Carlangonz

QUICK PRE-SALES REPORT. Demon Slayer: Kimetsu No Yaiba (T-10) - 6,355/19,436 (32.71% occupancy) +22.16% from T-13 Dune: Part II (T-17) - 623/15,023 (4.15% occupancy) +66.58% from T-20 Great increase for both of them. Demon Slayer is now 3x of what The Boy and the Heron did until T-1 and 2x of Minus One but occupancy sandwiched between them but should eventually catch a 50%+. Day 1 shall be massive with a potential $20M+ but full opening weekend must be a careful forecast as it will be more front-loaded than any of the comps including the previous Demon Slayer entry which was held back by lack of screens and won't be the case this time. Dune is having a good progress particularly on IMAX shows. Expecting a high ATP similarly to 007 titles that play big on big cities and formats but rather underperform on smaller ones.

FEBRUARY 8-11 WEEKEND. 1. Anyone but You - $11.8M/$115.4M (-43.27%) 2. Poor Things - $9.8M/$69.5M (-40.61%) 3. Argylle - $8.8M/$43.3M (-60.89%) 4. Baghead - $8.4M 5. Past Lives - $6.3M/$20.4M (-25.88%) 6. Freelance - $5.6M 7. Turning Red - $5.2M 8. El Roomie - $5.2M/$74.8M (-48.51%) 9. May December - $4.7M 10. The Lost Kingdom - $4M/$389.8M (-44.45%) Bigger drops than in previous weeks; perhaps a Super Bowl-related effect, deflation from Monday's holiday or maybe people feeling that they're running out of stuff to see. Anyone but You becomes the first $100M grosser of the year with Valentine's Day around the corner and still feeling like it could crawl to $150M. Big hit for Sony. Poor Things also sees its biggest drop yet but still going comfortable with Awards Season still going on and a potential bump after Oscars. Past Lives also enjoying a good WOM and is looking to do similarly as Priscilla; both of them grossing a nice amount for their distributors. Red came higher than Soul but still a bit of a dissapointment for a wide re-issue. Aquaman is now leaving the Top 10 but it is doing so by surpassing The Nun II as Warner's second biggest hit of 2023.

Little by little coming back to 2017-2018 levels in lc; great news. We have to acknowledge 2019 as an outlier even despite pandemic. New record for number of screens and ticket price average but a more stable increase compared to previous year-to-year increases. Cool data about Netflix, I remember to have seen back in 2019 that were around 8M accounts. Both Disney+ and HBO Max must be around 2M each.

Can't tell about sales because I won't update until T-2 but I do expect it to have better pace because these Sony Marvel movies (except Spidey himself) act less front-loaded and with less fan-rush; plus Valentine's Day benefiting it. Still we have to wait to see WOM which could still make it crumble past Day 1.

Like I said, there's a distortion on the comps because this one is getting an extra day which I'm already considering but is taking away a proper comparison to those two (T-6 for Marvels/Aquaman and T-5 for Web)

QUICK PRE-SALES REPORT. OPENING DAY ONLY - NO PREVIEWS FOR NEITHER. Madame Web (T-5) - 367/18,544 (1.98% occupancy) Demon Slayer: Kimetsu No Yaiba (T-13) - 5,202/19,436 (26.76% occupancy) Dune: Part II (T-20) - 374/15,419 (2.43% occupancy) Kimetsu No Yaiba is blowing out every single title in presales since The Eras Tour and while won't reach those heights; it's safe to say it'll keep the insane levels already set by To the Swordsmith Village last year. Sony is going more ambitious this time playing it on the biggest auditoriums plus a release on IMAX, 4DX and PLFs; neither of which happened for previous Demon Slayer entries, at least not from the start. Madame Web is lagging behind both Aquaman and Captain Marvel at similar points; about half from the former and 15% behind the latter. Pace is all matters now but is looking like a debut on the $50M ballpark considering is getting a 5-Day release. Dune II is doing just okay. Not expecting this to break-out but rather a decent performance akin to Death Reckoning with a bit better legs considering it'll play during holidays and won't get any big competition until Godzilla/Kong team up. Maybe a $60M opening/$180M total scenario.

Oh, absolutely. It seems like reactions will point out if you loved first Dune you'll love this one even more and if you only liked it you'll love this one. Also lots of mentions of it being more action-packed and apparently a surprise that hasn't been mentioned or at least as much spread.

Not saying it was the first screening ever; I'm aware there have been others before. What I mean is that it wasn't reported as a premiere but rather a mere fan event (red carpet + a 15-20 minutes footage) but I do clarify it's skewing because most of those people are indeed die-hard fans from what I know and know some of them.

Somehow US media reported it as merely a fan-event but it was actually a full screening for both media last weekend and an audience on the premiere. Media is embargoed but audiences are raves even if a bit skewed.

Quite poor tbf so won't start tracking until T-7 or T-5

FEBRUARY 01-04 WEEKEND. 1. Argylle - $22.5M 2. Anyone but You - $20.8M/$92.1M (-21.51%) 3. Poor Things - $16.5M/$50.8M (-20.67%) 4. El Roomie - $10.1M/$63.8M (-37.27%) 5. Past Lives - $8.5M 6. The Lost Kingdom - $7.2M/$381.7M (-25%) 7. Wonka - $6.4M/$456.2M (-24.71%) 8. Concrete Utopia - $3.9M/$14.7M (-51.25%) 9. Migration - $3.7M/$145.4M (-2.64%) 10. Shepherd - $3.4M Sony overestimated Anyone but You but still a marvelous hold and still over $20M for the third weekend. It'll easily pass $100M by tomorrow with today's holiday and still no direct competition for the coming weeks! Shall be the biggest hit for a foreign romantic title since 2016's Me Before You which went over $200M. Argylle did just bad; on par with Beekeper but a seemingly more audience-friendly premise and bigger efforts from its distributor. Will fade quickly. Another great weekend for Poor Things which is hanging well on theaters and becoming quite a hit. It'll easily stay as the 3rd highest grossing Best Picture nominee this year behind Barbenheimer and top some other previous winners and nominees like Green Book, A Star is Born, Everything Everywhere All at Once and Emma Stone's own darling La La Land. Great debut for Past Lives; nearly double of last weekend's Anatomy of a Fall with a slightly bigger distribution effort. December hits Wonka, Aquaman and Migration continue to put out some good numbers; Wonka is going to finish quite close to San Andreas' tally and Aquaman is looking to pass The Nun II's gross by next week.

As Minus One farewells as the 4th highest grossing Japanese title ever, Sony/Crunchy have just announced the release of Demon Slayer's new entry To the Hashira Training scheduled for February 22nd with tickets going on sale on the 9th. Madame Web tickets go on sale this Thursday as it opens wide on February 14th. The Marvels/Blue Beetle numbers shall be the target. Denis Villeneuve, Timothee Chalamet, Zendaya, Austin Butler, Josh Brolin and Florence Pugh are coming to promote Dune: Part II next Tuesday. It'll be the largest red carpet event in a long time; probably since Coco's Mexico City premiere or Batman v Superman. No details on tickets going on sale yet but Warner is showing a lot of faith into it.

I would say it overperformed because it was really leggy everywhere and yeah, COVID was still an issue but not really everywhere, it was different in Mexico than Brazil for example and for Let There be Carnage numbers were close to the original in Mexico, Argentina and Chile. They're going all in promoting Part II but I still feel like it'll lean older despite its popular young cast. I'm expecting it to behave a bit like Maverick with pretty similar gross; great numbers (relative to expectations) but not blowing up compared to US/CAN and Europe.

JANUARY 25-28 WEEKEND. 1. Anyone but You - $26.5M/$60.7M (+17.26%) 2. Poor Things - $20.8M 3. El Roomie - $16.1M/$48.2M (-31.2%) 4. The Lost Kingdom - $9.6M/$371.6M (-32.39%) 5. Wonka - $8.5M/$447.6M (-24.78%) 6. Concrete Utopia - $8M 7. The Beekeper - $6.8M/$53.9M (-45.16%) 8. Godzilla: Minus One - $5.6M/$95.2M (-17.65%) 9. Anatomy of a Fall - $4.8M 10. Mean Girls - $4.7M/$55.7M (-58.04%) Once again, kudos to Anyone but You as it now will be the first $100M+ grosser of the year and only one for January saving some face. It is now unpredictable with February 24th in a few weeks and lack of direct competition. It would be the biggest non-local romance title since Fifty Shades Freed; or Overboard if you take it. Poor Things off to a great start welcoming its awards and Oscar nominations plus Emma Stone mojo. It has already surpassed The Favourite's entire run and we'll see if WOM keeps nurturing a leggy run past $50M. The Lost Kingdom and Wonka remain strong barely losing ground with the latter already available on PVOD. Aquaman still with chances to surpass The Nun II but it'll be quite close. Godzilla is finishing just shy of $100M as it will end its run on Jan 31st with an estimated $97M. Distributor could still surprise with Minus Color in orden to pull the milestone but remains to be determined. Good for Anatomy of a Fall on its limited release. It will beat what Banshees of Inisherin did last year with less screens than that one. Now wondering what would've happened if Universal had let The Holdovers to go wide; wasted opportunity.

Wonderful for Anyone but You, big success for a foreign rom-com. Also pretty well for Poor Things; comp with TSOW is actually funny as I remember that one got expansions on screens day after day because shows were selling way better than expected and it was similar for this one as well; we'll see how far reception takes it but is already Yorgos' highest grossing film.

Yeah, competition was quite weak there and contenders like McAdams or Pine would've probably been sole nominees for their films. If competiton had been as stacked as in Lead Actress then Ferrera would've been a casualty.

After Globes I started to feel Barbie was going to be another Maverick: top grosser, audience-friendly but still would be respected at best, miss on major categories and a single win in the end. Ferrera's nom is a shocker but is likely coming true my prediction.

JANUARY 18-21 WEEKEND. 1. El Roomie - $23.4M 2. Anyone but You - $22.6M 3. The Lost Kingdom - $14.2M/$357.4M (-38%) 4. Beekeper - $12.4M/$42.7M (-44.64%) 5. Wonka - $11.3M/$435.8M (-35.42%) 6. Mean Girls - $11.2M/$47.1M (-53.91%) 7. Godzilla: Minus One - $6.8M/$87.6M (-37.04%) 8. Migration - $4.8M/$135.5M (-41.46%) 9. Don't Look at the Demon - $4.8M 10. The Boy and the Heron - $4.7M/$62M (-32.86%) Great drops across the chart except for Mean Girls which isn't getting a reception as warm as it was expected. Nevertheless a good result although a bit dissapointing considering the property. Can't remember the last time two romantic comedies opened on top of the weekend; don't even know if it has happened before. Even more special as one is a local and one a foreign. We'll see which one wins in the end with a combined run north of $100M. December releases remain the strongest ones: Aquaman still looking for a spot on 2023's Top 10 as it has now surpassed Flash's run and soon will do so with The Meg 2. Wonka is now a far No. 6 of the year looking to finisg right in the middle between Spiderverse and Freddy. Godzilla is still chasing that sweet $100M benchmark; a B&W release is still on the cards but it'll lose 4DX and PLFs on Thursday so will be a photo-finish but in admissions is now the highest grossing non-Dragon Ball japanese release. Boy and the Heron is now above 2013's Battle of the Gods and close to 2020's Mugen Train.

No update yet. The Numbers has it at $4.67M It's a very slow January but indeed great for an original + no big stars: Anyone But You; over Ticket to Paradise and quite close to Mean Girls. Wonka and Aquaman just rolling around before a big opener comes. Award-season hopefuls are getting quite limited runs including Universal and Disney's backed titles Holdovers and Poor Things; not looking better for lower profile releases such as Anatomy of a Fall and Past Lives. The only titles to expect a bump from nominations on Tuesday are Boy and the Heron and Godzilla: Minus One plus Oppenheimer which is looking to increase its IMAX record after it re-issues on Thursday.

Must be around $4.5M/$75M+ and over 1M admissions. Second time for a 2023 japanese release after To the Swordsmith Village.

Thought Mean Girls had previews today (Wed) but it's rather a wide opening. Original Mean Girls wasn't much of a splash at the BO ($24M/0.7M admits) but it became a classic since then among younger audiences that today go from mid 20s to mid 30s. Sales for this one are okay; pointing maybe towards a $20M+ opening but 2004's version is far to beloved for audiences to just show up by name-recognition. It needs a strong reception and WOM but numbers are still solid for a comedy.

Both Boy and the Heron and Priscilla should become the top grossers ever for their respective distributors; Canibal and MUBI. Both of them usually distribute low-profile titles that get limited releases so this is huge for them. And even though Minus One isn't locked yet to become Konnichiwa's biggest release (that still goes to DS: To the Swordsmith Village) it is their biggest live-action as well as it is overalll Japanese live-actions and No. 2 for an asian live-action behind Parasite. The Lost Kingdom and Wonka shall normalize now that kids are back on school but with an empty January they'll keep seeing good numbers.

Thinking about $16.6B +/- $0.3B lc. About +38% from 2022 and too close to 2017's $16.66B. Below both 2018-2019. Former was still on the $16B range and the latter was of course an anomaly which neared $20B. In admissions is about 242M. +33% from 2022 but is still 10 years behind as 2012 sold 229M admissions and 2013 sold 257M. Thanks to a fantastic performance by mexican peso, USD stays stable and back on line with pre-COVID results.

DECEMBER 21-24 WEEKEND. 1. The Lost Kingdom - $54.7M/$213M (-12.76%) 2. Wonka - $36.3M/$332M (+12.73%) 3. Godzilla: Minus One - $25M 4. Migration - $14.5M/$88.9M (+10.69%) 5. The Boy and the Heron - $12.7M/$20.5M 6. Next Goal Wins - $7.2M 7. Napoleon - $2.7M/$132.6M (-12.9%) 8. Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes - $1.7M/$185.7M (-19.05%) 9. Priscilla - $1.6M/$2.1M 10. Lord of Misrule - $1.6M/$7.2M (-38.46%) Including New Year's Day The Lost Kingdom - $237M Wonka - $348.8M Minus One - $32.7M Migration - $97.8M Boy and the Heron - $23.9M Next Goal Wins - $9.8M Napoleon - $134.5M Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes - $187M Priscilla - $2.9M Lord of Misrule - $8.1M Great openings and holds across the board. Godzilla and The Boy and the Heron see great overperformances with their runs still ahead as the latter is expanding to IMAX shows this Thursday. Hopefully they can leg good enough to approach $100M and $50M respectively. 2023 is now the first year ever to have 4 japanese titles crossing $1M USD following Demon Slayer and Suzume. Aquaman is now looking to finish close to The Flash and Quantumania with $330M+ as January remains empty and it'll be the biggest release for a while. Wonka is also now looking to secure a $400M+ final and pass both Freddy and The Nun II as No 6 of the year. Migration is replicating last year's success of Puss in Boots but still holding well and not getting any competition soon so may be aiming nearby to $150M Priscilla did great on limited release. Basically just selected screens and prime shows; not expecting a huge splash from expansion but okay for a streaming-platform release.

Minus One is 40% ahead of Boy and the Heron's same point before its Christmas opening. Also biggest presales tracked since Five Nights at Freddy's. Of course it's skewing due to its nature but still kinda impressive it went over Marvels and Aquaman with 1/3 capacity. As 4DX and dubbed shows were added just recently I think bodes well for walk-ins and close to $1M USD opening until Sunday.