YM! Posted October 2, 2018 Share Posted October 2, 2018 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted October 2, 2018 Author Share Posted October 2, 2018 January: Johnny Test: $18M/$50M Dead Space: $25M/$65M Haunting Hour: $5M/$12M The Mole: $30M/$40M/$100M Extrasensory: $15M/$22M/$45M Baseball Boy: $21M/$70M When A Stranger Calls: $3M/$8M 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rorschach Posted October 2, 2018 Share Posted October 2, 2018 (edited) Regardless of how it does OW, I can see Odyssey 3 with the same multiplier as the War for the Planet of the Apes. Edited October 2, 2018 by Rorschach Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted October 4, 2018 Author Share Posted October 4, 2018 (edited) Something new, rest will be up tomorrow: February 7th-9th With a strong start on Metacritic at 80 so far, Endless/DC’s Blue and Gold is tracking at anywhere from $45M-$60M. Also not to shabby at 73 is Blankments Productions raunchy R rated satire Reality Shift is tracking anywhere from $20M-$30M. Our analyst, Big Bucks predicts the following for the films: Blue and Gold: $55M/$140M (Blue and Gold should be the first big hit of the year but it should be noted that legs despite the 4 day next week will be hurt by Pokémon as well as the action films of January) Reality Shift: $20M/$70M (This should be strong but opening near Blue and Gold, another comedy with 4 quad appeal will hurt it OW, but should leg it out) February 14th-17th Probably the biggest film of the first quarter, and a stronger than expected 75 on MC, Numerator’s Pokemon: Rise Of The Rockets is tracking at a strong $120M-$140M three day to $150M-$180M four day. Red Crescent’s Son Of Rosemary is tracking at a decent $15M for the three day and $20M for the four day. Pokemon: Rise Of The Rockets: $130M/$165M/$385M DOM (the lack of good family films will help it but the Pokémon franchise has huge amounts of fans and can proved to be frontloaded) Son Of Rosemary: $15M/$20M/$40M (the sheer amount of horror movies in January will hurt not to mention the film may not be best of quality) February 21st-23rd Should be an uneventful weekend. Blankments’ Frosted will likely suffer as with some many past horror flicks and is tracking near $8M-$10M. Infinite’s 3D concert Imagine Dragons: The 3D Concert is looking at about $7M. Frosted: $9M/$20M Imagine Dragons: The 3D Concert: $7M/$18M (3D Concert Are Dead but Imagine Dragons popularity should help) February 28th-March 1st O$corp’s The Female Man which is a modest improvement from Redeeming Love, should be tracking around $18M-$22M due to lack of female appealing films. Hourglass’s Stories From Eden is tracking around $15M-$18M The Female Man: $21M/$62M Stories From Eden: $16M/$42M Edited October 4, 2018 by YourMother the Edgelord 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted October 4, 2018 Author Share Posted October 4, 2018 February is done. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted October 4, 2018 Author Share Posted October 4, 2018 On 10/2/2018 at 3:26 PM, Rorschach said: Regardless of how it does OW, I can see Odyssey 3 with the same multiplier as the War for the Planet of the Apes. That’s my guess as well. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reddroast Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 Anything on March Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted October 5, 2018 Author Share Posted October 5, 2018 9 minutes ago, Reddroast said: Anything on March Mine are tonight, I just finished MUT, and have read both Carnosaur and KBA You know you can predict as well right. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reddroast Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 26 minutes ago, YourMother the Edgelord said: Mine are tonight, I just finished MUT, and have read both Carnosaur and KBA You know you can predict as well right. No i did not Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted October 5, 2018 Author Share Posted October 5, 2018 1 minute ago, Reddroast said: No i did not Yep. This is the thread where people guess what films makes what. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted October 5, 2018 Author Share Posted October 5, 2018 (edited) March 6th-8th Aesir Pictures, a newcomer studio drops its first film; the $140M One Piece: The Journey Begins, which is tracking at $55M-$65M. Despite mixed reviews so far at a 55 on Metacritic, the anime adaptation has a strong fan base that’ll come out. One Piece: The Journey Begins: $61M/$157M (x2.57) (The Jon Watts directed movie is trending well in the young male adult demographic, and popularity will help but the Pillars will end up giving a cut in its legs.) March 13th-15th: Numerator’s franchise kickstarter, Pillars Of Eternity: The Hollow Vale is hitting the tracking boards at a strong $75M-$90M. The first two reviews are very strong for it and analysts believe with luck it may top Stitch’s $111M OW to be the biggest March OW in CAYOM. Red Cresent’s horror flick Spirit Curse is tracking $15M-$18M benefiting from the Friday the 13th date. Pillars of Eternity: The Hollow Vale: $85M/$255M (x3) (Although I do believe previous action films like Blue and Gold and One Piece can slightly dampen the OW but I suspect legs will be stronger as it appeals to an older audience as well as Mass Effect crossover can help) Spirit Curse: $14M/$30M (x2.14) (Seems about right for it) March 20th-22nd Blankments Lord/Miller sci-fi comedy, Marked Up Time is looking likely to underperform, tracking around $23M-$27M due to the amount of male skewing movies in March as well as mixed reviews (57 on Metacritic), however lack of comedies will help as well, to provide a bit of a booster shot. Marked Up Time: $24M/$89M (x3.7) (although I suspect a deflated OW, it should easily be quite a crowd pleaser) March 27th-29th: Endless’s animated movie, Can You Imagine? hits hard on the tracking board at a strong $60M-$70M, thanks to strong reviews (currently 82 on Metacritic) and lack of family films since Pokémon as well as animation. Red Cresent’s Carnosaur is tracking a bit soft at around $22M-$25M, due to the huge amounts of male aiming films in March and horror films in January/February. Can You Imagine: $65M/$237M (x3.64) (with no competition until Our City: Growth and an apparent crowd pleaser, Can You Imagine should have strong legs) Carnosaur: $22M/$58M (x2.65) (the dinosaur angle will help this film succeed only more but again think competition will prevent this from being big.) Edited October 5, 2018 by YourMother the Edgelord Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted October 5, 2018 Author Share Posted October 5, 2018 Anyone else got some predicts? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rorschach Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 15 minutes ago, YourMother the Edgelord said: Anyone else got some predicts? I’ll do predicts for January-March after I read Pillars 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xillix Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 Waiting for more reviews. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted October 6, 2018 Share Posted October 6, 2018 (edited) I'll probably start with predictions Sunday or Monday. Might only predict more major films, we shall see. Edited October 6, 2018 by 4815162342 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reddroast Posted October 6, 2018 Share Posted October 6, 2018 I got some that are coming tomorrow 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted October 6, 2018 Author Share Posted October 6, 2018 April 3rd-5th Not the most boisterous weekend but Blankments’ Broadway Selects: Spongebob Squarepants will soak up a decent $3M-$5M over the weekend. Reviews are mixed at a 56 on Metacritic. Broadway Selects: Spongebob Squarepants: $3.5M/$11M (x3.14) April 10th-12th Easter is looking strong as Numerator Pictures tries to get in on the space opera game with hyped adaptation Mass Effect, tracking at $90M-$100M with a chance at $110M. With a strong 84 on Metacritic, it should be the king of spring and break the April record. Infinite’s Safari Trail is tracking at $5M-$8M which is decent and should play well at least until Earth Day. With a 50 on Metacritic it won’t leave to much of a mark. Mass Effect: $110M/$315M (x2.86) (With strong reviews and hype this will open big and have legs but I do suspect that even with mixed reviews, Gauntlet of Midas will hurt legs and Earthsong the week after hurts.) Safari Trail: $5M/$13.5M (x2.71) (With weaker reviews than Under The Sea it will only do about thanks to Earth Day) April 17th-19th Red Cresent’s Earth Day despite negative reviews (39 on MC) is tracking strongly at $25M. Endless’ Treasure Planet: Gauntlet of Midas Amazon Prime previews are looking around $2M-$4M Earth Day: $25M/$53M (x2.1) (this will crash and burn after Earth Day) GOM Amazon: $2.5M April 24th-26th Energized’ Our City: Growth, is looking a bit on the soft side, tracking at $50M-$60M due to mixed reviews (58 on Metacritic) as well as short timing. Our City: Growth: $55M/$190M (x3.45) (Yes although it opens a month after Can You Imagine, enthusiasm isn’t the highest and families have other options in May like Frindle and American Dragon and this reeks of a Kung Fu Panda 2 or Dragon 2) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rorschach Posted October 6, 2018 Share Posted October 6, 2018 January Johnny Test - $20.2m/$56.7m DeadSpace - $31.1m/$71.2m Haunting Hour - $7.4m/$17.9m Extrasensory - $17.7m/$24.1m/$54.1m The Mole - $31.8m/$39.8m/$102.2m Baseball Boy: Swing for the Fences - $20.6m/$78.3m When a Stranger Calls - $5.4/$11.3m February Blue and Gold - $66m/$174.3m Reality Shift - $28.4m/$94.6m Pokemon: Rise of the Rockets - $130.7m/$162.4m/$361m Son of Rosemary - $16.4m/$19.2m/$36.2m Frosted - $8.1m/$19.1m Imagine Dragons: The 3D Concert - $8.9m/$21.3m The Female Man - $23.1m/$73.6m Stories From Eden - $16.5m/$43m 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted October 6, 2018 Author Share Posted October 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, Rorschach said: Blue and Gold - $66m/$174.3m (Out of curiosity why) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rorschach Posted October 6, 2018 Share Posted October 6, 2018 (edited) 5 minutes ago, YourMother the Edgelord said: (Out of curiosity why) While I do agree with your personal predicts, I think the reviews for it are incredibly strong that I believe it would do reasonably better on OW. Legs would probably not be as good given that it goes up against Pokemon the very next weekend but yeah, its the strongest reviewed film of February so I would expect it to do better than initially predicted. It seems like a crowd-pleaser for sure. Edited October 6, 2018 by Rorschach 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...