keysersoze123

Xfinity offer has been around for a while and its for Fandango and so not specific to any TC. As long as your theater sells tickets through Fandango you are good and I think most chains do that these days.

Kung Fu Panda 4 MTC1 Previews(T-2) - 22161/455754 331982.79 3137 shows +3581 Friday - 35874/792963 532176.58 5336 shows +8200 Weird that Tuesday growth was less than yesterday. Friday also went up pitifully(I expected 10K). Let us see where things are tomorrow. Now I am thinking 55K finish which mean be around ~3m previews (it will actually be lower but estimated higher). Edit: Elemental comps put it at ~3.1m. its overall 28% ahead but daily pace is tad under 10% above that and so the comps will go down.

its not dropping 27% for sure.

Let us confirm with another day of how the pace goes. Only wrinkle is the Xfinity free tickets deal. Unlike other deals, this impacts not just MTC1 but any chain on Fandango. That will boost its OW. I am thinking 10K, 15K, 30K, 80K (its outside summer) low 160Kish finish for around 10m true friday.

Volde was on the point like at 4PM PST.

Kung Fu Panda 4 MTC1 Previews(T-3) - 18580/378162 279825.48 2543 shows +3758 Friday - 27674/569560 413519.36 3676 shows +7848 Amazing day for Panda. I dont know if @M37 is extrapolating where this is ending up. I want to see another day of growth. But looking at something similar to what most are seeing. Somewhere around 70K finish which should be ~3.75m previews.

its crap but could do well like illumination movies. So I am not sure about its BO. Let us see how presales go for this. Its release date seems sub optimal looking at number of releases. But this could still do well in the crowd.

Depends on how high china can go. Its looking really good and I am hoping for good WOM as well. For now I would say 450m OS.

Charlie predicting 275m finish. This was the number I expected after 1st day of presales for early imax shows. I expected 80/275 due to very strong WOM.

Crazy if this comes true 🙂 Now it looks like the most optimal result though I am holding out hope for 300m dom finish.

Unlikely that Saturday could be off that much.

Just wanted to see how Dune is looking for 2nd weekend Dune 2 MTC1 Day 8(Friday) - 33702/504655 686411.52 2440 shows Day 9(Saturday) - 50182/539227 945246.98 2636 shows Its way ahead of Panda for the days and of course ATP for Dune 2 is way higher as well.

It would be great if Dune and Zilla break out in China. I think 250m yuan OW is reasonable looking at the pace. It should hopefully get chunk of Imax in big markets and so ATP would be high.

You are right. I did not consider AU for sure. few big markets left are China, Japan and Gulf region.

You are overstimating the spring break effect. Its not across all states(my kids had week after valentine off and will have another week around Easter off as well). IM is a big deal as its weekday as a % of OW will be higher and it being adult focused will still have big Fri/Sat increases. We will definitely see WOM be a big factor for this movie.

Dune has below markets left to open. It should add something non significant for sure. China PS is very promising. Its ahead of all 2023 Hollywood movies except Meg which was a co production.

Any Maoyan prediction for OW. Both daily pace and overall OD PS seem ahead of 2023 releases. I am hoping for PS to hit 30-35m and it doing something like double that for OD. With the weekend hopefully that translates to 250m yuan plus OW and finish around double that number.

yes. Somewhere from low 9s to 80.5m is great. with Imax selling extremely well. Look at 3PM show outside summer at lincoln sq. I am thinking 7m+ Monday(just a guess).

What is most impressive about Dune 2 BO is its IM from previews. That bodes extremely well for its legs.

Kung Fu Panda 4 MTC1 Previews(T-4) - 14822/322836 224345.20 2106 shows +1608 Friday - 19826/475047 299899.82 2960 shows +3451 Definitely some sign of acceleration. Let us see how final stretch goes. I am still not believing in this breaking out.

I think it goes 2 ways. Nolan helped Universal as well with this. That said going back to WB sounds crazy anyway.

Spielberg has been amazingly consistent. He rarely has delivered outright failures until very recently. BFG, west side story and fablemans are BO failures. off that I agree with WSS being a victom of COVID era BO. It was a solid movie otherwise. I am sure he can make another successful movie at the BO if he gets the right subject. But I am not sure that is his priority. He has delivered enough all time blockbusters in his times that its not a big deal any more.

Dune 2 showcount is so disappointing. Its playing similar to Oppenheimer in this regard. China is discounting hollywood movies and so hesitate to give the show times we used to see earlier. Anyway I would be happy with 50m in China.

Nah. I am confident Dune 2 wins next weekend. It will have big ATP advantage as well plus Panda 4 will be mediocre.

I am expecting 3m boost with actuals.