ChipDerby Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 Maybe I should quit predicting, lol https://derby.boxofficetheory.com/Predictions.aspx Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChipDerby Posted June 22 Author Share Posted June 22 1 Legion and Thunder 81.150% 67.537% 82.663% 8.569% 13 10 2 8wombi7 79.586% 60.221% 81.737% 7.005% 12 10 3 TalismanRing 79.199% 41.835% 83.351% 6.618% 11 10 4 M37 78.487% 62.851% 80.225% 5.906% 10 10 5 StormbreakerXXR 77.942% 63.978% 79.494% 5.361% 9 10 6 Grebacio 76.270% 40.471% 80.247% 3.689% 8 10 7 glassfairy 74.539% 31.356% 79.338% 1.958% 7 10 8 IdahoJacket 71.828% 59.628% 73.184% -0.753% 6 10 9 datpepper 71.030% 61.605% 72.078% -1.551% 5 10 10 Goldenhour36 70.157% 15.204% 76.263% -2.424% 4 10 11 Sandro Mazzola 65.946% 86.655% 63.644% -6.636% 3 10 12 AN9815 61.170% 35.508% 64.021% -11.411% 2 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
M37 Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 What an awful scoring week - how about a collective mulligan on that one? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChipDerby Posted June 22 Author Share Posted June 22 53 minutes ago, M37 said: What an awful scoring week - how about a collective mulligan on that one? Agreed I'll delete Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
M37 Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 44 minutes ago, ChipDerby said: Agreed I'll delete I was mostly being facetious, was just a very difficult week to forecast, but that’s someone else’s call. I‘m sure @Legion and Thunder won’t mind losing a 1st place finish 😉 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion By Night Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 And now, witness the true power of predicting 47M for Jurassic World Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grebacio Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 I almost got 0% on lightyear, since I had it at 100M+ until Thursday night Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
M37 Posted June 26 Share Posted June 26 I'm sitting at ~86% (91%/85%) after Sunday estimates - how about everyone else? Both Disney movies killed my score Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grebacio Posted June 26 Share Posted June 26 15 minutes ago, M37 said: I'm sitting at ~86% (91%/85%) after Sunday estimates - how about everyone else? Both Disney movies killed my score 83.33%. My highlights are a perfect score on Bob's Burgers and 98.6% on Black Phone, while my lowest scores are 63.41% on Elvis and 68.13% on Bad Guys Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion By Night Posted June 26 Share Posted June 26 (edited) 21 minutes ago, M37 said: I'm sitting at ~86% (91%/85%) after Sunday estimates - how about everyone else? Both Disney movies killed my score You’re up 2.5 on grebacio, should be pretty locked https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1BMEPoyDk7TN25-3VIR_jGTOPZlYulc6H6VbkXYDXkp0/edit Edited June 26 by Legion and Thunder 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
M37 Posted June 26 Share Posted June 26 5 minutes ago, Legion and Thunder said: You’re up 2.5 on grebacio, should be pretty locked https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1BMEPoyDk7TN25-3VIR_jGTOPZlYulc6H6VbkXYDXkp0/edit Those sub $1M movies are so difficult to get precise, a fair amount of luck involved. Just curious: why were ya'll so much higher on Bad Guys? I thought I had miscalculated something when I saw the average and range Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion By Night Posted June 26 Share Posted June 26 2 minutes ago, M37 said: Those sub $1M movies are so difficult to get precise, a fair amount of luck involved. Just curious: why were ya'll so much higher on Bad Guys? I thought I had miscalculated something when I saw the average and range I forget the exact calcs at this point but I think I felt that with a -48 wed vertical the wknd should be softer than that especially since it was rebounding from the LY hit and TC loss wasn’t that bad. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grebacio Posted June 26 Share Posted June 26 9 minutes ago, Legion and Thunder said: I forget the exact calcs at this point but I think I felt that with a -48 wed vertical the wknd should be softer than that especially since it was rebounding from the LY hit and TC loss wasn’t that bad. Same, I thought last weekend's drop was due Lightyear and that it would have stabilize this weekend Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
M37 Posted June 26 Share Posted June 26 21 minutes ago, Grebacio said: Same, I thought last weekend's drop was due Lightyear and that it would have stabilize this weekend Ah, I see: I didn’t plan for a rebound given how non-family LY’s audience was. So the -45% drop + TC and expected show loss got me under $500K Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChipDerby Posted June 27 Author Share Posted June 27 Honestly predicting holdovers now is extremely difficult. So props to anyone who can do it well consistently. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR 4 Modsident Posted June 28 Share Posted June 28 On 6/26/2022 at 11:46 AM, M37 said: Those sub $1M movies are so difficult to get precise, a fair amount of luck involved. Just curious: why were ya'll so much higher on Bad Guys? I thought I had miscalculated something when I saw the average and range I have a hamster that picks random numbers for me and that’s the whole basis of my prognostication. #HamsterQuant 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
