MovieMan89

They will regret this.

I can’t fathom how a company as business savvy as Disney can still be pushing through with the WDW reopening plans given the state of Florida. Even if they don’t care about safety, it doesn’t even make sense from a business perspective. They are relying on locals to fuel business right now, and WDW runs on tourism. Not even mentioning how they set themselves up to be massacred in the media if an outbreak happens at the parks with the cases being so high right now. There would be no way for them to spin it to make themselves look good, their stock and image would dive hard.

9000 new cases reported here in Florida today. No chance Disneyworld will reopen on July 12, Disney would just be asking for a pr nightmare.

It certainly seems as though any semblance of a summer movie slate is done for right now.

The biggest problem here is an original film isn’t the kind of movie that’s going to be the one to break covid stigma for theater going. Even a Nolan one. This is absolutely a sacrificial lamb if they’re sticking with summer release.

1. The Empire Strikes Back 2. The Force Awakens 3. Return of the Jedi 4. A New Hope 5. Revenge of the Sith 6. Solo 7. Rogue One 8. The Phantom Menace 9. Attack of the Clones 10. The Rise of Skywalker 11. The Last Jedi

It’s funny, I was just saying the other day to my friend who was asking about how Disney was going to survive all this money hemorrhaging from Corona that they probably made a billion dollar profit off of endgame alone last year. Turns out, that wasn’t even far off. Absolutely absurd, who knows when/if(?) a studio will see something like that again with a film.

Hence why I said “300 mil is still a crap ton of money” and the film not being profitable was not at all what I was saying, but ok.

So it fell to nearly a third of the profit of TFA. Sure $300mil is still a crap ton of money, but ask any studio if they want their big blockbuster franchise finale to drop over 60% in profits from the first film and I doubt any of them would be pleased with that scenario. Even crazier that it barely cracked the top 10 most profitable for the year, no one would have dared predict something like that for IX even just a couple years ago.

New Mutants: “Hold my beer”

This assumes our politicians will know how to cooperate if it gets really bad. I certainly don't have any faith in that given the last 4 years and what's already happening.

Nothing about the current signs of all this point to a mere recession though. I fail to see how that's possible with long term shutdown. People aren't looking at the long term picture of the economic effects. We need to enforce a nationwide lockdown for a couple weeks and then try to start getting as many who aren't in the high risk category back to work as possible. This staggered rollout of varying degrees of lockdown measures across the country isn't doing any favors.

And if we still haven't stopped the virus at the point of months of shutdown (because all data points to this being a virus that inevitably comes back in waves), now we have a pandemic AND depression to contend with. No economy is going to support continual periods of shutdown without cracking eventually. We need to focus on how to get those who aren't high risk back to work, while still protecting the elderly/immune compromised as much as possible.

The impact of a potential great depression is what is truly frightening. None of us have ever lived through something like that.

If we’re going the shutdown route, everywhere in the country needs to just lockdown for real for a couple weeks. That’s the only way to know if it will make any difference. This “social distancing” nonsense is no good. If that’s our strategy, they’re just gonna keep saying we need to do it for longer and longer which is bad for so many reasons. They keep saying that this is gonna be an 18 month thing now with the virus, ebbing and flowing in waves. There’s no way that this can be the tactic everytime for a year and a half. Try a two week lockdown in the U.S. to see how it flattens the curve, but the bigger focus should absolutely be on testing so we know how necessary this is at this stage.