Best Animated Feature - 2016: Zootopia, Moana, Kubo, Zucchini, Red Turtle

[cannastop]

22 minutes ago, Morieris said:

I refuse to believe that Sing is better than Finding Dory to be QUITE honest.

Well, that's just silly.

[cannastop]

3 hours ago, CoolioD1 said:

golden globes aren't as kind to foreign animated pictures as the academy so the zucchini nom is very good for it. I say switch sing w/ red turtle and that line-up 4 oscars makes sense.

Outside of Kubo, Zootopia and Moana, I'm not really sure about anything in terms of Oscar noms.

[BadAtGender]

Honestly, I won't be super surprised if even Moana misses a nomination. We could get a situation like last year where there's one blockbuster and four smaller films. 

 

Zootopia and Kubo are shoe-ins. The other three slots have Moana, Dory, Turtle, Zucchini, and Your Name to fight it out. In any other year I'd say that April and Little Prince would also have a shot, but they probably lost their push a while ago. 

[Morieris]

What happened to Phantom Boy? It had an insanely limited release in the US apparently, I'd expect it to at least be in periphery conversation, especially produced by the same studio as a Cat in Paris

[cannastop]

 

[Jason]

27 minutes ago, Morieris said:

What happened to Phantom Boy? It had an insanely limited release in the US apparently, I'd expect it to at least be in periphery conversation, especially produced by the same studio as a Cat in Paris

 

Overall critical reception indicates it's not a contender. Average rating of 7.0/10 on RT, total of 44 reviews. Could have been a contender in other years, not this year.

[cannastop]

@Jason

 

Do you have any plans on doing some awesome analyis of all the awards and how they indicate the winner of the Oscar?

[lolifofo]

The only other time a Pixar movie was not nominated for a best animated feature Golden Globe was 2013's Monsters University. Even Cars 2 and the Good Dinosaur both got nominations. This is indeed surprising. 

[Jason]

8 minutes ago, cannastop said:

@Jason

 

Do you have any plans on doing some awesome analyis of all the awards and how they indicate the winner of the Oscar?

 

Hmm. I don't think there's a large enough data set to make it worth trying to develop a predictive model for the Oscar winner based on the "precursor" awards. I could make lists for the awards that didn't have Wikipedia articles, but from what I've seen so far it seems those ones don't go back very far. Also, no model based purely off of the precursor awards could have predicted Big Hero 6's win. Although it would probably show that year was a toss-up with no likely winner since the precursor favorite wasn't even nominated.

 

However, from a cursory analysis of the awards so far, I can say that it is quite unusual for the populist-leaning CCMAs to agree with both of the more independent-minded NYFCC and TFCC. The only year that has happened before is 2008, WALL-E.

[Spidey Freak]

16 hours ago, lolifofo said:

The only other time a Pixar movie was not nominated for a best animated feature Golden Globe was 2013's Monsters University. Even Cars 2 and the Good Dinosaur both got nominations. This is indeed surprising. 

 

MU being the previous Pixar to be snubbed instead of Cars 2 and TGD is pretty surprising in itself, so the Globes are just being consistent?  

[Spidey Freak]

17 hours ago, DamienRoc said:

Honestly, I won't be super surprised if even Moana misses a nomination. We could get a situation like last year where there's one blockbuster and four smaller films. 

 

Zootopia and Kubo are shoe-ins. The other three slots have Moana, Dory, Turtle, Zucchini, and Your Name to fight it out. In any other year I'd say that April and Little Prince would also have a shot, but they probably lost their push a while ago. 

 

I too won't be shocked. Previous nominations have tended to recognize as many studios as possible in a single year, so I can see five different studios getting just one nomination each, including WDAS. 

[Jason]

 

[Morieris]

I had the opportunity to see The Red Turtle today.

 

I'd bet on it taking a spot because it's simple and inoffensive (and very beautiful), but depending on other contenders, I can see it being the last choice for many voters.

[cannastop]

 

[Jason]

The CFCA awarded ParaNorman in 2012 and The Wind Rises in 2013, I was expecting them to go for Kubo.

 

Of the local critics associations in the sample I looked at for patterns from previous years, only two left: St. Louis (this Sunday) and Florida (next week?). Expecting at least SLFCA to award Zootopia.

Edited December 16, 2016 by Jason

[Morieris]

 

[lolifofo]

 

[cannastop]

@lolifofo

 

Good catch! I didn't even know when they were announcing.

Edited December 18, 2016 by cannastop

[cannastop]

 

[Spidey Freak]

That THR round table is taking a lot of heat for including only white dudes. Doesn't help that THR juxtaposed this banner photo with this article title: