mexico Mexico Box Office | Inside Out 2 now #3 all-time, $82M; loud $4.7M OW for A Quiet Place: Day One

[eman92]

Does anyone have an idea on how Saw X is tracking for OW in Mexico? Historically the films have typically done 1.2-1.4M USD for their total box office. I know horror has been pretty popular in Mexico lately and Saw X takes place in Mexico City and has a lot of Hispanic actors in the film. I'm wondering if we could see a huge bump in numbers in Mexico. As well I've seen Lionsgate is doing a lot of Spanish advertising to really push the movie. Could it do Insidious Red Door numbers or you think that is too much to ask for?

Edited September 21, 2023 by eman92

[Carlangonz]

4 hours ago, Purple Minion said:

Expend4bles opens today, the previous entries didn't set the box office on fire. Third one grossed less than the second, and sold just 100K additional tickets than the original.

Can't see it making much more than Expendables 3.

 

25 minutes ago, eman92 said:

Does anyone have an idea on how Saw X is tracking for OW in Mexico? Could it do Insidious Red Door numbers or you think that is too much to ask for?

For a franchise that is very popular it hasn't really been a box office hit and hasn't had the growth that franchises like The Purge have experienced. Maybe $50M+ ($3M) but idk at all.

I do have to say that unlike most horror franchises this one has historically been too restricted by rating getting C-Rating for each title. It's basically 18+, requieres ID and there aren't exceptions.

Edited September 21, 2023 by Carlangonz

[Purple Minion]

CANACINE still hungover from the Independence Day celebrations, hasn't updated the box office page yet...

[Purple Minion]

Quiet week it seems. No info on new openers; The Nun 2 is at $18.7M (320M lc), Venice $1.3M.

[Shanks]

1. The Nun II - $39.2M / $320M

2. Sobreviviendo Mis XV - $17.6M

3. Expend4bles - $15.49M

4. Sound of Freedom - $13.9M / $187.3M

5. Heroico - $10.2M

6. Gran Turismo - $6.04M / $125.31M
7. A Haunting in Venice - $5.7M / $22.52M

8. Welcome al Norte - $3.8M / $17.4M

9. Tour De Cine Francés - $3.6M

10. After Everything - $1.3M / $7.8M

[Purple Minion]

Expend4bles may end up below the first movie in lc. Tsk tsk.

 

Gran Turismo resilience! Sound of Freedom running out of gas, but still should pass 200M lc.

[Carlangonz]

On 9/25/2023 at 10:43 AM, Purple Minion said:

Expend4bles may end up below the first movie in lc. Tsk tsk.

 

Gran Turismo resilience! Sound of Freedom running out of gas, but still should pass 200M lc.

Awareness was completely low for Expend4bles. It'll fade quickly unlike Gran Turismo being a bit of a sleeper hit beating Blue Bettle and TMNT.

I'd say good not spectacular opening for both local openers. Hopefully both manage to survive upcoming competition. Nun II about to lose steam with direct competition and giving up on a lot of screens but looking to collect $350M+ showing staying power for Conjuring franchise which has now 6 titles over $300M.

October looking to be a bit better than September; nothing seemingly breaking out or reaching Nun heights but delivering consistent numbers:

Saw X and Exorcist: Believer potentially grossing $150M+ between both of them. Saw's marketing has been particularly standing out but opening one week apart from the other may hurt them.

Killers of the Flower Moon which won't definitely won't follow suit to Oppenheimer or The Whale but still aiming $70M or so. Equalizer 3 may be about the same and potentially higher if it follows John Wick route.

Paw Patrol and Trolls 3 should show some strenght as well. Perhaps a combined number equivalent to $200M+ with no direct competition until Wish and November holidays benefiting Trolls.

Eugenio Derbez is coming back on a theatrical release with Radical which apparently isn't much like his recent comedy hits but still a moving feel-good drama about an elementary school teacher in a small border city. We'll see if can become a modest hit.

The Eras Tour coming fresh off Taylor-mania which very well could grab the second to biggest opening of the month with $90M and collect well around $120M.

As the final potential hit and taking advantage of the Halloween-Dia de Muertos corridor there is Five Nights At Freedy's which has a large following among a young demo and could carry it to $120M+ and on par with recent horror hits like Evil Dead Rise and Pope's Exorcist.

[Purple Minion]

The Saw movie dynasty hasn't caused a dent in the box office. The most successful has been Jigsaw and that didn't even reached 30M lc. The older movies were quite leggy, though.

 

Movie	OW LC	OW Aud	Total LC	Total Aud
Jigsaw	$8,986,394	178,949	$27,563,553	614,059
Saw 7 3D	$4,160,309	52,984	$16,753,044	216,265
Saw 5	$1,940,846	47,265	$14,709,250	383,592
Saw 2	$2,917,617	67,756	$14,693,286	399,738
Spiral	$6,792,932	90,933	$14,318,782	210,054
Saw 3	$4,923,858	117,787	$14,279,169	385,095
Saw	$2,405,675	59,183	$9,985,245	288,999
Saw 6	$1,328,066	28,617	$8,929,933	215,397
Saw 4	$1,442,434	42,952	$8,771,636	252,413

[Purple Minion]

Perros defeat terror! Paw Patrol opened to $2.8M, Saw X $2.36M - enough to become the top grosser of the franchise.

 

$800K OW for The Creator.

 

 

Edited October 1, 2023 by Purple Minion

[Purple Minion]

The Nun 2 reached $20.7M, about 360M lc. Unless it collapses, it has a good chance to pass The Meg 2 and The Little Mermaid and become #6 of the year.

[Shanks]

1. Paw Patrol - $47.7M
2. Saw X - $34M
3. Nun II - $25.09M  // $357.8M
4. The Creator - $15.3M
5. Sobreviviendo Mis XV - $14.9M //  $40.1M
6. Sound of Freedom - $9.1M // $201.9M
7. Expend4bles - $7.6M  // $29.5M
8. Heroico - $7.2M // $21.7M
9. Tour De Cine Francés - $4M // $10M
10. Gran Turismo - $4.3M  // $132M

 

 

 

[Carlangonz]

Extraordinary for Saw X, seems like everything it could work out well in favour of it actually did. Hopefully reaches $100M but we'll see how it holds with Exorcist coming out this Thursday.

As @Purple Minion pointed out, Nun II is coming quite close now to beat Little Mermaid as No. 6 this year after this weekend's great hold. Lack of bigger competition for screens has helped it a lot.

Amazing holds for both locals Sobreviviendo mis XV and Heroico. Modest but good results overall for both of them. Hopefully is a good sign for Radical to become a sleeper hit.

Exorcist: Believer is surprisingly having healthy sales enough to get a bankable opening in the ballpark of $70M+.


 

[Carlangonz]

If Saw X opened to $30M and Believer is looking to $70M+ and DOM presales are off to a great start then I'll go way higher on my expectations for Freedy as it could top $100M+.

I'm honestly a bit losed on this one because it skews younger so is hard to tell how much of it will actually translate to sales but seems like an event for the demo.

[Purple Minion]

5.4M tickets sold for The Nun 2, 3M for Sound of Freedom.

 

Delighted for Gran Turismo, still in the Top 10!

[Purple Minion]

The most obvious benchmark for The Exorcist: Believer is this year's The Pope's Exorcist, which grossed 168.1M lc.

Below other relatively recent movies with Exorcist/Exorcism in theirtitle. Will Believer reach 3M?

 

Movie	OW lc	OW audience	Total lc	Total audience
The Exorcist: Never Seen Version	MXN 21,262,700	659,487	MXN 82,675,765	2,941,147
The Exorcism Of Emily Rose	MXN 22,566,546	567,607	MXN 77,427,582	2,188,395
Exorcist: The Beginning	MXN 11,828,244	310,247	MXN 43,452,552	1,291,072
The Last Exorcism	MXN 11,608,177	258,255	MXN 38,562,151	918,205

[Carlangonz]

53 minutes ago, Purple Minion said:

Below other relatively recent movies with Exorcist/Exorcism in theirtitle. Will Believer reach 3M?

I think is too high. Probably akin to Exorcism of Emily Rose give it a bit higher or a bit lower.

After explosive sales for Five Nights at Freddy's in DOM I've been thinking a lot about it because honestly is a franchise I do recognize but I'm not familiar with and I feel I may be missing something with it. 

I've looked at some metrics and they're massive. Of course lack of knowledge for me influences it but they're more impressive than Mario or Barbie's and seems to be playing in similar veins with the big exception that is missing the multi-generational appeal those two had and even among horror titles, 2017's It also had.

For the 12-18 demo is kinda like Mario, it has a general and massive appeal and doesn't limit to a gamer community. I feel like if it's well-received this could explode beyond with older audiences with precedent of last year's The Black Phone breakout and all its mythology behind it which does sound cool.

Tracking shall be fun but until then I'll keep thinking if this has the potential to be on the leagues of Conjuring Universe or even It. Of course no day and date here and the Halloween-Día de Muertos corridor making it the most fitting release for the season since Coco.

[Carlangonz]

Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour (T-9 Days)

Title	Number of shows	Sold	Total Available	Occupancy	ATP	Total sales in $
The Eras Tour	130	14519	24196	60.01%	$220.61	$3,203,039.10

 

Not doing any comps; just having it for future reference.

This is coming from usual 8-complex sample with the exception that one of the locations has now added 4 new VIP screens. All 130 shows are coming from 22 screens.

Is being more front-loaded than I initially expected as shows that were added after Day 1 are being quiet with exception of those added for 7:00PM on Friday. Sunday sales are also being held back by night shows so we'll see if walk-ins manage to impact there.

Overall I'm not expecting more shows to be added and final screen count including Cinemex to push it a bit above 1,000 screens which would be way above any other similar relase except for Permission to Dance in Las Vegas which reached nearly 2,000 screens.

Now thinking on somewhere between $75M-$85M for the first weekend.

[Carlangonz]

Tickets for Five Nights at Freddy's going on sale next Thursday. It opens on the 26th with previews starting at 7PM on the 25th.

 

Seemingly low initial show count so comps will be interesting.

[Purple Minion]

Taylor's will be very front-loaded. I hadn't heard anything about Freddy (showing my age, lol) but it is strongly pulling the teenage and young adult audience, hope it breaks out.

[Purple Minion]

Excellent $4M OW for The Exorcist: Believer, about 73M lc. Biggest opening in the genre above The Pope's Exorcist, although that movie increased on its second week. It should end up around the same level.