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Posts posted by lilmac
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I enjoyed Iron Horse's post but after reading some of the TASM spoilers...I am more intrigued. Yes, this movie and its sequels (if it comes to that) will probably never link up with the TA universe. That's unfortunate but it's ok.
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This.Peter Berg to Joss Whedon:
"You sunk my Battleship!"
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Rihanna looking terrible is impossible.I think it's the Rhianna factor that's killing Battleship. I love a summer popcorn movie, but she looks terrible in the trailer and makes the whole movie seem like a joke.
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Forgive me if you've posted this before but with a 170% increase, what are you predicting for Saturday? 50%?Here's my optimistic breakdown.18.11 (~200%)27.52 (52%)17.62 (-36%)63.25Slight drop to staying flat. 2% to 4% drop than 170%+ increase on Friday leading to a 60M+ weekend.
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*yells from the backseat*Are we there yet??TA will hit 400M in 14 days beating TDK's record by 4 days. Phenomenal run continues. :shades:
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What are you guys predicting for Thursday? Slight drop?I have $6.06 million before a 200% increase Friday.
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You young whippersnappers are so spoiled. Back in the day there were no daily grosses. You got the weekend gross, that was it.Are we gonna have seperate weekdays' threads like this? I like it.
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Has anyone seen the movie? Does it look like $150 million or did it all go to salaries?
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Baumer, how big of a jump do you think TA will get Friday? I see a 190% increase. Tues - 8.48Wed - 6.38Thur - 6.06Fri - 17.56Sat - 26.70Sun - 17.09$61.34m 3rd weekend *I'm being conservative on Thursday. We may see an increase.
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that's pretty close to my $590m projection.389+14 = 405 by thursday (405)3rd weekend 55 vs Battleship & Dictator (460M)460+17 weekdays (477M)4th weekend 44 vs MIB on Memorial Day Weekend (521M)521+18 weekdays (539M)5th weekend 21 vs Snow White & the huntsman ( 560M)560+ 9 weekdays (569M)6th weekend 9 vs Madagascar 3 & Prometheus (578M)578+ 5 weekdays (583M)7th weekend 4 vs Rock of Ages (587M)587+ 3 weekdays (586M)8th weekend 1 vs Brave & Abraham Lincoln: VH (587M)587+ 2 weekdays (589M)9th weekend >1 vs G.I Joe: Retribution (590M)Add around 5-10 million for subsequent daysfinal range 595-600M.
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I bow before Baumer and others who predicted an increase.
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Somply because the movies it is tracking most closely either stayed even or declined slightly. Unless TA gets a WOM bonus i dont see it happening. Im sticking with $7.8mil but hoping for a bump.Why not? If you don't giving your reasons. Just curious.
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I think we'll see a slight dip for Tues. im hoping for 8m though but dont see it happening.
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The fact that a March movie (THG) is still in the top 5 is amazing.
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Fingers crossed that you are right my friend.I have this hitting 600 before July...perhaps around the third week of June.
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Bump.We need someone to break the Hemsworth/RDJ tie.
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Sarah Conner in T1 and T2 are two different characters IMO but the same could be said for Ripley.Sarah Conner by a whisker over Ripley.
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Leaving out Star Wars since I consider it to be Sci-Fantasy. :-PMy top 10 in no particular order:AvatarAliensAlienWall-ETerminator 2Close EncountersStar Trek 2009Jurassic ParkInceptionContact
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True. Star Trek dropped pretty significantly Tuesday (but had a softer Sunday and Monday drop) but Thor and IM2 stayed steady *shrug*I think we'll see a slight drop.... $7.6 million ish.Has anyone mentioned that the weekdays are probably inflated?Mother's Day, an inflated day, was Sunday.So either the movies experience drops on Tuesday or they have a good week and low Friday increases. Happened before. Many times.
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My concern is that it is too late for WOM to help it attain SM1 like multipliers. Now the big boys of summer are coming into play, eating up theaters and demand. The Dictator/Battleship combo (equiv to a single $60mil opener) and definitely MIB3, Snow White, on and on. I don't predict big drops for TA, it's a very good movie, but I don't see soft landings either.True, but The Avengers has far better WOM than IM2. We'll start to see that come into play this weekend.Down 6% from last week wat
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Does anyone have a good explanation for why Iron Man's 3rd weekend decline was so low? Less than expected competition from Prince of Caspian perhaps? It really had the benefit of 3 weekends and THEN Memorial Day. What a great final/OW multiplier it had.Using the same Monday-Weekend ratio as Iron Man, it'd get $65.4m. The three openers this week will hit it a bit harder than Prince Caspian did Iron Man, so I think $58-60m is where it'll land.
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TA is tracking closer to Iron Man 2 than any other movie.Using the same Monday-Weekend ratio as Iron Man, it'd get $65.4m. The three openers this week will hit it a bit harder than Prince Caspian did Iron Man, so I think $58-60m is where it'll land.
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I'm also less confident in $600 million. Whenever I run the numbers to when the dailies are $100-$150k, I can never get to $600 million, let alone $650m. My final prediction is $590 million.I had it at 570mil and that was with my prediction of 8.4mil for today, i'm still sticking with my 570mil prediction though.
I hope I'm off by something like $45 million though.
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Weekend Actuals page 66 TA: 55.6m BS: 25.5m ; SW EP1 $293!
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