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Posts posted by Magic
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We expected the increase for Potter. We just don't see one for this. It could increase OS a bit though.I think you're making the same mistake some of us did for Potter. Do not underestimate strength of the fandom. BD2 might well become the top grossing Twilight film.
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Want to bet on a sub 300M total?Fanboy predictions. I'm willing to bet anything TH won't come close to 400M. Might not even hit 300M.
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Wait till December and you shall see.Potter couldn't, neither could Twilight. Hell, neither of those even got 300M! Yeah, I know that those are horrible to compare to the badassness of Lord of the Rings, but I just don't see a part I of a two parter getting that high. Sorry.
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I see top two for TH domestically.
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Would be amazing if TA and TH blew way past 400M so they would have made it without 3D prices but that's probably asking too much.
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Four 400M films would be pretty damn awesome. All four of them (THG, TA, TDKR and TH) were/are my four most anticpated films of the year so that would be perfect for me.
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It gets more than 100 IMAX screens for a week. I wonder how much difference that makes to the drop next weekend...
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Doesn't THG get IMAX back next weekend?
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If the film delivers it could be close.Skyfall should do 600M+ OS and has a shot at 200M DOM.
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I'm still not sure TA hits 400M. With THG challenging 390M it's possible TA ends lower.
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BD
Ohhhh. Forgot about Skyfall. Depends on the OS gross because the domestic gross is pretty consistent for the franchise. Still expect TA to win due to the 3D advantage.TH, TASM, IA4 and TDKR are all locks to beat TA WW to me.
And if BD2 does 350M + 500M, then it has a chance to outgross TA too.
And we still have wild cards like MIB3, SWATH, Prometheus, Skyfall IMO, these all could hit 800M WW.
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Breaking Dawn 2 has absolutely no chance at 350M. I don't think it hits 300M.BD1 is where most of the major events in the book take place that would excite fans and it barely reached a 2.0 multiplier.
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Sounds/smells like a fart in the wind to me.FIVE-YEAR ENGAGEMENT.
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Nobody cares about next weekend. I don't even know what comes out.So what's gonna be number one next weekend?
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BD doesn't really build to anything like Potter does. It's not really comparable.
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lol.But Breaking Dawn has finale factor, it might increase in admissions like Potter.
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TA has 3D. I also think you are underestimating it.Twilight Breaking Dawn part 2?
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Not to that degree they didn't.There is no way it makes less then 100m. Everyone but the studio knew Happy Feet 2 would tank so that really isn't a good comparison. Madagascar has a tv show, and 3D. It will do fine.
Btw, how do you guys know Madagascar country won't be featured in this movie?
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It also means all of their good work comes undone.100 M would be amazing if it happens. Sony is one very smart studio. Even if TOTAL RECALL crashes, they would have had already earned enough to compensate for the loss.
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I did in the JC thread before.I mean with these small-budgeted films.And tell me how smart Disney is.
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It would do better if they took six months and wrote out a proper script and delivered a better film. Bigger box office, better holds, better dvd/blu-ray sales etc. Total Recall has almost no chance of making it's money back.MIB lll could still be huge overseas. TOTAL RECALL could deliver respectable numbers.
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A budget anywhere near 200M for Total Recall isn't smart. Starting the MI3 shoot without a completed script isn't very smart either.100 M would be amazing if it happens. Sony is one very smart studio. Even if TOTAL RECALL crashes, they would have had already earned enough to compensate for the loss.
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TH, TDKR will beat it.TASM and IA4 probably will too. I don't see anything else beating TA worldwide.
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Nah, there's no need because it will never happen.If that were to actually happen, I would not only eat my crow, I would apologize for being so stupid.
Saturday numbers.
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