LonePirate

TGM is now sitting at roughly $696.95M after Saturday. Still a tough reach for $700M on Monday but it will be knocking on the door if it does not make it.

Yeah, I think this event will now be a yearly tradition, probably even on this same weekend in years to come as it gives studios and theaters one last summer hurrah in the media. I think there will be better management of showtimes and auditorium bookings in future years as there are some inefficiencies today such as Fall playing all day long or the two newcomers playing on multiple screens in some places or NWH and SP swapping auditoriums to handle the increased demand for family/animated films that are still somewhat new.

Is this one of the rare weekends where a different film is the top grosser on Friday (NWH), Saturday (SP) and Sunday (TGM)? A lower theater count, smaller auditorium sizes and a reduced number of evening showtimes may eventually push SP below TGM today; but there is no denying that SP is selling a boatload of tickets today, perhaps more today than it sold during the last couple of weekends combined.

A lot of movies in my area are seeing a 9:00-9:30 am showing being added for Saturday, pushing them to five shows per screen for the day instead of the usual four showings per screen. Ticket prices may be anywhere from 1/4th-1/7th normal prices but I am seeing ticket volumes definitely exceeding 4x-7x to compensate.

This is a fairly decent weekend for BP and TGM comparisons as this was Memorial Day weekend for BP where is made about $610K for the four days. TGM should officially pass BP on Sunday, maybe Saturday if the $3 walk ups are strong. BP still grossed almost $2M after Memorial Day weekend so $715M looks to be the minimum final floor for TGM.

Of all the films in release, if my area is any indication, Crawdads, Super Pets and Minions may receive the biggest Friday to Saturday boost due to the $3 tickets. An increase of over 100% on Saturday for all three seems possible and probably much greater than 100%. TGM is doing well but nothing like those three. The two new releases (Gigi and Honk) are DOA. ETA: TGM is definitely headed for a good Saturday. Here is the 1:30 pm true IMAX showing at Lincoln Square in NYC for $3 a seat.

Box Office Pro is predicting $6.6M for TGM this weekend. If it hits that, it will be knocking on the door to $700M and will likely pass it on Tuesday the 6th or Wednesday the 7th. Solid holds for the rest of the week and/or an increase in that weekend gross would push it to $700M on Labor Day. I think that weekend prediction is a bit high but holiday weekends have been very kind to TGM so who knows.

TGM looks like it will be around $693M when Friday arrives. Short of a super impressive $3 Saturday and long holiday weekend, $700M by Labor Day seems impossible. It should hit the milestone shortly thereafter, though.

There is an 18 screen Regal IMAX location near me. The Friday offerings are: Jaws (IMAX all day) Jaws 3D NWH 2 screens (1 regular and 1 Screen X) Gigi & Nate Honk for Jesus Save Your Soul The Blob (1958 reissue) Holdovers fighting for the other 11 screens It looks like NWH and TGM are selling the best for Saturday’s $3 day. The Jaws IMAX tickets are $3 as well.

Unless my math or the numbers are wrong, that Rogue One PTA is going to dwarf every other film this weekend. Shame its theater count is so low as it might have cracked the top five it had a larger rollout into 1000+ theaters for the weekend.

BP vs. TGM would have made for one of those excellent day by day comparison tables BOM used to make years ago. It’s been a very fun tortoise and hare race to watch. Perhaps TGM really stands for Tom’s Giant Massacre.

The Regal IMAX near me has the same schedule and I am quite a ways from you. The four daily showtimes are as follows: Dragon Ball/Elvis/Dragon Ball/Top Gun I was wanting to see Rogue One in IMAX but the nearest one is at an AMC about two hours from me. TGM is picking up some AMC Dolby screen times this weekend. One theater gave it the two evening showings and another theater gave it the first evening showing only. Could TGM be headed to an increase this weekend?

It doesn’t look like TGM will be receiving much of a PLF boost this weekend, if at all. The Rogue One re-release is grabbing almost all of the IMAX showtimes this weekend, at least for AMC. I suspect Regal and Cinemark will be similar.

Rogue One is getting an IMAX re-release on the 26th. I wonder if it will be splitting showtimes like this weekend’s ET re-release.

I suspect there is at least one high-flying movie that will have no problems landing with less than 25% drop on Sunday.

Michelle Yeoh of Crouching Tiger and Crazy Rich Asians starred in Everything, Everywhere All at Once, not Sandra Oh.

TGM needs to drop less than 17.7% on Wednesday to stay above $1M. During its run, it has only dropped more than that one time. On July 27, it dropped 19.7%. It has dropped less that 17.7% on every other Wednesday. It will be close.

Depending on the holds for the next three weekends and the presumed increase on Labor Day weekend, TGM will be above $690M and maybe even above $695M on Labor Day. Assuming BOP’s cume after this weekend is correct, the film needs to average $1.2M a day to hit $700M on Labor Day. With a solid Labor Day bounce (and hold this weekend), that’s not an impossibility even if it is unlikely. Mid-September seems to be the absolute latest it happens.

At the Regal IMAX near me, ET and BT are alternating the four IMAX showtimes this weekend. TGM did add a couple of showtimes in the Screen X theater. At the AMC Dolby, TGM added the 12:00pm showing while BT kept the other three showtimes. I'm guessing TGM drops less than 10% this weekend. Were it not for ET, I suspect it would have added some IMAX showtimes this weekend and likely would have increased over this past weekend.

Sometimes it sucks not living in Los Angeles. Today, the Alamo Drafthouse in Downtown Los Angeles is showing a newly mastered 4K version of Heat (the Michael Mann film starring Al Pacino and Robert DeNiro). The 4K UHD disc is now for sale along with some sort of new prequel and sequel novel co-authored by Mann which is drawing mixed reviews. Regardless, the original movie is an all-time classic. As one of the old timers on this forum along with @baumer I saw the movie in theaters when it premiered back in 1995. I was enthralled from start to finish.. Definitely worth a re-watch.

This is most likely true but it may not be over yet. The Little Mermaid remake is coming next year. It was the film that kickstarted Disney’s animation resurgence so there may be some life left in the 80s nostalgia.

Saw Bullet Train yesterday. The August release date is probably the perfect one for it as it should draw steady business for a few weeks due to the star power involved. There is nothing really objectionable in the film even if the action is absurd and over-stylized at times. I did have a “this would never happen in the real world” gripe near the end of the film but it’s nothing I couldn’t ignore for the film. Overall, it has its moments and I would say the critics and audience scores are right on the money. It is certainly a better film than Thor: Love and Thunder.

TGM is so adult and senior skewing that its first afternoon showing almost always outgrosses its last evening showing at my local theaters.

So I fired up the Regal app looking for a showtime for BT this afternoon and they list the cast just above the showtimes. The cast list had someone named prominently who was not present in any of the trailers. I don’t know if this approaches spoiler territory but damn, Regal, what are you doing? A few weeks ago you used an image from Nope that effectively spoiled the movie and now this. How are studios not complaining about this stuff?

Judging by the dual 12 year gaps in that table, it will be 2034 before we see another film join that trio.