keysersoze123
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Posts posted by keysersoze123
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I think ASM has done well. Nothing out of the world but its a solid performance that shows the strength of the brand. That being said I am skeptical about a big increase for the sequel. I dont think this has that good a WOM for that to happen.
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what on earth is happening to this section. why are we opening so many threads to movies so far out in release.
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it would be interesting to see how canada behaved today. It will probably drop big today.The overall effect within Canada had been more than a few year
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Bipolar reactions to daily numbers are the best.
LOL.its good to quote xiayun's post at KJ.
Yeah' date=' if the Wed number comes in at $6m, I'm sure the tone will change again.[/quote'] -
Impressive legs for IA4. Maybe it will get close to IA3. I have a feeling that cine-director is again overestimating ASM.
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Irrespective of anything this is a great number. I would say anything below 20% is great for wednesday.Edit: on second thoughts even 25% drop is not bad.
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TDK grossed 2.78M. its not crazy to increase that much. Asian markets generally do that. But I have no clue about indonesian market behavior. I hope there is a resident to talk about the possibilities.Bluebomb, Have you looked at the indonesian markets and kind of movies that break records?4.5m, biggest opening weekend of all time.
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India? Indonesia?
IMO India is impossible. based on the kind of films that do record breaking numbers like SM3, 2012, Avatar and now ASM, India prefers lighter movies. That is how bollywood films are as well.What did ASM make in Indonesia?Also possible in India, no idea about the other.
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I guess you have not got the memo. Rock will be added to any sequel that requires a boost.The Rock is going to be in the sequel? Awesome!
LOL. DOCK OCK ROCK. Anyway its hilarious to think of Rock playing a scientist role. With Rock ASM2 will beat Avatar for sure.The Rock should play Doc Ock. Just for the rhyming.
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if it has mediocre legs, it would be extremely tough for the sequel to have a big increase. Unless they add RockI'll say it again: the performance of TASM's sequel will tell us whether it was a successful reboot. Many assume there'll be a massive increase, but that's debatable.
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I think ASM has done ok. Not great but not bad either. Its solid OD has ensured decent gross at this point. Monday across the board seem to be weak. May be we will see big tuesday increases tomorrow. Let us wait for that and wednesday drops. That will give us a good picture on where it will end.Anyway around 800M WW is nothing to sneeze at.
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It barely went down. So basically Sony nailed its estimates. What is critical is its legs. Developed markets will help for sure.
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I think overall this opening is solid. it exceeded my expectations(130M). It should make 260M based on the sunday number. if the monday to thursday drop is better it might make even more.
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Selina Kyle is the Catwoman
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How about 50K deduction :-)On a serious note, its your game. Dont make it too democratic. Get a committee(may be Shawn/Admin/Mods/few key folks) and make the decision.
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This means it will crash this weekend with IA4 opening. We could see sub 2x multiplier for ASM.
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how about numbers in admissions?IA4:A No. 1 second weekend in France claimed $9.1 million from 1,030 situations for a market cume of $24.2 million.
Spidey: A No. 2 France opener generated $8 million drawn from 902 locations.
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That is a hefty drop(almost 40%). I know it will have good holds but I am skeptical about 50M. What is its total at this point.
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I disagree with underperforming tag. It looks like beating SM3 OS with china. Obviously europe numbers aren't great. But with dollar being so strong plus bad economic conditions on top of this being a reboot(which is a factor in developed markets), its not a bad number at all.Neither is IA4 underperforming. Anything above 600M OS is good and it will get there for sure.
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what did Mad3 make in raw numbers. That might be a better comparison that % increase.
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That I feel is too much. Why will IA4 be that big. KFP2 had local flavor. This has nothing. Plus last one had 3D as well.Around 20M in China for IA3.You can expect $80M for IA4.
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what did IA3 make in china. I dont see any number in BOM. I dont think it will be in KFP2 ball park. What is good for IA4 in china.So it will definitely make 650M but I see it finishing below IA3 even with china.
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IA4 has following markets. Some big markets like Russia, UK, South Korea and Italy. it grossed around 150M in those markets. I think it will increase in Russia but will probably decrease in UK/Italy(SK might not make much). Rest around 20M. Assume it breaks out one of the big markets and makes 200M in new markets, it still needs to hit 500M from holdovers. Possible but not easy. I think unless it breaks out crazy in some market it will drop slightly from IA3. I am thinking 650M OS.Iceland 11 July 2012 Azerbaijan 12 July 2012 Belarus 12 July 2012 Hong Kong 12 July 2012 Kazakhstan 12 July 2012 Puerto Rico 12 July 2012 Russia 12 July 2012 Singapore 12 July 2012 Thailand 12 July 2012 Ukraine 12 July 2012 Bulgaria 13 July 2012 Taiwan 13 July 2012 UK 13 July 2012 Armenia 16 July 2012 Cambodia 19 July 2012 Vietnam 20 July 2012 South Korea 26 July 2012 Italy 28 September 2012 Switzerland 28 September 2012 (Italian speaking region)
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Generally OS numbers are underestimated big time. Plus there is a while to go for sunday to be over in many markets.
Looking at IMDB outside china following markets are left. Not too many big markets. I dont see more than 500M outside china.
Norway 11 July 2012 Cambodia 12 July 2012 Croatia 12 July 2012 Czech Republic 12 July 2012 Greece 12 July 2012 Hungary 12 July 2012 Serbia 12 July 2012 Slovenia 12 July 2012 Bulgaria 13 July 2012 Estonia 13 July 2012 Latvia 13 July 2012 Lithuania 13 July 2012 Romania 13 July 2012 South Africa 13 July 2012
Russia Box Office
in International Box Office
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