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Assuming 5.2M, Solo will be at 120M after Thursday. Weekend is looking like 32M (-62%). Multiplier from 2nd weekend of past Memorial Day openers: POTC4: 3.6x XM:Apoc: 2.7x Tomorrowland: 3.1x FF6: 2.9x MIB3: 3.40x Solo *should* stabilize now and show perform closer to POTC4 and MIB3 rather than other comps. So assuming a 3.5x multiplier off 32M weekend, Solo is looking to finish with 230-235M. However, if the weekend drop is higher and/or it isn't able to hold that well afterwards, it may miss 225M mark.

Possible. But i would predict closer to 25M.

Practically flat. Should stay above 10M tomorrow as well. Friday is looking at a significant increase. 14M is possible.

The Fri-Sun they state is only indicative of the weekend. All it means is the weekend ending in that Sunday. Like Quigley stated, If 63M was Fri-Sun gross only, the cume would have been different. But the cume is 63M only. The Fri-Sun figure you are looking for would be close to 55M, but this number isn't reported by Studios so it won't be reported anywhere in the media. Regarding the weekend including Wed/Thu, that's not a news, and most people who have been tracking OS box office have known that for years. That's why i said, there is no Fri-Sun number reported in business because different markets have different lengths of weekend. Studios add up all the grosses of respective weekends, whatever the number of days that may include, and then report that number. You may check the OS page of Infinity War and see what figure is stated in the same place where 63M is stated for Solo. You should be able to easily verify, with the help of updates reported in Avengers OS thread during OW, whether it is "Fri-Sun" figure, or everything upto that Sunday. Not only IW, you can open the OS page for any movie and check this. As for your last question, Monday was a holiday in USA, therefore actuals were reported on Tuesday (as opposed to Monday). Now, Disney provided two sets of numbers: one is the weekend actuals which was 63.1M. But as actuals are being reported on Tuesday, Monday numbers are also available by that time (which isn't available on normal weekends when actuals are being reported on Monday). So it also provided the total as of Monday i.e. 69.7M. Hope that clears it up.

That's not an ironclad rule, but I agree with your point. In any case, I hope it is as of Sunday, because that would make 2B a bit easier.

There is no such thing as FSS number in OS reporting. BOM (or any other source for that matter) NEVER reports FSS number, EVER!! The different datasets provided by BOM are consistent. 63.1M would be the OW number (everything upto Sunday). So that is a 1.9M drop from estimates. After that it did 6.6M on Monday, which is what one would expect after 63.1M weekend, and gross till Monday (as mentioned by BOM) becomes 69.7M. The only thing inconsistent here is the 68.2M figure reported by deadline. I dunno how they reported that number, but that is most likely incorrect.

There seems to be some confusion regarding whether the new gross figure 1286.9M is till Sunday or Monday. What we know: The addition since last Sunday is 65.35M. China added 210/6.4 = 32.9M for Mon-Sun. Weekend figure is 32.2M out of which China did 114/6.4 = 17.8M. Case I: The gross is till Sunday Which means OS-C did 65.4-32.9 = 32.5M. Now weekend gross was 32.2-17.8 = 14.4M. So the weekdays would be 18M, which seems too high after a 32M weekend. So either this was an exchange rate adjustment, or Disney is pushing it for 2B mark. Case II: The gross is till Monday Monday weekdays should have been close to 4M (nearly 2M each from CH and OS-C), which means weekdays last week would have been 14M, which, albeit a bit high, is acceptable. Both these scenarios are possible right now. So we will need to wait for the next update to say anything for sure. However, BOM mentions the gross as of Sunday, and I have rarely seen BOM making a mistake in that aspect.

Well I see that IW shows are listed as far as Day 35. So most probably it is getting the extension. We just need some confirmation from Olive etc.

Yes. Probably the best benchmark to compare would have been SM--SM2; both SM and DP redefined the superhero genre as we know it, so it was always going to be an uphill task matching the first one. But we all get too excited sometimes when making predictions.

Presales down 10% for tomorrow. Should do 10M. IW will cross $350M this weekend. When will it be confirmed if it is getting extension or not?

Yes. 650 is almost locked. It will beat Jesus again worldwide. 700 is probably gone though. JW is opening in 10 days all over the world except American continents (well, except China too, but that is irrelevant as far as DP2 is concerned), so DP2 hasn't got much time. And I fail to see how this couldn't be called a disappointment, like some people are portraying it to be. It will do similar businesses as Justice League. 3 years ago, this would have been unthinkable.

I would have agreed with you if there was even one 50M+ opener next weekend. But it is completely empty. All movies should be seeing good drops. But, assuming 54-55% drop, next weekend should be 20M and week 30M. Take another 50% weekly drop next weekend, and DP2 will be at 275M when Incredibles opens. 285M is the low end I am seeing right now.

Well... I wouldn't go that low either. DP2 should be at 231M after Thursday. Assuming it drops 50% next weekend (should be manageable given it is an open week), it should do 22M weekend, and consequently 33M for the week. Another 50% drop can be assumed for the next week (against Ocean's 8). So another 16-17M. Thus DP2 should be at 280M when Incredibles opens. If DP2 misses 300M, it won't be by more than 10M. 300M chances aren't fully gone yet. But it needs to have a sub-50% drop next weekend.

-32% drop Sat-Mon. Higher than -29.5% of Aliens: covenant last year.

-23% , -30% and -17% respectively. Fantastic for IW, okay for Solo, and atrocious for DP2. Chances for 300M are increasingly fading away.

42.5% projected Monday drop for IW?? Someone at Disney is smoking weed. All past Marvel film have been dropping in 17-20% region.

Tuesday presales are almost flat compared to Monday. Should do 11M+.

Actuals for weekend and Monday estimates?

Yeah. Like I said, it seems to be Studio specific problem. Take a look at this: https://www.boxofficeindia.com/art_detail.php?articalid=1986#.WwwmPSXhWWg Avatar doing 57 crore... What a joke!

DP2 was over $9M(48.18 crore nett, 61.77 crore gross) after Thursday only. OW was $6.3M (as reported by Fox) after which it did $2.8M during weekdays. Boxofficeindia numbers are often inaccurate for Hollywood releases, especially for FOX movies. The ways they continued to underreport Avatar numbers was hilarious.

Deadpool 2 should be at 300M after weekdays. So that's around 78M for the week (counting from the start of weekend). Next week nothing major is opening so it should drop around 50% or so. So around 40M. JW will cause it to drop over 60%. 15M week there. After that should add another 10M at least. Adding it all up, it should finish with 365M in current markets. Japan should add another 15M for 380M finish.

Deadpool has crossed $10M as of this weekend. Should finish with $11.5-12M.

I think 670M is looking likely now, with a potential to reach 675M.

Great for everything. Thanks Rth Solo 104-105M, DP2 55-56M, IW 23M

Gross post Saturday as a multiplier of Sat gross for Memorial Day openers: POTC4: 6.32x X: Apocalypse: 5.3x X:DOFP: 5.78x FF6: 5.3x MIB3: 7.43x NATM2: 7.05x To reach 250M, Solo would need to do 7.69x. A 7x would mean a 230-235M finish. With a projected 165-170M OS, it might just reach 400M WW.