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Fake

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Everything posted by Fake

  1. Fake
    The numbers look okay. Are you sure you are nit comparing gross upto Thursday (reported by Disney) to the gross upto Friday that is available from local sources??
  2. Fake
    This weekend, CM did 190M worldwide... so it should do arnd 55-60M for weekdays. i.e. it will be at nearly 820M before the start of weekend. If CM can manage to get 100M+ for the weekend, 1.1B will be in play. 95M or lower will make it difficult. 105M or higher will lock it.
  3. Fake
    Full week gross (Mon-Sun) was just over $300M. Even with 50% weekly drops from here on, it will easily clear 1.05B.
  4. Fake
    Let's get to 1B first before we r debating Aquaman numbers. This weekend is now looking around 175-180M WW... so it will be at around 745M after Sunday. Will need very good drops from hereon if it is to reach 1.1B.
  5. Fake
    CM will be at around 565M before weekend (around 8M will be DOM gross for Thu and 7-8M or so from Thu OS gross will be counted towards weekdays). For weekend, I see DOM: 60M CHN: 20M JPN: 5M Other Holdovers: 75M (-65%) OS: 100M Cume will be around 725-730M.
  6. Fake
    Okay. So not decided yet. Hope it gets day and date release. 1BN WW OW FTW!!!
  7. Fake
    Good opening for CM... 1B will be the target. Monday should be in 45-50M region if it follows BP. When is Endgame releasing in China? Any info?
  8. Fake
    139M @5PM.... So added 66M since morning. 5PM is typically the midpoint for the gross added during the day (excluding presales) on opening Friday. So CM should finish with 139+66 = 205M. 210M if the evenings are stronger.
  9. Fake
    97.4M as of 1PM. Only 7.3M for the past hour. At this pace, it's headed for 200m or so. Let's see again in a couple of hours.
  10. Fake
    Today looks like 43-44m. Should do around 38m and 34m for Wed and Thu, hence 600m cume. Friday will be the key. If it can jump to 40m, then 900m should happen comfortably. However, if it stays flat and does something in 35m range, then it would probably miss the mark.
  11. Fake
    Decent Monday. Should be at 600m after Thursday. 900M looks likely at this point.
  12. Fake
    More like 50-55m.
  13. Fake
    Yeah... Should do 160M+ with ease. Has picked up real pace now.. did nearly 14M during last hour, as compared to 11M it averaged during 12-4PM.
  14. Fake
    Alita and TWE headed for 150M and 100M respectively.
  15. Fake
    Agreed. I see a multiplier of 2-2.2x, so in order to have a shot at 1B, it needs to open with at least 450M. Right now i see it opening around 425M and finishing around 875-900M.
  16. Fake
    Today looks to be heading for 70m and tomorrow should do 60-62m. So 4.13B after Thursday. Friday needs to be above 75m for a 300m weekend, which will keep it on track for 5B.
  17. Fake
    Running 10% ahead of Monday so far. So, something around 110M can be expected.
  18. Fake
    Yeah... This weekend will be around 600-625M, so it will require around 3x from this weekend to reach 5B. Daily holds have normalised now. 3x is neither too difficult, nor is it locked when it comes to Chinese box office. If next weekend drops under 50%, it will have a good shot.
  19. Fake
    198.6M as of 4PM. Added around 128M since morning. If it adds similar amount from hereon, it will finish with 325-330M. Though if evenings are stronger than normal as POTUS mentioned, it could push close to 350M.
  20. Fake
    121M as of 4PM. Has added 89M since morning. Should add a similar amount further. So around 210M I guess. About tomorrow, though the presales are a lot higher, I guess PSm may come down a bit, cuz VD seems like a pre-booking kind of day.
  21. Fake
    Should cross 200M today, but won't go much higher. I am guessing something like: Wed: 205M Thu: 290M (Cume 3.1B) Fri: 220M Sat: 270M Sun: 210M (Cume 3.8B) Should have enough gas in the tank to reach 5B from there.
  22. Fake
    2B Yuan in 6 days!! That's a new record, isn't it? Monday looking at 300m or so... so there is a good chance it hits 3B mark by Thursday.
  23. Fake
    Could hit 400M in fact.
  24. Fake
    Around 50-60M left from current markets and Japan should contribute another 10-15M. Should finish around 800M OS.
  25. Fake
    Aquaman might still have a shot a 2B, but it will be very close. Friday was 2.25M, so weekend looks to be in 12M region and Fri-Thu week in 20M region. So it will be at 1990M after next Thursday. On Friday, there are again numerous releases, so if it can manage to hold on to around 1% of the shows, it can get there.
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