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MattW

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Everything posted by MattW

  1. Originally had 78 and 46 but with the way the murmurings are going I think they'll be higher. Barbie: 88,250,250 Oppy: 48,750,750
  2. Yeh, 8am in california isn't the time to be calling numbers for the day.
  3. Summer 2023 I think will end up about 10% ahead of summer 2022, about 15% behind the prepandemic avg summer. But of course you also have to look at the "cost of goods" as they say. Without really delving into it I'd guess hollywood collectively spent a lot more getting their product to market this year than in most years.
  4. My rough sketch for Opp has it go down to 9 on Thursday, and make it over 300 total. But I think there's a real chance that the heavy must-see-on-a-big-screen draw wears off after a few weeks and the legs soften considerably, and it comes down to that 250-275 range.
  5. Barbieland: everything is the same every day Ken-land: things are different now Or, How one man discovers his innate charisma and immediately takes over an entire country with it.
  6. It's weird, I'm new to box office compared to many posters here, but it's been about 10 years for me. Signed up here and on hsx in 2013 (and a bunch of other box office games over the years). Good times.
  7. I agree with the sentiment that ken stole the show. Box office is great, that's the real takeaway here.
  8. My method is find a comparable Friday opening during the same month, Furious 7 in 2015 for example opened over easter weekend as well, then compare the first 7 days and take the weekend ratio. 180-something is what I come up with as well.
  9. Looks like two headliners combined will be just over 200m for FSS, 235 total. Will the weekend overall be over 300m? I think DL ended up just a bit bullish when they made that pronouncement. Could come in a touch under.
  10. I embrace my awfulness at predictions. I've made some stinkers. I do have one golden club moment, I made a club saying Ep8 would be closer to rogue 1 than TFA, and then in there I said something about solo essentially bombing and it ended up being right on the mark.
  11. My guess based on nothing is 53 Margot Bargot 25 Killian. Also thinking quite a bit of spillover into Sunday for both but more so for the latter bc of its large screen biasand people being willing to wait for a good showing.
  12. With both barbie and oppy blowing up July 2023 will end up topping last year's July by a small margin, but August is going to absolutely destroy the last 2 years, could even come close to 2017's level (admittedly a weak Aug). I bet MI7 also plays strong through the month and all three get a big bump for labor day giving Sept a strong start as well.
  13. Incredible movie, very Nolan. The sound is almost overwhelming, the music builds and holds the tension very well. I'm not the person to judge acting but for me it all worked, Cillian Murphy is great, always has been. One thing I missed is Rami Malek was in there for like a minute before be was giving apparently very credible, convincing testimony that completely took down Strauss, and I didn't see why his character asserting everything should be the last word on the subject. It's almost a horror movie-like ending, it was a success, they did it, but that win is inextricable from the rest of history up to today and the permanent risk that is with us every day now.
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