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Fake

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Everything posted by Fake

  1. Fake
    Incredibles jumped less than I expected... I was expecting it to get 15M. I am pretty sure the official number will come in higher than deadline estimates. Even if the 13.5M number sticks.... 45M 3rd weekend is not bad at all!
  2. Fake
    Stayed over 10M.... Nice!! Another animated record that may happen: First one to do 50M+ in 3rd weekend.
  3. Fake
    Presales for I2 up 150%!! Should do 30M, if not more. 50M is locked now.
  4. Fake
    Dp
  5. Fake
    I would say 60-65% jump, i.e. around 18.5M. But if it manages 19M Friday and 65M weekend, 400M would be back on the table, cuz the required multiplier would be 195/65 = 3x, which isn't impossible.
  6. Fake
    There are again some previews on Saturday which will affect other numbers to the tune of 5-10%. With ur Friday numbers, I would project something like... JW2 - 20/36/32 = 88m TI2 - 13/27/30 = 70m Pretty good for both. Edit: I see that previews are there on Sunday also....So i guess 2-3m lower for both on Sunday too.
  7. Fake
    JW Wednesday is down only 17-18% from Monday, which is decent. 60M weekend is possible. Thu: 11M (-9%) Fri: 18M (+63.6%) Sat: 24M (+33.3%) Sun: 18.5M (-23%) Wknd: 60M+, 380M finish. TI2 number is also decent and weekend looks to come in at 50M. Thu: 9.7M (-3%) Fri: 15M (+55%) Sat: 20M (+33.3%) Sun: 15.5M (-22.5%) Wknd: 50M+, 570M finish. Curious to see which one of the two is ahead next weekend, as I expect both to gross around 30M.
  8. Fake
    If it can get 60M this weekend, something like 10/25/25, (which it should), then 330M should happen comfortably.
  9. Fake
    Trend for I2 is decent. 200M for the first week. Still has a shot at 325M ($50M).
  10. Fake
    Poor drop (63%). But not entirely unexpected. TF3 dropped 65% on its first Monday last year. The first week should finish with $200M. 2nd weekend is looking at $55M. Maybe $350-360M finish.
  11. Fake
    "Only" 24M for TI2..... I had a feeling that 25M+ was too good to be true. Weekend might come just a shade under 80M. 600M is probably gone now. 550-575M is looking likely. Week 1: 270M Week 2: 120M (-55.5%) Week 3: 72M (-40%) Week 4: 43M (-40%) Week 5: 20M (-53.5%) Rest: 35M Total: 560M
  12. Fake
    DP2 finally ahead of Solo now. Should finish with 320M and 215M respectively. 680M finish for IW.
  13. Fake
    25.7M for I2 according to deadline. Fantastic jump! 600M is still alive. Good opening for JW. Should clear 400M domestic if that $145M+ number holds. Worldwide it will be interesting to see which one wins. Both are looking to finish around 1.2B.
  14. Fake
    Well... If there were no previews, TI2 would have expanded a little, e.g. FD had 27% shows on Friday and 29.5% on Saturday. So there will be some impact, although not a lot. FD's 105% jump equivalent would be 90-95% jump for TI2.... on the other hand... Sunday drop would be softer. I hope TI2 gets 100% jump on Saturday and stays flat on Sunday. Something like 30/60/60. Sun/Fri ratio of 2.0 would indicate good WOM. FD had 1.75 for comparison.
  15. Fake
    What matters is... the number was off, which means it wasn't from offical sources, which means it was probably just a guess, which means Today's gross may end up over 20m (might go down also).
  16. Fake
    Forbes numbers for Monday was way off as far as I recall... hoping the official number comes over 20m.
  17. Fake
    Only 4x multi from OD? I thought animated movies with good WOM (which I think it will have) get 5x multi... or better. 25M 55M 50M 130M / $20M I know it's a little optimistic, but it can happen.
  18. Fake
    3M with 24 hrs to go.... Does 25M OD seem correct? Or too high?
  19. Fake
    1B is locked. I am thinking 600M DOM + 650M OS.
  20. Fake
    Both TS3 and FD had 39% Sat to Sat drop, but the competition was pretty weak in their 2nd weekends (no 50m+ opener). TI2 will have to compete with a ~150M opener, which is also targeting family audience. 43-45% drop seems reasonable, if not optimistic.
  21. Fake
    Looks to finish with 275M first week. Tue: 28M (+17%) Wed: 21M (-25%) Thu: 20M (-5%) Weekend can go anywhere from 80M to 90M. Low end: Fri: 25M (+25%) Sat: 31M (+25%) Sun: 24M (-20%) High end: Fri: 27M (+35%) Sat: 35M (+30%) Sun: 28M (-20%) Note: If Wed/Thu manage to stay above 20M, then TI2 will be only 2nd film ever (after TFA) to have 10 straight days above 20M.
  22. Fake
    I think u mean 65.1m... no?? Should cross 1.1B on Thursday. 1.5B seems within reach.
  23. Fake
    95.5M @2PM. It should double that amount.
  24. Fake
    I am expecting a mini-breakout..... $60-80M.
  25. Fake
    $173.6M weekend, out of which $111.9m was from China. Rest of the markets did $61.7m (including 2 new small markets). So almost 60% drop in holdover markets. China should add another $100-105M or so. Rest of the current markets should add a further $125-130M.
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