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ChipDerby

Derbvis | Week 26

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Posted
1 Legion and Thunder 81.150% 67.537% 82.663% 8.569% 13 10
2 8wombi7 79.586% 60.221% 81.737% 7.005% 12 10
3 TalismanRing 79.199% 41.835% 83.351% 6.618% 11 10
4 M37 78.487% 62.851% 80.225% 5.906% 10 10
5 StormbreakerXXR 77.942% 63.978% 79.494% 5.361% 9 10
6 Grebacio 76.270% 40.471% 80.247% 3.689% 8 10
7 glassfairy 74.539% 31.356% 79.338% 1.958% 7 10
8 IdahoJacket 71.828% 59.628% 73.184% -0.753% 6 10
9 datpepper 71.030% 61.605% 72.078% -1.551% 5 10
10 Goldenhour36 70.157% 15.204% 76.263% -2.424% 4 10
11 Sandro Mazzola 65.946% 86.655% 63.644% -6.636% 3 10
12 AN9815 61.170% 35.508% 64.021% -11.411% 2 10
Posted

What an awful scoring week - how about a collective mulligan on that one? 



Posted
44 minutes ago, ChipDerby said:

 

Agreed I'll delete

I was mostly being facetious, was just a very difficult week to forecast, but that’s someone else’s call.

 

I‘m sure @Legion and Thunder won’t mind losing a 1st place finish 😉





Posted

I'm sitting at ~86% (91%/85%) after Sunday estimates - how about everyone else? Both Disney movies killed my score

Posted
15 minutes ago, M37 said:

I'm sitting at ~86% (91%/85%) after Sunday estimates - how about everyone else? Both Disney movies killed my score

83.33%.

My highlights are a perfect score on Bob's Burgers and 98.6% on Black Phone, while my lowest scores are 63.41% on Elvis and 68.13% on Bad Guys

 



Posted (edited)
21 minutes ago, M37 said:

I'm sitting at ~86% (91%/85%) after Sunday estimates - how about everyone else? Both Disney movies killed my score

You’re up 2.5 on grebacio, should be pretty locked https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1BMEPoyDk7TN25-3VIR_jGTOPZlYulc6H6VbkXYDXkp0/edit

Edited by Legion and Thunder
  • Thanks 1
Posted
5 minutes ago, Legion and Thunder said:

Chris Pratt GIF by Marvel Studios

 

Those sub $1M movies are so difficult to get precise, a fair amount of luck involved.  Just curious: why were ya'll so much higher on Bad Guys? I thought I had miscalculated something when I saw the average and range



Posted
2 minutes ago, M37 said:

Chris Pratt GIF by Marvel Studios

 

Those sub $1M movies are so difficult to get precise, a fair amount of luck involved.  Just curious: why were ya'll so much higher on Bad Guys? I thought I had miscalculated something when I saw the average and range

I forget the exact calcs at this point but I think I felt that with a -48 wed vertical the wknd should be softer than that especially since it was rebounding from the LY hit and TC loss wasn’t that bad.

Posted
9 minutes ago, Legion and Thunder said:

I forget the exact calcs at this point but I think I felt that with a -48 wed vertical the wknd should be softer than that especially since it was rebounding from the LY hit and TC loss wasn’t that bad.

Same, I thought last weekend's drop was due Lightyear and that it would have stabilize this weekend



Posted
21 minutes ago, Grebacio said:

Same, I thought last weekend's drop was due Lightyear and that it would have stabilize this weekend

Ah, I see: I didn’t plan for a rebound given how non-family LY’s audience was. So the -45% drop + TC and expected show loss got me under $500K





Posted
On 6/26/2022 at 11:46 AM, M37 said:

Chris Pratt GIF by Marvel Studios

 

Those sub $1M movies are so difficult to get precise, a fair amount of luck involved.  Just curious: why were ya'll so much higher on Bad Guys? I thought I had miscalculated something when I saw the average and range


I have a hamster that picks random numbers for me and that’s the whole basis of my prognostication. 
 

#HamsterQuant

  • Astonished 1


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