Carlangonz Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 (edited) OPPENHEIMER OPENING DAY - T-6 DAYS Title Number of shows Sold Total Available Growth from T-7 Occupancy Oppenheimer 41 419 6604 22.87% 6.91% Cool start going by limitations in shows due to the runtime. We'll see if it accelerates this weekend or it'll be more backloaded. I'll keep IMAX numbers separated from these ones but still do updates. 1,856 / 3,652 - 50.82% occupancy Edited July 14, 2023 by Carlangonz 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
interiorgatordecorator Posted July 15, 2023 Share Posted July 15, 2023 (edited) does sound of freedom have a release date? Edited July 18, 2023 by interiorgatordecorator Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted July 15, 2023 Author Share Posted July 15, 2023 $1.8M total for Dead Reckoning I. Good chance to reach $4M, 67M lc. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted July 15, 2023 Share Posted July 15, 2023 2 hours ago, interiorgatordecorator said: read somewhere that sound of freedom is out in Mexico is it doing anything? Is not Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted July 16, 2023 Author Share Posted July 16, 2023 $4.5M OW for the latest Mission Impossible, better than expected 75M lc 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted July 17, 2023 Author Share Posted July 17, 2023 (edited) 73.0M lc OW for DR1, falling short of beating Fallout as biggest opening for the M:I franchise. Will it be able to reach 200M lc because of the double whammy of Barbenhaimer this week? Edited July 17, 2023 by Purple Minion 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted July 17, 2023 Share Posted July 17, 2023 $250M seems locked for Barbie unless something catastrophic happens. $50M for Oppenheimer with IMAX shows filling up more and more. Above Dunkirk adjusted and maybe above Interstellar as well ($60M) 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob-omb Posted July 17, 2023 Share Posted July 17, 2023 11 minutes ago, Carlangonz said: $250M seems locked for Barbie unless something catastrophic happens. $50M for Oppenheimer with IMAX shows filling up more and more. Above Dunkirk adjusted and maybe above Interstellar as well ($60M) 250M incl. previews? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted July 17, 2023 Share Posted July 17, 2023 (edited) 13 minutes ago, Bob-omb said: 250M incl. previews? Neither has previews. Both are launching Thursday morning Edited July 17, 2023 by Carlangonz Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob-omb Posted July 17, 2023 Share Posted July 17, 2023 8 minutes ago, Carlangonz said: Neither has previews. Both are launching Thursday morning Oh, I see thanks. So how does it work in Mexico? Are thursdays included in the weekend? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted July 17, 2023 Share Posted July 17, 2023 1 hour ago, Bob-omb said: Oh, I see thanks. So how does it work in Mexico? Are thursdays included in the weekend? Yes. They used to be accounted separately because 4-Day weekends used to be a thing only depending on the season or title but now everything all the time releases on Thursday. Wednesday night previews are now what midnight shows used to be. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted July 17, 2023 Share Posted July 17, 2023 (edited) On 7/14/2023 at 12:42 PM, Carlangonz said: BARBIE OPENING DAY - T-6 DAYS Title Number of shows Sold Total Available Growth from T-13 Occupancy % of comp Comp in lc Barbie 105 12557 23117 20.09% 54.32% Spiderverse 84 8692 19284 15% 45.07% 144.47% $65.01M BARBIE OPENING DAY - T-3 DAYS Title Number of shows Sold Total Available Growth from T-6 Occupancy % of comp Comp in lc Barbie 105 15226 23117 21.26% 65.86% Spiderverse 84 9797 19284 12.71% 50.8% 155.41% $69.93M The comp is just getting bigger and bigger! Remaining shows should start to be added as soon as tonight but nearest locations to those among the sample are getting all the spillover already. Matinee shows at VIP locations are pretty much done with PLFs looking to be at least to 50% full and traditional screenings doing great numbers as well. Will wait for final allocation but this may be closer to Mario's TFSS than expected. Edited July 17, 2023 by Carlangonz 3 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted July 17, 2023 Share Posted July 17, 2023 (edited) On 7/14/2023 at 4:46 PM, Carlangonz said: OPPENHEIMER OPENING DAY - T-6 DAYS Title Number of shows Sold Total Available Growth from T-7 Occupancy Oppenheimer 41 419 6604 22.87% 6.91% I'll keep IMAX numbers separated from these ones but still do updates. 1,856 / 3,652 - 50.82% occupancy OPPENHEIMER OPENING DAY - T-3 DAYS (NON-IMAX SHOWS) Title Number of shows Sold Total Available Growth from T-6 Occupancy % of comp Comp in lc Oppenheimer 41 771 6604 84.01% 12.71% Indiana Jones 5 60 323 11086 NA 2.91% 238.70% $14.8M Tricky comparison because itself because Barbenheimer is boosting numbers so I don't think it'll go as high but anyway magnificent prospect if pace holds and somewhat finishes around $10M for the day. OPPENHEIMER OPENING DAY - T-3 DAYS (IMAX ONLY) Title Number of shows Sold Total Available Growth from T-6 Occupancy Oppenheimer 12 2514 3652 35.45 68.84% Incredible figure. I'll probably track some other IMAX locations to see how's behaving but feels like the overall weekend could add $6M-7M in the format alone. Edited July 17, 2023 by Carlangonz 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bobzaruni Posted July 17, 2023 Share Posted July 17, 2023 45 minutes ago, Carlangonz said: BARBIE OPENING DAY - T-3 DAYS Title Number of shows Sold Total Available Growth from T-6 Occupancy % of comp Comp in lc Barbie 105 15226 23117 21.26% 65.86% Spiderverse 84 9797 19284 12.71% 50.8% 155.41% $69.93M The comp is just getting bigger and bigger! Remaining shows should start to be added as soon as tonight but nearest locations to those among the sample are getting all the spillover already. Matinee shows at VIP locations are pretty much done with PLFs looking to be at least to 50% full and traditional screenings doing great numbers as well. Will wait for final allocation but this may be closer to Mario's TFSS than expected. Any numbers for full OW? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted July 18, 2023 Share Posted July 18, 2023 (edited) 4 hours ago, Bobzaruni said: Any numbers for full OW? Not doing anything concrete until we hit final allocation. As I said earlier seems like $250M is locked. Could see a path for $350M which would be just hitting $20M USD but my current ceiling is at $320M Edited July 18, 2023 by Carlangonz 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted July 18, 2023 Share Posted July 18, 2023 Cuernavaca is a city in the state of Morelos which is next to Mexico City. For several reasons people travel a lot between cities and because you gotta take highway to get to each other there's not really public transportation and instead you have to get a bus that doesn't make any stop and travels from a Grand Central to another. These trips are so common and crowded that you can easily get a bus every 20-30 minutes so there's a saying that is "Como autobús a Cuernavaca" / "(Scheduled) Like a bus to Cuernavaca" I'm seeing first full schedules for the weekend at some places and seems like Barbie is ruled by that saying. As expected all Little Mermaid, Spiderverse and the few shows remaining for Guardians and Fast X are gone. Flash and Transformers are still holding sharing one screen at complexes. Elemental taking a hit at smaller theaters having to share shows with either Barbie or Dead Reckoning but still surviving at bigger multiplexes (14+ screens) Insidious and Dead Reckoning seem to be the better positioned with at least one screen per theater. Of course if Barbie shows strength is done for Flash/Transformers/Elemental and if Oppenheimer breaks out then is done for Insidious and Dead Reckoning. VIP are looking to be devoted entirely to Barbenheimer with some shows for MI7 and Insidious. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted July 18, 2023 Share Posted July 18, 2023 I may take Friday data. Seeing insane sales at some theatres in the sample. I've been thinking since April that Beauty and the Beast and Joker would be appropriate comps in terms of buzz and phenomenon. I think I should've been looking higher. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob-omb Posted July 18, 2023 Share Posted July 18, 2023 39 minutes ago, Carlangonz said: I may take Friday data. Seeing insane sales at some theatres in the sample. I've been thinking since April that Beauty and the Beast and Joker would be appropriate comps in terms of buzz and phenomenon. I think I should've been looking higher. Which cities / CDMX areas do you scan? And which chain Cinepolis or Cinemex? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted July 18, 2023 Author Share Posted July 18, 2023 (edited) Full Top 10. No Hard Feelings did actually 2M lc. Less than 1M tickets sold for DR1, way below Fallout and Rogue Nation. Edited July 18, 2023 by Purple Minion Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted July 18, 2023 Author Share Posted July 18, 2023 And the Top 10 of the year before Barbie's invasion. TOP MOVIES 2023 (lc) 01 1,541,000,000 The Super Mario Bros. Movie 02 667,000,000 Fast X 03 641,000,000 Guardians of the Galaxy Volume 3 04 491,400,000 Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse 05 363,000,000 The Little Mermaid (2023) 06 340,600,000 Transformers: Rise of the Beasts 07 330,055,000 Ant Man & The Wasp: Quantumania 08 325,200,000 The Flash 09 278,100,000 Elemental 10 259,000,000 John Wick IV 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...