Mexico Box Office | Planet of the Apes is king with $6.4M OW; good holds for Garfield and Challengers

[Purple Minion]

Weekend numbers. Conjuring 2 this close to 300M lc, I think it's the highest grossing horror movie in pesos.  Warcraft opened OK, but doubt it'll reach $10M. X-M:A is 2M lc away from breaking into the all-time Top 40 in lc. Alice2 still 50% behind AIW.

 

 

Next releases that should hit #1: ID2, IA5 and then it's all about FD. The animated animals may pervent Tarzan and NYSM2 from making it to the top.

[Rthmessiah]

On 6/8/2016 at 6:27 PM, Fullbuster said:

Wow, thank you very much

 

Minions got the most in admissions?? o_O

Yes even films older then 2004

[cannastop]

On 6/10/2016 at 9:59 PM, VinceMichaudC said:

 

Damn. IMDB be wrong then

 

http://www.imdb.com/title/tt3110958/releaseinfo?ref_=tt_ql_dt_2

They're wrong about a lot of release dates because they depend on ordinary people like you or me for their info.

[Fullbuster]

16 minutes ago, cannastop said:

They're wrong about a lot of release dates because they depend on ordinary people like you or me for their info.

Good to know

[Purple Minion]

I'll be using this from now on to get release dates - http://www.cinepolis.com/proximos-estrenos

[Purple Minion]

ID2 opens to a decent 17.3M lc OD Thu (~$900K). Usual multiplier for these movies is 7-8x, so we could expect a 4-day OW of about $6.5M.

Me Before You had a good 10.6M lc OD (~$550K). Using a slightly lower multiplier, it should aim to the $3.3M mark for the whole OW.

 

Conjuring 2 total is 323.5M lc, $17.7M. Already in the all-time Top 50 in lc.

 

Full weekly table coming soon.

Edited June 26, 2016 by Purple Minion
Low multiplier

[HenryPotternoi]

2 hours ago, Purple Minion said:

ID2 opens to a decent 17.3M lc OD Thu (~$900K). Usual multiplier for these movies is 5-6x, so we could expect a 4-day OW of about $5M.

Me Before You had a good 10.6M lc OD (~$550K). Multiplier is 4-5x, so it should aim to the $2.5M mark for the whole OW.

 

Conjuring 2 total is 323.5M lc, $17.7M. Already in the all-time Top 50 in lc.

 

Full weekly table coming soon.

Can Conjuring get to $25M?

[Purple Minion]

Not sure, depends on how it holds this weekend.

 

 

All time (lc)

40  335,589,063  Captain America 2 (2014)

41  335,512,848  X-Men: Apocalypse (2016)
42  332,390,000  The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 2 (2015)
43  327,417,004  The Hunger Games: Catching Fire (2013)

44  323,390,981  The Conjuring 2 (2016)
45  322,114,790  Ice Age 2 (2006)

[Purple Minion]

Preliminary weekend numbers (Screendaily/Deadline)

• ID2: $6.8M 4-day OW, nice hold from Thu OD.
• Me Before You: #2, good $3.8M OW.
• Conjuring 2: $1M weekend, $18.7M total.

Edited June 26, 2016 by Purple Minion

[Fullbuster]

Purple, what do you expect for Dory in Mexico?

[Purple Minion]

Posted this in the Dory thread in mid-June.

 

Quote

Based on MU numbers, FD should sell at least 10M tickets in Mexico and gross 500M lc ($27M). But if it's really well received and doesn't lose many seats after its 3rd week, it could challenge Minions as the #1 movie in admissions (16M).

 

The most likely scenario is somewhere in the middle, about 13M tickets and 675M lc ($35M). The ER is going berserk these days, so your guess on US total is as good as mine!

[Purple Minion]

Actual weekend: ID2 opens to $6.76M, Me Before You to $3.73M; Conjuring 2 crosses $19M, #4 of the year and breaks into the all time Top 35 in lc. Full table coming soon.

[Fullbuster]

3 hours ago, Purple Minion said:

Posted this in the Dory thread in mid-June.

 

 

The most likely scenario is somewhere in the middle, about 13M tickets and 675M lc ($35M). The ER is going berserk these days, so your guess on US total is as good as mine!

 

Thanks

Wonderful! I can't wait for this Mexican release!

[Purple Minion]

 

ID2, 6th highest 4-day opening of 2016.

 

TOP MOVIES 2016 (lc, up to 26 June)

01 725,755,205 Captain America 3: Civil War

02 629,616,949 Batman v Superman

03 427,515,447 The Jungle Book

04 348,083,160 The Conjuring 2

05 347,000,000 Deadpool <- estimate

06 336,803,092 X-Men: Apocalypse

07 304,449,299 Zootopia

08 278,787,640 Kung Fu Panda 3

09 273,119,981 Qué culpa tiene el niño

10 249,546,404 Alice Through the Looking Glass

 

 

[Purple Minion]

Great weekday holds for ID2 ($9.35M total) and Me Before You ($5.8M total), probably the highest grossing YA movie in a while. Conjuring 2 getting closer and closer to $20M, it's now #33 all time (lc). X-M:A is on its way out but managed to land at #40 all time (lc).

 

 

This weekend is all about Scrat and Sid, two of the most popular animated characters in this market. How high IA5 could go? Well, let's check the gross of the previous 2:

 

09  618,218,437  Ice Age 4 (2012) --> 3rd biggest animated movie ever.

15  539,541,637  Ice Age 3 (2009)

 

Both with more than 11 million tickets sold.  So with holiday vacations in full force, 550M should be feasible ... although it only has 2 full weeks before Dory shows up to mess everything.

 

[Fullbuster]

So IA5 could reach $35m with IA4 numbers in lc

[Purple Minion]

It could indeed. These are the figures in USD, as per Mojo:

 

IA4

OW: $11,462,936, Total $46,845,581

IA3

OW: $9,162,498, Total $39,389,248

 

Movies weren't so front-loaded back then so we could expect a massive OW for IA5.

 

---

Central Intelligence also opened today, but it's not getting many screens in average (5) compared with IA5 (18), as per Cinepolis.

 

Edited July 1, 2016 by Purple Minion

[Fullbuster]

21 hours ago, Purple Minion said:

It could indeed. These are the figures in USD, as per Mojo:

 

IA4

OW: $11,462,936, Total $46,845,581

IA3

OW: $9,162,498, Total $39,389,248

 

Movies weren't so front-loaded back then so we could expect a massive OW for IA5.

 

---

Central Intelligence also opened today, but it's not getting many screens in average (5) compared with IA5 (18), as per Cinepolis.

 

 

That will be interesting to see, however Dory is likely to undermine it.

[Cinefilo]

IMHO IA5 is far more popular than FD in Mexico and it will win the battle for the biggest animated movie this year, We'll see.

[Purple Minion]

Weekend estimates (Screendaily, Deadline):

• IA5 #1 with $8.7M, second biggest Fox opening.  Lower numbers in USD than IA4 and IA3; but just -4% in lc from the previous one. Awaiting for the final lc numbers  tomorrow for further comparisons.
• ID2 #2, OK $2.1M weekend for a $11.5M. Its third largest international market.
• Central Intelligence #4 with $1.5M OW.

Wonder if Me Before You is #3?