL - $78.34M
laguy03 - $78M
Darkelf - $77M
Jajang - $73M

BRIDGE OF SPIES (16/27)
Infernus - $155M
Jajang - $153M
Blankments - $144M
DamienRoc - $122M
DAJK - $121M
MikeyKaye42 - $120M
Darkelf - $110M
Grey ghost - $90M
Filmovie - $87M
WrathofHan - $85M
Chasmmi - $85M
Alfredstellar - $85M
99 Trees - $80M
The Background Character - $80M
MovieMan89 - $78M
bcf26 - $77M
CURRENT TOTAL - $69.46M
Avi - $60M

CRIMSON PEAK (1/27)
MikeyKaye42 - $105M
CURRENT TOTAL - $31.09M

OUR BRAND IS CRISIS (1/27)
Glassfairy - $156M
CURRENT TOTAL $6.99M

THE PEANUTS MOVIE (27/27)
MikeyKaye42 - $300M
Avi - $277M
The Background Character - $250M
DAJK - $217M
Infernus - $215M
Misafeco - $199M
bcf26 - $190M
Exxdee - $180M
Glassfairy - $178M
Alfredstellar - $178M
Kalo - $178M
WrathofHan - $170M
DamienRoc - $168M
laguy03 - $165M
chasmmi - $160M
Kayumanggi - $155M
Filmovie - $153M
MovieMan89 - $150M
Jajang - $149M
Blankments - $148M
Darkelf - $146M
Baumer - $145M
99 Trees - $142M
Grey ghost - $135M
CURRENT TOTAL - $124.99M
The Panda - $120M
Wrath - $106M
Telemachos - $105M

SPECTRE (27/27)
Chasmmi - $335M
MikeyKaye42 - $330M
Avi - $323M
The Background Character - $320M
Blankments - $319M
bcf26 - $310M
The Panda - $300M
laguy03 - $300M
Kayumanggi - $290M
Kalo - $285M
Infernus - $285M
DamienRoc - $283M
WrathofHan - $280M
Exxdee - $280M
DAJK - $277M
Jajang - $277M
Grey ghost - $275M
Telemachos - $272M
MovieMan89 - $270M
Misafeco - $270M
Baumer - $260M
Alfredstellar - $258M
Darkelf - $251M
Glassfairy - $250M
99 Trees - $248M
Wrath - $246M
Filmovie - $238M
CURRENT TOTAL - $190.81M

The 33 (2/27)
Blankments - $122M
Baumer - $120M
CURRENT TOTAL - $11.87M

 

THE HUNGER GAMES: MOCKINGJAY PART 2 (27/27)
Blankments - $445M
Jajang - $429M
MikeyKaye42 - $415M
Infernus - $415M
MovieMan89 - $410M
The Background Character - $410M
Baumer -- $405M
Chasmmi - $404M
DAJK - $404M
Misafeco - $400M
laguy03 - $395M
Kalo - $387M
DamienRoc - $387M
99 Trees - $384M
WrathofHan - $380M
Exxdee - $380M
The Panda - $380M
Kayumanggi - $380M
Darkelf - $378M
bcf26 - $375M
Filmovie - $373M
Alfredstellar - $372M
Telemachos - $359M
Avi - $344M
Grey ghost - $335M
Glassfairy - $326M
CURRENT TOTAL - $244.60M
Wrath – N/A

THE NIGHT BEFORE (7/27)
The Panda - $140M
MikeyKaye42 - $125M
The Background Character - $110M
Darkelf - $101M
Chasmmi - $95M
Filmovie - $91M
laguy03 - $86M
CURRENT TOTAL - $38.44M

THE GOOD DINOSAUR (27/27)
bcf26 - $385M
Blankments - $373M
MovieMan89 - $340M
The Panda - $340M
Avi - $321M
laguy03 - $315M
Infernus - $305M
99 Trees - $301M
Glassfairy - $301M
MikeyKaye42 - $295M
WrathofHan - $290M
The Background Character - $290M
Misafeco - $280M
DamienRoc - $274M
Chasmmi - $272M
Kayumanggi - $265M
Kalo - $264M
Alfredstellar - $261M
Baumer - $260M
Darkelf - $249M
DAJK - $247M
Telemachos - $247M
Wrath - $245M
Filmovie - $245M
Exxdee - $220M
Grey ghost - $220M
Jajang - $213M
CURRENT TOTAL - $89.48M

CREED (23/27)
Avi - $214M

MikeyKaye42 - $200M

WrathofHan - $150M

Glassfairy - $149M

DamienRoc - $148M

Infernus - $140M

Baumer - $130M

Telemachos - $121M

Chasmmi - $117M

Kayumanggi - $115M

Kalo - $112M

laguy03 - $111M

DAJK - $110M

Alfredstellar - $108M

The Panda - $105M

Jajang - $100M

Wrath - $97M

Grey ghost - $95M

Exxdee - $90M

Misafeco - $90M

Darkelf - $84M

99 Trees - $83M
CURRENT TOTAL - $79.32M

MovieMan89 - $75M

KRAMPUS (1/27)
bcf26 - $75M
CURRENT TOTAL - $28.56M

IN THE HEART OF THE SEA (11/27)
Baumer - $175M

Misafeco - $130M

Jajang - $124M

MikeyKaye42 - $120M

The Panda - $115M

Blankments - $105M

Filmovie - $103M

Kalo - $102M

DamienRoc - $87M

Chasmmi - $78M

99 Trees - $73M
CURRENT TOTAL - $11.05M

THE BIG SHORT (1/27)
Glassfairy - $106M
CURRENT TOTAL - $.71M

Edited December 22, 2015 by laguy03

[laguy03]

Current Top 15 Films of Winter (as of 12.13.15):

1. The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 2 - $244,604,272
2. Spectre - $190,812,769
3. The Peanuts Movie - $124,993,074
4. The Good Dinosaur - $89,478,014
5. Creed - $79,322,155
6. Goosebumps - $78,342,382
7. Bridge of Spies - $69,464,434
8. The Night Before - $38,439,358
9. Crimson Peak - $31,090,320
10. Krampus - $28,564,085
11. The Last Witch Hunter - $27,241,706
12. Love the Coopers - $24,662,013
13. Spotlight - $20,302,802
14. The Secret in Their Eyes - $19,268,902
15. Paranormal Activity: The Ghost Dimension - $18,300,124

Current Top 15 Total: $1,084,886,410

[laguy03]

Sorry for the super late update. I will post this past weekend's update by tomorrow!

[That One Girl]

Man, I'm flopping...