[10 films over 700M in 2016?]

1 hour ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

Yup, done deal this is. 7 down, w/Suicide Squad that's 8. Moana and Rogue One will make this happen.

Fantastic Beasts only needs $170-190 million DOM and a similar OS number as the other HP films to hit $700 million WW. 

 

Should get 11 this year. 

[Hacksaw Ridge | Nov 4 2016 | Lionsgate | WWII movie directed by Mel Gibson. Starring Andrew Garfield, Sam Worthington, Luke Bracey, Teresa Palmer. The movie gets the BOZ/Tele/WB seal of approval.]

Wouldn't be surprised at a low 20s OW, a tiny drop over Veteran's Day weekend, and some sturdy legs on the way to $100 million+ DOM

[Labor Day Weekend Thread | 4 day #s - DB 19.5M, SS 12.8M, Pete 8.5M, Kubo 6.5M, SP 6M, Bad Moms 6M, War Dogs 6M, LBO 5.9M, Morgan 2.4M]

1 hour ago, JennaJ said:

 

So what would be the first movie this year to fall in that 200-300 gap?

 

The Magnificent Seven, Doctor Strange, Fantastic Beasts and Sing all have a good chance at ending up here IMO. 

 

Passengers and Moana have outside chances. 

 

I'll say Magnificent Seven. It'll be the first major tentpole since August 5 and every Sept-Oct period since 2013 has had a $150 million+ DOM adult-targeting hit (Gravity, Gone Girl, The Martian). 

 

[Fences - December 16th release, goes wide on Christmas]

December 2016 is looking overall well-rounded, in terms of quality and BO (except Collateral Beauty and Space Between Us) 

 

Rogue One: $470 million

Sing: $260 million

La La Land: $175 million

Passengers: $160 Million 

Fences: $110 million

Office Christmas Party: $60 million

A Monster Calls: $55 million 

Gold: $50 million 

Why Him?: $45 million 

Collateral Beauty: $35 million

The Space Between Us: $25 million

[Weekend Prediction thread 6/28-6/30 Play the Derby]

 

Spoiler

 

9/9-9/11

1. Sully: $27.5 million
2. When the Bough Breaks: $13.5 million 
3. Don't Breathe: $8 million ($63 million)
4. Suicide Squad: $5.5 million ($307 million) 
5. The Disappointments Room: $5 million 
6. Pete's Dragon: $4 million ($71 million) 
7. Bad Moms: $3.5 million ($108 million) 
8. Kubo and the Two Strings: $3.5 million ($40 million) 
9. Hell or High Water: $3.5 million ($20 million) 
10. The Wild Life: $3 million 

9/16-9/18

1. Blair Witch: $39 million 
2. Sully: $17.5 million ($53 million)
3. Bridget Jones' Baby: $12 million 
4. Hillsong - Let Hope Rise: $7 million
5. Snowden: $6 million 
6. When the Bough Breaks: $5.5 million ($21 million) 
7. Suicide Squad: $3.5 million ($312 million) 
8. Don't Breathe: $3 million ($68 million) 
9. Pete's Dragon: $3 million ($75 million) 
10. Hell or High Water: $3 million ($24 million) 

9/23-9/25

1. The Magnificent Seven: $65.5 million 
2. Storks: $45.5 million 
3. Blair Witch: $12 million ($58 million) 
4. Sully: $11 mililon ($69 million) 
5. Bridget Jones' Baby: $8 million ($24 million) 
6. Hillsong - Let Hope Rise: $4.5 million ($13 million) 
7. Hell or High Water: $3.5 million ($29 million)
8. Snowden: $3 million ($10 million) 
9. When the Bough Breaks: $2.5 million ($25 million) 
10. Don't Breathe: $2 million ($71 million) 

9/30-10/2

1. The Magnificent Seven: $36 million ($119 million)
2. Storks: $27 million ($81 million)
3. Deepwater Horizon: $23 million 
4. Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children: $15 million 
5. Sully: $6.5 million ($79 million) 
6. Masterminds: $6 million 
7. Blair Witch: $5.5 million ($66 million) 
8. Bridget Jones' Baby: $4.5 million ($31 million) 
9. Hillsong - Let Hope Rise: $3 million ($17 million) 
10. Hell or High Water: $2.5 million ($32 million) 

10/7-10/9

1. The Girl on the Train: $24 million 
2. The Magnificent Seven: $22.5 million ($152 million) 
3. Storks: $18 million ($104 million) 
4. Deepwater Horizon: $15 million ($45 million) 
5. Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children: $8.5 million ($27 million) 
6. Middle School - The Worst Years of My Life: $6.5 million 
7. Sully: $5 million ($86 million) 
8. Birth of a Nation: $4.5 million 
9. Bridget Jones' Baby: $3 million ($35 million) 
10. Friend Request: $3 million 

10/14-10/16

1. The Accountant: $28 million
2. The Magnificent Seven: $15 million ($176 million) 
3. The Girl on the Train: $14 million ($47 million) 
4. Storks: $13 million ($124 million) 
5. Kevin Hart - What Now?: $11 million
6. Deepwater Horizon: $10 million ($62 million) 
7. Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children: $7 million ($38 million) 
8. Middle School - The Worst Years of My Life: $4.5 million ($14 million) 
9. Sully: $4 million ($92 million) 
10. Birth of a Nation: $3 million ($9 million) 

10/21-10/23

1. Jack Reacher - Never Go Back: $23 million 
2. The Accountant: $17 million ($53 million) 
3. Ouija - Origin of Evil: $10.5 million 
4. Boo! A Madea Halloween: $10 million 
5. The Girl on the Train: $8.5 million ($60 million) 
6. The Magnificent Seven: $8 million ($188 million) 
7. Storks: $8 million ($134 million) 
8. Keeping Up With the Joneses: $7 million 
9. Deepwater Horizon: $5 million ($69 million) 
10. I'm Not Ashamed: $4.5 million 

10/28-10/30

1. Inferno: $37 million 
2. Rings: $14 million 
3. Jack Reacher - Never Go Back: $13.5 million ($43 million) 
4. The Accountant: $10.5 million ($69 million) 
5. Storks: $6 million ($142 million) 
6. The Girl on the Train: $5.5 million ($68 million) 
7. The Magnificent Seven: $5 million ($195 million) 
8. Boo! A Madea Halloween: $5 million ($17 million) 
9. Keeping Up With the Joneses: $3.5 million ($12 million) 
10. Deepwater Horizon: $3 million ($73 million) 

11/4-11/6

1. Doctor Strange: $70.5 million 
2. Trolls: $38 million 
3. Inferno: $18 million ($64 million) 
4. Hacksaw Ridge: $14.5 million 
5. The Accountant: $7.5 million ($80 million) 
6. Jack Reacher - Never Go Back: $6.5 million ($53 million) 
7. Rings: $5 million ($23 million) 
8. The Girl on the Train: $3.5 million ($73 million) 
9. The Magnificent Seven: $2.5 million ($199 million) 
10. Boo! A Madea Halloween: $2 million ($21 million) 

11/11-11/13

1. Doctor Strange: $36 million ($124 million) 
2. Trolls: $29 million ($75 million) 
3. Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk: $14.5 million 
4. Arrival: $11.5 million 
5. Hacksaw Ridge: $11 million ($30 million) 
6. Almost Christmas: $10 million 
7. The Accountant: $4.5 million ($87 million) 
8. Shut In: $4 million 
9. Jack Reacher - Never Go Back: $3 million ($57 million) 
10. Rings: $2 million ($26 million)

11/18-11/20

1. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them: $110 million 
2. Trolls: $16 million ($96 million) 
3. Doctor Strange: $15 million ($147 million) 
4. Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk: $9.5 million ($29 million) 
5. Arrival: $8.5 million ($24 million) 
6. Hacksaw Ridge: $7 million ($40 million) 
7. The Edge of Seventeen: $5 million 
8. Almost Christmas: $4 million ($16 million) 
9. The Accountant: $2.5 million ($91 million) 
10. Shut In: $2 million ($7 million)

11/23-11/27

1. Moana: $93 million/$136 million 
2. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them: $52 million/$80 million ($210 million) 
3. Trolls: $12 million/$17.5 million ($116 million) 
4. Doctor Strange: $11.5 million/$16 million ($166 million) 
5. Bad Santa 2: $10 million/$16 million 
6. Allied: $8 million/$11 million 
7. Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk: $7.5 million/$10.5 million ($42 million) 
8. Rules Don't Apply: $7 million/$9.5 million 
9. Arrival: $6.5 million/$9 million ($34 million) 
10. Hacksaw Ridge: $5 million/$7 million ($48 million) 

12/2-12/4

1. Moana: $42 million ($190 million)
2. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them: $21.5 million ($241 million)
3. Keep Watching: $10 million 
4. Bad Santa 2: $6 million ($25 million) 
5. Doctor Strange: $5 million ($173 million) 
6. Kidnap: $5 million
7. Trolls: $4.5 million ($121 million) 
8. Allied: $4 million ($17 million) 
9. Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk: $3.5 million ($47 million) 
10. Incarnate: $2.5 million 

12/9-12/11

1. Moana: $34 million ($232 million) 
2. Office Christmas Party: $14 million 
3. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them: $13 million ($260 million) 
4. The Bye Bye Man: $6.5 mllion 
5. Miss Sloane: $4.5 million 
6. Doctor Strange: $4 million ($179 million) 
7. Bad Santa 2: $3.5 million ($30 million) 
8. Trolls: $3.5 million ($125 million) 
9. La La Land: $3 million ($6 million) 
10. Allied: $3 million ($21 million) 

12/16-12/18

1. Rogue One: $130.5 million 
2. La La Land: $24.5 million ($32 million) 
3. Moana: $20.5 million ($258 million) 
4. Collateral Beauty: $9.5 million 
5. Office Christmas Party: $9 million ($27 million) 
6. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them: $5 million ($268 million) 
7. The Bye Bye Man: $3 million ($11 million)
8. Bad Santa 2: $2.5 million ($34 million) 
9. Miss Sloane: $2 million ($7 million) 
10. Allied: $2 million ($24 million)

12/23-12/25

1. Rogue One: $75 million ($270 million)
2. Sing: $56 million ($85 million) 
3. Passengers: $42 million ($60 million) 
4. La La Land: $20 million ($70 million) 
5. Moana: $16.5 million ($291 million) 
6. Fences: $9 million 
7. Why Him?: $8 million 
8. Office Christmas Party: $7.5 million ($42 million) 
9. Collateral Beauty: $7 million ($23 million) 
10. A Monster Calls: $5 million 
11. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them: $4 million ($276 million)
12. Gold: $3 million 

12/30-1/1

1. Rogue One: $54 million ($382 million)
2. Sing: $47 million ($188 million) 
3. Passengers: $35 million ($130 million) 
4. La La Land: $16 million ($102 million) 
5. Moana: $13.5 million ($321 million) 
6. Fences: $14 million ($37 million) 
7. A Monster Calls: $11 million ($27 million) 
8. Why Him?: $9 million ($26 million) 
9. Gold: $8 million ($19 million) 
10. Collateral Beauty: $5.5 million ($34 million) 
11. Office Christmas Party: $3.5 million ($49 million)
12. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them: $3 million ($283 million) 

 

 

 

1.  

[Thursday Numbers]

52 minutes ago, grim22 said:

 

Sometime tomorrow, Pets overtakes Inside Out. Looking at the OW thread for Pets, there were way too many people saying it would do below 300M @NuTella Lover of Sky Beams or would end even lower than Zootopia @WrathOfHan or would never come near Inside Out's final gross.

 

The lack of any major competition (and double features with Kubo) helped its late run significantly. Could do $4.5-$5 million over the 4-day and finish with $370 million DOM 

[Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle | December 22 2017 | Special showings for Amazon Prime members on December 8]

3 hours ago, Arlborn said:

HOW DARE YOU

 

Sorry 

 

But with Spider-Man, Apes 3, Dunkirk and Jumanji all potentially combining for $850 million+ DOM, there's not much room for Valerian to succeed. It's also from a smaller studio and likely will be quite cheesy, so I doubt it'll succeed in the DOM market. I could see $150-250 million OS, though. 

[Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle | December 22 2017 | Special showings for Amazon Prime members on December 8]

On 8/23/2016 at 7:42 PM, ThatOneMorgan said:

This will be huge.  The Rock, Hart, and Black all provide star power (with Rock and Hart being two major draws) and Jonas could attract the female teenager audiences.

 

60/190

 

Girl Trip will detract from any potential female appeal IMO. 

 

July 2017 is actually looking pretty solid (minus Valerian). I also don't think the untitled Disney fairy tale will stay in summer 2017 if Jumanji opens the same weekend. 

1. Spider-Man - Homecoming: $320 million 
2. War of the Planet of the Apes: $215 million 
3. Dunkirk: $210 million 
4. Jumanji: $155 million 
5. Girl Trip: $110 million 
6. Untitled Disney Fairy Tale: $75 million 
7. Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets: $20 million 

 

[Weekend Actuals: Don't breathe 26.4M, Squad 12.25M, Kubo 7.85M., Sausage 7.5M, Mechanic 7.5M, Dragon 7.4M, War Dogs 7M]

Just now, a2knet said:

PETS should be less than 9 away from DM2 after ~1.7 on Mon-Thu and 4+ over 4-day LD weekend.

It might do $4 million over just the 3-day due to minimal kid competition and the LD boost. 

[Weekend Prediction thread 6/28-6/30 Play the Derby]

9/2-9/5

1. Don't Breathe: $17 million/$22.5 million ($58 million)
2. The Light Between Oceans: $8.5 million/$10.75 million 
3. Suicide Squad: $8.5 million/$11 million ($298 million) 
4. Kubo and the Two Strings: $8 million/$11 million ($39 million)
5. Morgan: $7.5 million/$9.25 million
6. Pete's Dragon: $7 million/$9.5 million ($67 million)
7. Sausage Party: $6 million/$7 million ($91 million) 
8. Bad Moms: $5.5 million/$6.5 million ($103 million)
9. Mechanic - Resurrection: $4.5 million/$5.25 million ($16 million)
10. War Dogs: $4 million/$5 million ($35 million) 

9/9-9/11

1. Sully: $27 million 
2. When the Bough Breaks: $14 million 
3. Don't Breathe: $9 million ($70 million) 
4. The Disappointments Room: $6 million 
5. The Wild Life: $5.5 million 
6. The Light Between Oceans: $5 million ($16 million) 
7. Kubo and the Two Strings: $4.5 million ($44 million) 
8. Suicide Squad: $4 million ($303 million) 
9. Pete's Dragon: $3.5 million ($71 million) 
10. Bad Moms: $3 million ($107 million)

9/16-9/18

1. Blair Witch: $38 million
2. Sully: $17.5 million ($53 million) 
3. Bridget Jones' Diary: $13.5 million 
4. Hillsong - Let Hope Rise: $7 million
5. Snowden: $6 million 
6. When the Bough Breaks: $5.5 million ($22 million) 
7. The Light Between Oceans: $4 million ($22 million) 
8. Kubo and the Two Strings: $3.5 million ($48 million) 
9. Don't Breathe: $3 million ($74 million) 
10. Pete's Dragon: $2.5 million ($74 million)

9/23-9/25

1. The Magnificent Seven: $65.5 million 
2. Storks: $45.5 million 
3. Blair Witch: $11.5 million ($55 million) 
4. Sully: $11 million ($69 million) 
5. Bridget Jones' Diary: $9 million ($27 million) 
6. Hillsong - Let Hope Rise: $5 million ($14 million) 
7. Snowden: $3 million ($10 million)
8. The Light Between Oceans: $3 million ($26 million) 
9. When the Bough Breaks: $2.5 million ($26 million) 
10. Don't Breathe: $1.75 million ($76 million) 

9/30-10/2

1. The Magnificent Seven: $36 million ($119 million) 
2. Storks: $27 million ($81 million) 
3. Deepwater Horizon: $24 million 
4. Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children: $16 million 
5. Sully: $8 million ($81 million)
6. Bridget Jones' Diary: $5.5 million ($35 million) 
7. Masterminds: $5 million 
8. Blair Witch: $4.5 million ($63 million) 
9. Hillsong - Let Hope Rise: $3 million ($18 million) 
10. The Light Between Oceans: $2 million ($29 million) 

[Weekend Prediction thread 6/28-6/30 Play the Derby]

 

Spoiler

 

8/26-8/28

1. Don't Breathe: $24.5 million 
2. Suicide Squad: $12 million ($281 million) 
3. Kubo and the Two Strings: $10 million ($25 million) 
4. Sausage Party: $9.5 million ($81 million) 
5. War Dogs: $9 million ($28 million) 
6. Pete's Dragon: $8.5 million ($53 million) 
7. Bad Moms: $7 million ($96 million) 
8. Mechanic - Resurrection: $6 million 
9. Ben-Hur: $5.5 million ($21 million)
10. Jason Bourne: $5.25 million ($149 million) 
11. The Secret Life of Pets: $4.25 million ($351 million) 
12. Florence Foster Jenkins: $3.5 million ($19 million) 

9/2-9/5

1. Don't Breathe: $13 million/$17.5 million ($48 million) 
2. Morgan: $12 million/$15 million 
3. Kubo and the Two Strings: $11 million/$16 million ($43 million) 
4. The Light Between Oceans: $9 million/$12 million 
5. Pete's Dragon: $8.5 million/$12 million ($66 million) 
6. Suicide Squad: $8 million/$10.5 million ($295 million) 
7. Sausage Party: $6.5 million/$8.5 million ($93 million) 
8. Bad Moms: $6 million/$7.5 million ($107 million) 
9. War Dogs: $5.5 million/$6.75 million ($37 million) 
10. The Secret Life of Pets: $4.5 million/$6.5 million ($358 million) 
11. Jason Bourne: $4.25 million/$5.25 million ($156 million) 
12. Ben-Hur: $3.5 million/$4.5 million ($27 million) 
13. Florence Foster Jenkins: $3 million/$4 million ($24 million) 

9/9-9/11

1. Sully: $28 million
2. When the Bough Breaks: $15 million 
3. The Disappointments Room: $7 million 
4. Don't Breathe: $6.5 million ($56 million) 
5. Kubo and the Two Strings: $6 million ($50 million) 
6. The Wild Life: $5 million 
7. The Light Between Oceans: $5 million ($19 million) 
8. Pete's Dragon: $4.5 million ($71 million) 
9. Bad Moms: $3.5 million ($111 million) 
10. Suicide Squad: $3 million ($299 million)

9/16-9/18

1. Blair Witch: $37 million 
2. Sully: $18 million ($54 million) 
3. Bridget Jones' Baby: $13 million 
4. Hillsong - Let Hope Rise: $7 million
5. Snowden: $6 million 
6. When the Bough Breaks: $5.5 million ($23 million) 
7. Kubo and the Two Strings: $5 million ($56 million) 
8. The Light Between Oceans: $4 million ($25 million) 
9. Pete's Dragon: $3.5 million ($75 million) 
10. The Wild Life: $2.5 million ($8 million) 

9/23-9/25

1. The Magnificent Seven: $65 million 
2. Storks: $48 million 
3. Sully: $11 million ($70 million) 
4. Blair Witch: $10.5 million ($54 million) 
5. Bridget Jones' Baby: $9 million ($26 million) 
6. Hillsong - Let Hope Rise: $4 million ($13 million) 
7. Snowden: $3 million ($10 million) 
8. When the Bough Breaks: $2.5 million ($27 million) 
9. The Light Between Oceans: $2.5 million ($29 million) 
10. Kubo and the Two Strings: $1.5 million ($58 million) 

9/30-10/2

1. The Magnificent Seven: $38 million ($122 million) 
2. Storks: $29 million ($85 million) 
3. Deepwater Horizon: $21 million 
4. Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children: $16 million 
5. Masterminds: $7 million 
6. Sully: $6.5 million ($80 million) 
7. Bridget Jones' Baby: $6 million ($35 million) 
8. Blair Witch: $5 million ($62 million) 
9. Hillsong - Let Hope Rise: $2.5 million ($17 million)
10. Snowden: $1.5 million ($12 million) 

 

 

1.  

[2016 100M Films - 30 down, 6 to go! (Passengers Played The Long Game)]

11 hours ago, Blankments said:

400M

1. Captain America: Civil War - June 18
2. Finding Dory - July 7

300M

1. Deadpool - March 5
2. Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice - April 13
3. Zootopia - April 15
4. The Jungle Book - May 14
5. Captain America: Civil War - May 16
6. Finding Dory - June 28
7. The Secret Life of Pets - August 2

200M

1. Deadpool - February 20
2. Zootopia – March 20
3. Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice - March 30
4. The Jungle Book - April 26
5. Captain America: Civil War - May 10
6. Finding Dory - June 23
7. The Secret Life of Pets - July 17
8. Suicide Squad - August 13

100M

1. Deadpool - February 14
2. Kung Fu Panda 3 - February 15
3. Zootopia – March 11
4. Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice - March 26
5. The Jungle Book - April 17
6. Captain America: Civil War - May 7
7. X-Men: Apocalypse - June 3
8. The Angry Birds Movie - June 15
9. Finding Dory - June 18
10. Central Intelligence - July 7
11. The Secret Life of Pets - July 10
12. The Conjuring 2 - July 13
13. The Legend of Tarzan - July 17
14. Independence Day: Resurgence - July 20
15. Ghostbusters - July 30
16. Star Trek Beyond - July 31
17. Suicide Squad - August 6
18. Jason Bourne - August 7

 

 

 

 

My guess for the remaining $100 million+ DOM performers: 

19. Bad Moms

20. Sausage Party

21. Sully

22. The Magnificent Seven 

23. Storks

24. The Accountant

25. Doctor Strange

26. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them

27. Trolls 

28. Moana

29. Rogue One

30. Passengers

31. Sing

32. La La Land

33. Silence 

 

[BOT User Tracking 8/19-21 Ben-Hur, Kubo, War Dogs]

Ben-Hur: $21 million

Kubo: $20 million

War Dogs: $11 million 

[Weekend Prediction thread 6/28-6/30 Play the Derby]

35 minutes ago, boxofficeth said:

Ben Hur prediction has gone up significantly! I doubt if Kubo will hit that high note.

I think Pete's Dragon opened soft enough for Kubo to be able to open to low 20s. 

 

I see both having tremendous legs due to glowing WOM and soft OWs. $90-105 million DOM is my guess for both, but it could easily be $65-80 million DOM, too. 

 

Ben-Hur should benefit from SS not having great WOM (but not 'toxic' WOM, either) and clearly being frontloaded (on top of not sharing the same tentpole demo). $65-70 million DOM should happen IMO. 

 

 

[Weekend Prediction thread 6/28-6/30 Play the Derby]

 

Spoiler

 

8/19-8/21

1. Ben-Hur: $22.5 million 
2. Kubo and the Two Strings: $22 million 
3. Suicide Squad: $21 million ($262 million) 
4. Sausage Party: $19.5 million ($71 million)
5. Pete's Dragon: $13 million ($40 million)
6. War Dogs: $10 million 
7. Bad Moms: $9 million ($87 million) 
8. Jason Bourne: $8.5 million ($142 million)
9. The Secret Life of Pets: $6 million ($343 million)
10. Florence Foster Jenkins: $5 million ($13 million)

8/26-8/28

1. Kubo and the Two Strings: $16.5 million ($44 million)
2. Don't Breathe: $13.5 million 
3. Ben-Hur: $12.5 million ($41 million) 
4. Pete's Dragon: $11.5 million ($55 million) 
5. Suicide Squad: $11 million ($278 million) 
6. Sausage Party: $10 million ($87 million) 
7. Bad Moms: $7.5 million ($98 million) 
8. Mechanic - Resurrection: $7 million 
9. War Dogs: $6.5 million ($20 million) 
10. Hands of Stone: $5.5 million 

9/2-9/5

1. Kubo and the Two Strings: $18 million/$26 million ($74 million) 
2. The Light Between Oceans: $13 million/$17.5 million 
3. Pete's Dragon: $12.5 million/$18 million ($76 million) 
4. Morgan: $11 million/$14 million 
5. Ben-Hur: $9.5 million/$12.5 million ($58 million) 
6. Don't Breathe: $8 million/$10 million ($27 million) 
7. Sausage Party: $7.5 million/$9.5 million ($100 million) 
8. Suicide Squad: $7 million/$9.5 million ($291 million) 
9. Bad Moms: $6.5 million/$8 million ($109 million) 
10. War Dogs: $5.5 million/$6.5 million ($29 million)

9/9-9/11

1. Sully: $28.5 million 
2. When the Bough Breaks: $16 million 
3. Kubo and the Two Strings: $8 million ($83 million)
4. The Light Between Oceans: $6.5 million ($26 million) 
5. Pete's Dragon: $6 million ($83 million) 
6. The Disappointments Room: $5.5 million 
7. Ben-Hur: $5 million ($64 million) 
8. Morgan: $4.5 million ($20 million) 
9. The Wild Life: $4 million 
10. Bad Moms: $4 million ($114 million) 

9/16-9/18

1. Blair Witch: $34 million 
2. Sully: $18.5 million ($55 million) 
3. Bridget Jones' Baby: $15 million 
4. Hillsong - Let Hope Rise: $9 million 
5. Snowden: $7 million 
6. Kubo and the Two Strings: $6.5 million ($91 million) 

When the Bough Breaks: $5.5 million ($24 million) 

1. Pete's Dragon: $5 million ($89 million) 
2. The Light Between Oceans: $4.5 million ($32 million)
3. Ben-Hur: $3 million ($68 million) 

9/23-9/25

1. The Magnificent Seven: $65.5 million 
2. Storks: $45.5 million
3. Sully: $11 million ($71 million) 
4. Bridget Jones' Baby: $9.5 million ($29 million) 
5. Blair Witch: $9 million ($49 million) 
6. Hillsong - Let Hope Rise: $6 million ($17 million) 
7. Snowden: $3 million ($12 million) 
8. Pete's Dragon: $2.5 million ($92 million) 
9. Kubo and the Two Strings: $2.5 million ($94 million) 
10. The Light Between Oceans: $2.5 million ($36 million) 

9/30-10/2

1. The Magnificent Seven: $38.5 million ($122 million)
2. Storks: $27 million ($81 million) 
3. Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children: $23 million
4. Deepwater Horizon: $17 million 
5. Masterminds: $8 million 
6. Sully: $7 million ($81 million) 
7. Bridget Jones' Baby: $6.5 million ($39 million) 
8. Blair Witch: $4 million ($55 million) 
9. Hillsong - Let Hope Rise: $3 million ($21 million) 
10. Snowden: $1.75 million ($14 million) 

10/7-10/9

1. The Magnificent Seven: $25 million ($159 million) 
2. The Girl on the Train: $23 million 
3. Storks: $21 million ($107 million) 
4. Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children: $14 million ($42 million) 
5. Deepwater Horizon: $10.5 million ($33 million) 
6. Middle School - The Worst Years of My Life: $8.5 million 
7. Birth of a Nation: $6.5 million
8. Sully: $5 million ($88 million) 
9. Bridget Jones' Baby: $4.5 million ($46 million) 
10. Friend Request: $4 million 

10/14-10/16

1. The Accountant: $31 million 
2. The Magnificent Seven: $18 million ($190 million) 
3. Storks: $16 million ($129 million) 
4. The Girl on the Train: $14 million ($46 million) 
5. Kevin Hart - What Now?: $13.5 million 
6. Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children: $9 million ($57 million) 
7. Deepwater Horizon: $7.5 million ($46 million) 
8. Middle School - The Worst Years of My Life: $4.5 million ($15 million) 
9. Sully: $4 million ($95 million) 
10. Birth of a Nation: $4 million ($12 million) 

10/21-10/23

1. A Monster Calls: $25.5 million 
2. Boo! A Madea Halloween: $22 million 
3. The Accountant: $17 million ($57 million) 
4. Jack Reacher - Never Go Back: $15 million 
5. Ouija - Origin of Evil: $12.5 million 
6. Storks: $9 million ($140 million) 
7. The Magnificent Seven: $8 million ($202 million) 
8. The Girl on the Train: $6 million ($55 million) 
9. Keeping Up With the Joneses: $6 million 
10. I'm Not Ashamed: $5 million 

10/28-10/30

1. Inferno: $34 million 
2. Rings: $27 million 
3. A Monster Calls: $18.5 million ($50 million) 
4. The Accountant: $13 million ($76 million) 
5. Boo! A Madea Halloween: $10 million ($37 million) 
6. Jack Reacher - Never Go Back: $9 million ($29 million) 
7. Storks: $7 million ($149 million) 
8. The Magnificent Seven: $5 million ($209 million) 
9. Ouija - Origin of Evil: $4 million ($19 million) 
10. The Girl on the Train: $4 million ($61 million) 

11/4-11/6

1. Doctor Strange: $73 million
2. Trolls: $36.5 million 
3. Hacksaw Ridge: $21.5 million 
4. Inferno: $16 million ($58 million) 
5. The Accountant: $10 million ($91 million) 
6. A Monster Calls: $9.5 million ($64 million) 
7. Rings: $8 million ($41 million) 
8. Jack Reacher - Never Go Back: $6.5 million ($39 million) 
9. Boo! A Madea Halloween: $3 million ($42 million) 
10. The Magnificent Seven: $2.5 million ($213 million) 

11/11-11/13

1. Doctor Strange: $37 million ($127 million) 
2. Trolls: $28 million ($71 million) 
3. Hacksaw Ridge: $20 million ($48 million) 
4. Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk: $16 million
5. Almost Christmas: $14.5 million 
6. Arrival: $14 million 
7. Inferno: $9 million ($71 million) 
8. The Accountant: $8 million ($103 million) 
9. A Monster Calls: $6 million ($72 million) 
10. Shut In: $4 million 

11/18-11/20

1. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them: $109 million
2. Trolls: $16 million ($91 million) 
3. Doctor Strange: $15 million ($151 million) 
4. Hacksaw Ridge: $12 million ($65 million) 
5. Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk: $10 million ($31 million)
6. Arrival: $8 million ($26 million) 
7. Almost Christmas: $7 million ($25 million) 
8. The Accountant: $6 million ($112 million)
9. Inferno: $4 million ($77 million) 
10. The Edge of Seventeen: $3.5 million

11/23-11/27

1. Moana: $90.5 million/$135 million 
2. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them: $54 million/$83 million ($212 million)
3. Bad Santa 2: $13.5 million/$20.5 million 
4. Trolls: $13 million/$19.5 million ($114 million) 
5. Allied: $12 million/$18 million 
6. Doctor Strange: $11.5 million/$16 million ($170 million) 
7. Hacksaw Ridge: $9 million/$12.5 million ($80 million) 
8. Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk: $7 million/$10 million ($43 million) 
9. Rules Don't Apply: $6 million/$9 million 
10. Arrival: $5.5 million/$7.5 million ($35 million) 
11. The Accountant: $5 million/$7 million ($120 million) 
12. Almost Christmas: $4 million/$5.5 million ($32 million) 

12/2-12/4

1. Moana: $42 million ($190 million)
2. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them: $21 million ($243 million)
3. Bad Santa 2: $9.5 million ($35 million) 
4. Keep Watching: $9 million 
5. Allied: $7 million ($28 million) 
6. Kidnap: $6 million 
7. Doctor Strange: $5.5 million ($178 million) 
8. Trolls: $5 million ($120 million) 
9. Hacksaw Ridge: $4.5 million ($87 million) 
10. Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk: $4 million ($49 million)

12/9-12/11

1. Moana: $34 million ($234 million) 
2. Office Christmas Party: $17 million 
3. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them: $13 million ($262 million) 
4. Bad Santa 2: $7 million ($46 million) 
5. The Bye Bye Man: $6 million 
6. Miss Sloane: $4.5 million 
7. Allied: $5.5 million ($36 million) 
8. Trolls: $4 million ($125 million) 
9. Doctor Strange: $4 million ($184 million)
10. Hacksaw Ridge: $3.5 million ($92 million) 

12/16-12/18

1. Rogue One: $127 million 
2. Moana: $23 million ($264 million)
3. La La Land: $14 million ($19 million) 
4. Collateral Beauty: $11.5 million 
5. Office Christmas Party: $11 million ($33 million) 
6. Bad Santa 2: $6 million ($55 million) 
7. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them: $5.5 million ($270 million) 
8. Allied: $3 million ($40 million) 
9. The Bye Bye Man: $2.5 million ($10 million) 
10. Hacksaw Ridge: $2.5 million ($96 million) 

12/21-12/25

1. Rogue One: $76 million/$110 million ($279 million) 
2. Sing: $58 million/$85 million 
3. Passengers: $42 million/$60 million 
4. Assassin's Creed: $24 million/$39 million 
5. Moana: $20.5 million/$29 million ($305 million) 
6. La La Land: $15.5 million/$21.5 million ($49 million) 
7. Office Christmas Party: $10 million/$15 million ($53 million) 
8. Collateral Beauty: $7.5 million/$11 million ($26 million) 
9. Bad Santa 2: $7 million/$10.5 million ($69 million)
10. Why Him?: $5 million 

12/30-1/1

1. Rogue One: $52 million ($391 million)
2. Sing: $47 million ($190 million) 
3. Passengers: $36 million ($138 million) 
4. Moana: $18 million ($343 million) 
5. La La Land: $13.5 million ($76 million) 
6. Assassin's Creed: $13 million ($65 million) 
7. Why Him?: $9 million ($23 million) 
8. Gold: $6 million ($14 million) 
9. Collateral Beauty: $5 million ($36 million) 
10. Office Christmas Party: $4 million ($61 million) 

 

 

 

 

 

[Weekend Prediction thread 6/28-6/30 Play the Derby]

8/12-8/14

1. Suicide Squad: $44 million ($225 million)
2. Pete's Dragon: $33.5 million 
3. Sausage Party: $20.5 million 
4. Jason Bourne: $14 million ($127 million) 
5. Bad Moms: $11 million ($71 million)
6. Florence Foster Jenkins: $7.5 million 
7. The Secret Life of Pets: $7 million ($334 million)
8. Star Trek Beyond: $6 million ($139 million)
9. Nine Lives: $3.5 million ($13 million) 
10. Lights Out: $3.5 million ($61 million) 

8/19-8/21

1. Kubo and the Two Strings: $24 million 
2. Suicide Squad: $21.5 million ($261 million) 
3. Pete's Dragon: $17 million ($56 million)
4. Ben-Hur: $15 million 
5. Sausage Party: $12 million ($39 million)
6. War Dogs: $10 million 
7. Jason Bourne: $9 million ($141 million) 
8. Bad Moms: $8 million ($84 million)
9. Florence Foster Jenkins: $6 million ($16 million) 
10. The Secret Life of Pets: $4 million ($339 million)

8/26-8/28

1. Kubo and the Two Strings: $17 million ($46 million)
2. Pete's Dragon: $13.5 million ($74 million) 
3. Suicide Squad: $12.5 million ($280 million)
4. Sausage Party: $9 million ($53 million) 
5. Ben-Hur: $8.5 million ($28 million) 
6. Don't Breathe: $7 million 
7. Bad Moms: $6.5 million ($93 million) 
8. Jason Bourne: $6 million ($150 million) 
9. War Dogs: $5 million ($18 million) 
10. Mechanic - Resurrection: $4.5 million 

9/2-9/5

1. Kubo and the Two Strings: $18 million/$26 million ($76 million)
2. Pete's Dragon: $14 million/$20 million ($97 million)
3. The Light Between Oceans: $11.5 million/$15 million 
4. Suicide Squad: $10 million/$13 million ($298 million)
5. Morgan: $9 million/$11 million 
6. Sausage Party: $7.5 million/$9.5 million ($66 million) 
7. Ben-Hur: $6 million/$7.5 million ($38 million) 
8. Bad Moms: $6 million/$7.5 million ($103 million) 
9. Jason Bourne: $5 million/$6.25 million ($159 million) 
10. War Dogs: $4 million/$5 million ($25 million)

[Ocean's Eight | June 8, 2018 | WB | Gary Ross directing, Bullock, Blanchett, Hathaway, Rihanna, Bonham Carter, Kaling, Paulson and Awkwafina. Social Media Embargo up]

This is probably that untitled PG-13 comedy WB has slated for 12/22/17

[Wed#s SS 9.81 Guru....many soft drops for a Wednesday....Jesus Christ, that's a soft drop for Bourne, Sexy Legs for Moms, Pets -28% from last week and going for IO, FTSBF less than 10% drop....no sign of THE V]

28 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

2.6M

2.3M (-10%)

 

4M Friday (+75%)

5.8M Saturday (+45%)

4.5M Sunday (-22%)

14.3M Weekend, 36% drop

 

Jesus Christ, that's good legs for Jason Bourne  @Ethan Hunt @CJohn

What did you expect?

 

There's no action competition this next weekend and SS hurt everything other than Pets and Lights Out. 

 

36% drop is pretty average in August. Wouldn't be surprised at sub-40% drops for Bourne until the weekend after Labor Day. 

[SUICIDE SQUAD WEEKEND THREAD | New REVISED SUNDAY NUMBER 134m FROM GURU ON PG 212 | 267.1M WW OW | Nine Lives 6.5 OW |No Spoilers Allowed!!! | ACCOUNT SALES THIS WEEKEND - see first post for details !!]

5 minutes ago, a2knet said:

Really rooting for SS to do 300m dom. Will help the 10 films above 300M+ dom club.

Hope it stays above 133 with the actuals.

 

We have 8 300 movies locked - DP, ZOOTP, BVS, TJB, CW, FD, PETS, ROGUE ONE

SS could make it #9.

MOANA probably has the best shot at 300M followed by FB.

MOANA will probably make it. It's the first Disney animated musical since FROZEN, so audiences will be excited. Miranda could get Oscar buzz and the Rock is one of the few draws in Hollywood these days. 

[Weekend Prediction thread 6/28-6/30 Play the Derby]

8 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:

Suicide Squad: 40.5M

Pete's Dragon: 30M

Sausage Party: 25M

Jason Bourne: 10.4M

Bad Moms: 9.2M

Florence Foster Jenkins: 6.3M

Secret Life of Pets: 5.7M

Star Trek Beyond: 5.4M

Lights Out: 3.3M

Nine Lives: 3M

 

I don't see Bourne dropping 50%+ with minimal competition next weekend. Jenkins, Pete and Sausage don't really cross over with it (Ben-Hur is really the only upcoming August release in its demo). I'm not expecting a phenomenal hold, but a mid 30s-low 40s drop seems likely IMO.

 

8/12-8/14

1. Suicide Squad: $46.5 million ($228 million)
2. Pete's Dragon: $27 million 
3. Sausage Party: $21 million 
4. Jason Bourne: $14.5 million ($130 million) 
5. Bad Moms: $9.5 million ($68 million)
6. Florence Foster Jenkins: $8 million 
7. Star Trek Beyond: $6.5 million ($140 million) 
8. The Secret Life of Pets: $6 million ($328 million)
9. Nine Lives: $3.5 million ($12 million)
10. Lights Out: $3 million ($60 million)

8/19-8/21

1. Kubo and the Two Strings: $24 million 
2. Ben-Hur: $23 million 
3. Suicide Squad: $22 million ($262 million) 
4. Pete's Dragon: $14 million ($45 million) 
5. Sausage Party: $13 million ($41 million) 
6. War Dogs: $11 million 
7. Jason Bourne: $8.5 million ($142 million) 
8. Bad Moms: $7 million ($78 million) 
9. Florence Foster Jenkins: $6.5 million ($17 million) 
10. Star Trek Beyond: $4 million ($146 million) 

8/26-8/28

1. Kubo and the Two Strings: $17.5 million ($47 million) 
2. Ben-Hur: $13.5 million ($42 million) 
3. Suicide Squad: $12 million ($280 million) 
4. Pete's Dragon: $11 million ($59 million) 
5. Sausage Party: $9 million ($55 million) 
6. Don't Breathe: $7.5 million
7. War Dogs: $7 million ($21 million) 
8. Mechanic - Resurrection: $6 million 
9. Florence Foster Jenkins: $5.5 million ($25 million) 
10. Bad Moms: $5 million ($85 million) 
11. Jason Bourne: $5 million ($149 million) 
12. Hands of Stone: $4 million 

9/2-9/5

1. Kubo and the Two Strings: $18 million/$26 million ($77 million) 
2. The Light Between Oceans: $14 million/$19.5 million 
3. Ben-Hur: $11 million/$15 million ($61 million) 
4. Pete's Dragon: $10 million/$14.5 million ($76 million)
5. Suicide Squad: $8 million/$10.5 million ($295 million) 
6. Sausage Party: $7.5 million/$10 million ($68 million) 
7. Morgan: $7 million/$8.5 million 
8. War Dogs: $6 million/$7.5 million ($32 million) 
9. Solace: $5.5 million/$6.5 million 
10. Florence Foster Jenkins: $5 million/$6.5 million ($33 million)
11. Bad Moms: $4 million/$5 million ($92 million) 
12. Jason Bourne: $4 million/$5 million 
13. Don't Breathe: $3.5 million/$4.25 million ($13 million) 

[Monday #s]

12 hours ago, Ocho said:

 

Could be the worse movie to ever do 350m domestic.....

 

I'm pretty sure Spider-Man 3, Shrek the Third and POTC3 (all adjusted for inflation) share that dubious title 

[Jason Bourne | 7.29.2016 | One week IMAX release on August 26 thanks to Ben Hur flopping]

On 7/31/2016 at 8:44 PM, Jay Beezy said:

I'm a big fan of the Bourne trilogy. Did not care for this one. Story was boring with inorganic attempts at establishing an emotional connection. And the story has always had a strong connection to the action sequences in the Bourne franchise so when the story is meh and straining desperately to justify its existence, the action sequences have minimal impact.

 

I felt about the same.

 

All those action scenes and yet nothing to justify Bourne's return after 9 years. I expected more and it revealed very little about his past while also preventing Tommy Lee Jones from chewing scenery as he does best in these kinds of films. 

[Weekend Thread | Bourne 60M, Trek 24M, Bad Moms 23.4M, Pets 18.2M]

2 hours ago, MinaTakla said:

So @mahnamahna- if estimates hold and Pets gets close to 18.5M this weekend, where do you see it ending its run at right now?

cc: @a2knet

$10.5 million ($317 million)

$5 million ($325 million)

$3 million ($328 million)

$2.25 million ($331 million)

$3 million/$3.75 million ($335 million)

 

$342-347 million DOM is my range since I see it having a lengthy second-run showing. All around, a solid run. How about you @MinaTakla? 

[Weekend Prediction thread 6/28-6/30 Play the Derby]

8/5-8/7

1. Suicide Squad: $143 million 
2. Jason Bourne: $29 million ($117 million) 
3. Bad Moms: $15.5 million ($53 million) 
4. The Secret Life of Pets: $11 million ($316 million) 
5. Star Trek Beyond: $10.5 million ($126 million)
6. Nine Lives: $6.5 million 
7. Lights Out: $6 million ($54 million) 
8. Ice Age - Collision Course: $5.5 million ($52 million) 
9. Nerve: $4.5 million ($24 million) 
10. Ghostbusters: $4 million ($114 million) 

8/12-8/14

1. Suicide Squad: $55 million ($244 million) 
2. Pete's Dragon: $27.5 million 
3. Sausage Party: $22 million 
4. Jason Bourne: $19 million ($150 million)
5. Florence Foster Jenkins: $15 million 
6. Bad Moms: $10 million ($69 million) 
7. Star Trek Beyond: $8 million ($139 million)
8. The Secret Life of Pets: $5 million ($324 million) 
9. Nine Lives: $4 million ($12 million) 
10. Lights Out: $3 million ($59 million)

8/19-8/21

1. Suicide Squad: $30.5 million ($290 million)
2. Kubo and the Two Strings: $25 million 
3. Ben-Hur: $16 million 
4. Pete's Dragon: $14.5 million ($47 million) 
5. Florence Foster Jenkins: $11 million ($31 million) 
6. Jason Bourne: $10.5 million ($165 million) 
7. Sausage Party: $10 million ($38 million) 
8. War Dogs: $9 million 
9. Bad Moms: $6 million ($78 million)
10. Star Trek Beyond: $5 million ($146 million)

8/26-8/28

1. Suicide Squad: $20 million ($320 million) 
2. Kubo and the Two Strings: $18 million ($48 million)
3. Pete's Dragon: $11 million ($61 million) 
4. Ben-Hur: $10 million ($31 million) 
5. Florence Foster Jenkins: $9 million ($44 million)
6. Jason Bourne: $8 million ($177 million) 
7. Don't Breathe: $7.5 million 
8. War Dogs: $7 million ($21 million) 
9. Sausage Party: $6.5 million ($48 million) 
10. Mechanic - Resurrection: $6 million 
11. Bad Moms: $5 million ($85 million)
12. Hands of Stone: $4 million 
13. Star Trek Beyond: $3.5 million ($151 million)

9/2-9/5

1. Kubo and the Two Strings: $18.5 million/$26 million ($78 million) 
2. Suicide Squad: $16 million/$21 million ($349 million) 
3. The Light Between Oceans: $12 million/$15.5 million 
4. Pete's Dragon: $10.5 million/$14.5 million ($79 million) 
5. Morgan: $8 million/$10 million 
6. Florence Foster Jenkins: $7.5 million/$9 million ($56 million) 
7. Jason Bourne: $7 million/$8.5 million ($188 million) 
8. Ben-Hur: $6.5 million/$8 million ($42 million) 
9. War Dogs: $5 million/$6 million ($30 million) 
10. Bad Moms: $4.75 million/$5.5 million ($93 million) 
11. Sausage Party: $4.5 million/$5.25 million ($56 million) 
12. Solace: $4 million/$5 million 
13. Don't Breathe: $3.5 million/$4 million ($13 million) 
14. Mechanic - Resurrection: $3 million/$3.5 million ($11 million) 
15. Star Trek Beyond: $2.5 million/$3 million ($155 million) 

[Weekend Thread | Bourne 60M, Trek 24M, Bad Moms 23.4M, Pets 18.2M]

3 hours ago, Cochofles said:

On one hand, Melisa McCarthy has scored another 100 million-dollar hit.

On the other hand...with its budget, pedigree, controversy, and the nostalgia that it would supposedly engender, that 100-million-dollar-grossing film should have grossed at least 300 million domestically...right?

Someone said it best...this summer has been the season of blockbusters not capturing anyone's imagination beyond OW.

Finding Dory and Secret Life of Pets are having solid leggy runs. Both will finish above a 3x.