keysersoze123
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Everything posted by keysersoze123
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
keysersoze123 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Another movie to Blink. This is definitely not the last one. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
keysersoze123 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Its not looking good but hard to predict beyond saying its gonna be weak. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
keysersoze123 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Good call on I still believe I Still Believe (T-3) MTC1 - overall 348 shows 2117/51372 25126.82 18830.16 MTC2 - overall 533 shows 3337/76583 36133.31 24671.04 This will have the highest previews(and highest OW) among the openers. Numbers are not bad considering it has so few shows. It could hit 1m previews and mid teens as said by @The Fast and the Furiosa I am surprised as I thought Bloodshot would do the best. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
keysersoze123 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
The Hunt (T-3) MTC1 - overall 350 shows 1656/44576 21676.52 16738.29 MTC2 - overall 510 shows 452/61340 5095.92 3518.62 This is doing better than Bloodshot with fewer shows though it does not look like doing that much either. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
keysersoze123 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I would say local folks would go but people wont plan vacation to fly to orlando or LA. But people need to be entertained and so theme parks wont be empty. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
keysersoze123 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
This is kind of tweet that gives me hope. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
keysersoze123 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I was listening to Macrovoices Podcast(its about Macro Economy) and that guy said its going 10 fold every 13 days. So it takes 13 days to go from 10 -> 100 and same for every 10 fold increase. Only Us is safe as we can keep count low by not testing at all. 😞 -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
keysersoze123 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Bloodshot (T-3) MTC1 - overall 466 shows 252/60381 3342.75 MTC2 - overall 933 shows 1636/150050 21920.57 Definitely headed towards ridiculously low number. Definitely sub 0.5m previews and single digit OW. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
keysersoze123 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Sold just over 1000 tickets at MTC1 and WHOOPING 337 tickets at MTC2 over past 2 days. This is gonna either under perform big time or is moved to later date. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
keysersoze123 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Last one was short lived as Huge Stimulus was put in. Now that wont be a weapon anymore as we are always in a stimulated market. Quantitative Easing has been going relentlessly, Interest Rates will hit zero(or even go negative) soon and so there is nothing in Fed Reserves hand. If you want to look at bad recession look at Great Recession. Even the HUGE inflation seen in late 70's were worse than 2008-9. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
keysersoze123 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Just looked at Mulan again and it has sold 698 tickets in 2 days at MTC1 and 350 tickets at MTC2. This is really slow as its across 3273 shows between 2 MTC. But there is time and I dont see incentive to reserve tickets this far from release. -
Black Widow | July 9 2021 | ScarJo secures the bag from Disney
keysersoze123 replied to Kalo's topic in Box Office Discussion
its now at #6. So its ok. Still its weird to release trailer today. Should have waited until Mulan's release hoping situation is rosier. Plus they normally release one with ticket sales annoucement. Since the situation is fluid, Disney could delay ticket sales until late. -
Black Widow | July 9 2021 | ScarJo secures the bag from Disney
keysersoze123 replied to Kalo's topic in Box Office Discussion
Worldwide trends its at No: 6. Its US where its not in Top 10 and that is not surprising considering the news cycle. https://getdaytrends.com/ -
Black Widow | July 9 2021 | ScarJo secures the bag from Disney
keysersoze123 replied to Kalo's topic in Box Office Discussion
Weird. Top trends in US I am seeing are 1) #marketcrash 2) #Sydow 3) #Cartoonsthatshouldreturn 4) #NationalNappingDay 5) #MondayMotivation 6) #COVID2019 7) Jamie Damon 8 ) Strange Brew 9) S&P 500 10) Fake President Anyway I will leave it you folks to judge the hype. This site tracks the trends. https://trends24.in/united-states/ -
Black Widow | July 9 2021 | ScarJo secures the bag from Disney
keysersoze123 replied to Kalo's topic in Box Office Discussion
Not my cup of tea as I never liked the character and making a movie post the death of the character means its not part of phase 4 or whatever. Interesting thing is they choose to release this trailer today. Its not even trending on twitter !!!! -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
keysersoze123 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
China locked down the country and Korea is tackling it head on and here the solution is to bury the head in the sand. So I dont have any hope of domestic situation resembling either. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
keysersoze123 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Its gonna to get exponentially worse. This does not grow linearly. AQP still has another 10 days so just do the math of state of US BO at that point. you see movies making small BO being less affected as they fill only few seats per show and so audience would be more inclined to see them. Openers which could potentially sell out shows(especially in big cities) would deter audience and will face bigger brunt. This is as of now. In 10 days it would be bad across the board. I hope I am wrong. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
keysersoze123 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
The way things are going I am not even sure if AQP2 will open. Why release if domestic BO is also a dumpster fire. I feel NYC BO is seriously affected looking at how weak Onward was in that area and Gitiesh's comment about the crowd at twitter. -
MTC also looks like 33% drop. MTC1 - overall 4504 shows 156948/839440 1929877.06 1668790.58 post 6PM 1839 shows 45264/353260 652653.22 536334.58 MTC2 - overall 4268 shows 166153/668106 1606382.93 1377902.33 post 6PM 1512 shows 34420/245428 383141.21 291120.21 Not worth tracking any more. We are anyway looking at a period of horrible BO.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
keysersoze123 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Bloodshot(T-4) MTC1 - overall 356 shows 176/46734 2437.04 MTC2 - overall 889 shows 1277/144852 17166.65 That MTC1 number !!!!! Lowest among all the movies I tracked. I will update on thursday as previews look almost non-existent for this one. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
keysersoze123 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
They dont tend to scale. Each one have to be tracked separately. Since wednesday shows tend to be limited. Even Onward did well with early advance shows but had little impact on the previews. -
Onward D2 MTC1 - overall 4903 shows 220800/908836 2815544.28 2390765.68 post 6PM 2210 shows 88991/419645 1289257.89 1046248.06 MTC2 - overall 4493 shows 239050/704837 2464095.72 1986922.82 post 6PM 1664 shows 75808/270265 908110.78 644223.96 Again huge over performance at MTC2 and meh at MTC1. Overall increase is like 70% and MTC tends to under index on saturday and so inline with what Charlie posted above. I am expecting good hold tomorrow and 40m is still in play, Does not change the theme that its a huge disappointment.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
keysersoze123 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
A Quiet Place 2 (T-12) MTC1 - overall 1096 shows 9006/241729 158920.42 132073.90 MTC2 - overall 1092 shows 3056/193732 40452.80 29165.79 Its still a slow mover. But early days for this movie.