Fake

It will fall just short, something lik1 1.77-1.775B. After Sunday, it will be close to 2.2B.

Yes..... in line with IW drop.

Projecting OS dailies for the week: Cume as of Tuesday: 1054M (389M CHN + 665M Rest) Wednesday: 151M (75M CHN + 76M Rest), 1205M cume Thursday: 95M (55M CHN + 40M Rest), 1300M cume Friday: 90M (40M CHN + 50M Rest), 1390M cume Sat+Sun: 185M (40M CHN + 145M Rest), 1575M cume Weekend would probably be reported as 315M (80M China + 35M 7Day Russia OW + 200M from holdovers (62.7% drop))

Was at 315.4M @2PM yesterday. So 99M behind as of now. Yesterday add further 186M after this point. Current pace seens to be 75-80% that of yesterday. If today continues at 80% of the pace for the remainder of the day, it will add a further 149M from here. So a 365M finish (-27.5%). Tomorrow and Saturday should show a similar drop based on presales trend. I am thinking it will just about hit the 4B mark on Sunday. Cume till Wed: 3105M Thu: 365M Fri: 265M Sat: 190M Sun: 75M 4000m cume.

Seems to be dropping already.

EG added nearly 56m from 12-2PM on Saturday. However, Wednesday is looking to add 64M or so!! EG added further 153M after 2PM on Sat. So it should add another 175-180M after 2PM which would take it in 500M vicinity.

Yes. It should get there the Sunday after this one. However, it won't add a lot after that and will finish in $625-630M region. $650M is the high end I am thinking.

I won't say very likely yet. This is what happened last Saturday too when the projections went into 600-700m territory. Huge presales mean evening additions will slow down instead of accelarating, as majority of seats for the evening shows are already sold out. Added 21m in the last hour. On Saturday EG added 20.7M during 11-12. It went on to add another 208M for the rest of the day (10x). I am thinking 11x as of now for 480-485m finish.

20m in the last hour. 450m is locked. There may be an outside shot at 500m. Will know more in a couple of hours.

The all-time worldwide record is the target for EG IMO and I bet it gets there comfortably. To get the record, EG needs to increase 36.1% over IW. DOM OW was 38.5% higher. OS (excluding China & Russia) OW was 40% higher. Now $600M in China is a lock (which is 60% higher than IW). So even after allowing for slightly worse legs in DOM and OS-C, WW record should be achieved. Current projections: DOM: 900M (32.5% increase from IW) OS-C: 1325M (33.2% increase from IW) CHN: 625M TOTAL: 2850M Next record in line would be all time domestic record (38% increase from IW). So that would require same legs as IW. And the final record that is achievable is $3B WW, which would require slightly better legs than IW. Breakup would be something like: DOM: 950M (40% increase) OS-C: 1400M (40.8% increase) CHN: 650M 1B DOM (47.3% increase from IW) is a bit too far IMO.

3B in just 8 days. Simply crazy!! Predicts for the week: Wed: 450 Thu: 275 Fri: 200 Sat: 150 Sun: 60 4B should happen by next Sunday!

That's locked. After Sunday, DOM should be around 600M and China around 500M. Rest of OS did 536M this weekend, so should be at 950M+ after Sunday. Add to that an estimated 30M Russian opening and the overall cume approaches 2.1B!!!

Was quite close for the weekend, however, may have underestimated the weekdays. Today looking like 120M or so if it picks up in the evening. And accordingly, Tue and Wed should apprpach 200M and 400M respectively.

I am expecting Sunday drop to be in 60% range. And since Saturday is looking to match OD with 525-550M, 200-225M is the range for Sunday. Although it is possible it falls just short. BTW my predicts: Fri: 425M Sat: 540M (2B in just 4 days!!) Sun: 210M Mon: 90M Tue: 150M Wed: 300M Thu: 150M Fri: 100M (3B in 10 days!) Sat: 100M Sun: 50M Around 3.5B finish.

Nearly 550M!! That's crazzy!! Thu presales looking to finish with 136M. 300M seems almost a certainty, but I will keep my expectations at that level only.

I don't think evening hours will add 30m+, it will be around 25-27m. But even by most conservative estimates, 525m should happen easily.

323.26M @12PM Though the speed is suggesting 550M+, but I would be happy with 500M. Anything above that is just gravy. One thing to note here is that it is Wednesday, not Friday, and therefore the acceleration in the evening may not be as large. So.. going with 500M.

Presales looking to finish with 262m. A 41% jump from yesterday's figure (185m), which coincidentally is the same jump IW had (129m to 182m), but given the higher base is really impressive. IW added 200m+ during the day. That should be the bare minimum EG should add. Will be interesting to see how close to 500m it can get. 500m would require 1.91x multiplier, which isn't impossible.

What should be the final figure?? Will 3-4AM shows be counted towards midnights or Wednesday??

Presales for weekend alone has crossed $100M!! Let's see if it can do $100M OD (including midnights). That would be really amazing. Would require something like 180M+ midnights and 490M+ Wednesday. Tough, but not impossible.

In yuan. I am expecting something like 1800-1850M yuan for OW but could hit 2B if everything goes right: Mid: 175M Wed: 475M Thu: 250M Fri: 375M Sat: 500M Sun: 200M Total: 1975M

Thu presales crossed 60M while that of Fri and Sat crossed 80M and 100M respectively. Fri has one extra day of presales and Sat has two, so I am expecting ratio of final presales will be something like 2:3:4 and so will be the ratio of daily grosses. Expecting daily grosses to be 225-250M, 325-375M and 450-500M respectively.

Agreed. Sun presales are one fourth of Sat as of now, and final presales will finish with around one-third (as Sun has 1 extra day). Even with a better multiplier, 60% drop is likely. If Sat does 450m, then Sun will be around 175m and Monday will probably be in 100m vicinity.

Previously was thinking around 1750 ($260M), but looking at the strength and trends of presales, I am now thinking a bit higher. Mid: 150M Wed: 450M Thu: 250M Fri: 350M Sat: 450M Sun: 200M Total: 1850M For the following week I'd expect something like: Mon: 100M Tue: 125M Wed: 250M Thu: 150M Fri: 150M Sat: 100M Sun: 50M Total: 900-950M 3B+ finish.

OS fell short by 10%... which makes it almost impossible for it to reach $400M. Looks like it will finish with 145-150M DOM and 220-230M OS. Will be at 315M or so after next weekend.