Pypa94 Posted December 22, 2016 Author Share Posted December 22, 2016 Saturday cinemas are closed whole day and on christmas day are closed till 3pm Most movies will drop 80-90% Rouge One after very good OW could drop most of them 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pypa94 Posted December 22, 2016 Author Share Posted December 22, 2016 In 2011 when the same situation was like this year on weekend 23-25th all movies from top 10 (8 movies also 2 premieres) had drops like 82-90%. First movie Listy do M. very popular there (7 times in a row top of chart) dropped 87% but its previous weekend adm was 120k not 385k like Rouge One so I guess falling more like 90-95% is possible. Altough the trend since 2011 and numbers of tickets sold is rising year-by-year, we could see some kind of "phenomenon" and this will be drop less than mentioned before 87%. After that weekend we have next with limited cinemas opening hours too and in 2011 top 10 has awesome increase but not so good numbers as years with long weekend like New Year's Eve on Friday or Thursday. Listy do M. remain their 1st place for 8th time and increase 173% (I can see Rouge One increasing about 250% because it will be his 3rd weekend not 8th), other movies increased from 114% to 293% and 2 premiers even more 398% and incredible 724% (but still their numbers were shitty) Forecast 23-25th (reasonable) (4 premiers on 23th and also 3 premiers on 25th) 1. Rouge One -93% 26,9k 2-3. Passengers, A Monster Calls new 6k 4. Pitbull. Dangerous Women -86% 5,8k 5. Królowa Śniegu 3 (some kind of animation) new 5k 6-7. Christmas Office Party, Collateral Beauty new 4k 8. Moana -90% 3,7k 9. Fantastic Beast... -88% 2,5k 10. Trolls -90% 2,05k Well shit I really don't know how new movies will manage over weekend. Passengers could either good as above or flop near FB numbers. Assuming great popularity of Rouge One and Pitbull I think both of them could have slice better drops maybe more like RO -87% 49,95k Pitbull - 80% 8,28k But I hope and bringing hope is important to Rebels that RO drop will be less than 90% and less than 85% for Pitbull. Still is gonna be one of worst weekend in year (similar to Easter weekend) but it has chance to beat 77k total from Easter with good performance of RO. In 2011 similar weekend was, I guess, the worst in industry history (well at least since previous such weekend - only 48k total) 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pypa94 Posted December 30, 2016 Author Share Posted December 30, 2016 Poland Box Office December 23–25, 2016 (US $1 = 4.2159 Polish Zloty) < Prev Wk Currency: Next Wk > TW LW Movie Studio Weekend Gross Change Screens Change / Avg. Gross-to-Date Week 1 1 Rogue One: A Star Wars Story Disney $439,744 -83.9% 514 - $856 $4,477,452 2 2 - Passengers UIP $100,618 - 156 - $645 $100,618 - 3 2 Pitbull. Niebezpieczne Kobiety Kino S'Wiat $56,738 -72.2% 350 - $162 $13,328,617 7 4 N The Snow Queen 3: Fire and Ice Kino S'Wiat $45,888 - 151 - $304 $45,888 1 5 3 Office Christmas Party Monolith $24,688 -84.2% 141 -10 $175 $884,796 3 6 4 Moana Disney $21,454 -85.1% 227 - $95 $2,004,190 5 7 - Radin! Monolith $20,889 - 85 - $246 $20,889 - 8 6 Trolls Cinepix $15,334 -84.7% 229 +120 $67 $3,561,872 8 9 5 Fantastic Beasts and Where To Find Them WB $13,291 -87.0% 290 - $46 $4,151,578 6 10 - A Monster Calls Monolith $9,991 - 77 - $130 $9,991 - 11 13 Nocturnal Animals UPI $4,000 -57.4% 10 -7 $400 $295,271 6 12 16 Doctor Strange Disney $7 -99.8% n/a - n/a $2,460,927 9 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pypa94 Posted December 30, 2016 Author Share Posted December 30, 2016 Wow! I totally underestimated power of Rouge One! Drop is not that shit at all! In few minutes there will be table with admissions 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pypa94 Posted December 30, 2016 Author Share Posted December 30, 2016 Box Office Weekend no. 52 2016 Weekend 23th-25th of December No. LW Title Distributor OW adm (Fri-Sun) No days of OW OW adm Adm total Screens 1 1 Rouge One – A Star Wars Story Disney 77 448 773 087 514 2 new Passengers UIP 20 394 1 20 394 24 428 156 3 2 Pitbull. Dangerous women (local) Kino Świat 11 500 2 701 544 350 4 new Snezhnaya koroleva 3. Ogon i led (The Snow Queen 3: Fire and Ice) Kino Świat 9 301 3 9 301 9 301 151 5 4 Christmas Office Party Monolith Films 5 004 179 337 141 6 3 Moana Disney 4 580 532 556 227 7 new Radin! Monolith Films 4 234 1 4 234 6 768 85 8 6 Trolls Imprerial - Cinepix 3 108 721 947 229 9 5 Fantastic Beast And Where to Find Them Warner Bros. Poland 2 694 841 473 290 10 new A Monster Calls Monolith Films 2 025 1 2 025 5 318 77 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pypa94 Posted December 30, 2016 Author Share Posted December 30, 2016 Forecast 23-25th (reasonable) (4 premiers on 23th and also 3 premiers on 25th) 1. Rouge One -93% 26,9k 2-3. Passengers, A Monster Calls new 6k 4. Pitbull. Dangerous Women -86% 5,8k 5. Królowa Śniegu 3 (some kind of animation) new 5k 6-7. Christmas Office Party, Collateral Beauty new 4k 8. Moana -90% 3,7k 9. Fantastic Beast... -88% 2,5k 10. Trolls -90% 2,05k Actuals 23-25th vs forecast 1. Rouge One 77,45k -79,8% (3-day)/-83,0% (4-day) [+50,55k +188%] 2. Passengers new 20,3k [+14k +238%] 3. Pitbull 11,5k -72,2% [+5,7k +49,6%] 4. Snezhnaya koroleva 3. Ogon i led (The Snow Queen 3: Fire and Ice) new 9,3k [+4,3k +86%] 5. Christmas Office Party 5k -83,9% [+1k +25,1%] 6. Moana 4,58k -85,6% [+0,88k +23,8%] 7. Radin! new 4,23k 8. Trolls 3,1k -84,8% [+1,05k +51,6%] 9. Fantastic Beast... 2,69k -86,99% [+0,194k +7,8%] 10. A Monster Calls new 2,025k [-3,975k -66,25%] 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pypa94 Posted January 2, 2017 Author Share Posted January 2, 2017 TOP 10 2016 admissions 1. Pitbull. Niebezpieczne kobiety (local) – 2,77 mln 2. Planeta Singli (local) – 1,9 mln 3. Ice Age 5 – 1,5 mln 4. Pitbull. Nowe porządki (local) – 1,43 mln 5. Wołyń (local) – 1,4 mln 6. The Secret Life of Pets – 1,4 mln 7. Zootopia – 1,3 mln 8. Rouge One – 1,278 mln* 9. Bridget Jones 3 – 1,2 mln 10. 7 rzeczy, których nie wiecie o facetach (local) – 1,14 mln * still in release 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pypa94 Posted January 2, 2017 Author Share Posted January 2, 2017 Last weekend Rouge One has 110 618 (+30% up from last wknd) adm Total 1 278 132 Record breaking year in admissions confirmed (probably in gross too but we have to wait to be sure) after 1989! 51 573 282 (+15,4%) vs 44 695 011 in 2015 38 426 809 population in Poland in 2016 1,34 visits in cinema per capita vs 1,16 in 2015 Biggest bump since 2009 More details soon 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pypa94 Posted January 2, 2017 Author Share Posted January 2, 2017 Last year TFA has 2 058 857 on similar time so Rouge One it's about 62% of TFA TFA end up with 2 993 426 Rouge One should end about 1,85 mln #3 of 2016 Which of course is great and it has already become 3rd Star Wars movie in adm. During next weekend it is going to beat Episode I first run and after weekend also re-release. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pypa94 Posted January 5, 2017 Author Share Posted January 5, 2017 (edited) Box Office Weekend no. 53 2016/2017 Weekend 30th of December-1st of January No. LW Title Distributor OW adm (Fri-Sun) No days of OW OW adm Adm total Screens 1 1 Rouge One – A Star Wars Story Disney 110 618 1 278 132 514 2 2 Passengers UIP 48 762 226 188 156 3 new Collateral Beauty Warner Bros. Poland 38 050 3 38 050 74 510 127 4 4 Snezhnaya koroleva 3. Ogon i led (The Snow Queen 3: Fire and Ice) Kino Świat 32 883 125 810 151 5 7 Radin! Monolith Films 19 318 59 246 85 6 6 Moana Disney 19 152 598 130 227 7 3 Pitbull. Dangerous women (local) Kino Świat 17 299 2 739 108 350 8 8 Trolls Imprerial - Cinepix 13 248 767 965 229 9 new Paterson Gutek Film 11 845 3 11 845 24 686 59 10 10 A Monster Calls Monolith Films 7 745 29 044 77 Edited January 5, 2017 by Pypa94 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pypa94 Posted January 5, 2017 Author Share Posted January 5, 2017 In week 26th-29th R1 - 394 427 adm (x3,56 of wkd 30th-1st) Passengers - 152 998 (x3,14) Collateral Beauty - 36 460 (previews) (x0,96) The Snow Queen 3: Fire and Ice - 83 626 (x2,54) Radin! - 33 160 (x1,73) Moana - 46 422 (x2,43) Pitbull - 20 265 (x1,17) Trolls - 32 770 (x2,47) Paterson - 12 841 (previews) (x1,08) A Monster Calls - 19 274 (x2,49) Awesome week for R1 Also great for Passengers Collateral Beauty has great previews Good multiple for Snow Queen, Moana, Trolls and A Monster Calls But A Monster Calls has shitty numbers Moana is dissapointing too, Trolls beats it (overall) Great multiple for Paterson but well is nothing to say about numbers though 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pypa94 Posted January 5, 2017 Author Share Posted January 5, 2017 23-25th vs 30th-1st R1 +42,83% Passengers +139,1% The Snow Queen 3: Fire and Ice +253,54% Radin! +356,26% Moana +318,17% Pitbull +50,43% Trolls +326,25% A Monster Calls +282,47% Good for R1 (% is small but good numbers) Ok for Passengers (well % seems good but let's remember that last week it has only 1 day OW) Other (expect old Pitbull) better rises than in 2011 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pypa94 Posted January 5, 2017 Author Share Posted January 5, 2017 Presales Assasin's Creed IMAX Friday Warszawa Katowice Kraków Łódź Poznań 364 365 374 398 409 11:15 51 14,01% 69 18,90% 29 7,75% 42 10,55% 64 15,65% 16:30 104 28,57% 109 29,86% 70 18,72% 66 16,58% 83 20,29% 19:00 76 20,88% 77 21,10% 62 16,58% 92 23,12% 67 16,38% 21:30 31 8,52% 22 6,03% 15 4,01% 39 9,80% 17 4,16% 262 277 176 239 231 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pypa94 Posted January 5, 2017 Author Share Posted January 5, 2017 Friday Rouge One IMAX Warszawa Katowice Kraków Łódź Poznań 364 365 374 398 409 13:45 218 59,89% 157 43,01% 125 33,42% 122 30,65% 141 34,47% 218 157 125 122 141 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pypa94 Posted January 5, 2017 Author Share Posted January 5, 2017 Rouge One lost 4 shows a day in 5 IMAX R1 - 5 shows Assasin's Creed - 20 shows Next weekend 13-15th The Great Wall is coming to IMAX - it should get 3 or 4 shows R1 should stay with one and Assasin's Creed also with one (maybe one of them will drop out most likely R1 but bad numbers for AC could drop out it instead) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pypa94 Posted January 5, 2017 Author Share Posted January 5, 2017 Maybe AC has more shows in IMAX but R1 has more in "normal" cinemas 4DX 5 cities, 3 shows for AC, 2 shows for R1 = 15 vs 10 for AC But presales are for R1! here is from two biggest cities 4DX Friday Assasin's Creed Warszawa Kraków 140 140 12:45 45 32,14% 26 18,57% 18:00 34 24,29% 31 22,14% 20:30 35 25,00% 16 11,43% 114 73 Rouge One 140 140 10:00 69 49,29% 36 25,71% 15:15 47 33,57% 43 30,71% 116 79 Worth to say that 10:00 am is dubb 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pypa94 Posted January 7, 2017 Author Share Posted January 7, 2017 Poland Box Office December 30–January 1, 2017 < Prev Wk Return to Index Next Wk > TW LW Movie Studio Weekend Gross Change Screens Change / Avg. Gross-to-Date Week 1 1 Rogue One: A Star Wars Story Disney $611,385 +39.0% n/a -514 n/a $6,628,768 3 2 N Passengers (2016) UIP $276,076 - 160 - $1,725 $1,158,931 1 3 N Collateral Beauty WB $189,010 - 127 - $1,488 $370,121 1 4 4 The Snow Queen 3: Fire and Ice Kino S'Wiat $163,343 +256.0% 151 - $1,082 $624,949 2 5 7 Radin! Monolith $95,960 +359.4% 85 - $1,129 $294,299 1 6 6 Moana Disney $88,331 +311.7% n/a -227 n/a $2,263,002 6 7 3 Pitbull. Niebezpieczne Kobiety Kino S'Wiat $85,931 +51.5% 350 - $246 $13,755,271 8 8 8 Trolls Cinepix $65,808 +329.2% 229 - $287 $337,609 9 9 N Paterson Gutek $58,839 - 59 - $997 $122,625 1 10 10 A Monster Calls Monolith $38,473 +285.1% 77 - $500 $144,273 1 11 5 Office Christmas Party Monolith $15,073 -39.0% 66 -75 $228 $768,455 4 12 11 Nocturnal Animals UPI $3,421 -14.5% 9 -1 $380 $305,538 7 13 - Allied PPI $2,103 - 14 - $150 $732,657 6 14 - Arrival Sony $1,755 - 3 - $585 $1,000,716 8 15 - Bridget Jones's Baby UPI $729 - 3 - $243 $6,100,740 16 16 12 Doctor Strange Disney $232 +3,214.3% n/a - n/a $2,461,296 10 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pypa94 Posted January 7, 2017 Author Share Posted January 7, 2017 This weekend we should have close fight between Rouge One and Sing for 1st also Assasin's Creed and local potential hit Po prostu przyjaźń for 3rd WOM Sing 7,6/10 Assasin's Creed 6,4/10 Po prostu przyjaźń 6,2/10 Rouge One 7,7/10 In biggest chain Cinema City in capital (6 cinemas) Sing 2D dub, 3D dub, 2D sub - 60 shows Po prostu przyjaźń 2D - 46 Assasin's Creed 2D sub, 3D sub, 4DX sub, IMAX 3D sub - 55 Rouge One 2D sub, 2D dub, 3D sub, 3D dub, 4DX sub, 4DX dub, IMAX 3D sub - 70 2nd biggest Multikino in capital (4 cinemas) Sing 2D dub, 3D dub, 2D sub - 48 Po prostu przyjaźń - 23 Assasin's Creed 2D sub, 3D sub - 25 Rouge One 2D sub, 2D dub, 3D dub - 28 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pypa94 Posted January 8, 2017 Author Share Posted January 8, 2017 2016 Box Office Summary Another record movie season. Cinemas sold more than 50 mln tickiets! In 2016 to Polish cinemas guests 51,583568 mln spectators. For the first in the industry histrory a magic barrier was crossed - 50 mln sold tickets. It was massive increase comparing 2015, also recordbreaking. Last year it was 44,695 mln people. Therefore cinemas sold 7 mln more tickets (increase 16 %). Recordbreaking were incomings as well. Gross close to 960 mln PLN (about 232 mln $) vs 823 mln PLN (about 211 mln $) in 2015. Ticket prices rises a little bit from 18,4 PLN to 18,6 PLN (4,7$ and 4,5$ - decrease due to ER). 11 movies crossed 1 mln admissions (in 2015 – 7), 29 titles crossed 500k admissions (last year – 19). Local titles had great year. In Top 10 we have 5 local titles and in Top 50 - 10!TOP 50 of 2016 (admissions) 1. "Pitbull. Niebezpieczne kobiety (local)" - 2,769 mln* 2. "Planeta Singli (local)" - 1,917 mln 3. "Ice Age: Collision Course" - 1,459 mln 4. "Wołyń (local)" - 1,434 mln 5. "Pitbull. Nowe porządki (local)" - 1,433 mln 6. "The Secret Life of Pets" - 1,418 mln 7. "Rouge One: A Star Wars Story" - 1,278 mln* 8. "Zootopia" - 1,264 mln 9. "Bridget Jones's Baby" - 1,173 mln 10. "7 rzeczy, których nie wiecie o facetach (local)" - 1,143 mln 11. "Angry Birds" - 1,068 mln 12. "Star Wars: The Force Awakens" - 936k (premiere in 2015) 13. "Fantastic Beast and Where to Find Them" - 835k* 14. "Finding Dory" - 827k 15. "Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Road Chip" - 810k 16. "Suicide Squad" - 774k 17. "Trolls" - 767k* 18. "Deadpool" - 759k 19. "Moje córki krowy (local)" - 735k 20. "Now You See Me 2" - 689k 21. "The Revenant" - 636k 22. "Inferno" - 623k 23. "Moana" - 598k* 24. "Nine Lives" - 578k 25. "The Conjuring 2" - 571k 26. "Kung Fu Panda 3" - 543k 27. "The Jungle Book" - 525k 28. "The Girl on the Train" - 524k 29. "Ostatnia Rodzina (local)" - 504k 30. "Captain America: Civil War" 497k 31. "Storks" - 479k 32. "Norm of the North" - 471k 33. "Smoleńsk (local)" - 461k 34. "Warcraft" - 460k 35. "Doktor Strange" - 460k 36. "Alicja Through the Looking Glass" - 429k 37. "Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice" - 414k 38. "The Hateful Eight" - 388k 39. "The BFG" - 373k40. "Jason Bourne" - 368k 41. "Me Before You" - 346k 42. "Słaba płeć? (local)" - 344k 43. "Hacksaw Ridge" - 329k* 44. "Historia Roja (local)" - 310k 45. "Florence Foster Jenkins" - 298k 46. "Sausage Party" - 285k 47. "Pete's Dragon" - 284k 48. "Independence Day: Resurgence" - 278k 49. "Miss Peregrine’s Home For Peculiar Children" - 266k 50. "The Peanuts Movie" - 231k *still in theaters If we don't count Star Wars VII, on 50 place we would have Passengers - 226k 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 You have 4 local films in the top 5, and 5 local films in the top 10 part of the chart. Another example for my tries to point out at BOT... to raise the awareness about strong local competition for e.g. US films. (twice Pitbull? I knew it a part... something of Pitbull, but I didn't realise there were 2 in the same year - or to what/which extent that went) Happy for your cinema business and audience, great increases! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...