ThatWaluigiDude Posted June 13, 2023 Share Posted June 13, 2023 (edited) THE FLASH T-1 T-1 Cinemark: 8 showings, 2318 seats, 95 sold (4.1%) T-1 Cinepolis: 6 showings, 600 seats, 44 sold (7.33%) T-1 Moviecom: 2 showings, 290 seats, 72 sold (24.83%) T-1 Cineflix: 2 showings, 620 seats, 250 sold (40.32%) T-1 Total: 18 showings, 2022 seats, 461 sold (22.8%) COMPS: GotG3: 89.34% (R$2.77M) ATS: 138.44% (R$2.44M) Fast X: 37.57% (R$1.88M) Transformers: 305.3% (R$2.24M) You know, after looking at my city, things aren't all that bad as I thought it was going to be...I'm almost back at being confident. My bet is +/- R$2.5M for the previews. Previews like that would absolutely put an R$20M+ opening in the cards. Let's see! Edited June 13, 2023 by ThatWaluigiDude 3 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZattMurdock Posted June 13, 2023 Share Posted June 13, 2023 14 hours ago, Issac Newton said: One of my own reasons, why I listen only to @ThatWaluigiDude Brazil Update. I have no idea who @ThatWaluigiDude is since I don’t think he was from the time I was more active here on the boards, but yeah they have some great readings of our Brazil’s box office market. I’ve been saying for a while that The Little Mermaid would be a hit around here. As for The Flash, yeah I could see it going under Black Adam. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flamengo81 Posted June 14, 2023 Share Posted June 14, 2023 4 hours ago, ZattMurdock said: I have no idea who @ThatWaluigiDude is since I don’t think he was from the time I was more active here on the boards, but yeah they have some great readings of our Brazil’s box office market. I’ve been saying for a while that The Little Mermaid would be a hit around here. As for The Flash, yeah I could see it going under Black Adam. It's not a hit at all, just a relatively better performance than most overseas countries. This will do like 90M~ while Beauty and The Beast did 130M and The Lion King did 287M. Don't know how Alladin performed in BRL, but it's probably going to finish around it I suppose, which is an ok performance and certaintly not bad, but far from being a hit. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZattMurdock Posted June 14, 2023 Share Posted June 14, 2023 1 minute ago, Flamengo81 said: It's not a hit at all, just a relatively better performance than most overseas countries. This will do like 90M~ while Beauty and The Beast did 130M and The Lion King did 287M. Don't know how Alladin performed in BRL, but it's probably going to finish around it I suppose, which is an ok performance and certaintly not bad, but far from being a hit. Do you realize that those films are pre-pandemic with big and famous leads and The Little Mermaid isn’t, right? Because yeah I’m not going into a dance with you again about TLM. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flamengo81 Posted June 14, 2023 Share Posted June 14, 2023 23 minutes ago, ZattMurdock said: Do you realize that those films are pre-pandemic with big and famous leads and The Little Mermaid isn’t, right? We just had 8 movies entering all time top 40 since the pandemic started, so this has nothing to do with it. The thing is: TLM is performing relatively well here comparing with other international markets and that is good, but you are insisting on this being a hit and it's simply not what numbers are showing at all. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flamengo81 Posted June 14, 2023 Share Posted June 14, 2023 23 hours ago, Flamengo81 said: “The Flash” Greater Salvador Region tracking: T-02 SHOWINGS TOTAL SEATS SEATS SOLD PCT. SOLD 44 9209 418 4.54 % SEATS SOLD LAST 2 DAYS 112 COMPS T-02 Spider-Man Across the Spiderverse: 0.841x (1.48M) Guardians of The Galaxy Vol 03: 0.555x (1.73M) “The Flash” Greater Salvador Region tracking: T-01 SHOWINGS TOTAL SEATS SEATS SOLD PCT. SOLD 53 11701 622 5.32 % SEATS SOLD TODAY 204 COMPS T-01 Spider-Man Across the Spiderverse: 0.964x (1.69M) Guardians of The Galaxy Vol 03: 0.555x (1.93M) So... I am with @ThatWaluigiDude in the sense that it's a much better final day than I was expecting, it managed to increase decently on both comps. I will give my final prediction after I see tomorrow walk-ups before shows start, but I am still not seeing those Waluigi expectations of near 2.5M based on my numbers, but Salvador could be underindexing, so who knows? 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThatWaluigiDude Posted June 14, 2023 Share Posted June 14, 2023 Pre-sales for MI7 starts on june 29. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ogkalu Posted June 14, 2023 Share Posted June 14, 2023 18 hours ago, Flamengo81 said: We just had 8 movies entering all time top 40 since the pandemic started, so this has nothing to do with it. The thing is: TLM is performing relatively well here comparing with other international markets and that is good, but you are insisting on this being a hit and it's simply not what numbers are showing at all. How is 90M not a hit ? Because Batb made more ? Batb was a 1.2b film. If it didn't under index in Brail and had a comparable performance then 30% down that is very much a hit lol. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flamengo81 Posted June 15, 2023 Share Posted June 15, 2023 4 hours ago, ogkalu said: How is 90M not a hit ? Because Batb made more ? Batb was a 1.2b film. If it didn't under index in Brail and had a comparable performance then 30% down that is very much a hit lol. 90M for a big and heavily marketed Disney remake is not a hit, hit is the BATB and even more so TLK. 4 hours ago, ogkalu said: Batb was a 1.2b film Yeah, because that was an actual hit. 40M is a big difference in performance, it does not matter that it made closer to BATB here than most of the world, that makes it relatively better, but don't make it a hit. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flamengo81 Posted June 15, 2023 Share Posted June 15, 2023 23 hours ago, Flamengo81 said: “The Flash” Greater Salvador Region tracking: T-01 SHOWINGS TOTAL SEATS SEATS SOLD PCT. SOLD 53 11701 622 5.32 % SEATS SOLD TODAY 204 COMPS T-01 Spider-Man Across the Spiderverse: 0.964x (1.69M) Guardians of The Galaxy Vol 03: 0.555x (1.93M) So... I am with @ThatWaluigiDude in the sense that it's a much better final day than I was expecting, it managed to increase decently on both comps. I will give my final prediction after I see tomorrow walk-ups before shows start, but I am still not seeing those Waluigi expectations of near 2.5M based on my numbers, but Salvador could be underindexing, so who knows? Unfortunately I could not do the usual T-0 update today which gives a much clearer picture of things, I just came home from work and it's almost 11pm here. I am giving a final prediction of 2M with 0.2+/- but could be way off. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ogkalu Posted June 15, 2023 Share Posted June 15, 2023 30 minutes ago, Flamengo81 said: 90M for a big and heavily marketed Disney remake is not a hit, hit is the BATB and even more so TLK. Yeah, because that was an actual hit. 40M is a big difference in performance, it does not matter that it made closer to BATB here than most of the world, that makes it relatively better, but don't make it a hit. Of course anything can be or not be a hit with odd definitions. You do you i guess. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThatWaluigiDude Posted June 15, 2023 Share Posted June 15, 2023 Looks like The Flash is trending for a opening between R$20M-R$30M. Audiences score is at 4.0, WoM is on the positive side so far. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThatWaluigiDude Posted June 15, 2023 Share Posted June 15, 2023 The Flash sold in its previews 100k tickets, around R$2.15M, compared to GotG 3 that sold 143k and Black Adam sold 121k, and my fear of opening bellow it is back at full force. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flamengo81 Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 9 hours ago, ThatWaluigiDude said: The Flash sold in its previews 100k tickets, around R$2.15M, compared to GotG 3 that sold 143k and Black Adam sold 121k, and my fear of opening bellow it is back at full force. So within the range of 1.8-2.2M, nice for the tracking. On the other side, not nice as an opening for this. Will have to rely on WOM, but the ceilling is already low IMO. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThatWaluigiDude Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 42 minutes ago, Flamengo81 said: So within the range of 1.8-2.2M, nice for the tracking. On the other side, not nice as an opening for this. Will have to rely on WOM, but the ceilling is already low IMO. I hope we see better news tomorrow and that too much competition hurted its previews. But the more I see it I feel it will have to overperform the legs. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThatWaluigiDude Posted June 18, 2023 Share Posted June 18, 2023 Select chains will start their previews of MI7 on july 9th, a sunday. Not sure though if it will be on that single day or will follow leading to the full release. Considering this and D&D, Paramount is weird on how they hold their pre releases... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThatWaluigiDude Posted June 18, 2023 Share Posted June 18, 2023 The Flash opened with $3.5M, around R$17M. TLM is at $14.8M, around R$72.7M, and Spiderverse is at $10.1M, or around R$50.2M 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThatWaluigiDude Posted June 19, 2023 Share Posted June 19, 2023 Box office 15 - 18 june Movie Box Office (R$) Change (%) Total (R$) Admissions Admissions total (Est) 1 The Flash 14.500.000 --- 16.600.000 679.000 774.680 2 Spider-Man: Across the Spiderverse 6.000.000 -64.1% 50.300.000 296.000 2.600.000 3 The Little Mermaid 5.400.000 -67.2% 73.300.000 245.000 3.540.000 4 Transformers: Rise of the Beasts 3.500.000 -71.7% 21.000.000 169.000 1.000.000 5 Fast X 3.000.000 -71.8% 130.000.000 134.000 6.340.000 6 SUGA: Road to D-DAY 232.000 --- 232.000 6.890 6.890 7 Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 200.000 -82.3% 90.671.000 9.160 4.410.000 8 J-Hope in the Box 179.000 --- 179.000 5.270 5.270 9 The Super Mario Bros Movie 72.000 -80.1% 133.010.000 4.120 6.580.000 10 About Joan 52.000 -31.6% 158.000 2.470 7.310 R$33.6M and 1.5M tickets were sold last weekend, a drop of 44% from the previous weekend. A horrible weekend for holdovers simply because Brazil is NOT prepared for these current influx of blockbusters, not helped by The Flash taking more than 1500 screens, making every other movie having their rollouts drastically reduced. Pretty much everyone had their potential smashed by The Flash that did not even do that well. Thanks Barry. The Flash had the 5th worst opening from DCEU, above Birds of Prey (R$10.7M) and Shazam 2 (R$7M), bellow Shazam 1 (R$19.5M) and Black Adam (R$22.9M). Warner is hardly happy with that, but on the other hand, it will probably have better legs on Brazil than on US. Next weekend releases Elemental, No Hard Feellings, Misanthope and Derrapada. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnapologeticKenny Posted June 20, 2023 Share Posted June 20, 2023 Those drops... rough. Next weekend I'll try to help Elemental's debut here with my whole family! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThatWaluigiDude Posted June 20, 2023 Share Posted June 20, 2023 R$2M for Flash on monday. Today it should pass Shazam 2's total. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
