lilmac
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Posts posted by lilmac
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What do you guys think of the comments below? Does the Domestic market have enough capacity (demand, number of theater screens) for all the upcoming blockbusters and ensure Avengers finishes north of $600mil?Check out the release schedule. It's insane!http://boxofficemojo.com/schedule/
Rallax is right. I work at a movie theater too. THG is on the smallest screen right now with about 5 showings. I expect it to either leave entirely or share a screen with another movie to make room for The Dictator and Battleship this week. The fact its lasted this long is a testament to its late legs and the fact that April was very weak. That won't be the case for The Avengers with big movies coming out every week that will demand screens and push TA from more and more screens and theaters.I expect it to have a great run over the next month and a half, but expecting it to still be making a lot of cash come July is wishful thinking.
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$40-50m is too low for MIB3 in my opinion. I see about $60mil for the 3day.
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Much higher. It will have $570m by mid-June and that's conservative. By then the weekends will be in the $5-8m range. Start thinking $600m.So about a 560-570mil finish for The Avengers then.
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It's confirmed!$103m in 2nd weekend. Amazing!
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It'll get to 1.2bn on Dom alone, if no additional overseas ticket is sold. 1.5 is a lock. 1.7....just maybe. Wow!Billion Dollar Baby. Nice. Overseas still kicking in the big bucks!That is just so amazing for words.
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Best post I have seen this week. Thanks for your honesty. I was an adult then and loved the film. It wasnt until I began absorbing all the hate from the internet fandom that my opinion began to change. The majority opinion can change you. The most recent example was Indy 4. I loved it but that changed after complaints about the nuke fridge and aliens. Speaking of Spielberg movies, I remember watching Lost World in theaters and enjoying it until an audience member heckled when the little girl did gymnastics in the barn and kicked the velociraptor. I became more critical of movies after that...less naive. Maybe I have a weak mind. *shrug**puts hand up*Loved JarJar & TPM was the movie that made me a fan of movies (it was the first star wars film I saw). Until I saw it I never really took films seriously...but the movie made me a star wars fanboy and got me interested in the movie making process, story behind it etc.Of course now years on I can see the major flaws the movie has but I don't feel sorry for the effect it had on me at the time though
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I wonder what kids at the time felt about TPM (Jar Jar, etc). Who knows, maybe TPM spawned a new generation of fanboys.Oh, okay. That must've drummed up anticipation for Phantom menace pretty well.
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The average ticket price in N.A. is $7.92 so a 100 million attendance flick would gross at least $800 million...far more if it was in 3D. Not sure if I'll see that in my lifetime. In my original question, I was referring to current/future movies. Yes, GWTW, Star Wars, etc no doubt already hit that mark.
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I think a more apt question may be to ask when he/she was born.:oWhere are you from?
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I suppose the next milestone is First Film to Sell 100 million tickets. That would be absolutely incredible to behold.where are you getting that it tied in ticket sales? According to Mojo, Avatar sold 97 million tickets, tDK 74 millhttp://boxofficemojo...ust_yr=1&p=.htmhttp://boxofficemojo...ust_yr=1&p=.htm
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Nailed it.
Yes, that's my point. If it followed Thor, i.e. 66% Saturday increase.
Here's my prediction, assuming the $29mil holds. I hope my Saturday increase is low.
$29,000,000
$43,500,000 (50% increase)
$30,500,000 (30% drop, in line with previous Mother Day decreases)
nearly $103 million.
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ESB
ROTJ
ROTS
ANH
AOTC
TPM
ROTJ, ROTS, and ANH are very close. As maligned as the prequels are, I think Lucas absolutely nailed it with Revenge of the Sith. I am biased because I am a SW fanboy but ROTS is one of the best movies of the 2000-2010 decade.
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Seems like Ant-Man is furthest along, which is expected considering he is one of the original Avengers. With that said....Ant-Man???
They would HAVE to go cheeky (i.e. Thor) to sell the character to the general audience which is the approach based on past comments by director Edgar Wright.
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Jar Jar and Gollum is comparing apples and oranges when it comes to their performances. Also, he's justified, I think, in saying he helped pioneer mo-cap. His performance may not have been Oscar worthy but he could have still moved the industry forward. IMOActually I just read a big interview with the guy who played him, Ahmed Best, in a recent issue of Entertainment Weekly. Basically he said he was shocked when all the negative feedback came in, since everyone told him while they were filming he was gonna be the breakout from the movie and it would make him a huge star.
I guess he couldn't get roles after that and basically feels like he never got his dues for helping pioneer motion cap acting. He came off a bit full of himself to me though, trying to compare himself with Andy Serkis and whatnot.
I mean the guy seriously needs to watch himself again in TPM if he thinks he was anywhere near the level of any of Andy Serkis' mo caps. -
R2-D2:-D
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I hope Daniel Craig hangs in there and beats Roger Moore's record for number of Bond films.Roger Moore - 7Sean Connery - 5Pierce Brosnan - 4Daniel Craig - 4 (incl. 2014 film)
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The Avengers:#3 All-time Domestic#3 All-time WorldwideNah. Its not getting anywhere near that mark. Its only major market left to open in is Japan (in August, IIRC). DH2's $1.3b is the last realistic target at this point.
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Yes, that's my point. If it followed Thor, i.e. 66% Saturday increase. Here's my prediction, assuming the $29mil holds. I hope my Saturday increase is low.$29,000,000$43,500,000 (50% increase)$30,500,000 (30% drop, in line with previous Mother Day decreases)nearly $103 million.TA doesn't need Thor like Saturday increase. In fact, if it followed Thor rest of the weekend it will make more than 110M.
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Good call!Only about $400k off on Avengers.
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Saturday - There is a Game 7 in Los Angeles which will attract alot attention and a Game 1 2nd round which will garner less but could still depress L.A., Boston, Denver, and Philly markets. I'm rooting for a Thor like Saturday jump because it's the only avenue to $100million unless millions of sons everywhere take their moms to see TA on Sunday.Thor had 66% jump and TA's Friday was closer to it than other May openers. Its possible, I see a 55% jump but 60% is on the table.
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In her defense, she's not coming up with these numbers herself.
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$34mil bodes well for $100 million but lets wait and see.
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i hope but dont see TH getting thereOnly 3 films have done it but we might see 3 more this year
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A 3.0 multiplier isn't anything to sneeze at. Iys the 2nd most impressive March boxoffice run IMO.Not to mention that many people thought those types of movies had finally worn out their welcome with Troy underperforming and Kingdom of Heaven just straight up tanking on the domestic front. 300 definitely had an uphill battle but the trailers with the cool music really made it look unique and something worth checking out.
Weekend estimates thread TA 103,052,274!!
in Numbers and Data
Posted · Edited by lilmac
The mkt is about to get crowded so $400m isnt guaranteed. Im hopeful though.