BoxOfficeFangrl

Yup... Festival highs are real and for a lot of people, we are going into the first "normal" season with good-sized crowds and all the stars and red carpets in two years. It's bound to lead to some degree of grade inflation, even more than usual.

It's not that I think these "behind the scenes of a classic" movies/shows are a good idea (Mank has more Oscars than Citizen Kane, but it will be an interesting side note to the actually legendary film, at best). I just think it'd be funny Miles Teller got dropped from a project and got replaced by Ryan Gosling, again...

Hope they recast with Ryan Gosling and he wins an Emmy...

Critics have been in Stewart's corner for years, it's convincing everyone else outside of her fanbase that's been the hold up. I don’t mean the people who've only watched her in Twilight and can't forgive her performances there, but the ones who've also seen her indie work and are like, "...she's fine, I guess?" It's been a weird disconnect, I can't think of another case quite like it in recent years. If Spencer doesn't break it, nothing will. It seems like Spencer might be more of a Best Picture play than Jackie was, but it's still the Academy. "Challenging" movies about women can have all the raves and critical support all awards season, only to "shockingly" underperform on nomination morning, while some worse-reviewed film that's more male focused has a big showing. It's such a predictable pattern yet Film Twitter never learns. Anyway, this season is also going to be very crowded thanks to all the 2020 holdovers, good things always miss, but it's probably going to be extra brutal this year.

He tried branching out, but no nobody wanted literary conspiracies or measured accounts of history from Emmerich (The Patriot was a long time ago). Even his "Die Hard at the White House" attempt underperformed compared to the B-version that came out the same year. Might as well stick to his specialty of hilariously stupid doomsday movies...

Green Book and Bohemian Rhapsody ruled at the Oscars not too many years ago; all that basic-ness couldn't have been permanently drummed out of the Academy this quickly. The Power of the Dog response is wild, such whiplash between it being Cumberbatch's best performance ever or that he's wildly miscast and acted off the screen by Kodi Smit-McPhee. Seems like he'd be the Supporting Actor push rather than Jesse Plemons. Everyone seems to like Dunst though some wish she had more to do.

Last week I was listening to the Vanity Fair awards podcast and one of them had seen it already and maybe he was trying to be neutral but he sounded kind of guarded in his comments. I read the plot summary and could already picture the thinkpieces, plus the "In 2021, shouldn't this be played by an openly gay actor?" debate. It's Netflix, so there won't be any box office as a counterpoint to criticisms, and I doubt it will hang around the Top 10 chart for weeks with all the original rom-coms and Cocomelon. A problem with streaming movies in an awards race has been the lack of lingering cultural impact and even Netflix will be on to another contender before December is out. I'm not saying it’s doomed but voters will have a lot of easier (for them) options.

This one is a huge question mark for me. It was originally going to star DiCaprio, who has his pick of projects, and he hasn't had a critical/box office miss since J. Edgar. OTOH, the original movie was not a hit and the source material is kind of bleak. I want to know how they're going to sell it and how the average audience will react to the story. Still, this project has attracted top-name talent, it has a similar release date to The Shape of Water (a Best Picture winner) and the plan was to take it to festivals, so they all feel like have good product on their hands...

Prince Charles wishes he ever looked as good as Josh O'Connor, but audiences are used to the actor being more attractive than the real person. I saw someone say Emma Corrin was like a shrinky dink Diana--Emma and Josh have a bigger height difference than Charles/Diana in real life but it was still great casting. Lots of directors have formulas that work for them, but I am wondering which 20th century icon is next in this "a weekend in the life" series and which actress (who's awfully short for the role) will play her. Maybe Larrain will switch it up, and IDK, get someone six feet tall to play Elizabeth Taylor... For the timeframe (1991), they have Diana's hair all wrong, it was shorter and more helmet-like than what Stewart seems to be sporting.

Welp... This is totally something my mom and her friends would've gone out to see in the Before Times, but not as long as there's a pandemic. Going PVOD now is not the worst decision, good word of mouth is meaningless if the target audience is not coming to theaters any time soon.

It does look more lavish than the Naomi Watts version, but I had a feeling those production stills we kept seeing over and over were the most Diana-like that KStew was ever going to look. The actor looking like the real person isn't that important to whether a biopic is an engaging film, but Princess Diana has been well covered terrain through the years, comparisons to other portrayals and real life are unavoidable.

This is gonna be a thing where the critics will hate it but there will be a rabid audience who will make it a hit, and that's gonna drive Film Twitter bananas, right? Can't wait...

Their policy is only suspended, so they can just quietly try something similar later down the line. A lot of content creators really don't trust them now and are looking elsewhere. * In 2005, no, but in the past, a levee was blown up around New Orleans so certain areas were flooded, hoping to spare others. So I can see why some locals were distrustful when Katrina happened, there was a history at least. https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/americanexperience/features/neworleans-james-butler-and-flood-1927/ But any fire can't melt steel conspiracy is just...*sigh*. Some people just need terrible events to have some grander meaning, and not that the world can be brought to its knees if terrible-yet-relatively-anonymous people manage to execute a malevolent plan (political killings, terrorist attacks, etc), or a disease rears its ugly head (like they have throughout history). Spike has always been messy and an agitator, so going all conspiracy theorist fits right in with that. * Aaron Hernandez was trending and I wondered if they'd pinned another murder on him or an actor had been cast for that Ryan Murphy show, but no, it's just NBA Twitter being messy about Steph Curry's parents' messy divorce. Everyone guessing Sonya hooked up with Gronk based on the headline that Dell Curry's accusing her of an affair with a former Patriots tight end, but no, it's some guy she knew from college who caught one NFL pass back in the eighties, ha ha.

I want to see her in motion as Diana, or at least more than the same one or two photos. Pretty poster but this comparison is making the rounds...

I guess this doesn't count as a Bond TV show because it's about his nephew (so why was it James Bond Jr)?

Right? At least Tumblr had fanart and emo tweens in its heyday. OnlyFans didn't start as an adult content site but that's what it's known for, good luck with the rebrand to a worse Patreon. I sympathize if they are running into issues with underage users/nonconsensual content, but if this is just about people at the top getting IPO money, then talk about running a site into the ground to do it.

The Crown has Winston Churchill as a character with John Lithgow winning TV awards, and Darkest Hour still made $150 million worldwide with Gary Oldman getting Best Actor. The Naomi Watts movie flopped but that may be less Diana fatigue than people staying away from a bad movie. I don't know how mainstream Spencer will be and the older audience might still stay home. Making more than Jackie would be a victory of sorts.

Something to consider amidst the proclamations that the box office is DOOOOOMED...

Yeah, a Halloween movie opening in mid-October will be all right in this climate, which has been very good to horror. Even in the before times, a medieval drama about rape accusations was a very iffy proposition. Judy made $24m domestic with a September release, it's in the mid-60s on Metacritic, and Zellweger was already an Oscar winner-it's wild that she swept Best Actress that year. Respect will make more money under worse circumstances and JHud will probably be lucky to hang on for a nomination.

The Last Duel is playing Venice, something with strong reviews could ride the hype into a release date shortly after. Hustlers did that with Toronto in 2019, but it had more awareness to begin with and the subject matter had broader general audience appeal. TLD is a much tougher sell and primarily to an audience that's probably the most reluctant to return to theaters.

I would've thought this was something entirely invented by the more *intense* element of the Styles fanbase, except Kit's response is so awkward. Unless that's part of the act? ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

The only two recipients, since this award has only existed since 2019, but a great track record so far, admittedly. For actresses, it hasn't been nearly as predictive: Meryl in 2019 (remember The Laundromat? LOL) and Kate Winslet in 2020, neither of whom even got nominated. Obviously, your movie has to play TIFF to be considered for this award. This year’s Best Actor could be from something that won't debut until later this fall. The Oscars are in March, movies that get seen and peak later in the season might be at an advantage.

Right? It was so weird how WB threw In the Heights under the bus like that, but maybe they were just too bitter about all the money they spent ($50m on the rights, $55m budget, plus P&A) and kind of hit in the face with what an obviously poor decision it was in hindsight. Like, spending $185m on The Suicide Squad may not have been the greatest idea, either, but at least the first one made $746m...

They only do that when a movie is a massive underperformer, like when WB came out and said In the Heights didn't do that much better on HBOMax, either. Another time the studio couldn't even try to spin the flop was Richard Jewell, and also that Sandra Bullock one where she works as a political advisor in South America, the box office was brutal for both. All one-offs, though it's probably different for a brand that a studio wants to continue with future movies.

It's all Bennifer 2.0's fault LOL: