Carlangonz

Garfield has been moved up another day as it now opens on May 1st to match with Labor Day holiday. Last time a movie opened this far out from its US release was Coco maybe. Holdovers will suffer this weekend from screen loss as Spy x Family and Challengers aim a wide release. Plus Fall Guy is getting early access on Sat/Sun. Finally there are other five smaller scales releases and two Pixar wide re-issues: Incredibles and Toy Story 2. And still the weekend may be won once again by Godzilla and Kong.

Can't remember about Ex-Machina but Annihilation and Men went straight to Netflix and PVOD respectively.

APRIL 18-21 WEEKEND. 1. Godzilla and Kong - $27.9M/$504.5M (-39.35%) 2. Civil War - $17.5M/18.5M 3. Abigail - $14.4M 4. The First Omen - $13.4M/$74.9M (-29.47%) 5. Kung Fu Panda 4 - $11.8M/$572M (-28.48%) 6. Arthur the King - $10.4M/$57.1M (-27.78%) 7. Back to Black - $3.6M/$11.5M (-37.93%) 8. Ghostbusters - $3.5M/$136.6M (-47.76%) 9. 10 Lives - $3.1M/$9.8M (-41.51%) 10. Robot Dreams - $3M/$45.3M (-14.29%) Great holds for all features. Ultimately the Spring is won by Kung Fu Panda 4, but Godzilla x Kong manages to cross $500M and looks like will reach $550M before it vanishes. Po will get annoyingly close to $600M like Spiderverse last year with $500M but Garfield will prevent it. Civil War opens without any shock or dissapointment; we'll see how it legs towards $50M. Abigail is more of a let down considering the genre and its distributor which didn't manage to pick up buzz for it despite a well managed campaign. First Omen still on track for $100M but relies heavily on keeping screens which will get tough with upcoming wide openers but fourtunately none of them are direct competition. Robot Dreams has passed a 10x multi; marvelous feet!

Cinépolis has started doing some 'Surprise Screenings' akin to those of AMC in the US and Cineworld in the UK. First of these was this past Tuesday on selected theaters across the country and the film they showed was The Fall Guy. Speaking of Cinepolis, this very week they launched a membership program that is linked to its loyalty program Club Cinépolis and while it doesn't offer unlimited tickets, it has several tiers: Individual and double Regular for traditional screens-only and Premium that offers access from traditional to VIPs and PLFs to IMAX and 4DX screens. 4 and 6 tickets (individual or double according to your tier) on a monthly basis. Cancel any-time without aditional fees. It's an interesting proposal but it's definitely a downgrade from the previous program that offered unlimited access for a yearly payment. We shall see how it works and if they make any update to it.

APRIL 11-14 WEEKEND. 1. Godzilla x Kong - $46M/$464.1M (-54.37%) 2. SUGA D Tour' D-Day: The Movie - $26M 3. The First Omen - $19M/$54M (-28.57%) 4. Kung Fu Panda 4 - $16.5M/$555.7M (-49.07%) 5. Arthur the King - $14.4M/$42.2M (-34.25%) 6. Ghostbusters - $6.7M/$131.3M (-52.82%) 7. Sleeping Dogs - $6.1M 8. Back to Black - $5.8M 9. Jack in the Box Rises - $5.4M 10. 10 Lives - $5.3M Family titles are seeing the negative effect from holidays ending but nevertheless they're achieving all-time high for the franchises in the case of all three Godilla x Kong, Kung Fu Panda 4 and Frozen Empire. They're aiming at $540M/$590M/$150M respectively. The First Omen is taking advantage of a lack of major horror releases and holding extremely well. Crossing $100M will be a nail-bitter. BTS' Suga takes over once again grossing a similar amount as his previous concert back in June 2023 and the highest Per-Screen Average of the year so far with a whopping $85K lc per screen with an ATP of $265 lc which is a bit less than the latest three BTS' big screen events and about 20% higher than Taylor Swift's The Eras Tour feature.

Truly a bummer we won't get a $100M+ opener this month and Garfield will probably will be the only one until Inside Out 2 on June. Hopefully adult-profile titles like Challengers and Civil War (EA this weekend on IMAX) become sleeper hits. Also Ryan Gosling and Emily Blunt's goodwill translates well to The Fall Guy's numbers.

APRIL 4-7 WEEKEND. 1. Godzilla x Kong - $100.8M/$398.5M (-52.5%) 2. Kung Fu Panda 4 - $32.4M/$533M (-43.75%) 3. The First Omen - $26.6M 4. Arthur The King - $21.9M 5. Ghostbusters - $14.2M/$121.7M (-51.03%) 6. Un Actor Malo - $5.4M 7. Robot Dreams - $4.5M/$36.3M (-35.71%) 8. Dune: Part II - $3M/194.1M (-61.54%) 9. One Life - $1.9M/$33.5M (-59.57%) 10. The Chosen (Ep. 3 & 4) - $1.8M Step drops across the board with holidays just finishing. Godzilla and Kong are going just fine without obstacles to surpass $500M by next week but $600M definitely not looking on the table atm but next weeks are tough so could keep conquering audiences and stop in mid 500s range. Po is doing well without any major direct competition and won't have any for the next 3 weeks until Garfield comes out on time for the May 1st holiday. $600M are on sight. First Omen result is ok but definitely could've gone higher using Evil Dead Rise as a comp which even nabbed a C-Rating compared to softer B-15 for this one. Reception seems quite good so if it can hold up screens may leg as that one. Arthur marks the fourth $1M+ USD grosser of the week which is great for theaters. We'll see if it can meet up $60M-$80M final gross but going for the lower end.

I hadn't noticed but for its distributor; Robot Dreams is now their second highest grosser ever only below... The Boy and the Heron. Pretty good streak for non-studio animation during the last year.

MARCH 28-31 WEEKEND. 1. Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire - $212.2M/$227.7M 2. Kung Fu Panda 4 - $57.8M/$478.1M (-22.93%) 3. Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire - $29M/$96M (-34.98%) 4. Dune: Part II - $7.8M/$188.4M (-26.42%) 5. Robot Dreams - $7M/$29M (+42.86%) 6. The Iron Claw - $5,5M/$17.8M (-28.57%) 7. One Life - $4.7M/$29.9M (-16.07%) 8. Canta y No Llores - $2.2M/$9.4M (-52.17%) 9. Noche de Bodas - $1.7M/$45.3M 10. The Taste of Things - $1.3M (-39.29%) Best opening of the year for Godzilla and Kong doubling the opening of Godzilla v Kong. It has an empty April and upcoming holidays on May that will push late legs so is looking like it'll go above $600M. Panda sees a soft drop from the holidays around and soon will surpass Puss in Boots 2 as Dreamworks' highest title ever in lc. In admissions reamins on the run for 10M+ Great holiday performance will make Frozen Empire the highest grossing Ghostbusters' release going past 2016's and Afterlife entire runs by next week. Robot Drems has been increasing week to week for nearly a month now. It has peaked this weekend but looks like it shall challenge a 10x multi from its opening weekend despite never expanding from over 300 screens. For example: Panda and Kongzilla are in 2,000 and 3,800 respectively.

This is the Jurassic World-type of break-out that neither of the previous Monsterverse titles saw.

Is looking like $240M but Sunday could overperform pushing it to $250M/$15M USD.

Yeah, let alone $200M but $250M+ is the 4-Day goal.

MXN:USD is at its best level since October 2015 so USD opening is quite wide between the $9M-$12M range.

GODZILLA X KONG: THE NEW EMPIRE - WEDNESDAY NIGHT PREVIEWS (T-0 DAYS*) Title Seats sold Seats available Occupancy Growth from T-6 hours Godzilla x Kong 3069 4877 62.93% +43.61% Comps at T-0.5 hours before first shows Title Seats sold Seats available Occupancy Growth Comp in % Comp in lc Transformers 2657 5407 49.14% +23.01% 115.51% $10.63M MI:7 2103 5346 39.34% +43.94% 145.93% $8.76M Freddy's 7123 7411 96.11% +2.65% 43.09% $10.77M Hunger Games 959 3495 27.44% +53.52 320.02% $18.24M *I took some of the data as first shows were just starting so walk-ins are in full-effect in half of the sample. Strong finish for the new Monsterverse installment once again proving the franchise to be a walk-in powerhouse. Capacity restrictions will limit tonight's previews as there's no sign from exhibitors to expand show count. This is why I'm leaning into the Transformers and Freedy's comps: having room to grow as the first one with the exciment and fanbase of the second one. Spillover should benefit both Thursday and Friday which will behave like an extended weekend. Internal multi for the 4-Day + Previews will be a tricky one but I'm expecting it to open similarly as Kung Fu Panda 4 two weeks ago. $200M+ should not be off the table but creature/adventure films (Jurassic Saga/Jumanji) are always unpredictable on how high they can go.

MARCH 21-24 WEEKEND. 1. Kung Fu Panda 4 - $75M/$381.8M (-57.24%) 2. Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire - $44.6M 3. Dune: Part II - $10.6M/$174.8M (-48.79%) 4. The Iron Claw - $7.7M 5. One Life - $5.6M/$22.3M (-48.15%) 6. Robot Dreams - $4.9M/$18.9M (+4.26%) 7. Canta y No Llores - $4.6M 8. Noche de Bodas - $2.8M/$41.9M (-70.53%) 9. Luca - $2.7M 10. Vermines - $2.7M Kung Fu Panda 4 has a bigger than expected drop after being boosted by last Monday's holiday but also reflecting a poorer WOM compared to previous entries. Upcoming Easter holidays and lack of competition will help it past $450M+ and taking it around to $500M in the end. Frozen Empire stays consistent with previous Ghostbusters' titles in lc. It'll lose steam with screen loss when GxK opens but should do enough to pass $100M. It's never been a particularly outstanding franchise on the box office but it remains with an unbeatable track. By losing its last premium screens on Thursday, Dune begins with its final days looking to finish below the $200M milestone. A bit underwhelming after its strong first weekend showing it still suffers from sci-fi not being much of a draw in the market. Robot Dreams increases once again from last weekend and crosses $1M USD. It would've been great to see it getting an expansion from its original footprint but it's a great result for it nevertheless.

It would be a big slow down whether it was on weekdays or weekend. I expected it to be on par with Indy 5 but is about 20% better so really good.

Oh definitely. I was just using $400M as a benchmark but especifically I'm expecting $430M-$440M.

Massive $56.1M for Panda on Monday as per Deadline. Total up to $289M/$16.9M. Shall cross $300M today (Tuesday) and $400M by Sunday.

GODZILLA X KONG: THE NEW EMPIRE - WEDNESDAY NIGHT PREVIEWS (T-9 DAYS) Title Seats sold Seats available Occupancy Godzilla x Kong 463 4877 9.49% Good start for this one. Isn't particularly outstanding but is stronger than Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes and is on track to top Rise of the Beasts as well. Main issue for it is going to be capacity as it is lower than that of Rise of the Beasts and Five Nights at Freddy's despite having the potential to open between them. Easter will make this one tricky as it will accelerate big time next week and walk-ups should be big as well. As of this moment I don't see $200M but let's set the goal on a $150M+ opening.

MARCH 14-17 WEEKEND. 1. Kung Fu Panda 4 - $175.4M/$227.8M (+234.73%) 2. Dune: Part II - $20.7M/$153.7M (-45.38%) 3. One Life - $10.8M 4. Noche de Bodas - $9.5M/$34M (-47.51%) 5. Imaginary - $6.8M 6. Land of Bad - $6.3M 7. No Way Up - $5.5M/$19.4M (-44.44%) 8. Robot Dreams - $4.7M/$10.7M (+17.5%) 9. Alice in Terrorland - $3.9M/$13.6M (-44.29%) 10. Poor Things - $1.8M/$97.6M (+12.5%) Best opening of the year so far for Kung Fu Panda 4 which is already No. 1 of the year too after surpassing both Dune and Anyone but You after 4 days of release. It should surpass $250M after today's holiday and once again take strenght when schools start their holiday period on Friday. It should repeat No. 1 above Ghostbusters this weekend and hold well to Godzilla/Kong duo on Easter to surpass $500M and even $600M considering won't get any big competition until May. Dune II still losing ground but nothing too big. It's late for it to truly breakout so won't finish anywhere close to Oppenheimer's $330M tally but still will manage to double first Dune numbers. Post-Oscars ceremony, Poor Things and Robot Dreams enjoy a nice increase with the former finishing *this close* to $100M and the latter looking like it will do $1M+USD which would be a first time in a long time for an Spaniard production.

Massive indeed! It still has a bank holiday tomorrow and kids start spring break later on the week so wouldn't rule out even $650M+/$38M+

Whenever it is that Shrek 5 is out; it'll demolish the Super Mario Bros records. Will be a tough race with the former, the latter's sequel and Toy Story 5.

MARCH 07-10 WEEKEND. 1. Kung Fu Panda 4 - $52.4M 2. Dune: Part II - $37.9M/$122.5M (-42.75%) 3. Noche de Bodas - $18.1M 4. No Way Up - $9.9M 5. Alice in Terrorland - $7M 6. Ferrari - $4.9M/$41.6M (-55.05%) 7. Robot Dreams - $4M 8. To the Hashira Training - $3.9M/$107.5M (-72.14%) 9. Poor Things - $1.6M/$94.7M (-40.74%) 10. Io Capitano - $1.6M Massive opening for Kung Fu Panda 4 after this limited release securing the highest PSA this year and the biggest since the Barbenheimer phenomenon. Considering it was a 2-day event, average per show should've been even higher basically securing occupancy over 90%. With a wide opening next weekend should secure $200M+ after 6 days and a total run north of $500M+ which would be a first for Dreamworks. Dune II does hold okay but shows how it remains skewing big formats. Still looking like it'll finish on the low $200M range as it gets to keep IMAX for another week but loses PLFs and 4DX to Po this Thursday. Dire weekend as new openers are low profile releases that weren't wide but among them is good to see Robot Dreams that has amassed a pretty good PSA. To The Hashira Training has now oficially surpassed To The Swordsmith Village in lc and going nearly 50% above it in admissions. Seeing the massive overperformance from Po I think is safe to say once again the highest grosser of the year could be an animation: Garfield could pull a surprise too and Inside Out 2 has all the buzz on its favour to deliver another all-timer Pixar performance. Main competitors for the yearly crown shall be Wolverine/Deadpool and Joker/Harley.

Weak hold for Dune if estimate is anywhere near actuals. No report for Po so previews' numbers will be added to weekend figures next weekend. By screen footprint I'm thinking it grossed around $30M from two days alone and now I'm expecting a 6-Day weekend of $170M-$180M

This is the edition I'm looking forward the most since the 2020 ceremony. Even if we already have several locks, hopefully it's a fun night.