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keysersoze123

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Everything posted by keysersoze123

  1. 45m seems to high to me as well. it will be mother of all under index for a movie. 40m is definitely on the menu. Hopefully we see strong walkups for evening shows.
  2. Deadline has screwed up before. But they are normally not that bad when it comes to big openers. I am just talking about Friday number. Its still possible that it has a huge saturday increase and it does over 100m weekend. But when it comes to friday, they get their data from studios. Multiple ones(not just WB here). Generally the studio releasing would be conservative and rest would make the most accurate extrapolation based on data. for small movies presales dont play a big role and so early projections could be way off.
  3. hmm. Still dont see how he can be close. He will update shortly for sure. His initial update was way too early dependent on just presales. Not sure what he saw that made him go so high.
  4. I am not playing a guessing game here. 35m looked impossible from MTC data I saw. I think that was a typo from Volde. He is not this far off normally.
  5. I thought Empire was way optimistic. Deadline will be close on this for sure.
  6. Beetlejuice 2 MTC2 Previews Final - 124869/747300 1752955.74 6029 shows Here as well the walkups were not that good.
  7. Beetlejuice 2 MTC1 Previews Final - 166601/893352 2832816.17 4998 shows +53399 Friday - 190600/1462994 3212071.05 8114 shows +53393 Mediocre final day. Probably looking at 9m ish just thursday and close to 12m with early shows. At least Friday grew very well and this is going to be about weekend play. I am thinking barely over triple digits OW.
  8. Wild Robot MTC1 Previews - 3019/473321 51813.43 2646 shows Friday - 3023/649306 46630.11 3569 shows I would have thought this being based on a book, there would be some interest. But presales so far are meh. Let us where it is close to release.
  9. Even Fugitive had really troubled production. It definitely did not work with finished script. This is more common than not.
  10. Beetlejuice 2 MTC2 Early shows Final - 31223/57854 535360.60 347 shows Previews(T-1) - 77375/731304 1112196.61 5886 shows Friday - 104695/1115019 1418643.17 8626 shows I am thinking 2.75m for Early BO. Thursday looks like struggling to 11m by itself. If the studio combine both I am thinking 13.5m overall previews for the movie.
  11. Beetlejuice 2 MTC1 Early Shows Final - 50343/109967 1037656.21 466 shows +10067 Previews(T-1) - 112602/890950 1973676.88 4967 shows +16696 Friday - 137207/1459482 2356328.97 8064 shows +24946 Disappointing T-1 sales. Even Early shows did not hit what I expected a day earlier. I think Friday and beyond sales are strong and we are beyond Summer. So 100m is still likely but not too much beyond that. I dont see anything more than 110m.
  12. This is not CGI heavy movie. I dont know why it was so expensive. Obviously bigger pay checks for Phoenix, Gaga and Philips. Still why so high. Could have given them backend deals based on performance.
  13. Beetlejuice 2 MTC2 Early Shows(9/4) - 25538/56482 439085.64 338 shows Previews(T-2) - 62141/670968 900293.20 5274 shows Friday - 85433/1011726 1169586.48 7548 shows Friday ran whole day yesterday. its sales relative to previews is very promising. I could see something like 3/11/27/34/25 and still hit 100m OW. It could definitely go higher than that.
  14. Beetlejuice 2 MTC1 Early Shows(9/4) - 40276/107924 836888.06 457 shows +4343 Previews(T-2) - 95906/871154 1701847.30 4827 shows +13794 Friday - 112261/1401783 1947469.51 7652 shows +19856 It did have a boost but not as much as what I expected. Hopefully we see another big boost tomorrow and 4x thursday sales on final day with good walkups.
  15. WTF is with this choice of Josh Brolin as Hal. How many different SH characters is he going to play. DCU is going to look like another MCU project with all the same actors. It appears only the ones who already play these characters or some young unknowns take these characters. Especially on DCU side which is high risk side.
  16. I am not sure. Let us wait and see how OD presales goes. That will help us provide better perspective. After that its about building buzz near release date. I think anything that takes OW above 100m is win. This is not CGI driven action blockbuster. Its based on famous characters but more of a human drama.
  17. Nah. its next Monday(Charlie confirmed it). If it were tomorrow we would have seen listed showtimes for it. Watch that starting this friday or so and sales will begin Monday morning.
  18. I agree. it makes no sense to steal the thunder of Beetlejuice during its release week. Ramp up marketing for Joker next Monday makes perfect sense.
  19. @misterpepp Is Joker 2 presales starting tomorrow for sure? its weird I dont see any showtimes listed anywhere. Normally if ticket sales are starting, we would start to see plexes assign shows few days before that.
  20. Nah. This would be nothing like Panda 4. This would be more fan driven. That was family driven and was 1st family flick in eons.
  21. Transformers One MTC1 Fan shows(9/14) - 3132/40662 52053.50 305 shows Again its meh for a weekend early shows. But this should do better than Wednesday early shows overall.
  22. Beetlejuice 2 MTC2 Early Shows(9/4) - 23349/40148 401782.43 251 shows Previews - 51135/567913 747479.41 4139 shows Previews is from early in the day.
  23. Beetlejuice 2 MTC1 Early Shows(9/4) - 35933/101731 749345.31 431 shows +2732 Previews(T-3) - 82112/737027 1469637.59 3809 shows +8128 Friday - 92405/1098244 1617989.14 5541 shows +12102 Let us see how things go tomorrow post Labor day. I am still sticking to my predictions. I am thinking 60K+ for Wednesday and close to 200K for Thursday only.
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