LonePirate

Tracking must simply be awful for the film as I was expecting OW to be in that range, if not a little higher.

Are people able to distinguish when someone is being critical or antagonistic towards a subject or topic and not toward the person speaking making a point on that topic?

I have absolutely no idea how Bros will perform or even who the target audience is, be it straight people who appreciate gay themed humor or gay people wanting representation on screen or some combination of the two. The film could bomb and I would not be surprised or the film could overperform and I would not be surprised either. The film has a clear lane if people are seeking a comedy of the rom com variety if that makes any difference.

It’s Tuesday the 12th of July otherwise known as the $600M day for Top Gun Maverick. How did it manage that without any lightsabers or superheroes or blue creatures or a sinking ship?

This number seems a bit underwhelming to me. It’s a little under $2400 per day per theater, or roughly what TGM earned per theater last Sunday (day 38). It doesn’t seem to be crossing over much to families; but then again the marketing for the film can’t break the grip the Minions/Dinos/Space Rangers/Streaming Services have on families right now.

Both Eternals and DS2 had interesting elements to them - time's psychological toll in Eternals and some of the multiverses for DS2. However, both films had an atrocious final 30 minutes or so and some characterizations I simply loathed. Contrast that with NWH which overcame absurd fan service to deliver a terrific final 5 minutes. Sadly I doubt the next SM film will spend much time following up on and fleshing out that ending.

Yes. We still don’t have a trailer for the film despite it opening in a few months which is seldom a good sign. Take a look at TL&T and its late arriving trailer. With the absence of Boseman to contend with, you will have fans unsure if they like the film because it is too similar (or too different) than BP1. Yes, it may turn out to be a good film but the warning signs are there.

This will likely answer your question: https://www.msn.com/en-us/movies/news/thor-love-and-thunder-comes-under-fire-for-queerbaiting/ar-AAZlY5V?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=fc7380f4ccaa474cba79c291c9b5e46d

Wasn’t this obvious from the trailers which offered little insight regarding the plot and villain?

Four of these films were released in the 1990s which is an eternity in box office years: Titanic - 1997 The Sixth Sense - 1999 Mrs. Doubtfire - 1993 Toy Story - 1995 If ticket prices were higher, there undoubtedly would be some films from the 80s on this list. Tommy C. is doing his best to revive the legs of films back to the 80s and 90s.

There are seven summer films that have grossed more than TGM and it looks set to surpass all of them except for Endgame. TGM spotted Endgame over $230M on its opening weekend and will likely finish behind it by less than $150M. It will be sitting at a multiplier of roughly 4.14 after Sunday and hitting something north of 5.60 (about $706M) is definitely possible. Simply insane. A few pages back included talk of Butler's Oscar chances for Elvis. I think we need to be talking about Cruise's Oscar chances instead. Paramount will be pushing hard for him to win one for his career much like when John Wayne finally won his Oscar.

Looks like TGM will fall a few hundred thousand short of reaching $500M on Friday instead of Saturday. Will the disappointments ever end with this film?

Looking at the Friday sales in my area, Elvis would seem to be headed for a fourth place finish this weekend. Granted, this is not a pre-sales type of film at all; but it’s numbers so far in my area are not impressive.

At the Regal IMAX near me, JWD has the first matinee and first evening showing on Friday. LY has the second matinee showing. TGM has the second evening showing. At the AMC Dolby near me, Elvis has a late morning, afternoon and an evening showing. The Black Phone has a late evening (11:30 pm actually) showing on it.

Please stand up and take a bow if you had TGM hitting $1B WW before DS2. Looks like TGM will reach the milestone sometime around the First of July, give or take a day or two while DS2 is still a couple of weeks away at best, if it makes there at all.

Even with TGM being predicted to increase on Sunday over Saturday, I think it’s still being underestimated. The Sunday afternoon showings at three theaters near me (two Regal and one AMC) are doing bonkers business. The evenings are lighter but a family of four will have a very tough time finding good seats together this afternoon.

The absolute worst thing about Lightyear's underperformance will be the insufferable right wing blowhards declaring victory over Disney for its cultural and political viewpoints.

We will need to agree to disagree on that. Not even the head of Pixar could convince me that was the correct decision to make. It made no sense in the context of the story, especially when you start asking how and why questions related to it. It was a total misfire that is completely uncharacteristic for any Disney film.

That's not the movie I was thinking of and the possible Gravity-inspired scene is near the end of the movie and not the beginning.

Judging from my experience seeing it in IMAX today, Lightyear is going to underperform dramatically and probably deservedly so. The showing I attended wasn't even 20% full. As for the movie, the first third is excellent. Truly great stuff that drew on some terrific scenes from another Pixar movie from years back and non-Disney movie from a few years back as well. The middle third is fine - typical animated and action movie stuff. Then the final third arrives with a thud. That final third contains a plot twist that is so WTF that it pretty much kills any goodwill from the first two thirds. Even worse, the twist is largely unexplained and completely unnecessary because it only makes people angry. Before the movie ended, I had thought of three different alternatives to explain the twist that didn't make the movie worse. Whoever greenlit the twist needs to stay away from all future Pixar movies. I hate to say it but this film should have bypassed theaters and gone directly to Disney+.

Judging from my experience seeing it in IMAX today, Lightyear is going to underperform dramatically and probably deservedly so. The showing I attended wasn't even 20% full. As for the movie, the first third is excellent. Truly great stuff that drew on some terrific scenes from another Pixar movie from years back and non-Disney movie from a few years back as well. The middle third is fine - typical animated and action movie stuff. Then the final third arrives with a thud. That final third contains a plot twist that is so WTF that it pretty much kills any goodwill from the first two thirds. Even worse, the twist is largely unexplained and completely unnecessary because it only makes people angry. Before the movie ended, I had thought of three different alternatives to explain the twist that didn't make the movie worse. Whoever greenlit the twist needs to stay away from all future Pixar movies. I hate to say it but this film should have bypassed theaters and gone directly to Disney+.

TGM needs to join the $600M club if only to loosen the grip of SW and CBM movies in that club. Other than Titanic, it might be the most surprising member of that group based on expectations before its release.

Lightyear took over the IMAX near me for a 6:00 PM showing tonight. There is not a 9 or 10 PM show in IMAX for Lightyear, Dominion or TGM so it’s weird if that screen is empty for the second show tonight. On Friday, Lightyear is only playing in IMAX for the first matinee showing. Dominion has the screen for the rest of the day.

JWD First Three Days > TGM First Three Days (~$19M difference) TGM First Tuesday > JWD First Tuesday (~$1M difference)

So today (Monday) TGM looks to surpass $400M and leap over DS2 to be the #1 domestic film of the year so far. Who saw either of those happening before the summer season started?