Carlangonz Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 16 hours ago, Purple Minion said: Was the previous one "Cindy La Regia"? Yeah, right before complete shutdown. 2022's Infelices para Siempre also crossed $100M but just barely so didn't surpassed Cindy. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted November 7, 2023 Author Share Posted November 7, 2023 CANACINE is showing Freddy's total as 309.2M lc, probably it includes Monday. 4.8M tickets sold. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted November 8, 2023 Share Posted November 8, 2023 The Marvels to release on 3,500 screens. On par with Little Mermaid and Spiderverse and around 900 above Blue Beetle. We'll see how it pays off. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted November 8, 2023 Share Posted November 8, 2023 On 11/6/2023 at 12:36 PM, Carlangonz said: THE MARVELS (OPENING DAY INCL MIDNIGHTS) - T-3 DAYS Title Seats sold Seats available Occupancy Growth from T-6 The Marvels 717 25462 2.82% +40,86% Comps at the same point before release Title Seats sold Seats available Occupancy Growth Comp in % Comp in lc Little Mermaid 1949 17685 11.02% +39,91% 36.79% $8.68M Spiderverse 9797 19284 50.8% +12.71% 7.32% $3.22M Barbie 15226 23117 65.86% +21,26% 4.71% $4.99M Indy 5 345 11086 3.11% 207.83% $12.89M THE MARVELS (OPENING DAY INCL MIDNIGHTS) - T-7 HOURS BEFORE MIDNIGHTS / T-18 HOURS BEFORE MATINEES Title Seats sold Seats available Occupancy Growth from T-3 The Marvels 1344 30227 4.45% +87.45% Comps at the same point before release Title Seats sold Seats available Occupancy Growth from T-3 Comp in % Comp in lc Little Mermaid 3618 30163 11.99% +85,63% 37,15 $8.77M Spiderverse 13954 33397 41.75% +42,43% 9,63 $4.24M Barbie 23370 45283 51.61% +53,49% 5,75 $6.1M Indy 5 601 14757 4.07% +74,2% 223,63 $13.87M This is it. Depending how good or bad this goes this could be the lowest grossing opening weekend for a Marvel title since 2012's Ghost Rider: Spirit of Vengeance and lowest ever for an MCU title. Important to notice that on the last couple of days midnight shows at several locations have vanished after poor sales including 6 from this sample. Breakdown up next for sold, total and occupancy: Midnights 187 4013 4.66% Rest of day 1157 26214 4.41% Midnights barely represent around 3% of Guardians 3's previews and 4% of those for The Flash so won't make much of a dent and barely add around $0.6M lc. Fourtunately pace remains great and has able to finish just above Little Mermaid and well over Dial of Destiny preventing from further collapse. Growth has been the best from Metro Area where needed it the most and where pace had stalled after first few days of sales which along comps make it seem like walk-ins for opening day shall be good just as they were for Little Mermaid but need a good reception like that one so it can hold good internal multi. What I'm afraid of is that just like Blue Beetle good reviews and reception won't completely save it entirely but could boost just a bit. Opening weekend: $35M-$45M ($2M-$2.6M USD) 1 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted November 8, 2023 Share Posted November 8, 2023 On 11/6/2023 at 12:42 PM, Carlangonz said: BALLAD OF SONGBIRDS AND SNAKES (WED NIGHT PREVIEWS) - T-9 DAYS Title Sold Total Available Occupancy Hunger Games 292 2324 12.56% BALLAD OF SONGBIRDS AND SNAKES (WED NIGHT PREVIEWS) - T-7 DAYS Title Seats sold Seats available Occupancy Growth from T-9 Hunger Games 490 3414 14.35% +67.81% Comps at the same point before release Title Seats sold Seats available Occupancy Growth from T-9 Comp in % Comp in lc Transformers 857 5407 15.85% 57.18% $5.26M MI7 965 6187 15.6% +20.93 50.78% $3.05M It just had its best days so really amazing for it. MI7 comp is skewing due to the early access data but removing it is well ahead by 50% so I'll end up removing it or adjusting it. Don't have more comps for this one so will be tough to go with a prediction but those $5M+ from the Rise of Beasts comp bode well. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted November 9, 2023 Share Posted November 9, 2023 Marvels was screened for press until just 4 hours before midnight shows which is something I hadn't heard before from Disney. Quite divisive as well, some of the *positive* reactions I've read still say it could've gone straight to Disney+. Yikes. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted November 10, 2023 Share Posted November 10, 2023 On 11/8/2023 at 5:35 PM, Carlangonz said: BALLAD OF SONGBIRDS AND SNAKES (WED NIGHT PREVIEWS) - T-7 DAYS Title Seats sold Seats available Occupancy Growth from T-9 Hunger Games 490 3414 14.35% +67.81% Comps at the same point before release Title Seats sold Seats available Occupancy Growth from T-9 Comp in % Comp in lc Transformers 857 5407 15.85% 57.18% $5.26M MI7 965 6187 15.6% +20.93 50.78% $3.05M BALLAD OF SONGBIRDS AND SNAKES (WED NIGHT PREVIEWS) - T-5 DAYS Title Seats sold Seats available Occupancy Growth from T-7 Hunger Games 675 3495 19.31% +37.76% Comps at the same point before release Title Seats sold Seats available Occupancy Growth from T-7 Comp in % Comp in lc MI7 563 5274 10.68% +73.77% 19,89% $6.5M I lost the Transformers comp because didn't take data for T-5 but will come back for T-2. I also adjusted MI7 comp to exclude early access in both seats and $. Both occupancy and pace still marching well towards $5M+. We just have to wait and see how front-loaded may be. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted November 10, 2023 Share Posted November 10, 2023 On 11/8/2023 at 5:30 PM, Carlangonz said: Opening weekend: $35M-$45M ($2M-$2.6M USD) As wom is a mystery on first days, first day went below $10M with $9M so walk-ins equally as meh as DOM. A range right between Quantumania and Guardians points towards the lower end but I'm leaning towards high 30s. Still would below Blue Beetle and a drop o/u 85% from Captain Marvel. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted November 11, 2023 Author Share Posted November 11, 2023 This is going to look worse in terms of tickets. The Incredible Hulk sold 3.35M, Black Widow 2.8M, even Shang-Chi did 2.35M.... Marvels may not reach 2M. 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted November 11, 2023 Share Posted November 11, 2023 2 hours ago, Purple Minion said: This is going to look worse in terms of tickets. The Incredible Hulk sold 3.35M, Black Widow 2.8M, even Shang-Chi did 2.35M.... Marvels may not reach 2M. Yeah, drop in admissions aims just over 90% 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted November 11, 2023 Share Posted November 11, 2023 18 hours ago, Carlangonz said: I'm leaning towards high 30s. $39M-$42M seems about right Friday up to $19M - +5% from Thursday Wakanda Forever was +37% as Quantumania and Eternals were +15%. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophia Jane Posted November 11, 2023 Share Posted November 11, 2023 Marvel failed in Mexico,this is crazy Don’t forgot Mexico is the country that Marvel break B.O record 6 times. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted November 12, 2023 Share Posted November 12, 2023 $3M as per Disney. We'll see if it's actual or an overestimation because that would be unusual after such a low Friday. More backloaded than most MCU. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted November 12, 2023 Share Posted November 12, 2023 3 minutes ago, Carlangonz said: $3M as per Disney. We'll see if it's actual or an overestimation because that would be unusual after such a low Friday. More backloaded than most MCU. What's your estimates? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted November 12, 2023 Author Share Posted November 12, 2023 (edited) As per Disney numbers, Marvel's OW is 53M lc. Higher than Hulk and Shang-Chi and about the same as Iron Man in lc, but audience-wise it's the lowest MCU opening. It is also one of the rare occasions in which Mexico is not in the Top 5 of a MCU OS OW. If it behaves like a normal super-hero movie, it will end below Hulk's 125.8M lc total. Captain Marvel had a 246.8M OW, that'd be a 78% decrease. Opening numbers of other MCU's sequels as comparison: 157.3 GOTG 2 112.5 Captain America 2 108.6 Ant-Man 2 108.0 Thor 2 88.5 Iron Man 2 Edited November 12, 2023 by Purple Minion 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted November 12, 2023 Author Share Posted November 12, 2023 $19.5M total for Freddy's, about 345M lc and biggest Blumhouse movie of all time. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted November 13, 2023 Author Share Posted November 13, 2023 Hearing 52.7M lc OW for Marvels... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted November 14, 2023 Share Posted November 14, 2023 6 hours ago, Purple Minion said: Hearing 52.7M lc OW for Marvels... Way better Sat-Sun than expected. More surprising after that poor Fri increase so behaved more like a DC rather than an MCU title. 1. The Marvels - $52.6M 2. Five Nights at Freddy's - $26.9M/$351.8M (-64.79%) 3. Radical - $19.8M/$164.7M (-33%) 4. Trolls: World Tour - $14M/$84.7M (-49.82%) 5. All Fun and Games - $4.8M 6. Confesiones - $4.8M/$15.6M (-28.36%) 7. Señora Influencer - $4.1M/$16.2M (-47.44%) 8. Killers of the Flower Moon - $3.7M/$43.8M (-43.94%) 9. The Jester - $2.5M/$15.7M (-70.24%) 10. Mavka - $2.5M There's a holiday coming next Monday so should benefit everything as Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes is the only wide release. The Marvels avoided to go lower than Blue Beetle and it would requiere the worst legs of any CBM this year to not surpass Incredible Hulk but still a disaster for Marvel as it would go lower than any other Marvel release (sans New Mutants) of the last 10 years. At the end of its run, in admissions is very likely to end up below legacy Marvel releases such as all Fantastic Four releases, both Hulk movies, all X-Men titles excluding New Mutants, first Ghost Rider and maybe even Daredevil. Is indeed Marvel's Blue Bettle. Best holds are coming from local releases including Radical which is ensuring to become the highest sleeper hit of the year surpassing Sound of Freedom. It is now to a 4x multi and still going on. Killers of the Flower Moon also now surpassed a 3x multi despite its limited release and extensive runtime. Five Nights at Freddy's plummeted but is now Blumhouse biggest hit ever and looking closer of Nun II as highest grossing horror movie of the year. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted November 14, 2023 Author Share Posted November 14, 2023 Yikes, I hadn't even considered the non-Disney Marvel movies. It did open lower than all 3 Fantastic 4 and X-Men: First Class. Movie OW lc OW Aud Total lc Total aud Fantastic 4 (2015) $68,094,122 1,351,924 $171,298,179 3,817,982 Fantastic 4 (2005) $62,051,788 1,645,556 $236,955,367 7,102,674 Fantastic 4 and Silver Surfer $60,957,544 1,487,714 $179,031,175 4,810,795 X Men: First Class $55,634,628 1,179,171 $157,316,646 3,512,778 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted November 14, 2023 Author Share Posted November 14, 2023 The Hunger Game sequels have been very consistent and a big jump from the first one. Ballad should fall somewhere in the middle. Movie OW lc OW Aud Total lc Total aud Hunger Games 3.1 $151,456,992 2,876,914 $336,355,929 7,085,531 Hunger Games 3.2 $127,313,242 2,489,832 $323,901,992 6,834,668 Hunger Games 2 $119,988,883 2,401,254 $327,422,691 7,224,131 Hunger Games $45,567,622 917,080 $180,022,102 3,925,025 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...