lilmac
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Posts posted by lilmac
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James Cameron man.....
I said this at some forum in 2009....Cameron just has a feel for how to craft a story that resonates with human beings. Lucas had it as well. He's tapped into that part of our brain. Incredible.
The only exception was The Abyss and that was still a decent movie. I need to see it again actually...-
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China is holding well. $2B here we come. James Cameron....you've done it again. My goodness.
3/6 films that have done better than $2B = one director.
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48 minutes ago, Mr Roark said:
Close?A2 will hit roughly $450M by Monday and R1’s final is $530.
I’d be shocked if A2 won’t hit $650M at this point with more than a month with 0 competition.
Wow. you might be right.
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22 hours ago, Morieris said:
It's so funny going to other forums to hear "this made 1B? but it has no cultural impact! the story is simple"
Why do things have to have narrative value to just be nice to look at? What's wrong with a simple story?
The one I hear a lot on Twitter is "how is this movie making so much money, no one i know is even talking about it' 🙂 I think part of that is true. It doesn't seem to be generating buzz like a Twilight or Avengers movie......people and families are just going to see it. December release certainly helps.
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Avatar 2's 3rd weekend could come in around 50% of its OW
RO's 3rd weekend was 31%
That's probably my last RO comp since these are following very different trajectories....except the final DOM numbers might be close. -
As someone said,
There’s so much life in these forums!
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52 minutes ago, Firepower said:
Queen
2 hours ago, lilmac said:TWOW might be Zoe Saldana's 4th 2B+ movie:
Avatar (2009) - 2.92B
Avengers Infinity War (2018) - 2.04B
Avengers Endgame (2019) - 2.79B
Avatar The Way of Water (2022) - 2.0B+
When you look at her big budget filmography. My goodness. She’s in many of the Top 100 all time grossing movies.
Queen of movies that start with the letter A. 🙂 -
Depending on the profit sharing structure they could probably squirrel away from A2’s profits much of the production costs for A4/A5.
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How much would TWOW’s 2nd weekend have been if not for the storm? $10m more? $20m more?
(it’s a thought exercise I do sometimes for The Dark Knight (since the Aurora tragedy probably impacted that OW))
I think the WOKJ guys were right all along about TWOW’s domestic - $550-$600m is in the cards.
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TWOW might be Zoe Saldana's 4th 2B+ movie:
Avatar (2009) - 2.92B
Avengers Infinity War (2018) - 2.04B
Avengers Endgame (2019) - 2.79B
Avatar The Way of Water (2022) - 2.0B+
When you look at her big budget filmography. My goodness. She’s in many of the Top 100 all time grossing movies.
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What impact in dollars do we think the winter storm had on TWOW’s 2nd weekend?
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I’m hoping for a top 5 finish for TLJ. One of the very best among the SW films.
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2 hours ago, Sheldon Cr said:
Much much better.
5.5-6.3 multiplier is where I'm hoping it ends up Lil Mac.
Of course Wokj is going to lowball a Cameron epic.
Heh heh.
Well, as part owner of WOKJ, we love Cameron. Lol
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2 hours ago, Sheldon Cr said:
Good to see you brother Lil Mac. The domestic is going to be very interesting if we get a Cameron level multiplier.
Going to try and get my 4dx 3d showing for my second viewing this weekend
Avatar 2 best film I've seen since A1
Best films this year for me:
1. Avatar 2 ..The Way of Water
2. Maverick
3. Werewolf by Night
(4) Good Nurse
(5) DS2
(6) Black Adam
I’m debating 4DX for my 3rd viewing tomorrow. I saw BP2 on 4DX and the theater had it cranked up to level 11/10. It was too much jolting. I went home with a headache. Lol.
Nice list. This slow workweek has allowed me to catch up on shows and movies. Maybe I’ll look into Good Nurse.
Anyway, here’s hoping to continued success for A2 at the boxoffice!
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On 12/26/2022 at 2:05 PM, CaptNathanBrittles said:
Assuming A2 makes $35m on Monday and using RO as a model:
Mon: $35m (+116% LW)
Tues: $24.5m (+33.8%)
Wed: $19.6m (+36%)
Thurs: $18.2m (+24.7%)
Friday: $20m (+2.5%)
Sat: $16m (+6.6%)
Sun: $18.24m (-38.%)
3rd Weekend: $54.24m (-15.25%)
Dom Total: $413.22m
Personally I think A2 is going to outperform RO on daily increases/drops so these figures represent the lowest.
I think A2 will stay flat or increase on 3rd weekend.
The consensus on WOKJ is $550-$600M....I'm leaning in that direction. I think this will have better legs than RO.
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On 12/25/2022 at 6:54 PM, Sheldon Cr said:
Yep might be Even less but definitely 1.1-1.2b sounds about right..They likely are already green lighting part 4 right now.
I hope so. Cameron does sequels VERY well. I want A4 and A5 to start production before A3, in case A3 tanks. lol
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I will likely go see it a 3rd time tomorrow. It was incredible, IMO. Not the Movie of the Year but in my Top 3.
I am so happy the 2nd weekend totals were stronger than the early estimates, despite the winter storm affecting most of the US.
The better A2 does, globally, the more likely we will see A4 and A5 get the greenlight.
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Kalo - I PM'd you my list. Posting it here as well.
ranking media 1 Empire Strikes Back 2 Return of the Jedi 3 A New Hope 4 The Last Jedi 5 Heir to the Empire book (Thrawn Trilogy book 1) 6 Dark Force Rising (Thrawn Trilogy book 2) 7 The Last Command (Thrawn Trilogy book 3) 8 The Mandalorian 9 Gennady Tartovsky's Clone Wars 10 Star Wars: the Old Republic (PC game) 11 Andor 12 The Force Awakens 13 Revenge of the Sith 14 Clone Wars TV show 15 Rogue One 16 The Rebels 17 Shadows of the Empire (N64 game) 18 Obi-Wan: the Kai Patterson cut 19 Solo 20 Star Wars Galaxies (PC game) 21 Truce at Bakura (novel) 22 Bad Batch 23 Rise of the Skywalker 24 Obi-Wan 25 Clone Wars (2003 movie) 26 Book of Boba 27 Phantom Menace 28 Attack of the Clones -
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I saw Avatar 2 twice over the weekend. It got an applause last night at the end when "Directed by James Cameron" showed up on the end credits. JC still has it!
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I found my old excel spreadsheet tracker for the first Avatar. It was so fun following that 2009/2010 boxoffice run, almost as great as tracking Titanic online back in the day. LOL
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There’s a lot of hype around Avatar 4. Maybe Cameron is talking it up so he can get Avatar 4/5 made but this is the second or third article speaking to the directions that part 4 goes. I want 2 to do extremely well so we can get all 5. I loved 2….probably more so than the original (which I very much enjoyed).
https://collider.com/avatar-2-the-way-of-water-james-cameron-interview/ -
Yay. Looking forward to this one. I really like Omega’s accent. Don’t know why. Lol
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A+
I enjoyed the first Avatar. Still do. The sequel is even better and proof that Cameron remains one of the best living directors. I was awed again by this franchise’s visuals. Literally had my mouth open at certain points. Thoroughly enjoyed the story as well. I’ll leave it there. No spoilers.
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Started weeks ago but forgot. I'll finish this in the coming days. 🙂
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Avatar: The Way of Water | 16 DEC 2022 | Don't worry guys, critics like it
in Box Office Discussion
Posted
TFA did $34.394M in its 3rd Friday. Not far off from TWOW. Just sayin...